Case 004Option strategies and trade ideasHard
Pitch a stock on a margin recovery thesis and express it with a call spread sized so the worst case is 0.5% of a Rs 100 crore book. Show the payoff at three prices.
1The situation
Varada Tubes makes seamless steel tubes and trades at Rs 600. Its operating margin fell from 14% to 8% over two years as steel prices rose faster than its contracts could reprice. Those contracts reset over the next two quarters, steel has stabilised, and your work says margin returns to 12% within a year, which on the same multiple would put the shares near Rs 700. The six-month 600 call costs Rs 38 and the six-month 700 call costs Rs 10; one lot is 250 shares.
You run a Rs 100 crore book and your desk's rule is that no single idea may lose more than 0.5% of the book, Rs 50 lakh.
2Your task
Give the pitch in three sentences, then size a 600/700 call spread to the loss limit and show what it makes or loses if the stock is at 550, 650 and 750 at expiry.
Quick check
Before sizing: how many units of the spread can the book hold inside the Rs 50 lakh limit?
Worked solution
Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.
30-second answerThe answer to give first
Buy the 600 call and sell the 700 call on 178,500 shares, 714 lots, for a net Rs 28 a share, so the most the book can lose is Rs 49.98 lakh. At 550 the whole premium is lost; at 650 the spread makes Rs 39.3 lakh; at 750 it makes its capped maximum of Rs 1.29 crore. The pitch is a margin recovery the market has not priced, and the spread turns that view into a position with a known worst case and a payoff concentrated where the thesis says the stock will be.
Step 1What are the three sentences of the pitch?
A pitch is a claim, a reason the market is wrong, and a thing that will prove it. Varada's margin fell for a reason that is reversing: fixed-price contracts that could not pass on steel costs reset over the next two quarters, and steel has stopped rising. At a 12% margin on the same multiple the shares are worth near 700, and the next two quarterly results are the proof. Say what breaks it in the same breath: steel rising again, or customers refusing the reset. An interviewer scores the pitch on whether the catalyst and the kill condition are both named, not on the number.
Step 2Why a call spread rather than the stock or a bare call?
Think of a bet with a friend that the cricket score will land between two numbers: you pay less than for an open-ended bet because you give up the extreme. The thesis says 700, not 900, so the 700 call you sell gives away upside you do not believe in, and its Rs 10 cuts the cost of the view from 38 to 28. That matters because the loss limit is in rupees: at Rs 28 a unit the book can hold Rs 50 lakh over 28, about 178,571 units, which is 714 lots of 250, or 178,500 shares, with a worst case of Rs 49.98 lakh. Buying the stock with the same Rs 50 lakh at risk means owning only about 8,333 shares, and a 5% stop would be a far smaller position again.
Step 3What does it make or lose at 550, 650 and 750?
| Stock at expiry | 600 call pays | 700 call costs | Net per share, Rs | On 178,500 shares, Rs lakh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 550 | 0 | 0 | -28 | -49.98 |
| 650 | 50 | 0 | +22 | +39.27 |
| 750 | 150 | -100 | +72 | +128.52 |
The maximum gain is 72 against a maximum loss of 28, about 2.6 to 1, and the breakeven is 628, less than 5% above the current price. Compare the alternative that candidates usually reach for first, the outright 600 call. With the same Rs 50 lakh at risk it buys 131,500 units at 38; at 650 it makes only Rs 15.8 lakh against the spread's 39.3, and it overtakes the spread only above about 736, a price the thesis does not claim.
Close with the limits. The payoffs are at expiry; before then the spread's value moves with implied volatility and time, and a quick rally to 650 in the first month shows less profit than the table. The short 700 call is covered by the long 600 call, so no extra margin beyond the premium is usually needed, but confirm the exchange's treatment. And the worst case is 0.5% of the book only if the whole spread is held to expiry; closing early in a wide market can cost more than the premium.
Where candidates lose it
Candidates size the trade on the Rs 38 they pay for the long call and forget that the short call refunds Rs 10, so they buy a third fewer units than the limit allows and leave the thesis under-expressed. Size on the net premium, because that is the worst case.
The second loss is pitching the stock and then expressing it with a structure that pays off somewhere else. A 900 target with a 700 cap, or a 700 target with an uncapped call, tells the interviewer the view and the trade were built separately.
What the interviewer asks next
- Implied volatility on both strikes rises five points the day after you trade. Which leg gains more, and what happens to the spread's value?
- The results come early and the stock gaps to 660 in week two. Do you close, hold or roll?
- How would you express the same thesis if you also wanted to be paid while waiting?
- What is the margin treatment of the short 700 call, and does it change the sizing?
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Company names and figures are illustrative.
