Private Equity puzzles, solved step by step
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026A portfolio company has debt of 450, EBITDA of 100 and a maximum leverage covenant of 5.0x net debt to EBITDA. How far can EBITDA fall before the covenant is breached? EBITDA then drops to 85. How much debt must be repaid so that EBITDA could fall another 20% before breach?Private creditMid-market buyout fund
Try it first
Leverage is 4.5x against a 5.0x limit. How much can EBITDA fall before breach?
Show the worked solution
EBITDA can fall only 10%, from 100 to 90, before breach; after the drop to 85, about 110 of debt must be repaid. Breach comes at 450 divided by 5.0, which is 90. At 85 leverage is 5.29x, already in breach. For EBITDA to be able to fall 20% from 85, to 68, debt must be no more than 5.0 x 68 = 340. That is a repayment of 110.
Why measure headroom in EBITDA rather than in turns of leverage?
Think of a lift rated for 500 kg carrying 450 kg. The spare 50 kg sounds like a tenth of the rating, and it is: one more passenger and the alarm goes. A covenant works the same way, except that the load is fixed and the rating shrinks. Debt does not move between test dates, EBITDA does, so the only honest measure of headroom is how far EBITDA can fall before the ratio hits the limit. Here that point is 450 divided by 5.0, which is 90, a fall of 10% from today.
Half a turn of spare leverage, 4.5x against 5.0x, feels like comfort. It is not much. A business that misses budget by one bad quarter can lose 10% of its trailing EBITDA. The trailing twelve monthsThe covenant usually tests EBITDA over the last four quarters, so one weak quarter feeds straight into the ratio. test makes this worse, because a weak quarter enters the ratio in full and stays there for a year.
With debt of 450 and a 5.0x covenant, breach comes at EBITDA of 90, only 10% below today's 100, and at 85 the company is in breach at 5.29x. Debt has to fall to 340, a repayment of 110, before EBITDA can absorb another 20% fall. How do you size the repayment that restores a 20% cushion?
Define the cushion the same way you measured headroom: the share by which EBITDA could fall before breach. A 20% cushion on EBITDA of 85 means the covenant must still hold at 85 x 0.8 = 68, so debt can be at most 5.0 x 68 = 340. Debt is 450, so 110 has to be repaid. Leverage after the repayment is 340 / 85 = 4.0x.
The relationshipm the covenant maximum, 5.0x E current EBITDA, 85 c the cushion, a 20% fall EBITDA must survive D_max the most debt the business can carry with that cushion What it says in wordsThe debt a business can carry with a cushion is the covenant multiple times the EBITDA it must survive falling to.Say where the money comes from, because the interviewer will ask. A business that just lost 15% of its EBITDA rarely has 110 of spare cash, so this usually means an equity cureA sponsor injection of new equity, allowed by many loan agreements, used to repay debt or to count towards EBITDA for a covenant test. The terms vary by document., an asset sale, or a negotiated reset with lenders. Which of these the loan agreement allows is a question for the document, not for arithmetic.
Where candidates lose it
The common loss is reading headroom off the leverage numbers: half a turn spare out of 5.0, so 10% of the limit, or worse, the idea that half a turn is plenty. Candidates who never convert to an EBITDA fall miss how quickly a single bad quarter uses it up.
The second loss is an undefined cushion. Measured as EBITDA sitting 20% above the breach level, the answer is 354 of debt and a repayment of 96, not 110. Both are defensible; switching between them halfway is not. Say which definition you are using before you calculate.
What the interviewer asks next
- If the covenant steps down to 4.5x next year, how much EBITDA headroom is left today?
- Would you rather cure with equity used to repay debt, or with equity counted as EBITDA, and why does the lender care?
- What does a lender gain from setting covenants tight, and what does a sponsor give up by accepting them?
043An asset earns 9% a year unlevered and debt costs 12%. What is the return on equity at 0%, 40% and 70% debt funding? When does adding leverage lower the equity return?Large-cap buyout fundPrivate credit
Try it first
At 70% debt, roughly what does equity earn?
Show the worked solution
9%, 7% and 2%: here every turn of debt lowers the equity return, because debt costs more than the asset earns. On 100 of assets earning 9, debt of 40 costs 4.8 and leaves 4.2 on equity of 60, which is 7%. Debt of 70 costs 8.4 and leaves 0.6 on equity of 30, which is 2%. Leverage helps only when the asset earns more than the debt costs; when it earns less, leverage works in reverse.
How does leverage change the equity return?
Borrow at 12% to buy a flat that earns 9% in rent and you lose 3% a year on every borrowed rupee, and the more you borrow, the bigger the loss as a share of your own money. Equity keeps whatever the asset earns after the debt is paid, so each unit of debt adds the gap between the asset return and the debt cost, times the debt-to-equity ratio. With a 9% asset and 12% debt that gap is minus 3 points.
The relationshipr_A the unlevered asset return, 9% r_D the cost of debt, 12% D/E debt over equity, 70/30 at 70% debt What it says in wordsEquity earns the asset return plus the asset-debt gap, scaled up by how much debt sits on each unit of equity.With an asset earning 9%, debt at 12% drags the equity return down to 7% at 40% debt and 2% at 70%, while debt at 6% lifts it to 11% and 16%, because leverage magnifies whatever the gap between the two rates is. Why does a buyout investor worry about this?
A business bought at a high multiple has a low unlevered return: at 12x EBITDA, pre-tax cash yield on the purchase price is in single digits. If borrowing costs rise above that yield, the leverage that used to lift returns now pulls them down, and the deal depends entirely on growth and multiple expansion. This is called negative leverage, and it is why higher rates squeeze what sponsors can pay.
Debt share Equity return, debt at 12% Equity return, debt at 6% 0% 9% 9% 40% 7% 11% 70% 2% 16% The same three capital structures give falling returns when debt costs more than the asset earns and rising returns when it costs less. Say the limitations. The sums ignore tax: interest is usually deductible, which lowers the after-tax cost of debt and moves the break-even. And they treat the asset return as fixed. A growing business can out-earn expensive debt later even if it does not today, which is the bet some sponsors knowingly make.
Where candidates lose it
The common loss is the reflex that leverage always increases equity returns. It magnifies the spread, and when the spread is negative it magnifies losses of return. Interviewers ask this exactly to catch that reflex.
The second loss is working in percentages of the asset instead of the equity. Compute earnings, subtract interest, and divide by the equity cheque: 0.6 on 30 is 2%, not 0.6%.
What the interviewer asks next
- At what cost of debt does leverage stop mattering for this asset?
- How does the interest tax shield change the 70% debt answer at a 25% tax rate?
- If the asset return grows 1 point a year, how long before 70% debt at 12% starts to help?
066Two companies each have EBITDA of 100 and trade at 8x. One carries debt of 2x EBITDA, the other 6x. EBITDA falls 25% and the multiple stays at 8x. By how much does the equity value fall in each?Large-cap buyout fundMid-market buyout fund
Try it first
The business value falls 25% in both. What happens to the equity?
Show the worked solution
Company A's equity falls 33%; Company B's is wiped out. Both businesses fall from 800 to 600 of enterprise value, a loss of 200. The debt does not fall with them, so the loss lands entirely on the equity. A had 600 of equity and keeps 400. B had only 200 and keeps nothing: its lenders are now owed exactly what the business is worth.
Why does the equity take the whole fall?
Picture two people who each own a Rs 80 lakh flat. One owes Rs 20 lakh on it, the other Rs 60 lakh. If flat prices drop by Rs 20 lakh, both still owe the bank the same amount, so the first owner's stake falls from 60 to 40 and the second's from 20 to nothing. Debt is a fixed claim, so any change in the value of the business falls first and entirely on the equity. The more debt, the thinner the equity cushion that absorbs it.
Both companies lose 200 of enterprise value when EBITDA falls 25% at 8x; with debt of 200, Company A's equity drops from 600 to 400, 33%, while with debt of 600, Company B's equity drops from 200 to zero. The relationship%Delta EV the fall in enterprise value, 25% EV/E enterprise value over equity, the leverage multiplier E equity value before the fall What it says in wordsThe equity's percentage fall is the business's percentage fall multiplied by how many times larger the business is than the equity.What does a buyout investor take from this?
Leverage works in both directions with the same multiplier. At 6x debt on 8x value, the equity is a quarter of the business, so every 1% move in enterprise value is a 4% move in the equity. That is what makes high leverage attractive on the way up and fatal on the way down. The limit worth saying: in practice B's equity rarely goes straight to zero on paper. It may keep some option value while the debt has years to run, and the lenders would usually step in through a restructuring before the equity holders lost control.
Where candidates lose it
The fast wrong answer is 25% for both, carrying the business's fall straight across to the equity. It ignores that the debt holds its value while the business shrinks.
The second slip is on Company B: saying 75% by scaling the 25% by three. Work in money, not percentages: 200 lost against 200 of equity is everything.
What the interviewer asks next
- How far can EBITDA fall before Company A's equity is wiped out?
- If EBITDA rises 25% instead, what are the two equity gains?
- Why might B's equity still trade above zero after the fall?
096A buyout is financed with senior debt of 4x EBITDA at 8% and mezzanine of 1.5x at 13%. What is the blended cost of debt? If the lender's floor is 2.0x interest cover, how much all-senior debt at 8% could EBITDA of 100 carry?Private credit
Try it first
What is the blended cost of the 5.5x of debt?
Show the worked solution
The blended cost is about 9.36%, and all-senior debt at 8% could reach 625, 6.25x, at 2.0x cover. Interest is 32 on the senior and 19.5 on the mezzanine, 51.5 on 550 of debt. A 2.0x floor on EBITDA of 100 allows 50 of interest, which buys 625 at 8%. The planned 5.5x mix costs 51.5, cover of 1.94x, just under the floor.
Why is the blended rate not the average of 8% and 13%?
If you borrow Rs 4 lakh from a bank at 8% and Rs 1.5 lakh from a relative at 13%, your average cost is pulled towards 8% because most of the money is cheap. A blended cost of debt is a size-weighted average: total interest divided by total debt. Here that is 51.5 divided by 550, about 9.36%, well below the simple average of 10.5%.
Drawn with width equal to size and height equal to rate, the 400 of senior debt at 8% and 150 of mezzanine at 13% cost 51.5 of interest, a blended 9.36%; at a 2.0x cover floor EBITDA of 100 carries 625 of all-senior debt but only about 534 at the blended rate, so the 5.5x mix sits just over the limit. The relationship400, 150 senior and mezzanine debt 51.5 total interest 100 / 2.0 the most interest a 2.0x cover floor allows What it says in wordsBlend the rates by size; then divide the interest the cover floor allows by the rate to find how much debt it supports.Why does cover limit the debt before the leverage multiple does?
A lender's cover test caps interest, not turns of debt. The cheaper the debt, the more of it fits under the same interest ceiling, so 8% senior debt supports 6.25x while debt at the blended 9.36% supports only about 5.34x. That is the surprise in this question: replacing the mezzanine with more senior debt would let the sponsor borrow more, not less, if a senior lender would go that far. In practice senior lenders also cap leverage directly, which is why mezzanine exists at all.
Close with the practical point. The planned structure fails a 2.0x floor by a whisker, 1.94x. A credit interviewer wants you to notice that and suggest a fix: trim the mezzanine to about 1.4x, or negotiate the cover test on a measure that adds back something, and say which you would try first.
Where candidates lose it
The common slip is averaging the two rates, 10.5%, which overweights the small expensive tranche. Weight by size every time.
The second is assuming more debt always means more interest cover pressure in the same proportion. Cover depends on the rate as well as the amount, so a cheaper tranche changes the capacity even at the same leverage.
What the interviewer asks next
- How much mezzanine can stay in if senior is fixed at 4x and cover must be 2.0x?
- Rates rise by 2 points on the senior debt only. What is cover now?
- Why would a sponsor accept 13% mezzanine at all if senior debt is cheaper?
