Quant interview preparation
Prop market making and quantitative research, weighted the way the interviews actually are: probability and expected value, statistics and machine learning, market making logic, programming and options. Every question is either traced to a named firm from a public candidate report, or tagged at desk level when we could not trace it, and every probability answer shows the reasoning path rather than just the number.
100 questions, mapped to the firms that asked them
- Questions
- 100
- Traced to a firm
- 53
- Firms
- 15
- Updated
- September 2026
006You want to draw a black card followed by a red card. One deck is a full 52-card deck, another has had some cards removed. Which deck do you choose and why?Old Mission CapitalQuantitative Research · New York · 2014
Say this
Write the probability down before you pick. For a deck with b blacks and r reds, drawing black then red is b/(b+r) times r/(b+r-1). Then just compare the candidate decks on that expression, and you will find you want the deck that is as balanced as possible and as small as possible.
Then walk it
- Full deck: 26/52 times 25/51, which is 0.5 times 0.490, about 24.5 percent.
- Now try a tiny balanced deck, one black and one red. That is 1/2 times 1/1, which is 50 percent. Far better.
- So the direction is clear. Removing cards helps if it keeps the deck balanced, because the second draw's conditional probability improves once the black card you removed is a bigger fraction of a smaller deck.
- Unbalancing hurts. A deck of 26 blacks and 1 red gives 26/27 times 1/26, which is 1/27, about 3.7 percent. Almost all your probability mass dies on the second draw.
- So: balanced beats unbalanced, small beats large, and the extreme is one black plus one red at fifty percent. Say the formula first, then test the corners. That is faster and less error-prone than trying to reason about it verbally.
Where candidates lose it
Reasoning in words about whether removing cards helps or hurts, and getting tangled. Write b/(b+r) times r/(b+r-1) immediately, then plug in three corner cases. Also do not forget the minus one in the denominator, because sampling without replacement is the entire content of the question.
Expect next
- What deck maximises the probability of black then red then black?
- What if you wanted two cards of the same colour instead?
- Now make me a market on the probability for the standard deck.
Reported by candidates at Old Mission Capital (Quantitative Research, New York, 2014). Source: Wall Street Oasis.
007What is the probability of being dealt four of a kind in a five-card poker hand?Old Mission CapitalQuantitative Research · New York · 2014
Say this
624 hands out of 2,598,960, which is about 0.024 percent, or one in roughly 4,165. Thirteen choices of rank for the quad, times 48 remaining cards for the fifth card.
Then walk it
- Denominator: 52 choose 5 is 2,598,960. Worth memorising, it comes up constantly.
- Numerator: pick the rank of the four of a kind, 13 ways. All four suits are forced. Then the fifth card is any of the 48 cards left, so 13 times 48 is 624.
- 624 over 2,598,960 simplifies to 1 over 4,165. Call it one in four thousand.
- The counting discipline that matters: the kicker is 48, not 12. If you write 13 times 12 you are counting ranks not cards, and you would be off by a factor of four.
- Quick cross-check against a fact you might already know: a full house is 3,744 hands and a straight flush is 40. Four of a kind sitting between them at 624 is consistent with the standard hand ranking, which is ordered by exactly this rarity.
Where candidates lose it
Double counting, or using 12 instead of 48 for the fifth card. The other classic error is dividing by 5 factorial somewhere by accident. Use combinations consistently in both numerator and denominator, and state the denominator before you start so the interviewer can follow.
Expect next
- Now do a full house.
- What is the probability of a flush, excluding straight flushes?
- How would that change in a seven-card game like Texas hold'em?
Reported by candidates at Old Mission Capital (Quantitative Research, New York, 2014). Source: Wall Street Oasis.
017Five pirates must split a hundred gold coins. The most senior proposes a split, everyone votes, and if at least half agree it passes, otherwise he is thrown overboard and the next most senior proposes. How should the senior pirate split the coins to survive and maximise his take?Old Mission CapitalProp Trading · New York · 2014
Say this
98 for himself, 0 to the second, 1 to the third, 0 to the fourth, 1 to the fifth. Solve it by backward induction from two pirates, because each pirate's vote depends only on what they would get if the current proposer dies.
Then walk it
- Two pirates left: the senior of the two takes 100, votes for himself, and half of two is one vote, so it passes. Pirate 4 gets 100 and pirate 5 gets 0.
- Three left: pirate 3 needs one more vote. Pirate 5 gets nothing in the two-pirate world, so 1 coin buys him. Split is 99, 0, 1.
- Four left: pirate 2 needs one more vote out of four. He buys pirate 4, who gets 0 in the three-pirate world, for 1 coin. Split is 99, 0, 1, 0.
- Five left: pirate 1 needs two more votes. The pirates who get 0 under pirate 2's plan are 3 and 5, so he buys both for 1 coin each. That gives 98, 0, 1, 0, 1.
- The whole method is: work out what each pirate gets if the proposal fails, then pay each cheap vote exactly one coin more than that. The assumptions matter and you should state them: pirates are perfectly rational, prefer gold, prefer to live, and prefer fewer rivals if otherwise indifferent.
Where candidates lose it
Trying to reason forwards from five pirates, which is impossible. State that you are doing backward induction and start from the base case of two. The second trap is the tie rule. Half of an even number counts as passing here, and if you assume a strict majority the whole answer shifts, so say your reading of the rule out loud before you solve.
Expect next
- What happens with two hundred pirates and a hundred coins?
- How does the answer change if a tie means the proposer dies?
- What if pirates value killing above one extra coin?
Reported by candidates at Old Mission Capital (Prop Trading, New York, 2014). Source: Wall Street Oasis.
Firm tags come from public, anonymous candidate reports on Wall Street Oasis: strong signal, not sworn testimony. Firms are named as the places a question was reported, not as partners of Fin Maverick. Answers are written for this page to show how to think out loud; they are not scripts to recite.

