Case 073Credit and leveraged financeCore
Deepvik Textiles has Rs 600 crore of floating-rate debt and rates rise by 200 basis points. Walk through the effect on interest, net income, interest cover and free cash flow, then on its cost of capital and enterprise value.
1The situation
Deepvik Textiles, a yarn and fabric maker, has Rs 600 crore of bank debt, all floating, currently at 9%. EBITDA is Rs 150 crore, depreciation Rs 30 crore and capex also Rs 30 crore; working capital is stable and tax is 25%. Its loan agreement requires EBIT to cover interest at least 2.0 times.
The central bank raises rates and Deepvik's borrowing cost moves from 9% to 11%. Assume nothing else in the business changes. For the valuation, take Deepvik's cost of equity as 14% before the rise and 16% after, and its enterprise value today as 8x EBITDA.
2Your task
Trace the 200 basis points through the income statement, the interest cover covenant and free cash flow, and then through the cost of capital to enterprise and equity value.
Quick check
Interest rises by Rs 12 crore. By how much does net income fall?
Worked solution
Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.
30-second answerThe answer to give first
Interest rises from Rs 54 crore to Rs 66 crore, net income falls from Rs 49.5 crore to Rs 40.5 crore, -18.2%, and EBIT cover drops from 2.22x to 1.82x, under the 2.0x covenant. Free cash flow falls the same Rs 9 crore, to Rs 40.5 crore. On the valuation side the after-tax cost of debt rises to 8.25% and, with the cost of equity up too, WACC moves from 10.4% to 12.1%, cutting enterprise value by about 19% and equity by about 37%.
Step 1How does the rate rise move through the income statement?
A household with a floating-rate home loan feels a rate rise in the next EMI: the same salary, a bigger interest line, less left over. Deepvik is that household with a Rs 600 crore loan. Interest goes from 9% of Rs 600 crore, Rs 54 crore, to 11%, Rs 66 crore; the extra Rs 12 crore comes off profit before tax, saves Rs 3 crore of tax, and cuts net income by Rs 9 crore. Walk it: EBITDA Rs 150 crore less depreciation Rs 30 crore is EBIT Rs 120 crore. Before, interest of Rs 54 crore leaves Rs 66 crore, tax Rs 16.5 crore, net income Rs 49.5 crore. After, interest of Rs 66 crore leaves Rs 54 crore, tax Rs 13.5 crore, net income Rs 40.5 crore. The rate moved 22%; net income moved 18%, because interest already consumed most of EBIT.
The covenant is where this bites first. EBIT cover was Rs 120 crore over Rs 54 crore, 2.22x; it is now Rs 120 crore over Rs 66 crore, 1.82x, below the 2.0x the loan requires. Deepvik breaches its covenant at any rate above 10%, so a 200 basis point move takes it from compliant to in default without a rupee of operating performance changing. Free cash flow after capex follows net income because depreciation and capex cancel: Rs 49.5 crore before, Rs 40.5 crore after, and interest now absorbs 44% of EBITDA against 36%.
| Rs crore | At 9% | At 11% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 150 | 150 | |
| Depreciation | -30 | -30 | |
| EBIT | 120 | 120 | |
| Interest on 600 | -54 | -66 | -12 |
| Profit before tax | 66 | 54 | -12 |
| Tax at 25% | -16.5 | -13.5 | +3 |
| Net income | 49.5 | 40.5 | -9 (-18.2%) |
| EBIT / interest | 2.22x | 1.82x | covenant 2.0x |
| Free cash flow after capex | 49.5 | 40.5 | -9 |
Step 2How does the same rise reach the cost of capital and the valuation?
In a DCF, interest does not appear in the cash flow at all; unlevered free cash flow is EBIT after tax plus depreciation less capex, Rs 90 crore, the same before and after. The rate rise reaches the valuation through the discount rate: the after-tax cost of debt goes from 6.75% to 8.25%, and the cost of equity rises with the risk-free rate, here from 14% to 16%, so WACC at 50:50 weights moves from 10.38% to 12.12%. Treating Rs 90 crore as a perpetuity growing 3%, enterprise value goes from Rs 1,257 crore to Rs 1,016 crore, 19% lower. Debt is still Rs 600 crore, so equity takes the whole fall: Rs 657 crore to Rs 416 crore, 37%.
The two channels are different in kind and candidates mix them up. The statements channel is about Deepvik's own floating debt: a fixed-rate borrower would see no change in interest or cover. The valuation channel hits every company, fixed or floating, because the rate rise lifts the return investors demand. Had only the cost of debt moved and the cost of equity stayed at 14%, WACC would be 11.13% and enterprise value Rs 1,141 crore; most of the valuation damage comes from the equity side. The limit of the sketch is the perpetuity: a real model would also ask whether higher rates slow Deepvik's customers, which hits EBITDA itself.
Step 3What would you tell the company to do?
Two things, before the next rate decision. Fix the rate on part of the debt: a swap on Rs 600 crore at a cost of, say, 50 basis points would have capped interest at Rs 57 crore and kept cover at 2.11x. And open the covenant conversation with the lenders early, with a plan to reduce debt from free cash flow, because a breach discovered at the test date is negotiated from weakness. The lesson the interviewer is after is the chain itself: rate to interest to profit to cover to cash, then rate to discount rate to value, with the numbers at each step.
Where candidates lose it
The common miss is taking Rs 12 crore straight off net income. Interest is tax deductible, so the after-tax hit is Rs 9 crore; getting the shield right is the first thing the interviewer listens for.
The second is putting the higher interest into the DCF cash flow. Unlevered free cash flow excludes interest; the rate rise enters the valuation through the WACC, and double counting it in both places overstates the fall.
What the interviewer asks next
- Half the debt is swapped to fixed at 9%. Recompute interest, net income and cover after the 200 basis point rise.
- Deepvik's lenders waive the breach for a 50 basis point margin increase. What does that do to free cash flow?
- If higher rates also cut Deepvik's EBITDA by 10%, where does cover end up?
Asked at Mizuho, Generalist, New York, 2026 (Wall Street Oasis): walk through how a change in interest rates would impact a company
Company names and figures are illustrative.
