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053

Case 053Lump-sum allocationCore

Two doctors, both 38, place Rs 8 crore from selling their clinic and ask how you would invest it. They own their house, have children aged 6 and 9, spend Rs 6 lakh a month and earn Rs 1.2 crore a year. Build the sleeves in rupees and defend each.

Northern TrustLake Forest · 2022

1The situation

Dr Nivedita and Dr Arjun Menezkar, both 38, have sold their clinic and placed Rs 8 crore with you. They now work as consultants at a hospital and earn Rs 1.2 crore a year between them, which after tax comfortably covers spending of Rs 6 lakh a month. They own their house outright and have no loans. Their children are 9 and 6.

They want each child's undergraduate degree funded; a degree costs about Rs 50 lakh in today's money. Assume education costs rise 8% a year and the education money earns 9%. Everything else is for the long run: they have no other goal before retirement in about twenty years.

2Your task

How much goes into each sleeve, in rupees, and why that much?

Quick check

Roughly how much must be set aside today for the two degrees?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Rs 72 lakh as a one-year reserve, about Rs 91 lakh for the two degrees, and the remaining Rs 637 lakh for long-term growth. The reserve covers twelve months of spending. The education money is what grows into Rs 100 lakh and Rs 126 lakh by the time each child turns 18. The growth sleeve is 75% equity because salary covers their spending, so they can wait out a fall.

Step 1Why start with goals rather than asset classes?

A family that keeps the school-fee money in a separate envelope from the holiday money is doing goal-based allocation without the jargon. Each rupee gets a job first, and the job decides how much risk that rupee can take. Money needed in nine years for a degree cannot fall 40% the year before it is due; money not needed for twenty years can. Allocating by asset class first hides that difference inside one blended number.

Step 2How big should each bucket be?

The reserve is twelve months of spending, Rs 72 lakh, in liquid funds and deposits. Twelve months rather than six, because both incomes come from one employer and a new consulting arrangement is less certain than a long-held job. For education, grow each Rs 50 lakh degree at 8% to the year it is paid: Rs 100.0 lakh in nine years for the elder, Rs 125.9 lakh in twelve for the younger. Discount each back at 9% and you need Rs 46.0 lakh plus Rs 44.8 lakh today, Rs 90.8 lakh in all.

Rs 8 crore, split by goal first and asset class second (Rs lakh)Reserve72Education91Long-term growth637Reserve: 12 monthsSpending Rs 6 lakh x 1272Liquid funds, deposits100%Covers a gap in incomeEducation: two degreesElder, 9 yrs: FV 10046.0Younger, 12 yrs: FV 12644.850% equity, 50% debtLong-term growthEquity 75%478Debt 20%127Gold 5%32Rolled up: Equity 65% | Debt 22% | Gold 4% | Liquid and deposits 9%
The Menezkars' Rs 8 crore is split into a Rs 72 lakh reserve, Rs 91 lakh for two degrees and Rs 637 lakh for long-term growth, which rolls up to about 65% equity, 22% debt, 4% gold and 9% liquid.
Step 3Why is the growth sleeve three quarters equity?

Separate how much risk they can bear from how much they want. Their risk capacityHow large a loss a client can absorb without changing their life or plans, set by income, horizon and obligations rather than by feelings. is high: salary pays the bills, there are no loans, and the growth money has a twenty-year horizon. Willingness still has to be tested: ask how they would feel seeing Rs 167 lakh vanish in a bad year, which is a 35% fall on the Rs 478 lakh of equity. If that answer is shaky, the sleeve moves to 60% equity and the plan still works, just with a lower expected result.

SleeveRs lakhEquityDebtGoldLiquid
Reserve7272
Education90.845.445.4
Long-term growth637.2477.9127.431.9
Total800.0523.3172.831.972.0
Rolled up, the goal buckets give Rs 523 lakh of equity, Rs 173 lakh of debt, Rs 32 lakh of gold and Rs 72 lakh of liquid money, so the asset mix falls out of the goals rather than being chosen first.

Two details make the answer sound like practice rather than theory. Stage the equity in over six to twelve months, because a lump sum invested on one day carries the risk of that one day's price. And move the elder child's education money towards debt as the degree approaches, so a market fall in year eight cannot shrink the fee. The limit: the 9% and 8% are assumptions; if education costs rise faster, say 10%, the education sleeve needs more, and the review each year is where that is caught.

Where candidates lose it

The common miss is jumping straight to a percentage split, 60/30/10, without sizing a single goal. The interviewer asked for rupees precisely to see whether you can work out that the education need is about Rs 91 lakh and the reserve Rs 72 lakh.

The second is using today's Rs 50 lakh as the education need. The cost in nine and twelve years is Rs 100 lakh and Rs 126 lakh; what you set aside today depends on both the inflation and the return.

What the interviewer asks next

  • They want a second home in five years costing Rs 2 crore today. Which bucket funds it, and what changes?
  • How would you invest the education sleeve differently for the elder and the younger child?
  • What would make you cut the equity share of the growth sleeve?

Asked at Northern Trust, Wealth Management, Lake Forest, 2022 (Wall Street Oasis): If you had 1 Million dollars placed on in your account, tell me how you would invest it.

← Case 052Two wealth desks merge: Rs 1,200 crore of assets earning 0.9% and Rs 800 crore earning 0.7%. If 20% of the smaller desk's clients leave, what is the combined revenue, and what was each lost client worth?Case 054 →A family wants to fund a degree abroad that costs Rs 40 lakh today for a child now 5, needed in 13 years, with education costs rising 8% a year. They hold Rs 15 lakh and expect 10% a year. What monthly SIP closes the gap?

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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