Case 050Screening and ranking businessesCore
In an hour, rank four businesses from best to worst investment using quick maths: growth, EBITDA margin, capex share, cyclicality and cash conversion are given, and one company's growth is 60% organic and 40% acquired.
1The situation
Four businesses, Rs crore. Working capital days are on revenue; a negative figure means customers pay in advance.
Kiranya Staffing, temporary staffing for factories and warehouses: revenue Rs 1,000 crore growing 12% a year, EBITDA margin 4%, capex 5% of EBITDA, working capital 60 days, cyclicality high: first cost cut in a slowdown.
Dhruvtara Software, hospital management software: revenue Rs 200 crore growing 25% a year, EBITDA margin 30%, capex 10% of EBITDA, working capital -73 days, cyclicality low: annual contracts, high renewal.
Sagarmani Shipping, dry bulk vessels on charter: revenue Rs 500 crore growing 5% a year, EBITDA margin 35%, capex 60% of EBITDA, working capital 10 days, cyclicality very high: charter rates swing EBITDA by half.
Vasudha Seeds, hybrid vegetable seeds: revenue Rs 400 crore growing 10% a year, EBITDA margin 20%, capex 15% of EBITDA, working capital 180 days, cyclicality medium: a weak monsoon cuts a season.
Of Dhruvtara's 25% growth, 60% is organic and 40% comes from buying smaller software firms, at about 3x revenue.
2Your task
Rank the four from best to worst investment, show the one calculation that drives the ranking, and say how Dhruvtara's acquired growth changes the picture.
Quick check
Sagarmani has the largest EBITDA, Rs 175 crore at a 35% margin. Where does it rank on cash?
Worked solution
Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.
30-second answerThe answer to give first
Dhruvtara Software, then Vasudha Seeds, Kiranya Staffing and Sagarmani Shipping. The one number is cash conversion: EBITDA less capex less the working capital growth needs, over EBITDA. Dhruvtara converts 107% because customers pay in advance, Vasudha 60%, Kiranya 46% and Sagarmani 40%. Dhruvtara's bought growth costs Rs 60 crore a year; organic growth of 15% still ranks it first.
Step 1What one number do you compute for each business?
With four businesses and an hour, argue from one cash number rather than five scores. Think of four shopkeepers who each earn the same profit: the one who must restock shelves on credit and wait months for payment has less money to spend than the one paid in advance. Cash conversion, EBITDA less capex less the working capital this year's growth ties up, divided by EBITDA, says how much of the profit a buyer can actually use to pay debt or return to investors. It folds margin, capex and working capital into one figure; cyclicality and growth quality then decide close calls.
| Business | EBITDA | Capex | Working capital for growth | Cash left | Conversion | Cyclicality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiranya Staffing | 40 | 2.0 | 19.7 | 18.3 | 46% | high |
| Dhruvtara Software | 60 | 6.0 | -10.0 | 64.0 | 107% | low |
| Sagarmani Shipping | 175 | 105.0 | 0.7 | 69.3 | 40% | very high |
| Vasudha Seeds | 80 | 12.0 | 19.7 | 48.3 | 60% | medium |
Step 2How do the four rank, and why?
Dhruvtara first: a 30% margin, low capex and Rs 10 crore of cash released each year by advance payments, so it converts 107% of EBITDA and its revenue is contracted. Vasudha second: 60% conversion, pricing power from proprietary hybrids, but 180 days of stock and dealer credit, and a weak monsoon can cost a season. Kiranya third: low capex but a 4% margin, and 60 days of receivables on fast growth absorb half of EBITDA; staffing is also the first cost a client cuts in a slowdown. Sagarmani last: the largest EBITDA, Rs 175 crore, but 60% goes back into vessels and charter rates can halve the rest.
Step 3How does Dhruvtara's acquired growth change the picture?
Split the growth before you credit it. Of 25% growth, 10 points are bought: Rs 20 crore of revenue a year at 3x revenue is Rs 60 crore of acquisition spend, which takes conversion from 107% to 7% once it is counted. Bought growth adds value only if the targets are bought for less than they are worth inside Dhruvtara and actually integrated; otherwise it is the fund's own cash recycled into revenue. Strip it out and Dhruvtara still grows 15% organically and converts 100%, so it stays first, but the interviewer will want to hear you price the acquisitions separately: what multiple, how much revenue retained a year later, and how much of the group's return came from them.
Close with what would change the ranking. If Vasudha's hybrids lost a patent or a seed variety failed in the field, its pricing power would go and Kiranya might pass it. If Sagarmani could lock its fleet into five-year charters, its cyclicality would fall and its cash would become bankable. The limit of a one-hour ranking is that it uses one year of numbers; a real screen would look at conversion across a full cycle, which would push Sagarmani further down and Vasudha slightly down for monsoon years.
Where candidates lose it
The usual loss is scoring each business on five criteria, adding the scores, and presenting a table with no argument. The interviewer asked for quick maths that backs a rationale; one cash number per business, then a sentence on risk, does that.
The second miss is crediting Dhruvtara's 25% growth in full. Ten points of it were bought, and the cash spent buying them belongs in the comparison.
What the interviewer asks next
- What price would make Sagarmani the best investment of the four?
- Kiranya's growth slows to 4%. What happens to its cash conversion?
- How would you test whether Dhruvtara's acquisitions created value?
Asked at Viking Global Investors, Private Equity, New York, 2025 (Wall Street Oasis): a case study that was ranking 4 businesses from best to worst investment, showing some quick math to back up rationale
Company names and figures are illustrative.
