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044

Case 044Rebalancing and driftHard

A family with Rs 60 crore has a 15% cap on illiquid assets. Private fund values rise 20% while listed equity falls 25%, pushing the illiquid share to about 22%. What must happen, and what must not?

1The situation

The Kelkar-Vaid family office manages Rs 60 crore. Its policy caps illiquid assets, mainly private equity and venture funds, at 15% of the portfolio. At the start of the year the mix was 14% private funds, Rs 8.4 crore; 65% listed equity, Rs 39 crore; and 21% debt, Rs 12.6 crore. The family has Rs 6 crore of undrawn commitments to existing funds.

Over the year the private funds report values up 20%, listed equity falls 25%, and the funds call Rs 1.5 crore of the undrawn commitments, paid from the debt holdings. The family made no new commitments. The monthly report now shows illiquid assets at 22.3% against the 15% cap.

2Your task

Explain how the cap was breached without a new commitment. Say what the family office must do now, and what it must not do, with numbers.

Quick check

Which single move pushed the illiquid share furthest?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

The cap was breached by the denominator effect, not by new buying: private values rose, listed equity fell and old commitments were drawn. The family office must record the breach, freeze new commitments, confirm debt covers the Rs 4.5 crore still undrawn plus spending, and test the private marks. It must not sell fund stakes at a discount to force the ratio back: curing to 15% that way would cost about Rs 0.95 crore.

Step 1How does a share rise when nothing was bought?

A slice of cake gets to be a bigger share of what is left when someone eats the rest of the cake. A percentage has two parts, and the illiquid share rose through the denominator effectA holding rising as a share of the portfolio because the rest of the portfolio has fallen, even though the holding itself has not been added to.: its own value went up while everything else fell, then calls moved more money into it. The listed fall did the most work, and it happened in the part of the portfolio that is marked to market every day, while private fund values are updated slowly.

Same commitments, a smaller whole: the private slice crosses the capBefore: Rs 60.0 crorePrivate fundsRs 8.4 cr, 14.0%Listed equityRs 39.0 cr, 65.0%DebtRs 12.6 cr, 21.0%15%After: Rs 51.9 crorePrivate fundsRs 11.6 cr, 22.3%Listed equityRs 29.2 cr, 56.3%DebtRs 11.1 cr, 21.4%15%
Before, private funds were Rs 8.4 crore of Rs 60 crore, 14%; after the mark-up, the listed fall and Rs 1.5 crore of calls, they are Rs 11.6 crore of Rs 51.9 crore, 22.3%, above the 15% cap without a single new commitment.
Step 2Which move did how much?

Take them in order and watch the share. The 20% mark-up takes it from 14.0% to 16.3%; the 25% listed fall takes it to 19.4%, through the cap; and the Rs 1.5 crore of calls, paid from debt, takes it to 22.3%. The order changes the step sizes a little but not the total. Notice, too, that the private marks may be stale: funds valued quarterly and with a lag often have not yet reflected the fall that hit listed prices.

How 14% became 22%: three pushes, none of them a new commitment14.0%Start14% of Rs 60 cr+2.3 to 16.3%Private marks +20%numerator grows+3.1 to 19.4%Listed equity -25%denominator shrinks+2.9 to 22.3%Capital calls Rs 1.5 crold commitments drawn15% cap
The illiquid share moves from 14.0% to 16.3% on the private mark-up, to 19.4% on the listed equity fall and to 22.3% on the capital calls, crossing the 15% cap at the second step.
Step 3What must happen now?

Four things, none of them a fire sale. Record the breach and its cause for the family, stop all new private commitments until the share is back under the cap, check that debt of Rs 11.1 crore covers the Rs 4.5 crore still undrawn plus a year or two of spending, and ask each fund for the basis of its latest marks. Then fix the policy itself: a cap written as a hard line should have a tolerance band and a cure period, for example a return to 15% within 24 months through distributions and growth, not forced sales.

Step 4What must not happen, and why?

Selling fund stakes to a secondary buyer would cure the ratio on paper. To reach 15% the family would sell about Rs 3.79 crore of fund value, and at an illustrative 25% discount it would crystallise a loss of about Rs 0.95 crore to fix a number. The second thing to avoid is the reflex rebalance: listed equity is now 56.3% against a 65% target, but topping it up from debt would drain the cash the capital calls need. Rebalance only from money above the call reserve.

Where candidates lose it

Candidates treat the cap like a trading limit and sell private stakes to get back under it. That turns a paper breach into a real loss, sold at a discount at the worst moment, which is the one action the interviewer is waiting to see avoided.

The second miss is ignoring the undrawn commitments. The breach matters mostly because Rs 4.5 crore more will be called; a candidate who checks liquidity against those calls has understood the real risk.

What the interviewer asks next

  • The private funds then mark down 20% next quarter. What happens to the share, and was the breach real?
  • How would you rewrite the cap so this does not trigger a crisis next time?
  • Should the family keep committing a steady amount each year through the cycle?
← Case 043A couple hold Rs 12 crore jointly; he scores 8 out of 10 on risk and she scores 3. Design one household policy with ranges both can sign, and show what each sees in a 25% equity fall.Case 045 →A client sells a property with a Rs 3 crore long-term gain. Compare buying another house, buying specified exemption bonds with a lock-in, and paying the tax and investing freely, on after-tax wealth over five years.

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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