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DSCR and Interest Coverage: What Principal Changes

DSCR and Interest Coverage: What Principal Changes

Interest coverage divides a year of operating cash by the interest bill alone. The debt service cover ratio (DSCR) divides that same cash by interest plus the principal instalment scheduled in the year. On Tapti Crossing Infrastructure Private Limited the readings are 2.07 times and 1.36 times. Every rupee of that difference is the Rs 63 crore instalment. No profit statement anywhere carries that instalment as a cost.

Two ratios, one shared numerator, two different questions. INTEREST COVERAGE THE QUESTION IT ASKS Is the cost of the borrowing covered? NUMERATOR Rs 248 crore of one year of cash DENOMINATOR Interest only, Rs 119.70 crore WHAT IT LEAVES OUT The Rs 63 crore instalment READING ON THIS PROJECT 2.07 times WHERE IT IS ANSWERED In a profit statement DEBT SERVICE COVER RATIO THE QUESTION IT ASKS Is everything due this year covered? NUMERATOR Rs 248 crore of one year of cash DENOMINATOR Interest plus principal, Rs 182.70 crore WHAT IT LEAVES OUT Nothing that falls due in the year READING ON THIS PROJECT 1.36 times WHERE IT IS ANSWERED In a bank account Identical on both sides: the same Rs 248 crore of one year of cash sits on top of each ratio.
Set side by side, the two measures share a numerator and part company only on what the denominator is allowed to contain, which is why one is settled in a profit statement and the other in a bank account.

What does each of these two ratios actually measure?

A household shows the shape of the problem. The shape is the same at every scale. A couple takes a home loan. Each month a single instalment leaves the account, and inside that one instalment are two quite different things. Part of that instalment is interest, the charge for having the money. The rest is a repayment of the money itself, and each repayment shrinks the loan. Asked whether they can afford the loan, the couple has two honest answers, depending on which of those two parts the question meant.

If the question meant the charge alone, the answer is comfortable. If the question meant the whole instalment, the answer is tighter, sometimes much tighter. The repayment part is often larger than the charge. Nothing dishonest has happened. Two different questions were asked and two different answers came back.

Interest coverage and the debt service cover ratio are exactly that pair of questions, put to a business instead of a household. Interest coverage takes a year of operating cash and divides it by the interest for that year. Interest coverage is asking whether the business can afford the cost of carrying its borrowing. The debt service cover ratio takes the same year of operating cash and divides it by interest plus the scheduled principalThe part of a loan the borrower has promised to hand back inside a stated period, as opposed to the charge for holding the money. It is fixed by the repayment schedule, not by the rate. falling due in that same year. The debt service cover ratio is asking whether the business can afford everything the borrowing requires it to pay in the period.

The distinction between those two sentences carries everything that follows. The first is a question about cost. The second is a question about a cash obligationAn amount that has to physically leave a bank account by a date, whether or not any accounting statement records it as an expense.. A cost is something a reporting system records. A cash obligation is something a bank transfer settles. Most of the time a business has both kinds, and most of the time nobody notices that the two do not overlap.

Anybody meeting the pair for the first time is tempted to file the debt service ratio as the cautious version of interest coverage, the same measure with a haircut applied. The filing is wrong, and it costs the analyst later. The two are not one question at two levels of caution. The two are separate questions, and each has a setting in which it is the right one to ask. The debt service cover ratio is the question a bank account has to answer, and interest coverage is the question a profit statement answers, and the reason they give different numbers is that the two documents do not contain the same list of things.

Tapti Crossing Infrastructure Private Limited makes the difference easy to see because there is nothing else going on inside it. Tapti Crossing is a single-asset toll road company, formed to build and run one crossing, with no second business and no recourse to anybody standing behind it. Its whole year is one road collecting money and one loan being serviced. Every figure that follows belongs to that one modelled year.

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What do both ratios read on the same year of cash?

Take the modelled year of Tapti Crossing Infrastructure Private Limited and build both measures from the identical starting point. Nothing about the comparison can then be blamed on using different inputs.

The road collects Rs 310 crore of revenue in the year and spends Rs 62 crore running itself, leaving Rs 248 crore of operating cash. The Rs 248 crore is the numerator of both ratios and it does not change between them. On the financing side, the project drew Rs 1,260 crore of debt against Rs 540 crore of equity to build a Rs 1,800 crore asset. The project contracted its own rate at 9.5 per cent rather than borrowing at some market average, so the interest for the year is Rs 119.70 crore. The schedule also requires Rs 63 crore of principal to be handed back in the same year. Add them and the debt service for the year is Rs 182.70 crore.

Both measures, built from one year of cashInterest coverageDebt service cover ratio
Operating cash in the yearRs 248 croreRs 248 crore
Interest at the contracted 9.5 per centRs 119.70 croreRs 119.70 crore
Scheduled principal in the yearNot countedRs 63 crore
DenominatorRs 119.70 croreRs 182.70 crore
The reading2.07 times1.36 times

Do the division rather than accepting it. Rs 248 crore over Rs 119.70 crore is 2.071846, written 2.07 times. Rs 248 crore over Rs 182.70 crore is 1.3574165, written 1.36 times. Both are correct arithmetic on the same year, and both describe the same road.

Read the second number in rupees rather than in turns and it stops being abstract: at 1.36 times the project has Rs 65.30 crore of cash left after everything the lenders are owed in the year, or 35.7 per cent of the debt service standing spare. The leftover Rs 65.30 crore is what reaches the sponsors of Tapti Crossing Infrastructure in the modelled year. Hold on to the figure: it turns up again when the structure comes under pressure.

Why the 1.36 times is a bound rather than a target

One point about the rounding matters the moment anybody runs the sizing backwards rather than simply reading the ratio. The 1.36 times that gets reported is a rounded presentation of 1.3574165, and the requirement sitting behind it is a bound: the schedule was sized so that the cover is at least that much, not so that it lands exactly on it. Rounding is harmless while the number is only being read, and stops being harmless as soon as anything is computed with it.

The rounded figure does something visible to the sizing. Rs 248 crore of cash taken back through a cover of 1.36 gives debt service of Rs 182.35 crore. Stripping out the Rs 63 crore instalment leaves interest of Rs 182.35 crore less Rs 63 crore, or Rs 119.35 crore, and at the project's own contracted 9.5 per cent that implies a loan of Rs 1,256.35 crore. The project borrowed Rs 1,260 crore, so the chain has lost Rs 3.65 crore somewhere, and it was lost in the second decimal place. The identical chain run through 1.3574165 returns Rs 182.70 crore, Rs 119.70 crore and Rs 1,260 crore exactly. Quoting the rounded 1.36 times is the honest way to report a cover. Compute with 1.3574165 whenever the arithmetic has to tie back to the amount actually lent.

Two cautions attach to both measures equally, and they are stated once here rather than pinned to whichever figure looks less comfortable. The first is that Rs 248 crore is a ceilingThe most a figure can possibly be, because the items that would reduce it have not been counted. Anything actually deducted later can only bring it down. rather than a settled amount. The record for this project carries no tax charge and no maintenance spending. Anything of that kind that turns out to be real reduces the numerator of both ratios, so both readings would fall together. The second is that both belong to one modelled year. The record carries no concession length, no debt tenor and no traffic forecast, so neither ratio may be extended to any other year, and neither says anything about the life of the road.

One year of cash. Two divisions. Two answers, both correct. One year of cash: Rs 248 crore DIVIDED BY INTEREST ONLY Rs 248 crore over Rs 119.70 crore 2.07 times DIVIDED BY INTEREST PLUS PRINCIPAL Rs 248 crore over Rs 182.70 crore 1.36 times Rs 1,260 crore at the project's own contracted 9.5 per cent is Rs 119.70 crore of interest, and the schedule adds Rs 63 crore of principal to reach debt service of Rs 182.70 crore.
The same Rs 248 crore produces 2.07 times and 1.36 times depending only on whether the scheduled principal is allowed into the division below it.
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Where does the whole gap between 2.07 times and 1.36 times come from?

A gap between two ratios is usually a mess to explain. Ratios can differ for several reasons at once, and the reasons tangle. Here the gap is unusually clean, and the cleanliness is the teaching point.

Both numerators are Rs 248 crore. Not similar, not roughly comparable, but the identical figure taken from the identical line of the identical year. The project's cash is a constant across the two, so whatever separates 2.07 times from 1.36 times cannot involve the project's cash in any way. Every explanation that starts with the words "the debt service ratio uses a more conservative cash figure" has already gone wrong at the first clause.

So the difference must live entirely in the denominatorThe number underneath in a division. In a coverage ratio it is the obligation being covered, and choosing what goes into it is the whole design of the measure.. Compare the two: Rs 119.70 crore against Rs 182.70 crore. The two differ by Rs 63 crore, and the Rs 63 crore is the scheduled principal and nothing else. The entire distance between 2.07 times and 1.36 times is one line item, and if the instalment were nil the two ratios would not merely be close, they would be the same number to every decimal place.

The claim that the two ratios would coincide is testable rather than rhetorical, and the simulation below tests it. With the instalment set to nil, the denominator of the debt service ratio becomes Rs 119.70 crore, the denominator of interest coverage. The same numerator over the same denominator gives the same 2.071846. There is no residue, no second effect, nothing left to explain.

The size of that single line relative to the whole obligation is worth knowing. Rs 63 crore over Rs 182.70 crore is 34.5 per cent. So a little over a third of everything Tapti Crossing Infrastructure Private Limited has to pay its lenders in the year is the item that one of the two measures simply does not see.

Both divide the same Rs 248 crore. Only the denominators differ. DENOMINATOR: Rs 119.70 CRORE INTEREST ONLY Interest, Rs 119.70 crore gives 2.07 times DENOMINATOR: Rs 182.70 CRORE INTEREST PLUS PRINCIPAL Interest, Rs 119.70 crore Rs 63 crore gives 1.36 times the whole of the difference Rs 248 crore over Rs 119.70 crore is 2.071846, and over Rs 182.70 crore it is 1.3574165. The Rs 63 crore instalment is 34.5 per cent of the Rs 182.70 crore due in the year. Take the instalment to nil and both denominators are Rs 119.70 crore, so both read 2.07 times.
Drawn to one scale the two denominators differ by a single red segment, so the distance between the two readings is the scheduled principal and nothing besides it.
Try it out

Both ratios divide the same Rs 248 crore of cash. So where does the gap between 2.07 times and 1.36 times actually come from?

Why does a profit statement carry one obligation and not the other?

Here is the reason the smaller-looking measure became the popular one, and it is a reason about documents rather than about judgement.

Interest is a trading costAn amount consumed in running the business through the period, which a profit statement records as an expense because it has been used up and is not coming back.. The project used somebody else's money for a year, and the charge for that use is an expense of the year, so it appears on the face of a profit statement as a line that can be pointed at. Rs 119.70 crore, printed, visible, available to anyone reading the document.

A principal repayment is not a cost at all. Nothing is consumed when it is paid. Rs 63 crore of cash goes out and Rs 63 crore of liability disappears, so the business is exactly as well off afterwards as before, on paper. Because nothing was used up, no expense line records it. The repayment appears in a cash flow statement, under financing, and in the movement of the borrowings balance, and nowhere at all in the ladder that runs from revenue down to profit.

The consequence anybody working from published statements has to carry is this: on a project like this one, the second largest thing the lenders are owed in the year is invisible in the measure most readers reach for first, and here it is 34.5 per cent of the total obligation.

The household version is exact. On a home loan statement the interest is broken out because it is what the loan cost the borrower. The principal portion of the same instalment is not a cost of anything; it is the borrower getting the house back a little at a time. And yet both parts left the account on the same day, in the same transfer, and the bank did not accept the second part as optional because it failed to be an expense.

One clarification before moving on prevents a common confusion. Saying the principal is not a cost is not saying it is unimportant, and it is not saying accounting has made a mistake. Accounting is answering its own question correctly. The question a profit statement answers is what the period consumed. The question a lender is asking is what the period has to pay. The two are different questions, and the instalment is the item on which they visibly disagree.

One of the two obligations has a line to sit on. The other has none. WHAT A PROFIT STATEMENT SHOWS RevenueRs 310 crore Operating costRs 62 crore Operating cashRs 248 crore Interest, a costRs 119.70 crore Principal repaymentno line exists The record carries no tax or maintenance charge here. WHAT LEAVES THE BANK ACCOUNT InterestRs 119.70 crore Scheduled principalRs 63 crore Debt serviceRs 182.70 crore Cash availableRs 248 crore Left for the sponsorsRs 65.30 crore Each of these settles by bank transfer in the year. The Rs 63 crore instalment is 34.5 per cent of what has to be paid in the year and nil per cent of what gets reported as a cost, which is why a measure built on reported cost cannot see it.
Interest earns a printed line because it was consumed, while the Rs 63 crore instalment merely retires a liability and so leaves the account without ever appearing as an expense.
Try it out

Why does the Rs 63 crore principal repayment not appear anywhere in a profit statement?

One question actually decides which measure to reach for, and it is not a question about the ratios at all. The deciding question is about the borrower.

Try it out

A packaging maker and a single-asset toll road company each face a principal instalment falling due. Is it the same problem for both?

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Why can a trading company live on the interest measure when a project cannot?

This is the heart of the comparison, and it is easy to get wrong in a way that sounds sophisticated. The wrong version says that project lenders are more careful than corporate lenders, so they use the stricter ratio. The careful-lender explanation is not it. The difference is structural, and it is about whether repayment is genuinely optional in any given year.

Take Harivansh Packaging Limited, the listed packaging maker used elsewhere in this sequence, purely as an example of an ordinary corporate borrower. Harivansh Packaging runs many plants, sells to many customers, and has been trading for years. When a facility of its matures, the usual outcome is not that the company scrapes together the cash and hands it over. The usual outcome is refinancingReplacing a borrowing that is falling due with a new borrowing, so that the old lender is repaid out of the new lender's money rather than out of the business's cash.: a new facility is put in place, the old lender is repaid out of the new lender's money, and the business carries on. The principal was a question about access to credit, not a question about this year's cash.

So when somebody looks at Harivansh Packaging and asks whether the borrowing is affordable, interest coverage is a reasonable measure to reach for. Interest coverage measures the charge, and the charge is genuinely what has to be found out of trading every year. The repayment is real, but it is a refinancing question, and refinancing questions are answered by looking at the business as a going concern rather than by looking at one year of cash.

Now put the same question to Tapti Crossing Infrastructure Private Limited. The vehicle is ring-fencedSet up so that the vehicle's assets and cash serve only its own lenders, with no claim on anybody standing behind it and no other business inside it. and holds exactly one asset. There is no second business generating cash, no diversified operating history to underwrite, and the right to collect from the crossing does not last forever. The debt has to be repaid out of the road's own collections, inside the life of the right the project runs on. The schedule exists in the first place for precisely that reason: the lenders are not relying on being able to refinance, they are relying on being repaid.

So the same instalment carries a different status for the two borrowers, and it is not a difference of prudence between two kinds of lender: for a continuing company the principal is a refinancing question, and for a single-asset project it is a cash question in every single year. Once repayment stops being optional, a measure that omits it stops describing anything the borrower has to do.

The difference is easy to feel and hard to state, so here is an everyday version. A shopkeeper who has traded on the same street for twenty years can usually roll a loan over; the lender is comfortable because the shop will still be there next year. A person who has borrowed against a stall licence that expires in eight years cannot roll anything over past the eighth year. After the eighth year there is no stall. Both may pay identical interest. Only one of them can treat the repayment as a problem for a future lender.

The same instalment. One question decides which ratio applies. An instalment falls due Can the facility be replaced when it matures? USUALLY YES NO A CONTINUING TRADING COMPANY Many customers, many years of trading The principal is a refinancing question Interest coverage answers it A RING-FENCED SINGLE-ASSET VEHICLE One asset, no second source of cash The principal is a cash question, yearly The debt service ratio answers it Nothing about the amount changed. Only whether paying it this year was optional.
Whether the instalment is a refinancing question or a cash question is settled by the borrower's structure, and that single fork decides which of the two ratios is describing reality.

What happens to the two ratios as the instalment grows?

Now hold everything still except the one item the two measures disagree about, and watch what each of them does. Cash stays at Rs 248 crore. Interest stays at Rs 119.70 crore. Only the scheduled principal moves, from nil up to Rs 126 crore, double the instalment the project actually carries.

The instalment sits inside the debt service denominator, so as the instalment grows the denominator grows and the ratio falls the whole way. At nil it reads 2.07 times. At Rs 31.50 crore it reads 1.64 times. At Rs 63 crore, the instalment this project actually carries, it reads 1.36 times. At Rs 94.50 crore it reads 1.16 times. At Rs 126 crore it reads 1.01 times, a project with almost nothing left after its lenders are paid.

Interest coverage reads 2.07 times at every one of those settings. Not approximately, not with a small drift. The instalment never enters the interest denominator, so a change in the instalment is arithmetically incapable of moving the reading. The identical 2.071846 comes back at nil and at Rs 126 crore.

A measure that does not respond to the item that is changing is not a conservative measure, it is a blind one. Here the blindness runs in the comfortable direction, and that is what allows a project to look untroubled at 2.07 times while its actual headroomThe spare cash left over once an obligation has been met, usually expressed as the part of the obligation that could have been paid again. is being cut in half.

One of the two is doing more work here. The debt service ratio moved from 2.07 times to 1.01 times, a full turn, in response to an instalment change. Interest coverage delivered the same reading five times over. For anyone paid to know what was happening to this project, only one of those two measures was saying anything at all.

Move only the instalment. One line falls. The other does not budge. 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 the record, Rs 63 crore Interest coverage, 2.07 times at every setting Debt service cover ratio, falling 2.07 1.64 1.36 1.16 1.01 Nil Rs 31.50 cr Rs 63 cr Rs 94.50 cr Rs 126 cr SCHEDULED PRINCIPAL IN THE YEAR, CASH AND INTEREST HELD FIXED
Across the whole range the debt service ratio slides from 2.07 times to 1.01 times while interest coverage returns the identical reading five times, and the shaded wedge between them is the growing instalment.
Try it out

The scheduled instalment doubles from Rs 63 crore to Rs 126 crore. What happens to interest coverage?

Play with it

The instalment isolator

Cash is pinned at Rs 248 crore and interest at Rs 119.70 crore, exactly as the modelled year of Tapti Crossing Infrastructure Private Limited has them. The only thing that moves is the scheduled principal. As the control moves across its five settings, only one of the two bars responds. The shaded band between the bar tops is the gap, and measuring it in rupees shows it to be the instalment itself.

Only the instalment moves. Watch which bar answers. 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 1.00 times 2.07, fixed Rs 63 crore of principal 1.36 times 2.07 times Debt service cover cash over Rs 182.70 crore Interest coverage cash over Rs 119.70 crore

With Rs 63 crore of principal scheduled, debt service is Rs 182.70 crore and the cover is 1.36 times, while interest coverage has not moved off 2.07 times, so the whole 0.71 turn gap is the instalment.

Instalment
Rs 63 crore
Debt service
Rs 182.70 crore
Debt service cover
1.36 times
Interest coverage
2.07 times
Principal share
34.5 per cent

Educational illustration. Cash of Rs 248 crore and interest of Rs 119.70 crore are held fixed while only the instalment moves, so a fall in what the road collects lies outside what the control shows. The Rs 248 crore is a ceiling. The record carries no tax charge and no maintenance spending for this project. Both ratios belong to the one modelled year and to no other. No setting other than Rs 63 crore describes Tapti Crossing Infrastructure Private Limited.

Try it out

Now take the control all the way down and set the instalment to nil. What do the two ratios read?

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How does a project lender actually use the two together?

A credit team looking at Tapti Crossing Infrastructure Private Limited is not choosing between the two ratios as though one had to win. A credit team reads them in a fixed order and takes something different from each. The order is worth knowing, and it is the practitioner habit that matters most on a project.

The debt service cover ratio answers the question the lender is actually exposed to, so it is read first. At 1.36 times the year covers Rs 182.70 crore of obligations and leaves Rs 65.30 crore over. The Rs 65.30 crore left over is what a lender cares about. The leftover is the only buffer between a normal year and a missed payment. The sponsors are looking at the same number from the other side, where the Rs 65.30 crore reaching their equity of Rs 540 crore is a cash return of 12.09 per cent in that year alone and not over the life of anything.

Interest coverage is read second, and it is read as a diagnostic rather than as a verdict. Because it strips the schedule out, it isolates the rate. If a structure looks tight, comparing the two shows where the tightness is coming from: a project reading 1.36 times on debt service and 2.07 times on interest is tight because of its repayment schedule. A project reading 1.36 times on debt service and 1.40 times on interest would be tight because of what it is paying for the money. The two are different problems with different remedies, and the second ratio is what separates them.

Neither ratio is the lender's answer on its own: the debt service ratio says how close the year runs to the edge, the interest measure says how much of that closeness is the instalment rather than the rate, and the pair together says something neither one says alone.

A third practitioner habit is worth naming, and it stops a reader from over-reading a single year. Both of these ratios describe one year. A structure is also carrying a debt service reserve, on this project two quarters of debt service, or Rs 91.35 crore. A reserve is not cash the year produced, so it does not improve either ratio by a single decimal. A reserve converts a timing problem into a funded buffer, and it is cash the sponsors cannot take out. Any reading of a coverage ratio that ignores whether a reserve exists is reading half the structure.

The LBO in Structure teaches you to build the structure of a leveraged buyout and see where the return actually comes from.

When is interest coverage the right measure to reach for?

An account that only criticised interest coverage would hand over a prejudice rather than a tool, and a prejudice is worse than the original error because it feels like knowledge. The honest case for the measure runs to three settings in which it is the better of the two.

The first is affordability out of trading. If the question is whether a business can carry the cost of its borrowing from what it earns, the cost is exactly what belongs in the denominator, and adding the repayment schedule would be answering a different question badly. Harivansh Packaging Limited carries Rs 60 crore of finance cost against Rs 477 crore of operating earnings, and interest coverage is a perfectly sensible way to look at that.

The second is comparison across borrowers whose schedules differ. Two businesses with identical earnings and identical debt can show quite different debt service ratios purely because one is repaying faster than the other, and the faster repayer is not the weaker business. Stripping the schedule out is the only way to compare what the two are paying for their money on the same basis. Two home loans are compared on their rate before being compared on the size of the monthly instalment, for the same reason.

The third is where the principal genuinely is refinanceable. If the borrower is a going concern with access to credit and the maturity is being rolled rather than repaid, then treating the instalment as this year's cash obligation overstates the pressure. The instalment is real, but it is not a claim on this year's operating cash.

All three of those are questions about a business that continues. A single-asset project is exactly the borrower that does not continue, and that is the whole of the reason interest coverage is the wrong first measure on this road and a perfectly good one elsewhere.

Three settings where interest coverage is the better measure. AFFORDABILITY Can the business carry the cost of its borrowing out of what it earns? Why it works The cost is the thing the question was about. COMPARISON Two borrowers whose repayment schedules are not alike. Why it works It strips the schedule out and leaves the rate. REFINANCEABLE The maturity is genuinely being rolled rather than repaid out of cash. Why it works The instalment is not this year of cash to find. All three assume a business that continues past the maturity. A ring-fenced vehicle holding one asset and one right to collect is the case where that assumption is not available.
Interest coverage earns its place in three specific settings, and every one of them quietly assumes a borrower that will still be trading after the maturity arrives.
Try it out

Which one of these is a proper use of interest coverage rather than a misuse of it?

Which one is read first on a project?

The debt service cover ratio, always, and the reason is short enough to keep. The debt service cover ratio is the one that describes what has to leave the bank account.

The ranking is not a claim that 1.36 times is a good number or a bad one. The ranking says something narrower and more useful: of the two measures available, one counts everything the year has to pay and the other counts part of it, and on a borrower that cannot postpone the part being omitted, the complete count comes first.

Interest coverage is read second, and read for what it uniquely establishes: how much of the tightness is schedule and how much is rate. On Tapti Crossing Infrastructure Private Limited the answer is that almost all of it is schedule: 2.07 times on interest against 1.36 times on debt service says the money is not expensive relative to the cash, but the repayment is demanding relative to the cash. A demanding schedule is a genuinely different diagnosis from a project struggling to pay its interest, and a reader who only saw one of the two numbers could not have told them apart.

The instruction that survives being repeated is this: read the debt service ratio first, read interest coverage second to see how much of the tightness is the instalment rather than the rate, and never quote the second without the first.

The error that gets made, and what it costs

A summary of the project reports that it is covered 2.07 times. Nothing in that sentence is false. The ratio was computed correctly from correct figures, and it says what it says. A reader takes it as the cover, and it is not the cover.

The Rs 63 crore instalment was never in the denominator, so a structure carrying 35.7 per cent of spare cash above its obligations has been described in terms that suggest more than twice the obligation is covered. There is no arithmetic error anywhere in the chain to catch. The error is durable rather than careless for that reason: it uses a real ratio, computed properly, and interest coverage is the measure most readers learned first, on companies, where it usually is the right one to have reached for.

The cost lands when the cash falls, and it lands in the worst possible direction. Suppose the crossing collects Rs 65.30 crore less in the year, a fall of 21.1 per cent in revenue, with the operating cost of Rs 62 crore holding where it is. Revenue is then Rs 244.70 crore and operating cash is Rs 182.70 crore. Against debt service of Rs 182.70 crore the project now covers itself exactly 1.00 times, meaning every rupee the road produced went to the lenders and the sponsors received nothing at all. Against interest of Rs 119.70 crore the very same year reads 1.53 times, and 1.53 times still looks like a cushion.

So the two measures diverge most at the moment when the answer matters most. A reader watching interest coverage sees a number fall from 2.07 to 1.53 and reads it as a business coming under some pressure. A reader watching debt service cover sees 1.36 fall to 1.00 and reads it as a business that has just run out of room. Same road, same year, same collections.

The fix is a sentence rather than a technique, and it is worth memorising in this form. On a project, the interest measure reports the rate and the debt service measure reports the repayment, and only one of those two has to leave the bank account in full every year.

The two measures diverge most when the cash is under pressure. 1.00 times 1.36 2.07 1.00 1.53 Debt service Interest cover Debt service Interest cover The modelled year, Rs 248 crore of cash After a 21.1 per cent fall, Rs 182.70 crore Debt service cover has reached 1.00 times with nothing left over, and interest cover still reads 1.53 times.
At the point where a fall in collections leaves the sponsors with nothing, the debt service measure sits exactly on the rule while the interest measure still reports a cushion of half a turn.
Try it out

Revenue at Tapti Crossing Infrastructure falls 21.1 per cent while the operating cost holds at Rs 62 crore. What do the two measures read?

Building either ratio out of a project's cash flow model is covered separately. The order in which cash is applied through a waterfall is covered separately, as is what a project lender underwrites. Any covenant that tests either ratio lives inside a lending agreement and is covered separately. Whether this crossing should have been built, financed this way or geared to 70 per cent of its cost is a judgement separate from the arithmetic, and the arithmetic settles none of it. Both readings belong to the single modelled year, and with no concession length, no tenor and no traffic forecast in the record, neither ratio extends to any other year and neither turns into a return over the life of the asset.
Where the rules for this live

India, named and not stated

A ring-fenced vehicle servicing debt out of one asset behaves the same way wherever the road happens to be, so the arithmetic above holds in any market. Where an Indian reader needs the rules rather than the arithmetic, the routing is this. Incorporating and holding a special purpose vehicle, its shareholding, the charges registered over its assets and the filings that follow are company law matters and sit with the Ministry of Corporate Affairs at mca.gov.in. Anything a listed sponsor has to disclose about a project financing, or that an issuer must do when raising money against one, sits with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) at sebi.gov.in. Both bodies revise what they require from time to time, and the operative text is the one on the issuing body's own site.

Try it out

Which measure is read first on a project, and what does the second one add?

Debt Capital Markets Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

References

SourceWhat it settlesWhere
Ministry of Corporate AffairsIncorporating and holding a special purpose vehicle, its shareholding, charges over its assets and the filings that follow.mca.gov.in
SEBIWhat a listed sponsor or an issuer must do or disclose in connection with a project financing.sebi.gov.in

Tapti Crossing Infrastructure Private Limited and Harivansh Packaging Limited are invented.
Educational material. Not advice on any investment, tax, budget or market position.

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