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025

Case 025Corporate credit and ratingsHard

A retailer reports modest net debt, but it has large lease liabilities, a guarantee of a subsidiary's loan and preference shares. Compute adjusted net debt and adjusted leverage, and compare them with the reported figures.

Moody'sHong Kong · 2018

1The situation

Marrowby Retail runs a chain of large-format stores. Its balance sheet shows borrowings of Rs 400 crore and cash of Rs 120 crore, and management presents EBITDA after rent of Rs 230 crore, so reported net leverage looks comfortable.

The notes show lease liabilities of Rs 600 crore on its store leases, and EBITDA before rent is Rs 330 crore. Marrowby has also guaranteed a Rs 150 crore bank loan of an unconsolidated logistics subsidiary, and has issued Rs 100 crore of cumulative preference shares that your methodology treats as 50% equity and 50% debt. Treat all cash as available to repay debt.

2Your task

What is Marrowby's adjusted net debt and adjusted leverage, and how do they compare with what management presents?

Quick check

After adding leases, the guarantee and half the preference shares to debt, which EBITDA should the ratio use?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Adjusted net debt is Rs 1,080 crore, nearly four times the Rs 280 crore reported, and adjusted leverage is 3.27x against 1.22x reported. Leases add Rs 600 crore, the guarantee Rs 150 crore and half the preference shares Rs 50 crore; the denominator becomes EBITDA before rent, Rs 330 crore. Marrowby is a moderately levered retailer presented as a lightly levered one.

Step 1Why is the debt line not the whole debt?

A household might say it has only a small car loan, but it also signed a ten-year rental agreement it cannot exit, stood guarantor for a cousin's loan and owes a relative money that must be repaid before anyone else in the family gets anything. A lender counts every fixed claim that ranks ahead of it or with it, whatever the balance sheet calls it. For a retailer the largest of these is usually the store leases: fixed payments for years, as binding as interest.

Step 2How do you build adjusted net debt?

Start with reported net debt: Rs 400 crore less Rs 120 crore of cash, Rs 280 crore. Add the Rs 600 crore of lease liabilitiesThe present value of fixed rent payments a company has committed to under its leases, shown as a liability under current accounting standards.. Add the Rs 150 crore guarantee, since Marrowby pays if the subsidiary does not. Add half the Rs 100 crore of preference shares, Rs 50 crore, the debt-like half under your methodology. Adjusted net debt is Rs 1,080 crore.

The debt a lender carries is larger than the debt line400Reported debt-120Less cash+600Leases+150Guarantee+50Half of prefs1,080Adjusted net debtReported net debt 280on EBITDA 230: 1.22x
Marrowby's reported net debt of Rs 280 crore becomes Rs 1,080 crore once Rs 600 crore of lease liabilities, the Rs 150 crore guarantee and Rs 50 crore of debt-like preference capital are added.
Step 3Which earnings go underneath?

Keep the ratio consistent. If leases are debt, rent is the cost of that debt, so the denominator must be EBITDA before rent, Rs 330 crore, and adjusted leverage is 1,080 over 330, 3.27x. Dividing adjusted debt by EBITDA after rent gives 4.70x, which counts the rent twice, once as debt and once as a cost. Reported leverage, 280 over 230, is 1.22x.

Adjust the debt and the earnings together, or the ratio liesReported: 280 / 2301.22xAdjusted: 1,080 / 3303.27xMismatched: 1,080 / 2304.70xLeases added to debt, so rent is added back to EBITDA: use Rs 330 crore underneath.The red bar keeps EBITDA after rent and so counts the rent twice.
Marrowby's leverage is 1.22x as reported and 3.27x when debt and earnings are adjusted together; dividing adjusted debt by EBITDA after rent gives 4.70x because it counts the rent twice.
ItemRs croreTreatment
Borrowings400Debt
Cash(120)Netted; all assumed available
Lease liabilities600Debt; rent added back to EBITDA
Guarantee of subsidiary loan150Debt, in full
Preference shares5050% of Rs 100 crore as debt
Adjusted net debt1,0803.27x EBITDA before rent of 330
Rs crore. Each adjustment adds a fixed claim the balance sheet shows elsewhere or not at all, taking net debt from Rs 280 crore to Rs 1,080 crore and leverage from 1.22x to 3.27x.
Step 4What judgement follows, and what would you question?

Marrowby is not in trouble at 3.3 times, but it is a different credit from the one management presents, and a covenant written on the reported figure would give lenders almost no protection. Three things to question in the management meeting: whether all Rs 120 crore of cash is really spare, since a retailer needs cash in its tills and stores; how likely the logistics subsidiary is to call the guarantee; and whether any lease terms let Marrowby exit stores early, which would make part of the lease debt less fixed than it looks.

Where candidates lose it

Candidates add the leases to debt but keep EBITDA after rent, reporting 4.7x. That double counts the rent and overstates leverage by more than a turn.

The opposite miss is accepting management's 1.2x. The whole task is to find the fixed claims outside the debt line; a guarantee in the notes is exactly where the interviewer hid one.

What the interviewer asks next

  • Rs 40 crore of the cash is needed to run the stores. What is adjusted leverage now?
  • How would you assess the chance that the guarantee is called?
  • Why might two agencies reach different adjusted leverage for the same company?
  • Marrowby plans to buy its flagship store rather than lease it, funded by new debt. What happens to adjusted leverage?

Asked at Moody's, Debt Capital Markets, Hong Kong, 2018 (Wall Street Oasis): main task was finding business drivers and credit issues. Writing management meeting questions in mandarin. Calculate amount of debt.

← Case 024A bank has 2 lakh credit cards with Rs 1 lakh limits, each 40% used on average. Compute exposure at default and expected loss for the portfolio, allowing for borrowers drawing more before they default.Case 026 →A bank's internal models produce far lower risk-weighted assets than the standardised approach. Apply an output floor, recompute the CET1 ratio and explain what the floor protects against.

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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