Fin Maverick
Foundations VocabularyAccounting & ReportingEconomics & MacroQuant Methods & ProgrammingBusiness & Company AnalysisCorporate Finance & ValuationBehavioural Finance
Banking & Market InfrastructureFixed Income & RatesDerivatives & Structured ProductsPublic EquitiesTransactions & DealsPortfolio ConstructionFunds & AMCs
Private Markets & AlternativesRisk, Treasury & ControlAI & Digital FinanceStochastic Calculus & PricingWealth & Personal FinanceIndian Markets & RegulationProfessional Practice
CalculatorComparison
Frameworks
Explore Bootcamps
Equity ResearchPortfolio ManagementMutual Fund MasteryFinancial LiteracyInvestment Banking Analyst
Private Equity AnalystHedge Funds AnalystBreaking Into VCBreaking Into QuantsAI For Finance
Financial Analyst ProgramRisk Management ProgramPrivate Wealth ManagementDebt Capital MarketsDerivatives Foundation
Explore Internships
Equity Research InternMutual Fund Intern
Portfolio Management InternFinancial Literacy Intern
Explore Micro Courses

Equity Research6

Writing an Investment ThesisBuilding a Discounted Cash FlowReading an Annual Report FastReading a Sector Before a CompanySpotting Quality of Earnings Red FlagsBuilding a Revenue Forecast From Drivers

Portfolio Management3

Rebalancing: When, Why and What It CostsStrategic and Tactical Asset AllocationMeasuring Risk in a Portfolio

Mutual Fund Mastery3

Comparing Funds Without Being FooledHow a NAV Is Struck and Which Day You GetReading a Fund Factsheet Properly

Derivatives Unlocked4

Hedging a Real ExposureThe Greeks, PracticallyFutures, the Basis and What Moves ItReading an Option Payoff

AI For Finance2

Retrieval and Grounding for FinanceDocument Extraction in Finance

Breaking Into Quants4

Backtesting a StrategyHypothesis TestingCleaning Financial DataRegression for Finance

Breaking Into VC3

Sizing a MarketReading a Term Sheet as a FounderHow a Venture Round Actually Works

Financial Analyst Program4

Common Size and Trend AnalysisReading a Cash Flow StatementRatio Analysis That Says SomethingBuilding a Working Capital Schedule

Risk Management Program2

Credit Exposure and How It Is ReducedValue at Risk and What It Hides

Investment Banking Analyst3

Precedent Transactions and Why They DifferReading a Term Sheet StructurallyBuilding a Comparable Companies Table

Private Wealth Management3

Tax Aware Portfolio DecisionsBuilding a Client Risk ProfileGoal Based Planning Arithmetic

Debt Capital Markets3

Analysing an Issuer's CreditDuration and What It Does Not Tell YouBond Pricing and Yield Mechanics

Private Equity Analyst2

Fund Waterfalls and CarryThe LBO in Structure

Hedge Funds Analyst2

Short Selling MechanicsLong Short Mechanics
Courses
Explore Career Roadmaps
Investment Banking AnalystEquity Research AnalystVC AnalystPrivate Equity AnalystHedge Funds Analyst
Quant AnalystAI For FinanceFinancial Analyst ProgramPrivate Wealth ManagementDebt Capital Markets
Risk Management ProgramDerivatives FoundationPortfolio ManagementMutual Fund Mastery
PartnershipsShowdown
Log inSign up
Risk, Treasury & Financial Control
1Risk Foundations
Risk Appetite, Tolerance, Capacity…The Risk Taxonomy and UniverseRisk Register vs Risk MatrixStress TestingScenario Analysis vs Stress TestingImpact and LikelihoodLikelihoodThe Risk EventRisk Assessment
2Enterprise Risk Management
Enterprise Risk ManagementThe Four Risk TreatmentsRisk CultureRisk MaturityRisk Monitoring
3Risk Governance
Risk GovernanceHow to set a…The Risk PolicyThe Risk OwnerThe Risk Committee and Its CharterThe Risk Limit FrameworkRisk EscalationHow to set a…
4Credit and Counterparty Risk
Collateral AgreementsCollateral vs NettingProbability of DefaultExposureCounterparty ExposureConcentration Risk vs Wrong Way RiskCounterparty Risk vs Credit RiskHow to assess Counterparty ExposureHow to assess Concentration Risk
5Market Risk
Market RiskSensitivity MeasuresThe Hedging PolicyInterest Rate Risk in the Banking BookIRRBB vs Market RiskExpected ShortfallEconomic Value of EquityVaR BacktestingOpen PositionValue at RiskValue at Risk and Expected ShortfallEconomic Value SensitivityFX ExposureValue at Risk vs Expected ShortfallEarnings at Risk vs…FX Transaction Risk vs…How to measure Interest…How to measure Foreign…
6Liquidity Risk
Liquidity Stress TestingLiquidity Gap vs Liquidity BufferMaturity MismatchThe Debt Maturity ProfileFunding ConcentrationSurvival HorizonThe Contingency Funding PlanNet Stable Funding RatioLiquidity Risk vs Funding RiskLiquidity Coverage RatioLiquidity Gap and BufferHow to run a Liquidity Gap Analysis
7Operational Risk
Operational LossThe Loss EventRisk and Control Self AssessmentException ManagementInformation Security as a…Segregation of DutiesIssue ManagementThe Near MissRoot Cause Analysis in RiskThe Fraud TriangleCyber Risk vs Third Party RiskHow to run a…How to assess Third…
8Risk Reporting, Data and Model Risk
Model RiskModel Validation vs BacktestingHow to run Model ValidationData Governance in RiskModel Risk vs Data RiskKey Risk IndicatorsManagement InformationRisk ReportingRisk ScoreEarnings at RiskRisk Adjusted ReturnEarly Warning IndicatorsHow to build a KRI Dashboard
9Treasury
Corporate TreasuryAsset Liability ManagementIntragroup FundingThe Treasury PolicyThe Treasury Management SystemThe Cash ForecastCash Pooling and ConcentrationHow to build a Cash Forecast
10Financial Controls and Assurance
Control AssuranceThe Control LifecycleThe Assurance MapThe Audit FindingIssue RemediationInternal Financial ControlsControl Design vs Control EffectivenessHow to map Internal Financial ControlsHow to test Control…Control DeficiencyMaterial Weakness
11Operational Resilience
Operational ResilienceBusiness Continuity and Disaster RecoveryBusiness Continuity vs Operational…Crisis ManagementDisaster RecoveryIncident Management

Management Information: Turning Data Into a Decision

Management information is a number that some decision depends on. The definition ends there, and it is a test rather than a format: name the decision, name who takes it, and say what would change if the number moved. Vindhya Commercial Bank Limited, an invented bank, sends 173 numbers against three decisions, so its paper can be accurate to the last rupee and carry no management information at all.

Almost everybody meets this subject from the wrong end. A reader is handed a document, told it is the management information pack, and concludes that management information is a kind of document. It is not. Management information is a property that a number either has or does not have, and the same number can hold the property on Monday and lose it by Friday without a single digit changing. The property can be tested in about ten seconds a line, and an institution pays for every line nobody tests.

What is management information, and how is it different from data?

Management informationA number that some named decision depends on, which is a test rather than a format or a document type. is a relation, not an object. A number is management information when a decision depends on it, and it is data when no decision does, and nothing about the number itself shows which of those two it is. A figure therefore cannot be classified by looking at it. The claim is uncomfortable on first reading and it holds. The figure has to be read alongside somebody, and the question is what that person will do differently at each possible value of it.

The mechanism is the same at household scale, so the everyday version comes first. A household electricity bill carries a meter reading. On its own that reading is dataA recorded value, which becomes information only when somebody can say what decision turns on it.: a recorded value, correct to the last unit, produced by a device that works. The reading becomes information the moment somebody in the household says that above a certain level the air conditioner runs two hours less each evening. Now the reading has a decision attached, somebody who takes it, and a level at which the answer changes. Nothing about the number moved. Everything about the decision attached to it did.

The bank version costs money. A bank records the value of every exposure, every deposit, every position and every loss it books. Every one of those records is complete and correct, and every one is still only a record. Somewhere between the source system and a person who can act, somebody has to do the second piece of work: attach the number to a decision and name who takes it. Attaching the number to a decision is the whole subject. It is the only one of the three links nobody is measured on, and it is the link skipped almost everywhere.

THE CHAIN FROM A RECORDED VALUE TO SOMEBODY ACTING, AND WHERE IT BREAKS Counts are the invented bank's own monthly paper to committee G2 at month 12. LINK 1 a value is recorded a source system holds a figure that is correct on its own terms LINK 2 a decision is attached somebody says what turns on it and names who takes that decision LINK 3 somebody acts the named person does one thing rather than another because of it COMPLETED 173 TIMES every number in the paper COMPLETED 3 TIMES 3 of the 38 pages ask for a decision NOT COUNTABLE FROM THE PAPER the paper cannot record its own effect Link 1 is a system duty and somebody is measured on it. Link 2 is a writing duty and nobody is measured on it at all. Vindhya Commercial Bank Limited is invented and so is every count on this drawing.
The first link is completed 173 times in one monthly paper and the second link only three times, so the chain from a recorded value to somebody acting is broken at the same joint 170 times over.

Look at the middle box. Link one is a system duty: a feed runs, a value lands, and if it does not land somebody gets a call. Link three is a person's duty and it happens in a room. Link two is a writing duty, it happens in a document, and there is no alarm anywhere in the institution that fires when it is skipped. A paper is not a place where information is stored. A paper is the only place where link two can be performed, so a paper that performs it badly is an operational problem and not a presentational one.

What five questions turn a number into information?

A useful test runs on a line nobody has seen before, on a paper about a business the reader does not work in, in under a minute. Five such questions follow, numbered MI1 to MI5. The order matters. A line that fails the first cannot pass any of the others: with no decision taken from the number, there is nothing for the remaining four questions to be about.

FIVE TESTS, RUN IN ORDER, ON ANY LINE ON ANY PAPER A line failing MI1 cannot pass MI2 to MI5, because there is no decision left for them to be about. MI1 Whose decision is this number for? Fails when the answer is the committee in general. A number serving nobody in particular serves nobody. MI2 At what level would the decision be different? Fails when no level exists. If every value produces the same action, reading the number was optional. MI3 What assumption sits beside it? Fails when the choice that decides the number is not on the page. This is the test the worked failure below turns on. MI4 Does it arrive before the decision or after it? Fails when it lands afterwards. The same page is information or history depending only on the date it is sent. MI5 What does the recipient actually do? Fails when the answer is that the recipient notes it. Noting a number is what a reader does with data. These five are a way of reading a paper and are not a standard set by anybody. Every figure used with them here is invented.
Five ordered tests decide whether a line is management information, and a line that cannot name whose decision it serves fails at the first question and never reaches the other four.

MI1: whose decision is this number for?

The answer has to be a person or a named body. Not the committee in general, not the business, not the board. If the honest answer is that the number is there because it has always been there, that is the result. The test sounds harsh until it is tried on a real paper, at which point the great majority of lines turn out to have no owner of the decision at all. An unowned line is not automatically a fault. Some lines exist to help a reader understand the ones that do carry decisions, and those are legitimate. The fault is never that a paper carries context; the fault is that a paper does not say which lines are which, so the reader spreads the same attention across all of them.

Try it out

Apply the first test to a line on a paper reading gross non-performing assets 3.0 per cent. Is it management information?

MI2: at what level would the decision be different?

The second test does the most work and takes the least time. The person who takes the decision is asked what value would make them act differently. If they can say it, that value belongs beside the number on the sheet, and a reader can then see in one glance how much room is left. If they cannot say it, the number is being read for reassurance rather than for a decision, and reassurance is a feeling and not information. A number without a level at which something changes cannot be wrong in any way that matters, and that is exactly why it is comfortable to include.

MI3: what assumption sits beside it?

Most risk numbers are not measurements. A risk number is almost always a computation, and every computation rests on at least one assumptionA choice made because evidence does not settle the question, which is what has to sit beside a number for the number to be readable., meaning a choice somebody made because the evidence did not settle the question. Stripped of the assumption, what is left is a claim with its argument removed. The reader cannot challenge it, cannot weigh it, and cannot tell whether it is a fact about the business or a fact about a modelling convention. The medical version is the one everyone recognises: a test result of 6.2 means nothing until the reference range is printed beside it, and a laboratory that prints the value and omits the range has produced an accurate document that no patient can read.

The sensitivityHow far an answer moves when one input moves, which is the fastest way to show a reader which input actually matters. is the cheap way to show it. One extra sentence saying how far the answer moves when the assumption moves converts a hidden choice into a visible range, and that tells a reader more than another sheet of decomposition. The worked failure below is entirely a failure of MI3, and no number in it is wrong.

MI4: does it arrive before the decision or after it?

TimelinessWhether information arrives before the decision it serves, which is what separates management information from a record. is not about speed. Timeliness is about order. Information that lands after the decision it was meant to serve is a record: useful, worth keeping, and not management information, because nothing depended on it. The same sheet sent two days earlier is information and sent two days later is history, and nothing inside it changed. At Vindhya Commercial Bank Limited the monthly paper goes out 5 working days before the meeting. Five days is generous by any standard, and the section below shows how little that lead time buys when the paper does not say where to spend it.

Try it out

The paper is circulated 5 working days before the meeting. When does that lead time stop being timeliness and start being a formality?

MI5: what does the recipient actually do?

The last test is the bluntest and it is the one that catches the polite failures. Follow the line into the minute of the meeting. If the record says the committee noted the number, the line has failed. Noting is what a reader does with data. Noting is not a defect of character. It is the correct response to a number that arrived with no decision attached, and the person who wrote the line is the one who left the reader nowhere else to go.

Try it out

A number moves, and the minute of the meeting records that the committee noted it. Was that number management information?

Try it out

Before the measured shape of a real paper: a document carries 173 numbers and 3 decisions. Which single change would improve it most cheaply?

What shape does a real committee paper actually have?

Here is the committee paperThe document a committee reads before it meets, whose value depends on what a reader can do with it rather than on its length. measured below. Vindhya Commercial Bank Limited sends 38 sheets to its board risk management committee, committee G2, every month, circulated 5 working days ahead. Every figure that follows is the bank's own. The paper carries 173 numbers, of which 14 sit on the first sheet. Of the 38 sheets, 3 carry a decision the committee has to take and 35 carry information, being 7.9 per cent and 92.1 per cent. The first sheet carries 14 numbers and none of the 3 decisions.

The paper, countedFigureWorked out
Sheets sent to committee G2 each month38Circulated 5 working days ahead
Numbers carried across those sheets1734.55 a sheet across the whole paper
Numbers on the first sheet alone148.1 per cent of the 173, on 1 of 38 sheets
Numbers across the other 37 sheets1594.30 a sheet, about a third of the first sheet rate
Sheets carrying a decision to take37.9 per cent of sheets, and none is the first
Sheets carrying information only3592.1 per cent of sheets
Attendees who had read it beforehand6 of 875.0 per cent read it, 25.0 per cent did not
Numbers for every decision to be taken57.7173 over 3, and not one number is labelled

Run test MI2 across that paper and the arithmetic is unforgiving. One hundred and seventy three numbers against 3 decisions is 57.7 numbers for every decision the committee has to take. None of that is an argument for a shorter paper, and anybody who reaches for that conclusion has misread the count. A committee genuinely needs context it will never act on: it cannot judge whether a single exposure is large without knowing the size of the book, and it cannot judge whether a loss is unusual without the run of losses behind it. The argument is for saying which numbers are which. A reader who cannot tell a decision lineA line on a paper that asks the reader to decide something, as opposed to a line that tells them where things stand. from a context lineA line that supports understanding without asking for a decision, which is legitimate and must be labelled as such. reads all 173 with the same attention. In practice that is the same low attention.

THIRTY EIGHT PAGES, THREE OF THEM ASKING FOR SOMETHING The invented bank does not record where the 3 decision pages sit, so the shading counts them without placing them. 1 page 1: 14 numbers, no decision 3 pages carrying a decision, being 7.9 per cent 35 pages of information, being 92.1 per cent NUMBERS PER PAGE, AND THE DENSEST PAGE IS THE ONE ASKING FOR NOTHING the first page 14 numbers each of the other 37 4.30 numbers 173 over 38 is 4.55 a page across the whole paper. Take the first page out and 159 over 37 is 4.30. Every count belongs to the invented bank and none of it is a requirement set by anybody.
The densest page in the whole paper carries 14 numbers and asks for nothing, while the other 37 pages average 4.30 numbers each and hold all three decisions between them.

Density running the wrong way is a common shape and it is not an accident, so it is worth pausing on. The first sheet of a paper is where the writer puts the summary, and a summary is compressed by removing the argument rather than by removing the figures. The figures are what survives compression, so the front sheet fills with 14 of them at roughly 3.3 times the density of everywhere else, and every one of them is a position rather than a question. The sheet that gets the most attention in the whole document is therefore the sheet from which no decision can possibly emerge.

Try it out

Of the 38 sheets sent to committee G2, how many carry a decision, and where are they not?

There is one more count worth drawing out, and it needs an assumption of its own that the bank's record does not supply. The record does not say where in the 38 sheets the 3 decision sheets sit. Suppose, purely as an illustration, that they sat at random. A member who starts at the front and reads p sheets reaches an expected 3p over 38 decision sheets. At 5 sheets that expectation is 0.39. At 10 sheets it is 0.79. The expectation reaches 1.00 at p equal to 12.67, so 13 is the first whole number of sheets at which a member expects to have met even one decision.

HOW FAR IN A READER GETS BEFORE EXPECTING TO MEET A DECISION Reading order is the reader's assumption and not the bank's record, which fixes no position for the 3 decision pages. 12.67 pages before one decision page is expected so 13 whole pages, a third of the paper, before the first ask 0 1 2 3 0 5 10 19 25 32 38 PAGES READ FROM THE FRONT DECISION PAGES EXPECTED TO HAVE BEEN MET Illustration only. Random placement is assumed here for the arithmetic and the invented bank records no order at all.
On a random placement assumption a member must read about 13 of the 38 pages, a third of the paper, before expecting to have met a single decision.

The straight line should not be over-read. The line rests on an assumption the record does not make, and stating that assumption on the drawing is MI3 applied to the drawing itself. The shape is what the line shows honestly: when decisions are 7.9 per cent of sheets and nobody says which sheets they are, the reader's search cost is a third of the document before the first hit, and 5 working days of lead time is being spent looking rather than thinking.

Derivatives Foundation Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

Why is being accurate not the same as being informative?

Every one of the 173 numbers in that paper is correct. Each was produced from agreed sources, reconciled, checked and signed off. Audited for accuracy the paper would pass, and on the one property they were measured on the people who built it had indeed done their jobs. Accuracy is a property of a number on its own, and being informative is a relation between that number and somebody's decision, so it is entirely possible to score full marks on the first and nothing at all on the second.

TWO DIFFERENT PROPERTIES, CHECKED BY TWO DIFFERENT QUESTIONS Both columns describe the same 38 page paper of the invented bank at month 12. ACCURACY: PASSES ON ALL FOUR Produced from the agreed source system Reconciled to the ledger it comes from Computed by the method that was approved Delivered on the date it was promised ALL 173 NUMBERS PASS INFORMATIVENESS: FAILS ON ALL FOUR Names the decision the line supports Names the level at which that decision changes Carries the assumption that decides the number Separates a decision line from a context line 0 OF 173 NUMBERS LABELLED Nobody in the invented bank is measured on the right column, which is why the left one is complete and the right one is empty.
The same paper passes every accuracy question and fails every informativeness question, because 173 correct numbers carry no label saying which decision any of them supports.

The argument is never won by pointing at errors. There are no errors. The people who assemble the paper are careful, the feeds run, the reconciliations tie, and a search for something wrong turns up nothing. The gap is not in the numbers. The gap is in a column nobody has ever been asked to write. No measurement anywhere in the institution would notice that the column is missing, so nobody has ever been asked.

Try it out

Every number in the paper is correct. Why is that not the end of the discussion?

What happens when a paper carries the number and not the assumption?

Now the failure, and it has nothing to do with length. One of the 173 numbers on that paper is the bank's economic value of equity sensitivity, at minus Rs 840 crore against limit L8 of Rs 990 crore, being 84.8 per cent utilisation. This bank produces two collisions on this one line, so two labels come before anything else. The 84.8 per cent is limit L8 utilisation and not model inventory completeness, a different 84.8 per cent in the same institution. The minus Rs 840 crore is the economic value of equity change and not counterparty C7's funded exposure, a different Rs 840 crore in the same institution.

The number is right, on time, and to the committee that set the limit

The figure was computed correctly from agreed inputs. The figure arrived 5 working days ahead. The figure went to committee G2, the committee that set limit L8 in the first place, so the number even passes MI1 and MI4 cleanly. And the paper does not carry the assumption that decides it.

The figure depends on the average behavioural life given to the Rs 36,000 crore of current and savings balances the bank holds. The balances are repayable on demand and stay for years, so somebody has to choose a life for them, and at this bank model V1 chooses 0.5 years. Model V1 has never been validated. Extending the assumed life by one year moves the answer by 36,000 times 2.0 per cent, being Rs 720 crore. The 2.0 per cent is the bank's own locked sensitivity on its own internal 200 basis point scenario.

So: at 0.5 years the answer is minus Rs 840 crore and utilisation against limit L8 is 84.8 per cent. At 1.0 year it is minus Rs 480 crore and 48.5 per cent. At about 1.67 years it is zero. At 2.0 years it is plus Rs 240 crore and 24.2 per cent of limit L8. At 3.0 years it is plus Rs 960 crore and 97.0 per cent. And 1 to 3 years is the bank's own repricing bucket RB5 for exactly the same deposits.

Read that last sentence twice. The overlap is what makes this a reporting failure rather than a modelling quibble. The two treatments are not in conflict by mistake. The repricing ladder asks when the rate on a balance changes and slots those deposits at 1 to 3 years. The economic value computation asks how long the balance itself stays and gives them 0.5 years. Different questions can honestly give different answers. Across the range the bank itself defined, its headline number changes sign and its utilisation against limit L8 runs from 48.5 per cent up to 97.0 per cent, and the committee reading the answer is shown neither end of that range. The omission cannot be defended.

Try it out

The paper carries an economic value figure of minus Rs 840 crore at 84.8 per cent of limit L8. Which figure is missing beside it?

ONE UNVALIDATED ASSUMPTION, AND THE HEADLINE NUMBER CHANGES SIGN Economic value of equity change in Rs crore, against the assumed average life of the Rs 36,000 crore of non-maturity deposits. RB5: 1 TO 3 YEARS, THE BANK OWN SLOT limit L8, plus Rs 990 crore limit L8, minus Rs 990 crore 0.5 yr, the locked answer sign changes at about 1.67 yr 2.0 yr, the midpoint of RB5 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 ASSUMED AVERAGE DEPOSIT LIFE, IN YEARS YEARS Rs CRORE L8 % about 0.29 minus 990 100.0 0.5 minus 840 84.8 1.0 minus 480 48.5 1.5 minus 120 12.1 about 1.67 zero 0.0 2.0 plus 240 24.2 2.5 plus 600 60.6 3.0 plus 960 97.0 about 3.04 plus 990 100.0 The 84.8 per cent here is limit L8 utilisation and not model inventory completeness. Every figure is the invented bank's own.
Across the bank's own one to three year repricing bucket the same computation runs from minus Rs 480 crore to plus Rs 960 crore, crossing zero at about 1.67 years without a single position changing.

Notice the one thing the drawing does and the paper does not. The drawing shows the same computation at nine assumed lives and puts the bank's own other treatment of the same Rs 36,000 crore on the same axis. Any reader can now see that the reported answer sits outside the range the bank's own repricing ladder implies. One shaded strip and nine rows would cost the writer of the paper about ten minutes.

Try it out

Before the control below is moved. The figure is minus Rs 840 crore at an assumed deposit life of 0.5 years. Where does the figure land at 2.0 years, the midpoint of the bank's own bucket RB5?

Play with it

Move the assumption the paper does not carry, and watch the headline move

One control: the assumed average behavioural life of the Rs 36,000 crore of non-maturity deposits, from 0 to 3.5 years, set by unvalidated model V1. Three things move together: the position on the line, the economic value of equity change with its sign, and utilisation against limit L8 of Rs 990 crore. The bank's own repricing bucket RB5 of 1 to 3 years is shaded, and the default of 0.5 years reproduces the paper exactly at minus Rs 840 crore and 84.8 per cent of limit L8.

0 YEARS0.50 YEARS ASSUMED3.5 YEARS
THE LINE, AND WHERE THE ASSUMPTION PUTS THE BANK ON IT RB5, 1 TO 3 YEARS limit L8, plus Rs 990 crore limit L8, minus Rs 990 crore 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 ASSUMED AVERAGE DEPOSIT LIFE, IN YEARS ECONOMIC VALUE OF EQUITY CHANGE, Rs CRORE minus Rs 1,400 crore 0 plus Rs 1,400 crore UTILISATION AGAINST LIMIT L8 OF Rs 990 CRORE 84.8% SIGN: NEGATIVE, VALUE FALLS AS RATES RISE Rs 36,000 crore of non-maturity deposits, a 200 basis point internal scenario and a Rs 990 crore limit L8 are the invented bank's own. The Rs 720 crore per year of assumed life is this case's own locked sensitivity, being 36,000 times 2.0 per cent. No shock size, behavioural cap or outlier test from any external body appears here, and none is stated as a requirement.
Assumed deposit life
0.50 yr
Economic value change
minus Rs 840 crore
Utilisation, limit L8
84.8 per cent

At an assumed deposit life of 0.50 years the economic value change is minus Rs 840 crore, the sign is negative, and utilisation against limit L8 is 84.8 per cent, which is the figure the committee paper carries.

Educational illustration. Invented figures throughout. The nine solved points, as static text: 0.29 years gives minus Rs 990 crore at 100.0 per cent; 0.5 gives minus Rs 840 crore at 84.8 per cent; 1.0 gives minus Rs 480 crore at 48.5 per cent; 1.5 gives minus Rs 120 crore at 12.1 per cent; about 1.67 gives zero; 2.0 gives plus Rs 240 crore at 24.2 per cent; 2.5 gives plus Rs 600 crore at 60.6 per cent; 3.0 gives plus Rs 960 crore at 97.0 per cent; and 3.04 gives plus Rs 990 crore at 100.0 per cent. The sign changes at about 1.67 years. The answer sits inside limit L8 only between about 0.29 and about 3.04 years, a window about 2.75 years wide. The 84.8 per cent stated here is limit L8 utilisation and not model inventory completeness, and the 24.2 per cent at 2.0 years is limit L8 utilisation and not a model validation share. Every figure on this control belongs to Vindhya Commercial Bank Limited.

Play with it for thirty seconds and one thing becomes physical rather than argumentative: the reported answer sits near the bottom edge of a range in which the number is negative at one end and nearly at its cap in the other direction at the other. The bank is inside limit L8 only between about 0.29 and about 3.04 years of assumed deposit life, a window about 2.75 years wide, and the input that decides where in that window it sits is the one input the committee never sees. Model V1 also cannot be backtested. How long a deposit stays is only observable over years, and that is exactly why the assumption should have been printed beside the number rather than left inside a spreadsheet.

Breaking Into Quants Bootcamp — Fin Maverick Building a Discounted Cash Flow — free micro-course from Fin Maverick

What happens when one body sets the assumption and another reads the answer?

Here is where it stops being a writing problem. Committee G4, the asset liability management committee, sets the behavioural assumptions, including the 0.5 year deposit life. Committee G2, the board risk management committee, sets limit L8 and reads the answer. Both act entirely within their remit. G4 is the right body to judge how long a deposit stays, and G2 is the right body to decide how much sensitivity the bank will carry. And no single body sees both decisions in one paper.

TWO CORRECT MANDATES, AND THE HOLE BETWEEN THEM Committees and figures belong to the invented bank. Nobody here did anything outside their remit. COMMITTEE G4 sets the assumption the average behavioural life of the Rs 36,000 crore of deposits, at 0.5 years NO PAPER CARRIES BOTH COMMITTEE G2 sets the limit and reads it limit L8 at Rs 990 crore, and receives the answer the assumption decides THE ONE NUMBER ON THE PAPER economic value of equity change, minus Rs 840 crore, at 84.8 per cent utilisation of limit L8 Not one of the invented bank's 42 control findings covers this, because every control worked exactly as designed. The 84.8 per cent above is limit L8 utilisation and not model inventory completeness, which is a different 84.8 per cent here. The minus Rs 840 crore above is the economic value change and not counterparty C7's funded exposure.
Two committees each acting correctly inside their own remit leave a hole that no control test looks into, because no control lives in the space between two mandates.

This is a structural gapA hole created by two mandates fitting together imperfectly, which no individual control failure explains and no control test finds., and a gap of that kind behaves differently from every other failure in an institution. Control testing at this bank produced 42 findings across 214 key controls. Not one of the 42 covers the hole between committee G4 and committee G2. The testers did not miss it: a control test asks whether a designed control operated, and no control was ever designed to sit in that space. The hole sits between two designs, and testing designs one at a time can never find it. Putting both decisions on one sheet is the only thing that reveals a structural gap, and that is a reporting act rather than a control act.

The household version, and it is exact. One person in a household decides how long the fridge can be left off during a power cut, another decides when to buy a new inverter, and each decision is sensible on its own. Nobody ever writes the two on the same slip of paper, so nobody notices that the second decision is entirely governed by the first. Neither person was careless. The gap was in the absence of a shared sheet, and it is the same absence at Rs 96,000 crore.

Try it out

Committee G4 sets the assumption and committee G2 reads the answer. Which control failed?

Building a Discounted Cash Flow teaches you to build a model, say where its answer comes from, and defend the two assumptions carrying it.

Who actually uses this, and what changes for them on Monday?

Four different readers, four different uses, and none of them needs a new system.

The independent director on committee G2 uses it as a reading protocol. Before the meeting, take the five tests to the paper and mark each line as a decision line or a context line. Where a line is marked as a decision, ask what level would change the answer, and where a computation is marked, ask what assumption decides it. The output is not a better paper this month; it is a list of three or four questions asked out loud in the room, and the paper changes next month because somebody with standing asked why the assumption was missing.

The person who writes the paper uses it as an editing rule, and this is where most of the value sits. The writer already has every number. The addition is one column and, for the computed lines, one sentence of sensitivity. The fix here is a column rather than a rewrite, and a column is the cheapest improvement available to any reporting function anywhere. Nothing is deleted, nobody argues about length, and no number moves. The one change is that a reader with 5 working days now knows where to spend them.

A credit analyst at another institution, looking at a bank as a counterparty rather than as an employer, uses it on published disclosure. The analyst cannot see the internal paper, but the same test applies to whatever is published: is there a level attached to any of these figures, and is there any statement of what the answer depends on? A disclosure that gives outputs and no assumptions is telling the analyst about the writer, not about the balance sheet.

The mechanism does not care about scale, so the household version holds too. A school report card that gives a mark and no class range is data. The same card with the range beside it is information, and now a parent can decide whether to do anything. A monthly bank statement is data. The same statement with a line saying which spend is unusual against the household's own last six months is information, and a level has now been attached. In both cases the extra ink is a fraction of the document and it does all the work.

THE SAME FIVE LINES, AND ONE EXTRA COLUMN No number changes, nothing is deleted, and the paper is the same length. AS CIRCULATED Economic value sensitivity, minus Rs 840 crore Gross non-performing assets, 3.0 per cent Sector concentration, 108.3 per cent of limit L3 Net operational loss, Rs 43.8 crore Open issues past their due date, 31 of 92 WITH ONE COLUMN ADDED Economic value, minus Rs 840 crore Gross non-performing assets, 3.0 pc Sector, 108.3 pc of limit L3 Net operational loss, Rs 43.8 crore Issues past due, 31 of 92 DECIDE: THE LIFE CONTEXT DECIDE: THE PLAN CONTEXT CONTEXT TWO LINES NOW ASK FOR SOMETHING AND THREE SAY WHERE THINGS STAND AND THE READER CAN TELL WHICH IS WHICH BEFORE READING A WORD Extract is illustrative and the labels are the reader's judgement, not the invented bank's own marking, which does not exist.
One extra column turns the same five lines into two that ask for something and three that say where things stand, with no figure changed.

Whose fault is the gap, the writer or the reader?

The honest answer is neither, and reaching for either of them is how institutions avoid fixing this. Blaming the writer produces a shorter paper next month. A shorter paper loses context the committee genuinely needs and fixes nothing. Blaming the reader produces an instruction to read more carefully. Such an instruction asks 8 people to compensate for a missing column by spending more attention on 173 unlabelled numbers. Both responses treat a structural problem as a behavioural one.

The fault is in the shape of the mandate. Somebody has to be accountable for the property, not just for the numbers. In practice one named person must answer which lines on this paper carry decisions and what each line depends on, and the assumption behind a computed line must travel with the line whichever committee it reaches. Until that accountability exists somewhere, a paper will keep being judged on accuracy, the one property it is measured on, and it will keep passing.

India

Which of these rules binds a bank, and who sets it

The five tests MI1 to MI5 are a way of reading a paper and not a standard set by any authority. Every figure, count, limit, committee, model and sheet total belongs to Vindhya Commercial Bank Limited alone.

The expectation that risk reporting should support decision making, rather than merely accumulate correct numbers, has its origin in the principles for risk data aggregation and risk reporting published by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision at the Bank for International Settlements, bis.org. Those principles are about usefulness to a decision maker and not about volume.

The rules on what an Indian bank must place in front of a board, in what form and how often, come from the Reserve Bank of India at rbi.org.in. The interest rate risk measure used as the worked number, the shock size behind it, any behavioural cap on deposit life and any outlier test are matters for the Basel Committee at bis.org as the standard and the Reserve Bank of India at rbi.org.in for what binds in India. The 200 basis point scenario used here is the bank's own internal scenario and binds nobody else.

The subject here stops at the property a number must have, and not at the document that carries it. The risk report itself, its line items and its dashboard are covered separately, as are key risk indicators and early warning indicators, all of them different objects with different definitions. The committee, its charter, its membership, its calendar and how a decision is minuted belong with risk governance, and so does the finding that no single body sees both decisions: what that gap does to a paper is shown above, and the governance of it belongs there. The economic value of equity computation, the repricing ladder, bucket RB5 and limit L8 itself belong with market risk and are used here only as the number a committee receives, with none of them derived. Model validation, the model inventory and what makes a model risk rather than a data risk are treated in their own right elsewhere.
Risk Management Program Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

Sources

SourceDocumentSite
Bank for International SettlementsThe Basel Committee principles for risk data aggregation and risk reporting, as the origin of the expectation that reporting supports a decisionbis.org
Reserve Bank of IndiaWhat an Indian bank must actually compute, report and place before a board, and what binds it on interest rate risk in the banking bookrbi.org.in
Ministry of Corporate AffairsThe Companies Act duties of a board and its committees, and the internal financial controls reporting requirementmca.gov.in
Institute of Chartered Accountants of IndiaThe assurance and audit standards behind reporting on internal financial controlsicai.org

Vindhya Commercial Bank Limited, its committees G2 and G4, its model V1 and its limit L8 are invented.
Educational material. Not advice on any investment, tax, budget or market position.

← PreviousNext →
Fin Maverick Micro CoursesExplore Micro Courses
Fin Maverick BootcampsExplore Bootcamps
Fin Maverick

Finance education that ends in a job, not a certificate that gathers dust. Built for young India.

LEARN
CalculatorsFrameworksComparisonsCareersShowdown
RESOURCES
All CoursesMicro CoursesBootcampsInternships
COMPANY
AboutJob openingPartnership
LEGAL
Privacy PolicyTerms & ConditionsContent LicenseReturn & Refund Policy
© 2026 FIN MAVERICK / BUILT FOR INDIA.DO FINANCE, DO NOT JUST READ ABOUT IT.