Case 034Industry structure and moatsCore
Case study on Kavelin Adhesives: 55% market share, ROCE above 35% for ten years, four price rises in three years with volumes still growing. What are its competitive advantages, are there barriers to entry, and can growth last?
1The situation
Kavelin Adhesives makes wood adhesives and sealants used by carpenters in homes and offices. It holds 55% of the organised market and sells through 50,000 hardware and plywood dealers. Revenue is Rs 3,000 crore at a 22% EBIT margin on capital employed of Rs 1,650 crore, a ROCE of 40%. ROCE has been above 35% in each of the last ten years.
Over the last three years Kavelin raised prices four times, about 4% each time, and volumes still grew 8% a year. A typical furniture job for a homeowner costs about Rs 50,000, of which the adhesive is about Rs 500. A large paint company has said it will enter the category.
2Your task
What are Kavelin's competitive advantages, are there real barriers to entry, and can its revenue growth last?
Quick check
Which single fact is the most direct evidence of a moat?
Worked solution
Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.
30-second answerThe answer to give first
Kavelin's advantage is pricing power that comes from who chooses the product: carpenters pick the brand, homeowners pay, and the glue is only 1% of the job. Four price rises with 8% volume growth and ten years of ROCE above 35% are the evidence. The barriers are brand habit among carpenters and reach through 50,000 dealers, not capital. Volume growth can last with the shift to organised brands; price-led growth, about 5.4% a year, cannot run at this pace forever.
Step 1Where does Kavelin's advantage actually come from?
A patient does not shop around for the anaesthetic the surgeon prefers; the surgeon chooses, the patient pays, and the drug is a small part of the bill. When the person choosing a product is not the person paying for it, and the product is a tiny share of a larger cost, price stops mattering to the buyer. Kavelin sits in exactly that spot. The carpenter's reputation depends on joints that hold for years; a 4% price rise costs the homeowner Rs 20 on a Rs 50,000 job. No carpenter risks the next ten jobs to save Rs 20 of someone else's money.
Step 2What evidence shows the advantage is real, not a story?
A moatA lasting advantage that lets a company earn returns above its cost of capital for many years while competitors try to take them away; the term was popularised by Warren Buffett. has to show up in numbers that competition would normally erode. Two do here: ROCE has stayed above 35% for ten years against a cost of capital of about 14%, and returns rose through four price rises while volumes kept growing 8% a year. In a competitive market excess returns attract entrants and fade; these have not. At today's 40% ROCE, Kavelin earns about Rs 429 crore a year above what its capital costs.
Step 3Are there real barriers to entry?
Yes, but name the right ones. The barriers are intangible: habit and trust among carpenters built over decades, and shelf space in 50,000 dealers who stock what carpenters ask for. Capital is not a barrier; an adhesive plant is cheap. That is why the paint company's entry is the test that matters. It can match the product and pay dealers more, but it has to change what a carpenter asks for at the counter, and discounting a product that is 1% of the job does little to change that.
Step 4Can revenue growth last?
Split growth into its parts first. Four 4% rises compound to 17% over three years, about 5.4% a year, and volumes add 8%, so revenue has grown about 13.8% a year. Volume growth can last as long as carpenters shift from loose, unbranded glue to branded products and new categories like waterproofing take hold; price-led growth cannot keep running above inflation without inviting the very entry the moat keeps out. A sound forecast keeps volume near 8% and fades price increases towards inflation.
Where candidates lose it
The common loss is reciting brand, distribution and market share as advantages without evidence. The interviewer wants the mechanism, who chooses and who pays, and the numbers that prove it holds.
The second is answering no barriers because capital requirements are low. Barriers are whatever stops a rival earning the same returns; here they are habit and shelf space, which are harder to buy than a factory.
What the interviewer asks next
- The paint company offers dealers 5 points more margin. What would you watch in Kavelin's numbers?
- How would you tell whether volume growth is coming from new users or from existing carpenters buying more?
- Kavelin wants to enter tile adhesives, bought by contractors on price. Does the moat travel?
Asked at Morningstar, Equity Research, Anonymous interview candidate in, 2023 (Wall Street Oasis): what are the areas of competitive advantage does this company have? Do they have any barriers to entry?
Company names and figures are illustrative.
