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070

Case 070Client portfolios and goal planningHard

Ritvik Sabharwal holds 70% of his Rs 2 crore net worth in his employer's listed shares, bought at an average Rs 180 against a market price of Rs 1,050. Plan a three-year diversification that balances tax on gains against concentration risk.

1The situation

Ritvik Sabharwal, 41, is a senior engineer at a listed manufacturing company. Over twelve years of stock options and purchases he has built up 13,333 shares at an average cost of Rs 180. At today's price of Rs 1,050 they are worth Rs 1.4 crore, 70% of his Rs 2 crore net worth. The rest is in his provident fund, a flat and some mutual funds.

He knows he is concentrated but hates the idea of paying tax on a gain of 83% of the value. He asks for a three-year plan. For the arithmetic assume long-term capital gains on listed shares are taxed at 12.5% above an annual exemption of Rs 1.25 lakh, ignore surcharge and cess, and hold the share price flat; confirm the current tax rules, and check his company's trading window rules, before acting.

2Your task

How much should he sell each year, what will the tax cost, and how much risk does each step remove?

Quick check

Does spreading the sales over three years save much tax compared with selling the same amount at once?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Sell Rs 50 lakh in year one, Rs 30 lakh in year two and Rs 20 lakh in year three, taking the holding from 70% to about 21% of net worth for about Rs 9.9 lakh of tax. Spreading the sales saves little tax, so front-load them to cut the risk early. The tax is a known cost; the loss if the shares halve falls from Rs 70 lakh to Rs 20 lakh, and that is the unknown cost the plan exists to shrink.

Step 1What is Ritvik actually exposed to?

A family that keeps all its savings in the shop that also pays every salary has one bad year standing between it and real trouble. Ritvik's wealth and his income depend on the same company, so a fall in the shares would likely arrive alongside a threat to his job. If the shares halved, he would lose Rs 70 lakh, 35% of his net worth, and a single company's shares can fall that far on one bad contract or governance event. That is concentration riskThe risk that comes from having a large share of wealth in one holding, so that one company’s bad news damages the whole portfolio., and it is the risk the plan exists to shrink.

Step 2How much tax does selling cost, and does spreading it help?

Every rupee sold is 82.9% gain, because his cost is Rs 180 against a price of Rs 1,050. Selling Rs 1 crore at once creates a gain of Rs 82.9 lakh and, at the assumed 12.5% above the Rs 1.25 lakh exemption, tax of about Rs 10.20 lakh. Spread over three years, the tax is about Rs 9.89 lakh. The saving from waiting is only two extra years of the exemption, about Rs 0.31 lakh, because the rate does not change with the size of the sale. So tax is not a reason to go slowly.

YearSold, Rs lakhGain, Rs lakhTax, Rs lakhShares left, Rs lakhShare of net worth
Today140.070%
150.041.435.0290.046.2%
230.024.862.9560.031.2%
320.016.571.9240.021.0%
Total100.082.869.8940.021.0%
Selling Rs 50, 30 and 20 lakh over three years costs about Rs 9.89 lakh of tax on assumed rates and takes Ritvik's employer shares from 70% to 21.0% of his net worth, with the share price held flat.
Step 3Why front-load the sales?

Because the tax is almost the same either way, while the risk falls faster. Selling in equal thirds of about Rs 33 lakh costs about Rs 9.89 lakh, the same as the front-loaded plan, but leaves more in the shares during years one and two. When waiting saves almost nothing, the plan should remove the most risk first. After year one, the loss if the shares halve drops from Rs 70 lakh to Rs 45 lakh; after year three it is Rs 20 lakh, about 11% of his net worth.

The concentrated holding shrinking, with the tax paid and the risk removed20%40%60%70%Rs 140 lakhTodaytax: noneif it halves: -70 lakh46%Rs 90 lakhEnd of year 1tax: Rs 5.02 lakhif it halves: -45 lakh31%Rs 60 lakhEnd of year 2tax: Rs 2.95 lakhif it halves: -30 lakh21%Rs 40 lakhEnd of year 3tax: Rs 1.92 lakhif it halves: -20 lakh
Selling Rs 50, 30 and 20 lakh over three years shrinks Ritvik's employer shares from 70% to 21% of his net worth, for about Rs 9.9 lakh of tax in total, while the loss he would suffer if the shares halved falls from Rs 70 lakh to Rs 20 lakh.
Step 4Why keep any of the shares at all?

Three reasons, and it is fair to tell him so. He knows the company, and some of his conviction may be well founded. Keeping 20% leaves him a stake in the upside he cares about. And a plan he will actually follow is worth more than a perfect plan he abandons after the first sale. The proceeds should go into diversified funds that hold little or none of his employer or its sector, so the diversification is real, and the sales must fall inside the company's open trading windows, or follow a pre-agreed trading plan if he is an insider; confirm the rules that apply to him.

A known cost against an unknown one, Rs lakhTax on the whole plan9.9known, paid over three yearsIf it halves, holding everything70.035% of net worthIf it halves, after the plan20.011% of net worth
The tax on the whole plan, about Rs 9.9 lakh, is small next to the Rs 70 lakh Ritvik would lose today if his employer's shares halved, and the plan cuts that possible loss to Rs 20 lakh.

Tax is a known cost; concentration risk is an unknown one, and the plan trades Rs 9.9 lakh of certain cost for a much smaller possible loss. If the shares rise in the meantime, the tax rises with the gain, but so does the amount at risk, which is an argument for keeping to the schedule rather than pausing. The tax rate, exemption and flat share price are assumptions; rerun the numbers on the rules in force and his actual sale prices.

Where candidates lose it

Candidates spread the sales evenly over three years, or longer, to save tax. With a flat rate above a small exemption, waiting saves almost nothing, and an even schedule leaves the client exposed to the largest risk for longest.

The other miss is ignoring that his salary depends on the same company. Concentration in an employer's shares is a double exposure, and that is what makes it urgent rather than a matter of taste.

What the interviewer asks next

  • The shares rise 30% before the first sale. Does the plan change?
  • Ritvik has Rs 6 lakh of capital losses on a mutual fund. How would you use them?
  • He wants to gift some shares to his parents instead of selling. What would you check first?
← Case 069Pranjal Asset Management markets its multi-asset fund as equity-like return with debt-like risk: 5-year return 11.2% a year, worst drawdown minus 9%. The portfolio shows 22% in unrated or thinly traded bonds priced by a model. Test the claim before a platform lists it.Case 071 →Shantam Mutual Fund's low volatility index fund backtested at 15.1% a year against 13.2% for the parent index, with lower volatility, but in three live years it lags by 1.8% a year and holds 38% in consumer staples. Is the factor broken, or is this what the strategy looks like?

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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