Case 051Rates and hedgingCore
A state power utility borrows floating from banks and wants a fixed cost for five years. Should it swap the loan to fixed or refinance with a state-guaranteed fixed bond?
1The situation
Suryavarta State Power Corporation has Rs 3,000 crore of bank loans priced at the benchmark rate plus 0.6%, reset every quarter. The treasurer wants to know the cost of the next five years in advance, because the utility's tariff is fixed and a rise in rates would come straight out of its thin margin.
Route one: keep the loans and enter a five-year interest rate swap in which Suryavarta pays a fixed 7.2% and receives the benchmark. Route two: repay the banks with a five-year fixed-rate bond at 7.9%, which needs the state government's guarantee, and the state charges a guarantee fee of 0.5% a year on the amount guaranteed. Assume the loans run for the full five years at the same margin, and ignore issue costs for now.
2Your task
Which route gives the lower all-in fixed cost, by how much a year, and what besides the rate should the treasurer weigh?
Quick check
What fixed rate does Suryavarta actually pay through the swap route?
Worked solution
Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.
30-second answerThe answer to give first
The swap route is cheaper: 7.80% all-in against 8.40% for the guaranteed bond, a gap of 0.60%, about Rs 18 crore a year. The swap fixes the benchmark at 7.20% and the loan margin of 0.60% sits on top. The bond's 7.90% coupon carries a 0.50% guarantee fee. The rate favours the swap; loan tenor, margin reset risk and the swap's break cost are what could change the view.
Step 1What does each route actually lock in?
Think of a floating-rate home loan. You can ask a friend to pay your floating bill each month while you pay the friend a fixed amount, or you can take a new fixed-rate loan from another lender and close the old one. Both give you a fixed payment, but each fixed payment has its own add-ons, and the comparison only works once every add-on is in. In the swap route the interest rate swapA contract in which two parties exchange interest payments on a notional amount, typically one paying a fixed rate and the other a floating benchmark rate. cancels the floating benchmark on the loan: Suryavarta receives the benchmark from the swap bank and passes it to its lenders, and pays 7.20% fixed. The loan margin of 0.60% is not touched by the swap. In the bond route the coupon is fixed at 7.90%, and the state's guarantee fee of 0.50% is a cost of that bond existing.
| 7.20% | fixed rate paid on the swap |
| 0.60% | the bank's margin over the benchmark, still owed |
| 7.90% | fixed coupon on the guaranteed bond |
| 0.50% | yearly fee charged by the state for its guarantee |
Step 2Why is the headline comparison wrong in both directions?
Set 7.20% against 7.90% and the swap looks 0.70% cheaper. That forgets the loan margin, which flatters the swap, and forgets the guarantee fee, which flatters the bond. Here the two omissions nearly cancel, so the headline answer happens to point the right way, but a candidate who adds only one of them can flip the answer. Add the margin and not the fee and the swap route costs 7.80% against a bond at 7.90%: a 0.10% gap that sounds like a coin toss. The discipline is to write each route as one all-in number before comparing anything.
Step 3What could make the bond the better choice anyway?
Three things sit outside the rate. First, the margin is fixed only as long as the loan. If the bank loans run three years and are refinanced at a margin of 1.20%, the swap route averages 8.04% over five years, still below 8.40% but closer. A swap fixes the benchmark, never the credit spread, so a borrower whose loans are shorter than the swap still carries spread risk. Second, a swap has a mark-to-marketThe current value of a contract if it were closed out today; for a swap it rises or falls as market rates move. value: if rates fall and Suryavarta wants to repay early, breaking the swap costs money, whereas a bond simply keeps paying its coupon. Third, the swap bank takes credit risk on the utility and may ask for collateral or use up the utility's credit line, while the bond spreads the funding across many investors and frees bank limits for working capital.
The closing line an interviewer wants: on today's numbers swap, because 7.80% beats 8.40% by Rs 18 crore a year, provided the loans run the full five years or their margin is committed. If the banks will not commit the margin, price the refinancing risk and compare again, and if the utility needs to diversify away from bank funding, the bond's extra cost buys that.
Where candidates lose it
Most candidates compare 7.20% with 7.90% and stop. That leaves out the loan margin on one side and the guarantee fee on the other, and in an interview with slightly different numbers it gives the wrong route.
The second loss is saying the swap fixes the whole cost. It fixes only the benchmark. The margin is fixed by the loan agreement, and if the loan is shorter than the swap, the margin can reset.
What the interviewer asks next
- The state raises its guarantee fee to 1.0%. Does anything change, and by how much?
- Rates fall 1% a year after Suryavarta swaps. What happens to the swap's value and to its all-in cost?
- How would you hedge only half the loan, and why might a treasurer choose to?
- What collateral terms would a swap bank ask of a state utility?
Company names and figures are illustrative.
