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Investment Banking Analyst · CoreTrack
1Financial Accounting, Reporting & Analysis
iAccounting System and Standards
Financial AccountingDebits and CreditsAccrual and Cash AccountingAccounting Policies, Estimates and…The Matching PrincipleDouble-Entry AccountingGoing ConcernInd AS and IFRSWhy Two Honest Companies…
iiFinancial Statement Architecture
The Three Financial StatementsConsolidated Financial StatementsStandalone and Consolidated Statements…How to Read a…How to Perform Trend…Which Accounting Rules Apply…
iiiIncome Statement, Profitability and Tax
The Income StatementRevenue vs Income vs ProfitHow to Read an Income StatementThe Profit LadderEBITDA and EBIT Compared,…EBIT vs EBT vs PATOperating ExpenditureTax-Loss CarryforwardWhy a Company's Effective…Deferred TaxDiluted EPSEffective Tax Rate
ivBalance Sheet and Capital Employed
The Balance SheetAsset TypesCapital EmployedReturn on Capital EmployedLiabilitiesBook ValueRetained EarningsOff-Balance-Sheet FinancingHow to Read a Balance SheetTangible Net Worth
vCash Flow and Liquidity
The Cash Flow StatementOperating, Investing and Financing…Operating Cash FlowProfit vs Cash FlowCash Flow From Operations vs EBITDARevenue Growth vs Operating Cash FlowHow to Read a Cash Flow StatementHow to Reconcile Cash…
viRevenue, Receivables and Working Capital
The Working Capital CycleThe Working Capital CycleReturn on Invested CapitalHow Working Capital Affects Cash FlowAccrued and Deferred RevenueRevenueHow to Analyse Revenue QualityAccounts PayableAccounts ReceivableExpected Credit Loss
viiInventory, Cost Accounting and Margins
Cost AbsorptionInventoryCost of Goods SoldFIFO vs Weighted Average CostAmortised Cost vs Fair ValueInventory Write-DownsMargin AnalysisContribution MarginOperating LeverageGross Profit vs Gross MarginHow to Analyse Profit MarginsHow to Interpret Operating…
viiiFixed Assets, Leases and Intangibles
DepreciationDepreciation MethodsAmortisation vs DepreciationAsset ImpairmentCapital ExpenditureAsset Efficiency and Capital IntensityProperty, Plant and EquipmentIntangible AssetsOperating Lease vs Finance…How to Analyse Capex…Why Capitalising Costs Increases…
ixDebt, Equity and Financial Instruments
Equity on the Balance SheetDebt TypesNet Debt and LeverageDebt vs Equity Accounting ClassificationHow to Analyse Debt…Convertible BondsInterest in the AccountsShare CapitalShare DilutionHybrid Instruments
xConsolidation and Business Combinations
ControlSubsidiaryGoodwillAssociate CompanyJoint Venture vs Associate…Intercompany EliminationsThe Equity MethodHow to Analyse Group…
xiCash, Investments and Financial Assets
Cash and Cash EquivalentsHow to Analyse Cash…The Fair Value HierarchyHow to Interpret a…Financial Asset ClassificationMarketable Securities and Short-Term Investments
xiiFinancial Ratios and Performance Diagnostics
Return on CapitalDuPont AnalysisHow to Perform Common-Size AnalysisDebt to EquityLiquidity RatiosLeverage and Coverage RatiosReturn on Equity and the DuPont DecompositionWhich Financial Ratios Matter…
xiiiEarnings Quality, Red Flags and Forensics
Earnings QualityHow to Prepare for…Channel StuffingEarnings ManagementHow to Analyse Related-Party…How to Spot Accounting…Why Frequent Exceptional Items…What an Auditor Change…
xivAnnual Reports, Notes and Disclosure Reading
Notes to the AccountsManagement Discussion and AnalysisSegment ReportingShareholding PatternPro Forma FinancialsAnnual Report vs Investor…How to Read an Annual Report
xvAudit, Assurance and Reporting Reliability
The Statutory Audit and the AuditorAudit MaterialityEmphasis of MatterFinancial RestatementInternal AuditLimited ReviewKey Audit MattersInternal Controls Over Financial ReportingThe Audit OpinionAuditor Independence
2Corporate Finance & Valuation
iCorporate Finance Fundamentals
Corporate FinanceCorporate Finance vs AccountingAgency CostsThe Financial ObjectiveThe Financing DecisionThe Investment DecisionProfit Maximisation vs Value…How Capital Allocation Affects…
iiTime Value of Money
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iiiCash Flow and Value Drivers
ReinvestmentReinvestment RateRevenue GrowthRevenue Growth vs ReinvestmentReturns in Corporate FinanceValue DriversOperating MarginEconomic ProfitFCFF vs FCFEHow to Normalise Earnings…
ivCost of Capital
The Cost of CapitalCost of CapitalSunk Cost vs Opportunity CostHow to Estimate a…Levered and Unlevered BetaCountry Risk PremiumEquity Risk PremiumThe Risk-Free Rate
vCapital Structure
Capital StructureHow to Analyse a…Financial LeverageOperating Leverage vs Financial…RecapitalisationDebt FinancingDebt CapacityGross Debt vs Net DebtEquity FinancingHow Leverage Can Increase…Refinancing RiskFinancial Distress
viCapital Budgeting
Capital BudgetingSunk CostsDiscounted PaybackPayback vs Discounted PaybackNet Present ValueInternal Rate of ReturnProject AppraisalIndependent vs Mutually Exclusive…How to Resolve NPV and IRR Conflicts
viiWorking Capital Finance
Capital RationingWorking Capital FinancingExcess CashCash ManagementShort-Term Financing
viiiPayout Policy
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ixValuation Fundamentals
ValuationValuation RangeFCFF vs FCFE ValuationSOTP vs Consolidated ValuationHow to Build a DCF ValuationHow to Build a…How to Build a…Firm Value and Equity ValueReplacement CostShareholder ValueEnterprise-to-Equity Value BridgeSum-of-the-PartsEnterprise Value vs Equity ValueValue vs PriceAsset Value vs Earnings ValueBook Value vs Adjusted Book ValueLiquidation Value vs Going-Concern…
xDiscounted Cash Flow
Discounted Cash FlowTerminal ValueNormalisationThe Forecast HorizonIncremental Cash FlowFree Cash Flow to FirmDiscounted Cash FlowBase Case vs Bull Case vs Bear CaseTwo-Stage vs Three-Stage DCFForward vs Historical FinancialsOperating vs Non-Operating AssetHow to Forecast Free Cash FlowHow to Audit a DCF Model
xiRelative Valuation
Relative ValuationDCF vs Relative ValuationConglomerate DiscountComparable Company AnalysisHow to Select Comparable CompaniesTrading MultiplesTrading Multiples
xiiTransaction Valuation
Transaction ValueDeal Value vs Enterprise ValueSources and UsesAccretion and DilutionHow to Analyse Accretion…Leveraged BuyoutManagement RolloverMinority Interest in ValuationControl Premium vs Minority DiscountPrecedent TransactionsLBO ReturnsTrading Comps vs Precedent TransactionsStrategic Buyer vs Financial BuyerHow to Build an…
xiiiValuation Discipline
Decision Rules in ValuationHow Valuation Ranges Improve…Implied AssumptionsImplied GrowthBase, Bull and BearScenario vs Sensitivity AnalysisMargin of SafetyHow to Check Discount…
3Transactions & Corporate Finance
iCapital Raising
Private PlacementRights Issue or Private PlacementSecondary SalePrimary Issue or Secondary SaleRefinancingConvertible Securities in a RaiseNet DebtUse of ProceedsAccretion Or DilutionHow To Analyse Financing…How To Map The…
iiMergers and Acquisitions
SynergyAsset Purchase or Share PurchaseExchange Ratio or Purchase PriceThe Deal RationaleDeal TermsIntegrationThe Integration PlanThe Value Creation PlanThe Synergy RegisterSynergy or Cost SavingThe Post-Merger ReviewMerger or AcquisitionReinvestment or Acquisition Spend
iiiThe Transaction Process, Governance and Communications
What a Transaction Is,…Signing and ClosingThe Term SheetTerm Sheet or Definitive AgreementThe MandateThe Data RoomThe Letter of IntentMaterial Information in a DealMaterial or Confidential InformationThe Deal Communication PlanInvestor or Employee MessageThe LeakThe Deal TeamThe Independent CommitteeHow an Information Barrier…Market SoundingThe Deal Stakeholder MapThe Deal TimelineDeal Outcome or Process QualityHow to Map a…The Long-Stop DateDeal RumoursDue Diligence or AuditConstruction Risk or Operating RiskRegulatory Approval or Third-Party ConsentExclusivity or ConfidentialityConditions Precedent or Subsequent
ivTransaction Documentation
Representations and WarrantiesThe Definitive AgreementThe Disclosure ScheduleThe Non-CompeteBreak Fee, Reverse Break…Termination RightsIndemnity, Covenant and UndertakingLimitation of LiabilityCompletion Accounts vs Locked BoxIndemnity vs EscrowHoldback vs EscrowHow to Build a…
vTransaction Valuation
ConsiderationBuilding a Consideration AnalysisComparable Companies in a DealEnterprise Value in a DealEquity ValuePurchase Price MechanicsThe Reservation PriceThe Fairness OpinionTransaction Risk and Integration RiskConflict of Interest and…Transaction Announcement and Market RumourBuilding a Diligence Workplan…Framing a Valuation Inside a TransactionKeeping a Transaction Decision…Writing a Transaction Case Study
viDeal Execution
Deal CertaintyConditions Precedent, Regulatory and…Deal Narrative vs Investment CaseThe Closing ChecklistMaterial Adverse ChangeClosing Deliverables
viiRestructuring
RestructuringHow to Map a…Demerger, Spin-Off and Carve-OutInsolvencyThe Distressed SaleThe Asset SaleThe Scheme of ArrangementThe TurnaroundDemerger vs Spin-OffTurnaround vs Debt Restructuring
viiiProject Finance
Project FinanceProject Finance vs Corporate FinanceHow to Map a…How to Review Project-Finance…The Project LenderSponsor vs LenderThe ConcessionDebt Service, the Cover…Debt Capacity and Debt OutstandingThe Offtake AgreementPolitical RiskHow to Build a…The Special Purpose VehicleCoverage RatiosDSCR and Interest Coverage
ixCapital Allocation
Capital AllocationHow to Build a…Growth Capex and Maintenance CapexThe Capital BudgetReturn of CapitalDebt Repayment or Share Repurchase

How to Map a Corporate Restructuring, Step by Step

Mapping a restructuring means writing four things down in a fixed order: how far the debt sits above what the earnings support, what range of debt the business is assumed to carry, who ranks where when a short amount is shared, and what each available route moves. The output is a range and a distribution, never one number.

The four entries above are the finished article. The eight steps below produce them, and the order of the steps matters more than any single line in it. A restructuring usually arrives the way most people first meet one: as a pile of unsorted material, some of it arithmetic, some of it legal, a good deal of it opinion wearing the clothes of fact, and everybody in the room already holding a view about the answer. The map is what turns that pile into something a second person can check.

Be clear about the two things a map is for. The two pull in opposite directions, and both are needed. A map records what is known, in an order that lets somebody else re-derive every figure. A map also records what is not known. Without that record, an assumption gets mistaken for a measurement. A single figure hides which assumption made it and leaves no room to say what was never established, so a map that produces one number has failed at both jobs.

Three things arrive already settled and are put to work here rather than built again. One is earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation, or EBITDAWhat a business earns from trading before interest, tax and the charges for wearing out its assets are taken off., as the annual earnings figure, together with the leverage multipleBorrowings divided by an annual earnings figure, so the answer comes out in years-worth rather than in rupees. struck on it. Another is what a lender actually holds when a named asset stands behind its loan. The third is the borrower everything runs on: Meghdoot Coated Products Limited, an invented maker of coated packaging, owes Rs 900 crore against Rs 60 crore of EBITDA, of which Rs 620 crore sits with secured lenders and Rs 280 crore with unsecured ones. None of the three is taught below; all three are covered separately, and every mechanism a step points at is covered in its own right further along.

What are the eight steps, and why this order?

Here is the whole sequence in one view. The shape of the sequence is the lesson, and the individual steps are almost dull on their own. Take the sequence in whole before reading any step in detail.

  1. State the two numbers and the ratio between them. Nothing else.
  2. Fix the sustainable range as a range, and write down who chose it and why.
  3. Convert that range into rupees and into per cent, naming the base.
  4. List every claim and check the list adds back to the borrowings.
  5. Apply each ranking rule to the same pot and set the outcomes side by side.
  6. Mark each route against the two numbers and record what it forecloses.
  7. Split the map into what is arithmetic and what is set in law.
  8. Write down what is not known, inside the map rather than under it.

Now the part that is easy to miss. Five of those steps produce something: a ratio, a range, an amount, a distribution, a marked list of routes. Three of them produce nothing at all. Steps four, seven and eight add no figure to the map. The three exist purely to stop a later step, or a later reader, producing an answer that looks solid and is not. Nothing in the output announces that the checks were skipped, so a map without its three unproductive steps still generates numbers, and that is precisely the danger.

Reordering is the other failure, and it is quieter. Suppose somebody starts at step five. Who gets paid is the interesting question, and everybody wants to argue about it. Somebody starting there needs a pot to share, so they reach for a figure, and the figure they reach for was produced by a multiple nobody wrote down. The input has no stated origin, so the distribution work is real, careful and completely uncheckable. Every step exists to make the step after it checkable. The sequence is not a matter of taste.

Eight steps in one order, and three of them produce no figure at all. STEP WHAT IS WRITTEN DOWN AT THIS STEP WHAT IT PRODUCES 1 State the two numbers, and stop there Rs 900 cr, Rs 60 cr, 15.0 times 2 Fix the sustainable range and who chose it 3.0 to 4.0 times, a judgement 3 Convert the range into rupees and per cent Rs 660 to Rs 720 crore goes 4 List every claim and add it back to the debt no new figure, a check only 5 Apply both ranking rules to the same pot two outcomes on Rs 210 crore 6 Mark each route against the two numbers five routes, marked not scored 7 Split what is arithmetic from what is law no new figure, a routing only 8 Write down what is not known no new figure, a register only The three rows marked in red add nothing to the output and cannot be dropped without losing the check. Meghdoot Coated Products Limited is invented, and so is every figure in the right hand column.
The eight steps run in one order, and steps four, seven and eight produce no figure at all, existing only to stop a later step or a later reader from treating an unchecked answer as a settled one.
Investment Banking Analyst Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

Step one: what are the two numbers, and what is the gap?

Write down what is owed. Write down what is earned in a year. Divide the first by the second. Stop.

For Meghdoot Coated Products Limited that is Rs 900 crore of borrowings, Rs 60 crore of EBITDA, and a ratio of 15.0 times. Three figures, one line of the map, and the temptation at this point is enormous: to add a sentence about how serious that is, or which route it points to, or what a lender is likely to accept. Resist all of it. A map that starts with a view spends the next seven steps assembling evidence for the view, and the person reading it afterwards cannot tell the difference between an analysis and a case.

There is a practical reason as well as an intellectual one. Step one is the only part of the map that is pure record: these are the figures the borrower's own accounts carry, and anybody can check them against the same source. Everything after step one has some element of choice in it. Letting interpretation into the one step that has none gives up the only clean footing the map has.

Three figures invite more reading than three figures can carry, so the limits of step one are worth stating. Step one does not say the position is unsustainable; it says the position is 15.0 times, and what that supports is settled at steps two and three. The record for Meghdoot Coated Products carries no repayment schedule at all, so step one says nothing about when payments fall due. The record holds one year of earnings and no more, and a single point cannot describe a direction, so the ratio says nothing about whether the position got worse, better or stayed still. The missing direction is easy to fill in by accident, and it is the absence to guard hardest.

Try it out

Rs 900 crore, Rs 60 crore and 15.0 times have been written down. What is the very next thing that goes into the map?

Step two: what range is being assumed, and who chose it?

Step two is the step everything else is arranged around, and it is the shortest to describe. The range of leverage the business is assumed to be able to carry goes into the map, together with the name of the person who chose it and the basis they used. Then the map moves on.

For this map the range is 3.0 to 4.0 times, and the honest entry beside it reads: chosen by whoever is writing the map, on a judgement about how the earnings behave across years the record does not contain. The entry is not a coy way of saying the figure is weak. The entry records the exact standing of the figure. Nothing measured it, no authority publishes it, and a different competent person would have written 2.5 to 3.5 and been no less careful.

Step two is the only place in the whole map where a judgement enters. Record the person and the reason at step two, or both are lost for good. Once a number leaves step two it looks like every other number in the map. The number has a rupee sign, it sits in a column, it survives being copied into a summary, and by the third document nobody remembers that it began life as somebody's opinion about the future.

Now a point worth being exact about. Step four is only useful to somebody who has it right. Everything downstream of step two is often said to inherit the judgement, and the claim is wrong. Only two later steps carry the judgement: step three, whose whole output is a function of the multiple, and step five, whose pot is the supported figure step three produced. Steps four, six, seven and eight are independent of it. The claim list is Rs 620 crore secured and Rs 280 crore unsecured whatever multiple is assumed. The five routes exist whatever multiple is assumed. Nothing set in law moves, and nothing missing from the record moves either. Independence of that kind is not a technicality: it is the reason step four can catch an error that step two could never catch, and the reason the map is built in this order rather than any other.

One judgement, and exactly two of the six later steps carry it. STEP TWO, THE ONLY JUDGEMENT Sustainable range: 3.0 to 4.0 times Chosen by: whoever writes the map Measured by: nobody, and nothing At 3.0 times: Rs 720 crore goes, 80.0 per cent At 3.5 times: Rs 690 crore goes, 76.7 per cent At 4.0 times: Rs 660 crore goes, 73.3 per cent CARRIES THE JUDGEMENT Step three, the amount that has to go Step five, the size of the pot shared Change the range and both of these move. DOES NOT CARRY IT Step one, the two numbers Step four, the claim list Step six, which routes exist Steps seven and eight, law and gaps Change the range and none of these moves. Step four is independent of step two, which is why it can catch an error step two never could. Meghdoot Coated Products Limited is invented, and the range shown is a judgement rather than a measurement.
Step two is the only judgement in the map, and it is carried by step three and step five alone, which is why the claim list at step four stays independent enough to catch what the multiple cannot.
Private Equity Analyst Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

Step three: what does the range imply for the amount that has to go?

Multiply the range by the earnings. The product is the debt the earnings are assumed to support. Subtract the product from the borrowings. The difference is the amount that has to go. Then express the difference as a percentage, and name the figure it is struck on.

Three levels, worked on the locked figures, so the range is visible rather than a point.

Assumed levelSupported debtAmount that has to goPer cent of the Rs 900 crore owed
3.0 timesRs 180 croreRs 720 crore80.0
3.5 timesRs 210 croreRs 690 crore76.7
4.0 timesRs 240 croreRs 660 crore73.3
Distance across the outer twoRs 60 croreRs 60 crore6.7 points

Two things about that table belong in the map itself rather than in a reader's head. The first is the base. Every one of those percentages is struck on the Rs 900 crore owed and on nothing else, and a percentage without its base written beside it is the single most portable error in this whole subject. The second is the rounding. The record states these three as whole numbers, 80, 77 and 73 per cent, and 690 over 900 is actually 76.667. One decimal everywhere keeps the table, the drawings and the moving panel below in agreement, and 77 per cent is then plainly the middle row rounded.

Now the bottom row, and it needs a sentence or a reader will think a figure has been pasted twice. The distance between the outer two write-downs is Rs 60 crore. The EBITDA is Rs 60 crore too. The match is not a coincidence and it is not corroboration. Setting 3.0 times beside 4.0 times sets one turn beside the next, so whatever separates the two rows has to be a single turn of earnings, and a single turn of earnings is Rs 60 crore: forced by construction rather than found by working. Widen the ends to 3.0 and 4.5 times and the gap becomes Rs 90 crore, at which point nothing looks doubled at all. A reader who spots the match and is left to guess will either distrust the whole table or, worse, read it as confirmation. Write the sentence into the map.

One rule governs the format of this step's output and it is simple to check from across a room. A step three output with one row in it has skipped step two. One row means one multiple was picked and never written down, and a figure like a write-downReducing a recorded amount owed to a smaller figure, so that the smaller figure becomes the one that stands. of Rs 690 crore then travels through every later document with its origin missing.

A range in, two outputs out, and the base named on both. THE RANGE FIXED AT STEP TWO 3.0 to 4.0 times 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Nobody measures this scale. A person picks a band on it. x Rs 60 cr OUTPUT ONE, THE DEBT THE EARNINGS SUPPORT Rs 180 crore at 3.0 times Rs 240 crore at 4.0 times OUTPUT TWO, THE AMOUNT THAT HAS TO GO Rs 720 crore, 80.0 per cent Rs 690 crore, 76.7 per cent Rs 660 crore, 73.3 per cent all struck on the Rs 900 crore owed A step three output with one row in it has skipped step two. Meghdoot Coated Products Limited is invented, and every rupee shown was written for teaching.
Multiplying the assumed range of 3.0 to 4.0 times by Rs 60 crore of earnings gives supported debt of Rs 180 crore to Rs 240 crore, so Rs 660 crore to Rs 720 crore has to go, being 73.3 to 80.0 per cent of the Rs 900 crore owed.
Try it out

A map arrives with a single row at step three: a write-down of Rs 690 crore, 76.7 per cent. What is missing?

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Step four: do the claims add back to the debt?

List every claim. Write beside each what stands behind it. Add the list up. Compare the total with the borrowings at step one. If the two agree, write down that they agree. If they do not, stop.

For Meghdoot Coated Products Limited the list is short: Rs 620 crore held by lenders who are securedA lender whose loan has particular property standing behind it, so that if repayment stops there is something specific to look to., Rs 280 crore held by lenders who are unsecuredA lender with a claim on the business and no particular property standing behind it.. Add them: Rs 900 crore. Compare with the borrowings: Rs 900 crore. Difference, nil. The entire step took one line.

The word to hold onto is that this is a reconciliationChecking that a list of parts adds back to the total it is supposed to add back to, and hunting down the difference when it does not. and not a summary, because the two look identical on paper and behave completely differently. A summary describes what somebody has said. A reconciliation asserts that the description is complete, and it earns that assertion by closing to nil. If the claim list came to Rs 880 crore against borrowings of Rs 900 crore, there are only two possibilities: a claim of Rs 20 crore is missing from the list, or Rs 20 crore has been double counted somewhere else and the borrowings figure is wrong. Both are found in ten minutes here. Neither is found at all once the map moves on.

Why this step is placed fourth rather than second is worth a moment. The claim list is not affected by the multiple, so it could sit anywhere. The claim list sits fourth because it is the last thing that can be checked before the map starts distributing money, and because a reader who has just watched three steps of arithmetic is in exactly the right frame of mind to notice that step four produces no number. Step four is a hinge: everything before it is about how much, everything after it is about to whom.

The step that produces no figure, and refuses to let the map move. IT ADDS BACK Secured claims Rs 620 crore Unsecured claims Rs 280 crore Claim list total Rs 900 crore Borrowings at step one Rs 900 crore Difference: nil. The map may proceed. IT DOES NOT ADD BACK Secured claims Rs 600 crore Unsecured claims Rs 280 crore Claim list total Rs 880 crore Borrowings at step one Rs 900 crore Difference: Rs 20 crore. Stop here. A reconciliation asserts the list is complete. A summary only repeats it. A Rs 20 crore difference is either a missing claim or one counted twice. The right hand list is the same map with one claim understated, and nothing in its own arithmetic says so. Meghdoot Coated Products Limited is invented, and the right hand figures were altered for the illustration.
Rs 620 crore secured plus Rs 280 crore unsecured is Rs 900 crore and closes to nil, whereas a list totalling Rs 880 crore against the same borrowings means a claim is missing or one has been counted twice.
Try it out

The claim list totals Rs 880 crore against borrowings of Rs 900 crore. What does the map do next?

Try it out

The pot to be shared is Rs 210 crore under either ranking rule. Will the two groups of lenders fare about the same under both?

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Step five: what does each ranking rule do to the same pot?

Take the pot. Apply the first rule and write the outcome for each group with the base of every percentage named. Apply the second rule to the identical pot and write that outcome beside it. Do not choose between them. The comparison is the output of the step.

Work it on the middle level, where the earnings support Rs 210 crore. Under strict ranking the secured lenders take the whole pot: Rs 210 crore against their own claim of Rs 620 crore, a recovery of 33.9 per cent of that Rs 620 crore. The unsecured lenders receive nothing at all against their Rs 280 crore. Under a pro rata rule each claim is cut back in the same proportion: Rs 144.7 crore goes to the secured lenders and Rs 65.3 crore to the unsecured, both figures being 23.3 per cent of what that group holds. The two receipts add back to Rs 210 crore, and adding back is the check that the split is complete.

Two figures will be misread if the map does not defend them, and defending them costs one clause each. The first is 33.9 per cent, struck on the secured lenders' own Rs 620 crore. The figure is not anybody's recovery on the whole Rs 900 crore, and a reader holding unsecured paper who sees an undefended 33.9 per cent will take it as theirs. The second is subtler. Whichever rule is applied, the total handed out is Rs 210 crore, so the recovery measured across all Rs 900 crore of claims comes to 23.3 per cent either way: ranking moves a fixed quantity between two groups without adding a rupee to it or removing one. Say the base every single time and the two figures cannot be confused; leave the base off once and they will be.

The rule of the step is short: never run one rule. A single rule produces a table of receipts that looks like the answer to a question of fact. Two rules produce two tables that cannot both be the answer, and the real question then shows itself. Step three settled how much is available. On what principle the money is shared is a question no amount of arithmetic settles. The pair worked above sits at the two ends of what ranking can do, so the arithmetic in between shows up plainly. Neither end describes what any statute lays down.

One pot of Rs 210 crore, two rules, and every percentage on a named base. RULE ONE, STRICT RANKING Secured, Rs 620 cr Rs 210 cr 33.9% of Rs 620 cr Unsecured, Rs 280 cr nothing 0.0% of Rs 280 cr Rs 210 crore shared in all, which is 23.3 per cent of the whole Rs 900 crore owed. RULE TWO, PRO RATA Secured, Rs 620 cr 144.7 23.3% of Rs 620 cr Unsecured, Rs 280 cr Rs 65.3 cr 23.3% of Rs 280 cr Rs 144.7 crore plus Rs 65.3 crore is Rs 210 crore, again 23.3 per cent of the whole Rs 900 crore. The pot is identical. The 33.9 per cent is struck on Rs 620 crore, the 23.3 per cent on Rs 900 crore. Two rules redistribute a fixed amount; neither of them creates or destroys a rupee. Meghdoot Coated Products Limited is invented. Both rules are illustrations of ranking, not statements of law.
The same Rs 210 crore pays the secured lenders Rs 210 crore and the unsecured nothing under strict ranking, or Rs 144.7 crore and Rs 65.3 crore under pro rata, and every percentage here is labelled with the claim it is struck on.
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Step six: which routes are available, and what does each one move?

Name the routes. For each, mark what it does to the amount owed, what it does to the earnings, whether any cash arrives from outside the business, and what taking it forecloses. Mark; do not score.

Marking rather than scoring is the whole of step six, and it is harder to follow than it sounds. The map is being built to solve a problem, and a route that solves nothing looks like clutter, so the impulse when a route moves neither number is to strike it off. But the map records what each route moves and ranks nothing. A route that moves neither number and brings in no outside cash may still be the right thing to do, and the map records that honestly instead of scoring it as a fix. Separating a business into two is the standing example: on the day it happens the same earnings and the same debt exist, merely in two containers rather than one, yet it can put a sound half in a position to borrow on its own merits once it stands alone. The benefit is real and it is downstream, and a map that struck the route off has hidden it.

The fourth column, what a route forecloses, is the one people leave blank and the one that matters most in a room. Selling the whole business is not one option among five; it consumes all the others. After a whole sale there is nothing left to separate, rebuild or sell in part. Selling a particular part cannot be done twice. Recording that in a column, at the moment the routes are first listed, is what stops a later conversation treating the routes as a menu that can be ordered from several times. The fourth column is also where the perimeterThe line drawn around what a transaction includes, with everything else deliberately left outside it. of any part sale gets its first written definition, and the later work needs it.

Routes are marked against four columns, and never scored against each other. THE ROUTE OWED EARNINGS OUTSIDE CASH WHAT IT FORECLOSES Reduce or convert what is owed falls unchanged none nothing else on this list Sell the whole business from a pot goes with it yes, the price every other route on this list Sell a part of the business falls falls too yes, the price selling that part a second time Separate the business into two unchanged unchanged none nothing, it re-allocates both Rebuild the earnings unchanged rises none nothing, but it needs time A route that moves neither number stays on the map, with its blank marks showing. Meghdoot Coated Products Limited is invented, and the marks describe the day of the route rather than its afterwards.
Each route is marked for what it does to the amount owed, to the earnings, to outside cash and to the other routes, so that separating the business stays on the map with its blank marks visible rather than being struck off.
Try it out

At step six a route moves neither number and brings in no outside cash. Is it struck off the map?

Tax Aware Portfolio Decisions teaches you to compare two decisions on an after tax basis and state which assumptions the comparison rests on.

Step seven: what here is arithmetic, and what is law?

A line runs down the middle of the map. On the left, everything anybody can recompute from the figures already written. On the right, everything that is settled by text somebody else publishes. The left is filled in. The right is not.

The left column of this map is already complete, built step by step above: the ratio at 15.0 times, the supported range of Rs 180 crore to Rs 240 crore, the Rs 660 crore to Rs 720 crore that has to go, the claim list closing at Rs 900 crore, the Rs 210 crore pot and both distributions of it. A reader can take a pencil to every one of those and land in the same place. Every figure on the left is worth writing precisely because it can be recomputed.

The right column stays blank on purpose. Its questions decide whether anything on the left can actually happen: whether a reduction binds a party that never agreed to it, which parties it reaches, along which route it has to travel, in what sequence the money is applied, and across what period the whole thing runs. The answers are published and they change, and a figure recalled from memory is worth nothing to the person who has to act on it. Not one of them goes into the map from memory. What goes in the right column is a name and a site.

There is a reason this is a step rather than a caveat at the bottom. A caveat is read once and forgotten; a column is looked at every time the map is opened, and its emptiness is visible. Somebody who wants a timetable can see at a glance that the map does not have one, and where to go for it. A plausible sentence that turns out to be six months out of date is far worse.

The map has two columns and only one may ever be filled in from memory. FILLED IN, BECAUSE IT IS ARITHMETIC Debt to earnings 15.0 times Supported, at 3.0 to 4.0 times Rs 180 to 240 cr Amount that has to go Rs 660 to 720 cr Claim list, reconciled 620 + 280 = 900 Pot at the middle level Rs 210 crore Both ranking rules run yes, side by side Anybody can recompute every line above. LEFT BLANK, BECAUSE IT IS LAW Does a reduction bind an unwilling party? Which parties does it reach? In what sequence is money applied? Over what period does it run? READ IT AT ibbi.gov.in AND AT mca.gov.in An empty column is visible every time the map is opened. A caveat is read once. The right column holds a name and a site, and never a remembered figure. Meghdoot Coated Products Limited is invented.
Everything on the left of the map is arithmetic anybody can recompute, while whether a reduction can be imposed, on whom and in what order is set in law and carries only a name and a site.
India

Where the second column is read

Whatever a resolution proceeding settles, the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India keeps the current text on its own site, ibbi.gov.in. Whatever the Companies Act settles, an arrangement sanctioned by a court and the division of a company included, sits with the Ministry of Corporate Affairs, whose site is mca.gov.in. Should a separation touch a listed entity, the disclosure question belongs to the Securities and Exchange Board of India, at sebi.gov.in. Three names, three sites, and the current text sits at each of them. Steps one to six carry no jurisdiction inside them at all. Adding a second market to the map is therefore an addition and not a rewrite.

Try it out

Somebody in the room asks how long the process would take. What goes into the map?

Step eight: what is not known, and how is it recorded?

List the gaps in the record, and put the list inside the map with the other seven steps, not underneath as a note.

For Meghdoot Coated Products Limited the list is five lines long and every one of them closes off work somebody will otherwise attempt. There is no repayment schedule and no maturity, so nothing on this map can describe a recovery spread over time. There is no interest rate and no facility terms, so no coverage of interest and no cover of debt service can be computed here at all. There is no register of the assets behind the Rs 620 crore of secured claims, so nothing can be said about what stands behind them beyond the fact that something does. There is no bid and no sale price, so there is nothing to set against the Rs 900 crore. And there is only one year of earnings, so no rebuild path can be drawn. A single point carries no direction, so no sentence may say the business deteriorated.

An unknown that is not written down becomes an assumption within about a week, and afterwards nobody can tell which figures rested on it. Recording the gaps is a step rather than a caveat for exactly that reason. The mechanism is ordinary and entirely human. Somebody needs a number for a slide. The absence is not visible anywhere, so a reasonable placeholder is used. The placeholder is copied into a second document without the word placeholder. By the third document it is a figure with a history, and unpicking it costs more than producing the map did.

There is one more reason to keep this list visible, and it is the one that matters when the room gets tense. The gaps in the record are the honest limit of what anybody in the conversation knows, and they belong to everybody equally. A map that shows its gaps invites the parties to fill them; a map that hides them invites the parties to distrust the parts that are filled in.

The unknowns register sits inside the map, not underneath it. WHAT THE RECORD DOES NOT CARRY AND SO WHAT NOBODY HERE MAY COMPUTE No repayment schedule and no maturity date Any recovery spread over time No interest rate and no facility terms Cover of interest, cover of debt service No asset register behind the Rs 620 crore Any asset cover for the secured claims No bid and no sale price for the business Anything set against the Rs 900 crore No earnings for any year but this one A rebuild path, or any claim it worsened An unknown not written here becomes an assumption within about a week. Meghdoot Coated Products Limited is invented, and this register describes the record written for it.
Five things the record does not contain each close off a calculation, and writing them into the map is what stops a placeholder acquiring a history it never earned.
Try it out

What do these three absences prevent: no interest rate, no repayment schedule, no second year of earnings?

Play with it

Watching the open part of the map shrink, and stop

The bar below is the whole question, drawn as eight equal bands because there are eight steps and each one takes charge of exactly one band. Move the control and the bands change character as the map is built: solid where a step settled something anybody can recompute, hatched where a step recorded a judgement rather than a fact, grey where a step handed the question to somebody who publishes the answer, and open where the map has not reached yet. The control opens at the end of step three and reproduces the worked rows above exactly: supported debt of Rs 180 crore to Rs 240 crore, so Rs 660 crore to Rs 720 crore has to go. Take it all the way to step eight and watch what does not happen. Step eight does not close the last band; it labels it, so the bar never reaches zero.

The whole question, as eight equal bands. One band per step. STEP 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 3 of 8 steps taken 62.5 per cent still open settled by arithmetic, and anyone can recompute it rests on the judgement recorded at step two set in law, routed to a site and never estimated here open: not reached yet, or written into the register Band eight is open at every setting, which is why the bar cannot reach zero however far the control goes. Meghdoot Coated Products Limited is invented, and the equal bands are a drawing device rather than a measurement.
Steps taken
3 of 8
This band is
judgement
Classified
37.5%
Still open
62.5%

Step three converts the assumed range into Rs 180 crore to Rs 240 crore of supported debt, so Rs 660 crore to Rs 720 crore has to go, or 73.3 to 80.0 per cent when set against the Rs 900 crore owed. That band is hatched because it rests on the judgement made at step two. Five bands are still open, and the amount that has to go now rests on the range chosen at step two.

Educational illustration. Play with it. The eight bands are drawn equal because eight steps exist, not because anybody weighed how much of a restructuring each one disposes of. Band three carries hatching because the range behind it was chosen by a person and measured by nothing. Band seven stays empty: the answers behind it are published elsewhere and they change. Which rule a lender and a borrower settle on is a question of principle, and no arithmetic on the panel answers it. The wording control decides only which end of the same state the sentence opens on, and it moves no figure at all.

Notice what the control cannot be made to do. Drag it to the far right and 12.5 per cent of the bar is still open. The last step is a register rather than a resolution. A finished map is not a map with nothing open in it; it is a map where everything still open has been written down and named. The standard is much lower than most people expect from an analysis, and it is the only one anybody can actually clear.

How is a map like this actually used, and by whom?

Four people pick the same map up and read four different parts of it first. The four choices say a good deal about the purpose of the map.

A lender turns to step four before anything else. The claim list is where a lender finds out what position it is actually in, as opposed to what it is owed, and those are different facts: Rs 100 crore of secured claim and Rs 100 crore of unsecured claim are the same amount and not the same thing. A lender then reads step five twice, once for each rule, and the question it is really asking is which of the two outcomes it is being invited to accept, and on what basis. A lender who reads only step three has learned how large the problem is and nothing about its own place in it.

An analyst goes straight to step two and will not be moved off it. Handed a map whose third step reads Rs 690 crore, the first three things an analyst wants are the multiple sitting behind that figure, the name against it, and what the row looks like a few tenths of a turn in either direction. None of that is doubt for show. The three questions are the only way to separate a result that would have survived a different assumption from a result that is really a description of the assumption. Writing step three as three rows in the first place is what makes those questions take ten seconds instead of a day.

An investor weighing whether to put fresh money behind a business at this point reads step six and step eight, and frequently skips step three altogether. An investor cares about the shape on the far side: what will be owed, what will be earned, and how much of the company the new money buys. Read that list again and see what is absent from it: the size of the write-down. Then see what step eight closes off here. The record for Meghdoot Coated Products carries no share count and no shareholders whatever, so this map cannot say how much of the company a lender converting debt would end up with, and no honest version of it invents a figure.

And somebody advising the borrower reads step seven first. The right column decides what is even possible. Everything on the left of the map can be agreed in a room by people who want to agree. Whether that agreement binds a party who does not want to agree is the other column, and a plan built without looking at it is a plan among the willing.

One more use, and it is the one that keeps the map honest over months rather than days. Because diligenceThe examination a party runs over a business before committing, to find out what it is actually taking on. keeps producing material after the map is first written, step eight doubles as the work list. Each line in the register is a thing somebody could go and find, and when one is found the map gains a figure and loses an unknown, in that order and visibly. A map without a register has nowhere to put an answer when one arrives.

What does this look like away from the crore?

The eight steps are not a finance invention, and most people have watched somebody do them, so the machinery works away from the balance sheet entirely.

A wedding is three weeks away in a small town, and the money set aside has run out. The instinct in the room is to start deciding: pay the tent people first because they will not deliver otherwise, or the caterer because everybody will notice the food. Deciding first is starting at step five, and it is why these conversations go around in circles for two days.

The person who has done this before starts differently. The experienced person takes a sheet of paper and writes down what is left in hand and what is committed: step one. Next comes what the household can realistically add before the date, written as a range rather than a figure, with whose income the range assumes said out loud: step two. Then they work out what has to give at each end of the range: step three. Then, and this is the step everybody skips, they list every single person who is owed something and add the list up, and they keep going until the list matches the committed total. Adding the list up is step four, and it is where the forgotten advance to the decorator surfaces, in the kitchen with three weeks to go rather than in the hall on the day.

Only then does the room decide who is paid what, and the person with the sheet insists on doing it twice: once as everybody takes a share of what is left, and once as the people with a written agreement are paid first. Two arrangements set side by side turn an argument about fairness into a visible choice. One arrangement produced quietly turns a choice into a fact somebody else has to accept. Then they mark which options remain open, they write down the one thing they cannot settle themselves, and they write down the two things nobody has yet checked. Eight steps, one sheet of paper, and no crore anywhere.

The error that gets made, and what it costs

A draft proposal is circulated. The proposal reads, in a single clean line, that creditors of Meghdoot Coated Products Limited recover 23.3 per cent of what they are owed. The arithmetic behind it is not wrong: Rs 210 crore measured across Rs 900 crore of claims really does come to 23.3 per cent, and every step before it was worked properly. Step four never happened. The Rs 900 crore appeared as one figure at step one and was treated as one claim, and nobody listed the claims and added them back.

Commercial terms are discussed for a fortnight on that basis. Then somebody produces the claim list and the split appears: Rs 620 crore secured, Rs 280 crore unsecured. The proposal was never a distribution at all, only a total wearing the shape of one, so the distribution work has to be redone. Under strict ranking the secured lenders recover Rs 210 crore, or 33.9 per cent of their own Rs 620 crore, and the unsecured recover nothing against their Rs 280 crore. The figure of 23.3 per cent was true of the whole and true of nobody in particular.

The cost is not the fortnight, and it is worth being exact about where it lands. A group has spent two weeks negotiating on the understanding that it would receive something, and learns late that under one of the two rules it receives nothing. The unsecured group has no particular asset to point to, so it is also, by construction, the group with the least ability to reopen anything. The fix costs one line and no extra work: step four is a reconciliation, and the map does not move until the claim list adds back to the borrowings.

The artefact: one recovery figure, and the claim list nobody had added up. FROM THE DRAFT PROPOSAL, CIRCULATED BEFORE STEP FOUR Creditors recover 23.3 per cent of what they are owed. True of the whole Rs 900 crore, and true of nobody in particular. WHAT STEP FOUR WOULD HAVE SHOWN, AND SHOWED A FORTNIGHT LATE Secured, Rs 620 crore Unsecured, Rs 280 crore AND UNDER STRICT RANKING, ON THE VERY SAME RS 210 CRORE Secured: Rs 210 crore, which is 33.9 per cent of their own Rs 620 crore. Unsecured: nothing at all, which is 0.0 per cent of their own Rs 280 crore. A total wearing the shape of a distribution is not a distribution. The map does not move until the claim list adds back to the borrowings. Meghdoot Coated Products Limited is invented, and so is the proposal quoted above.
A proposal quoting 23.3 per cent on the whole Rs 900 crore says nothing about either group, because under strict ranking the secured recover 33.9 per cent of their Rs 620 crore and the unsecured recover nothing.
Breaking Into Quants Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

What does the finished map hand the room?

Everybody who walks into a restructuring wants one number. The lender wants to know what it will get back. The borrower wants to know what it will be left owing. Whoever is advising wants a figure that can be written in one line and defended. The map disappoints all three of them, and that is the map working rather than the map failing.

The map hands over a range and a distribution. The range is Rs 660 crore to Rs 720 crore having to go, or 73.3 to 80.0 per cent of the Rs 900 crore owed, with the assumption that produced each end written beside it. The distribution is both ranking rules run on the same Rs 210 crore, with the base of every percentage named, and no view offered as to which rule ought to apply. A single figure is a judgement that stopped announcing itself, so a map that ends in one has failed at step two.

And the last three columns of it are the ones that will still be useful in six months: what is arithmetic, what is law, and what nobody knows yet. The arithmetic can be recomputed by anyone. The law is where it is published. The unknowns are the work list. Three columns are a modest output for eight steps, and they are the only kind of output a second person can take apart and put back together without having to ask the author what was meant.

Try it out

Last one. The parties want one number for the recovery. What does a finished map actually hand them?

The map is the order of the work and not the work itself. What an insolvency does to a claim, how a business is separated into two, what pressure does to a sale price, what selling a part leaves behind, what a court-sanctioned route makes possible and what rebuilding earnings achieves are each covered in full further along, and every step above points at one of them rather than opening it. Anything a formal insolvency process decides is covered separately under Indian markets and regulation. How a business is valued is method covered elsewhere and is applied here rather than rebuilt.

Where these figures come from

Meghdoot Coated Products Limited is a made-up borrower and every rupee in the eight steps was written for teaching, including the Rs 900 crore of borrowings, the Rs 60 crore of EBITDA and the split of the claim list. The three multiples at step two are somebody's judgement: nothing measured them. A proceeding's timetable, a class of creditor, a proportion of consent and the order in which claims are paid are settled by text that changes and are read at the source rather than recalled. Strict ranking and pro rata appear here as two arithmetic extremes that make the effect of ranking visible; neither is the rule in force anywhere. The write-downs print to one decimal place throughout, so the table, the drawings and the moving panel cannot quietly disagree with each other, and the whole numbers the record uses, 80, 77 and 73 per cent, are the rounded form of the same three figures.

References

SourceWhat it settlesWhere
Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of IndiaWhatever an insolvency proceeding decides, which the right column of step seven names and does not state.ibbi.gov.in
Ministry of Corporate AffairsWhatever the Companies Act decides, including a court-sanctioned arrangement and the division of a company.mca.gov.in
Securities and Exchange Board of IndiaDisclosure by a listed entity, which arises here only where a separation would touch one.sebi.gov.in
Meghdoot Coated Products Limited, an invented borrowerThe five published lines the eight steps are run on.no site; written for teaching

Meghdoot Coated Products Limited is invented.
Educational material. Not advice on any investment, tax, budget or market position.

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