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023

Case 023Deal structuring and pricingCore

A share purchase agreement sets a working capital peg at the twelve-month average of Rs 120 crore. Closing working capital comes in at Rs 95 crore after a seasonal low. What price adjustment applies, and why might each side argue for a different peg?

1The situation

A fund is buying Anjaneya Auto Parts, which makes components for two-wheeler makers, for an enterprise value of Rs 900 crore on a cash-free, debt-free basis. The agreement sets a net working capital peg at the average of the last twelve month-ends, Rs 120 crore, and adjusts the price rupee for rupee for any difference at closing.

Working capital builds through the summer as the company stocks up for festival-season vehicle demand, peaks at Rs 142 crore in August, and runs down as customers pay in the new year. The deal closes on 31 March, when working capital is Rs 95 crore. Last March it was Rs 96 crore. The seller says the number is normal for March; the buyer's model assumed Rs 120 crore.

2Your task

Compute the adjustment under the agreement, show what alternative pegs would have produced, and explain which side each peg favours and why.

Quick check

Closing working capital is Rs 25 crore below the peg. Who pays whom?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Under the agreement the price falls by Rs 25 crore, the gap between Rs 95 crore at closing and the Rs 120 crore peg. A same-month peg, last March's Rs 96 crore, would have cut it by Rs 1 crore; a three-month average of Rs 102.7 crore by Rs 7.7 crore. The twelve-month peg favours the buyer because the business needs Rs 120 crore on average and Rs 142 crore by August; the seller argues a March closing is naturally low and the price should not punish the calendar. The peg exists to stop either side moving value through timing.

Step 1What is the peg for, and how does the adjustment work?

When you buy a running shop you expect the shelves stocked and the customers' dues on the books, at the level the shop normally runs. If the owner clears the shelves and collects every rupee the week before handing over, you have paid for a shop and received a room. The working capital pegThe normal level of net working capital agreed in the purchase agreement. The price moves rupee for rupee with the difference between closing working capital and this level. fixes that normal level, and the price moves with the difference: Rs 95 crore delivered against Rs 120 crore agreed is a Rs 25 crore reduction. On a cash-free, debt-free deal the seller keeps the cash, so a low working capital month means the seller has already turned Rs 25 crore of receivables into cash it is taking home; the adjustment is what makes that fair.

Working capital through the year against the flat peg, Rs crore100120140AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarPeg: 12-month average Rs 120 crorePeak 142 before the festival seasonClosing: 95price cut Rs 25 crore25Last March: 96The buyer must rebuild from 95 to 142 by August: Rs 47 crore of cash the business needs to run
Working capital swings from Rs 95 crore at the March closing to Rs 142 crore in August around a twelve-month average of Rs 120 crore, so the flat peg produces a Rs 25 crore price cut and leaves the buyer to fund the Rs 47 crore rebuild to the peak.
Step 2What would other pegs have produced?
Peg basisPeg, Rs croreClosingPrice adjustmentFavours
Twelve-month average, as agreed120.095-25.0Buyer
Three-month average, Jan to Mar102.795-7.7Seller, mostly
Same month last year96.095-1.0Seller
Peak month, August142.095-47.0Buyer, unreasonably
The same Rs 95 crore closing figure produces anything from a Rs 1 crore cut to a Rs 25 crore cut depending on the peg chosen, which is why the peg is negotiated as hard as the headline price.

The twelve-month average says the business needs Rs 120 crore to run through a typical year. The seller's seasonal pegs say March is always about Rs 96 crore and the buyer knew it. Both are internally consistent; the question is whether the enterprise value of Rs 900 crore was built on cash flows that assumed average working capital or March working capital. If the buyer's model used Rs 120 crore, the twelve-month peg matches the price and the seller should have negotiated a seasonal peg before signing, not after.

Step 3Why does the buyer have the better argument here?

Because of what happens after closing. The buyer takes the keys on 1 April and must fund working capital from Rs 95 crore up to Rs 142 crore by August, Rs 47 crore of cash the business consumes before the festival-season receivables are collected in the new year. A seasonal peg would hand the seller the cash from the run-down and hand the buyer the bill for the build-up; the twelve-month peg splits the cycle fairly because, averaged over a year, the business holds Rs 120 crore. The seller's fair counter is not a March peg but a smaller point: if the Rs 900 crore was itself set on March cash flows, the seller is being charged twice, once in the price and once in the adjustment, and the buyer should show its model. The limit of all of this is that a peg assumes last year's seasonality repeats; a buyer who expects to change payment terms or stock policy is buying a different cycle and should say so in the agreement.

Where candidates lose it

The common loss is reading a low closing number as good news for the buyer, who needs less capital. The buyer paid for a business with Rs 120 crore of working capital and must now rebuild Rs 47 crore of it by August; the price adjustment, not the low number, is what protects it.

The second miss is treating the peg as a formality. The choice between a twelve-month and a seasonal peg moves Rs 24 crore on a Rs 900 crore deal, and the time to argue it is before signing.

What the interviewer asks next

  • The seller offers to close on 31 August instead. How does that change both the adjustment and the buyer's funding need?
  • What if the buyer's diligence found the seller had stretched payables by 20 days in the final quarter?
  • How would you draft the peg for a business whose working capital is growing 15% a year?
← Case 022A gym chain has 4% monthly churn, a Rs 2,000 monthly fee, Rs 3,000 acquisition cost and 70% contribution. What is a member worth, and at what churn does growth start to destroy value?Case 024 →Timed modelling test: build a three-year debt schedule for a castings company with a term loan under a 75% cash sweep, a PIK note and a revolver, where year 1 capex spikes. Show when the revolver is drawn and when it is repaid.

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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