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049

Case 049Greeks and managing an options bookCore

At 10 am on expiry day, Baitarani Capital is short 200 lots (lot 50) of the Satpura 50 22,000 straddle, sold for 60 points, with the index at 22,000. What is the P&L at settlement if the index ends at 21,900, 22,000 or 22,150, and how does gamma behave through the day?

1The situation

Baitarani Capital, a proprietary trading firm, sells expiry-day straddles on the Satpura 50 index. At 10 am on expiry day, with the index at 22,000, it sold 200 lots of the 22,000 call and 200 lots of the 22,000 put for a combined 60 points. The lot size is 50, so the position covers 10,000 index units, each worth Rs 1 a point. The options settle in cash against the closing index at 3:30 pm.

The head of risk wants the settlement P&L at three closing levels, and an explanation of why the desk's gamma limit is tightest in the last hour.

2Your task

Compute the P&L at 21,900, 22,000 and 22,150, give the breakevens, and describe how the position's gamma changes from 10 am to the close.

Quick check

The index closes at 22,150. What does Baitarani make or lose?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Baitarani makes Rs 6 lakh if the index closes at 22,000, loses Rs 4 lakh at 21,900 and Rs 9 lakh at 22,150. The breakevens are 21,940 and 22,060; every point beyond them costs Rs 10,000. With the index at the strike, the short gamma grows as one over the square root of the time left, from about 106 units a point at 10 am to 352 at 3 pm, so a move in the last hour costs several times what the same move costs in the morning.

Step 1What is the P&L at each settlement level?

At settlement each option is worth its distance into the money and nothing else, so the straddle is worth the distance between the close and 22,000. Baitarani received 60 points and pays the distance, so its P&L per unit is 60 less the distance: at 22,000 it keeps all 60, Rs 6 lakh on 10,000 units; at 21,900 it pays 100 and loses 40 points, Rs 4 lakh; at 22,150 it pays 150 and loses 90, Rs 9 lakh. The breakevens are 22,000 plus and minus 60, 21,940 and 22,060. The shape is a tent, and the loss beyond the breakevens has no floor.

Short straddle at settlement, Rs lakh on 200 lots-10-5+5021,80021,90022,00022,10022,20021,900: -4 lakh22,000: +6 lakh22,150: -9 lakh21,94022,060Premium 60 points x 10,000 units = Rs 6 lakh;each point beyond 60 costs Rs 10,000.
At settlement the short straddle makes Rs 6 lakh at 22,000, breaks even at 21,940 and 22,060, and loses Rs 4 lakh at 21,900 and Rs 9 lakh at 22,150, Rs 1 lakh for every 10 points beyond the breakevens.
Step 2How does gamma behave through the day?

Picture balancing a ruler upright on a fingertip as it gets shorter: a long ruler forgives small wobbles, a short one punishes them at once. For an at-the-money option, gamma is proportional to one over the square root of the time left, so with the index sitting at 22,000 the short straddle's gamma goes from about minus 106 units a point at 10 am to minus 157 at 1 pm and minus 352 at 3 pm, and in the last few minutes it is larger still. In rupees, a 50-point move costs a half times gamma times 50 squared: about Rs 1.3 lakh at 10 am and Rs 4.4 lakh at 3 pm. For an at-the-money straddle the price is close to the expected size of the move to the close, so the market is pricing roughly 60 points either way; the same move is much more expensive late, when it arrives with less time left to recover.

Gamma at the strike through expiry day, units per point (short)-250-500-750-100010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0015:30Time of day on expiry, index held at the strike-106-157-352A 50-point move costs about Rs 1.3 lakh at 10:00and Rs 4.4 lakh at 15:00, if the index is at 22,000.
With the index at the strike, the short straddle's gamma grows from about 106 units a point at 10 am to 352 at 3 pm and climbs steeply in the last minutes, so a 50-point move costs about Rs 4.4 lakh at 3 pm against Rs 1.3 lakh in the morning.
Step 3Why is the risk limit tightest in the last hour, and what does the desk do about it?

The gamma above is for the index at the strike. Away from the strike the picture flips: at 22,150 with half an hour left the options are deep enough in or out of the money that gamma is close to zero, and the position behaves like a plain short or long index position. So the danger in the last hour is not a large move in itself but the index sitting near 22,000, where gamma is largest, and then moving, because every hedge the desk puts on is wrong a few minutes later. Desks handle this in three ways: buy back the straddle in the early afternoon, giving up the last few points of premium; set a gamma limit that forces a cut when the index is within a band of the strike; or buy cheap far-out options as a cap on the tent. Each costs some of the Rs 6 lakh, which is the price of not losing Rs 9 lakh.

State the limits. The gamma figures come from a simple model calibrated to the 60-point premium and assume trading time runs evenly through the session; real intraday volatility is higher at the open and close. Settlement uses the exchange's closing price method, which may average the last half hour; confirm the current rule. Margin on short index options rises through expiry day as well, and a desk can be forced to cut by its broker before its own limit binds.

Where candidates lose it

The common loss is forgetting the premium and quoting the payout alone: Rs 15 lakh at 22,150 instead of Rs 9 lakh, or Rs 10 lakh at 21,900 instead of Rs 4 lakh. The 60 points received cushion every outcome.

The second is saying gamma always rises into expiry. It rises for options at the strike and collapses for options away from it, and the interviewer wants to hear that the risk depends on where the index is as much as on the clock.

What the interviewer asks next

  • At 2 pm the index is at 22,040 and the straddle trades at 48. What is the mark-to-market P&L, and what would you do?
  • How would buying the 21,800 put and the 22,200 call for 3 points each change the worst case?
  • Why does a straddle sold at 10 am on expiry day collect so little premium compared with one sold a week earlier?
  • How would you set a gamma limit for this desk, and in what units?
← Case 048Nagzira Machine Tools must pay USD 2 million in six months. The six-month forward is 84.40; a six-month dollar call struck at 84.50 costs 0.90 rupee per dollar. Compare the forward and the option if the rate ends at 82.00, 84.50 or 87.00.Case 050 →Saramati Cement trades at Rs 800 and its three-month futures at Rs 820, lot size 500. The rate is 7% continuous and no dividend is due. What is fair value, are the futures rich or cheap, and what does the cash-and-carry lock in per lot?

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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