Quant interview preparation
Prop market making and quantitative research, weighted the way the interviews actually are: probability and expected value, statistics and machine learning, market making logic, programming and options. Every question is either traced to a named firm from a public candidate report, or tagged at desk level when we could not trace it, and every probability answer shows the reasoning path rather than just the number.
100 questions, mapped to the firms that asked them
- Questions
- 100
- Traced to a firm
- 53
- Firms
- 15
- Updated
- September 2026
019I owe you pi dollars, and we can only exchange whole cents. How do you settle the debt fairly?Millennium ManagementQuantitative Research · Hong Kong · 2025
Say this
Randomise the last cent. Pi is 3.14159 and change, so pay 3.14 with probability 1 minus 0.159 and 3.15 with probability 0.159. The expected payment is exactly pi, so the settlement is unbiased even though every individual payment is wrong.
Then walk it
- The general rule: to pay an amount x on a grid, pay floor(x) with probability 1 minus the fractional part and floor(x) plus one tick with probability equal to the fractional part.
- Check it: 3.14 times 0.841 plus 3.15 times 0.159 equals 3.141590 to six places. Unbiased by construction.
- How do you generate the 0.159? Flip a fair coin repeatedly and read off binary digits until the number you have built is decisively above or below 0.159. That terminates with probability one and needs about two flips on average.
- This is called randomised rounding and it is not a party trick. It is exactly how you settle fractional share allocations, how you break ties in sub-penny pricing, and how stochastic rounding keeps low-precision numerics from accumulating drift.
- The limitation, said before they ask: unbiasedness buys you a variance of about a quarter of a cent squared per payment. If we settle once, I have injected noise to remove bias. If we settle a thousand times, the bias from always rounding down would be 1.59 dollars while the randomised total is within a few cents of correct. So the method pays off under repetition, not on a single trade.
Where candidates lose it
Answering just round to 3.14, which is the boring answer and is systematically biased against one party. Also do not overreach into give me an IOU, which dodges the question. The interviewer wants unbiased-in-expectation, and wants to hear you construct the random bit from fair coins.
Expect next
- How many fair coin flips do you need to generate that probability?
- What is the variance of your payment?
- Where does randomised rounding matter in a real trading system?
Reported by candidates at Millennium Management (Quantitative Research, Hong Kong, 2025). Source: Wall Street Oasis.
024I have two children and at least one is a boy. What is the probability both are boys?Prop trading firmsQuant trading
Say this
One third, if the information came from a statement about the pair. The sample space is BB, BG, GB, GG, the condition kills GG, and one of the three survivors is BB. But the answer becomes a half if you learned it by meeting one specific child.
Then walk it
- Equally likely and independent births give four ordered outcomes, each one quarter. Conditioning on at least one boy leaves three, of which one is BB. So one third.
- Now the version that makes it a real question. Suppose instead I introduce you to my elder child and he is a boy. Now you have conditioned on the elder being a boy, which leaves BB and BG, so the answer is one half.
- Same words in English, different conditioning event, different answer. The phrase at least one is a boy is a statement about the pair; this is my son is a statement about a position.
- The famous extension is the Tuesday boy: at least one is a boy born on a Tuesday. Now the answer is 13/27, because the extra detail changes how many pairs satisfy the condition and it breaks the symmetry between the two children.
- What I would actually say in an interview: the answer is one third under the standard reading, and then immediately name the ambiguity, because the entire point of the question is whether you notice that the conditioning event is underspecified.
Where candidates lose it
Answering one half on instinct, or answering one third and stopping. Both are half answers. Give one third with the sample space, then say precisely which conditioning event gives a half, because a quant interviewer is testing whether you can spot an ill-posed conditioning statement, which is a daily hazard in real data work.
Expect next
- Now: at least one is a boy born on a Tuesday.
- What if I tell you my eldest is a boy?
- How does this relate to survivorship bias in a dataset?
031Break a stick at two uniformly random points. What is the probability the three pieces form a triangle?Prop trading firmsQuant trading
Say this
One quarter. Let the cuts be x and y on a stick of length one. The triangle condition is that no piece exceeds one half, and that region is a quarter of the unit square.
Then walk it
- The triangle inequality for three pieces summing to 1 reduces to a single condition: every piece must be strictly less than 1/2. If any piece is at least a half it is at least as long as the other two together.
- Draw the unit square in x and y. Take x less than y without loss of generality, which is the lower triangle of area 1/2. The three pieces are x, y minus x, and 1 minus y.
- The three conditions x less than 1/2, y minus x less than 1/2, and 1 minus y less than 1/2 carve out the middle triangle with vertices at (0, 1/2), (1/2, 1/2) and (1/2, 1). That has area 1/8.
- Double it for the other ordering and divide by the total area 1, giving 1/4.
- Different setup, different answer, and this is the part worth saying: if instead you break the stick once and then break the longer piece, the probability drops to 2 ln 2 minus 1, about 0.386. The phrase break at two random points must mean both cuts on the original stick, and you should confirm that reading before you compute.
Where candidates lose it
Not reducing the three triangle inequalities to the single condition no piece over a half. Candidates who try to handle three inequalities geometrically in one pass usually get 1/2 or 1/8. Also state the sampling scheme, because the sequential-break version has a completely different answer and interviewers use the ambiguity deliberately.
Expect next
- Now break the stick once and then break the longer piece.
- What is the expected length of the longest piece?
- What is the probability the triangle is obtuse?
Firm tags come from public, anonymous candidate reports on Wall Street Oasis: strong signal, not sworn testimony. Firms are named as the places a question was reported, not as partners of Fin Maverick. Answers are written for this page to show how to think out loud; they are not scripts to recite.

