Quant interview preparation
Prop market making and quantitative research, weighted the way the interviews actually are: probability and expected value, statistics and machine learning, market making logic, programming and options. Every question is either traced to a named firm from a public candidate report, or tagged at desk level when we could not trace it, and every probability answer shows the reasoning path rather than just the number.
100 questions, mapped to the firms that asked them
- Questions
- 100
- Traced to a firm
- 53
- Firms
- 15
- Updated
- September 2026
014Here is a game. What is the expected value of winning under three different strategies, and which one would you choose?Jane StreetTrading · London · 2025OptiverGeneralist · Chicago · 2025
Say this
Set up the state and the decision rule before you compute anything, price each strategy with a clean conditional expectation, then choose on expected value first and on variance and ruin risk second. Say the comparison out loud as you go so the interviewer can follow your bookkeeping.
Then walk it
- Step one, define the state precisely: what you know when you decide, and what the payoff function is. Most errors in these problems are specification errors, not arithmetic.
- Step two, price each strategy by conditioning on the first move. E of payoff equals the sum over first outcomes of probability times conditional value. If the game is repeated or recursive, write V in terms of V and solve the fixed point.
- Step three, do the arithmetic in fractions, not decimals. Fractions let the interviewer audit you and they do not accumulate error.
- Step four, choose. If one strategy dominates on expected value, say so and stop. If they are close, break the tie on the second moment: I would take the lower-variance strategy at the same expected value, and I would pay a small amount of expected value to avoid a path that can lose more than my stake.
- Then state the assumption you are relying on, unprompted: whether you may stop adaptively, whether the game is repeated, and whether the payoff is linear in money. Those three change the answer more than the arithmetic does.
Where candidates lose it
Diving into arithmetic before defining the state, and then losing track of which branch you are on. The other failure is picking the highest expected value without a word about variance. A trading floor cares about the distribution of outcomes, so say which strategy you would actually run with real money and why.
Expect next
- Now suppose you can play the game a hundred times. Does your choice change?
- What if the payoff were doubled but the probability halved?
- What is the variance of your preferred strategy?
Reported by candidates at Jane Street (Trading, London, 2025); Optiver (Generalist, Chicago, 2025). Source: Wall Street Oasis.
040Here is a dataset. Analyse it using probability metrics and tell me what you find.Jane StreetCredit Risk · London · 2025
Say this
I would spend the first third of the time on the data itself before any modelling: shape, missingness, duplicates, timestamps, and the univariate distributions. Then state a hypothesis, test it, and report the effect size with an honest uncertainty. Narrate every step, because the interviewer is grading the process, not the punchline.
Then walk it
- Start with the boring checks, out loud. Row count, date range, obvious duplicates, missing values and whether they are missing at random, and whether any column is a leak of the outcome. Most real findings in interviews of this kind are data artefacts.
- Then univariates: mean, median, standard deviation, skew, kurtosis, and the tails. Plot histograms and the empirical CDF. If a column is heavy-tailed or bimodal, say so, because it changes every subsequent choice.
- Then the relationship you were asked about. Give a point estimate plus a confidence interval, and prefer a plot to a coefficient. If the data are time-ordered, check for autocorrelation and regime change before quoting any p-value, because serial dependence inflates significance badly.
- Then the discipline: state your null, say what result would change your mind, and count how many hypotheses you have looked at. If you tested twenty things, say so and adjust.
- Close with what the data cannot tell you. A credit dataset with survivors only cannot tell you about defaults. Ending on the limitation is what separates an analyst from someone producing numbers, and in a live exercise it is the cheapest way to sound senior.
Where candidates lose it
Going straight to a model. Almost every candidate opens a regression and never looks at a histogram, then reports a spurious result driven by three outliers or a broken timestamp. Talk through the data integrity checks first, and say your uncertainty on every number you quote.
Expect next
- What would you check before trusting that correlation?
- How many hypotheses did you test, and how does that change your p-value?
- What would you want that is not in this dataset?
Reported by candidates at Jane Street (Credit Risk, London, 2025). Source: Wall Street Oasis.
Firm tags come from public, anonymous candidate reports on Wall Street Oasis: strong signal, not sworn testimony. Firms are named as the places a question was reported, not as partners of Fin Maverick. Answers are written for this page to show how to think out loud; they are not scripts to recite.

