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090

Case 090Greeks and managing an options bookCore

A fund holds 1,000 lots of six-month at-the-money calls on a stock at 500 when the company announces a surprise special dividend of Rs 25, payable in two months. With delta 0.55, estimate the loss, and explain why put holders gain.

1The situation

Ghataprabha Fund is long 1,000 lots of six-month at-the-money calls on Manjira Foods, lot size 100, so 1,00,000 shares. The stock is at Rs 500. The calls were bought when no unusual dividend was expected; the market priced only small ordinary payouts.

This morning Manjira announced a special dividend of Rs 25 a share, payable in two months, well before the options expire. The risk system shows a call delta of 0.55 and gamma of 0.0032 per rupee. The portfolio manager wants the loss estimated before the open, and wants to know who on the other side of the market is better off.

2Your task

How much do the calls lose, why do puts gain, and is there anything that could make the loss disappear?

Quick check

The stock price does not move on the announcement. Do the calls still lose value?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

The calls lose about Rs 12.75 a share, roughly Rs 12.75 lakh on the position, because the dividend lowers the forward by about Rs 25. Delta alone gives 0.55 times 25, Rs 13.75 a share; gamma gives back about Rs 1.00. Puts gain by the mirror logic, about Rs 12.25 a share. If the exchange adjusts contract terms for extraordinary dividends, the loss largely disappears, so check that first.

Step 1Why does a dividend hurt a call holder at all?

Think of a flat you have an option to buy in six months at a fixed price. The owner announces he will strip out the kitchen and sell it separately before then. The flat you can buy is now worth less, even though nobody has touched it yet. A call is an option on the stock at expiry; the stock will drop by about the dividend on the ex-date, and only shareholders receive the cash, so the forward priceThe price agreed today for buying the stock on a future date. It equals spot plus interest, less dividends paid before that date. falls by about Rs 25 the moment the dividend is announced. Ordinary dividends are already in the forward; a special dividend is a surprise, which is why it moves the option today.

Step 2How big is the loss?

First order, the call moves by delta times the change in the forward: 0.55 times minus 25 is minus Rs 13.75 a share. On 1,00,000 shares that is about Rs 13.75 lakh, and gamma trims it a little, because the delta falls as the forward falls. The second-order term is half of gamma times the move squared: 0.5 times 0.0032 times 625, about Rs 1.00. The better estimate is Rs 12.75 a share, about Rs 12.75 lakh. A full revaluation in the pricing model, with the dividend input changed, is what the desk would book; the Greeks are the estimate you give before the open. The interest on Rs 25 for the four months between payment and expiry is ignored here; it would change the answer only by paise.

A Rs 25 special dividend lowers the forward: calls lose, puts gainCalls, delta 0.55 (Ghataprabha)Six-month forward beforeFForward after the newsF - 25Delta x move+0.55 x -25 = -13.75Gamma: 0.5 x 0.0032 x 625+1.00-25Net per share: -12.75On 1,00,000 shares: -Rs 12.75 lakhPuts, delta -0.45 (put holders)Six-month forward beforeFForward after the newsF - 25Delta x move-0.45 x -25 = +11.25Gamma: 0.5 x 0.0032 x 625+1.00-25Net per share: +12.25On 1,00,000 shares: +Rs 12.25 lakh
A Rs 25 drop in the forward costs the calls 0.55 times 25 less a gamma cushion of 1.00, about Rs 12.75 a share or Rs 12.75 lakh on 1,00,000 shares, while puts with delta minus 0.45 gain about Rs 12.25 a share.
Step 3Why do the put holders gain?

Put-call parity ties the two together: a call minus a put on the same strike equals the forward minus the strike, discounted. If the forward falls by Rs 25 and the strike does not move, call minus put must fall by about Rs 25, and the put's delta of minus 0.45 takes the other part: it rises by about 0.45 times 25, Rs 11.25, plus the same gamma cushion, about Rs 12.25. Add the call's loss and the put's gain and you get about 25, as parity says. Whoever wrote Ghataprabha's calls has gained what the fund lost, and anyone short puts has lost.

Step 4What could make the loss disappear?

Many exchanges treat a large one-off dividend as a corporate action and adjust the strikes, and sometimes the lot size, of listed options so that holders are left whole. The dividend here is 5% of the share price, so the first question is whether the exchange's corporate action policy classes it as extraordinary. The threshold and the method are set in each exchange's rules and change from time to time; confirm the current rule rather than relying on a remembered number. If the strike is cut by Rs 25, the calls are roughly unaffected. If the dividend falls below the threshold, or the options are over-the-counter without an adjustment clause, the loss stands, and the limit of any Greeks estimate applies: it is an approximation, good for a small move and a first call to the portfolio manager.

Where candidates lose it

The common loss is saying nothing happens until the ex-date. The option reprices on the announcement, because the forward changes the moment the payment is known.

The second is forgetting the exchange's adjustment rules entirely, or quoting a threshold from memory. The right answer computes the loss and then says what would remove it and how to check.

What the interviewer asks next

  • How would the answer change for a deep in-the-money call with delta 0.95?
  • Should Ghataprabha exercise early if these were American calls, and when?
  • If the fund had sold puts instead of buying calls, what would its position be now?
← Case 089A bank's five-year swap with a mid-sized client has expected positive exposure of Rs 8, 12, 14, 11 and 5 crore by year. Default probability is 2% a year, loss given default 60%. Compute the CVA and say how collateral would change it.Case 091 →A Rs 300 crore portfolio has a beta of 0.9 to the broad index and 0.5 to the bank index in a two-factor regression. Hedge both factors with index futures, and show why hedging only with the broad index leaves a bank bet.

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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