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019

Case 019Liability management and refinancingCore

Aurvika Telecom faces Rs 800 crore, Rs 1,500 crore and Rs 400 crore of maturities over the next three years, with Rs 300 crore of cash and Rs 250 crore of free cash flow a year. Lay out the refinancing plan and say which maturity to address first.

1The situation

Aurvika Telecom, a regional broadband and mobile operator, has Rs 2,700 crore of bonds and loans maturing over the next three years: Rs 800 crore in year 1, Rs 1,500 crore in year 2 and Rs 400 crore in year 3. It holds Rs 300 crore of cash and generates about Rs 250 crore of free cash flow a year after capex and interest.

EBITDA is Rs 1,100 crore, so net debt is about 2.2x EBITDA. The bond market is open today and Aurvika could issue five-year bonds. It also has an undrawn Rs 300 crore revolving credit facility.

2Your task

Show where cash falls short, which maturity to deal with first and how, and lay out the plan for all three years.

Quick check

Which maturity should Aurvika deal with first?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Address the year 2 maturity first: issue about Rs 1,300 crore of five-year bonds now and use the money to buy back most of the year 2 debt. Cash falls short by Rs 250 crore in year 1, Rs 1,250 crore in year 2 and Rs 150 crore in year 3, Rs 1,650 crore in all. Year 1's gap fits in the revolver and year 3's is small; year 2's can only be met by the market and should be met early.

Step 1Where does cash fall short?

Lay the maturities against the cash that can meet them, year by year. Year 1: Rs 300 crore of cash plus Rs 250 crore of free cash flow is Rs 550 crore against Rs 800 crore due, short Rs 250 crore. Year 2: with the cash used up, Rs 250 crore of free cash flow meets a Rs 1,500 crore maturity, short Rs 1,250 crore; year 3 is short only Rs 150 crore. The shape is a tower in the middle, often called a maturity wallA large amount of debt falling due in a short period, which the borrower must refinance or repay at once. in the market.

The year 2 tower is the maturity that cash cannot reach5001,0001,500800 dueshort 250Year 1cash available 5501,500 dueshort 1,250Year 2cash available 250400 dueshort 150Year 3cash available 250maturityshortfallcash that year
Aurvika's maturities of Rs 800, 1,500 and 400 crore meet cash of Rs 550, 250 and 250 crore, leaving shortfalls of Rs 250 crore in year 1, Rs 1,250 crore in year 2 and Rs 150 crore in year 3, so the year 2 tower is the one cash cannot reach.
Step 2Why deal with year 2 before year 1?

Because year 1 has a plan and year 2 does not. A family with a small bill next month and a large one next year books the loan for the large one while the bank is still being friendly. Year 1's Rs 250 crore gap fits inside the Rs 300 crore revolver; year 2's Rs 1,250 crore gap can only be met by new debt, and refinancing is cheapest while the maturity is far away and the market is open. Once a maturity is within a year, auditors, rating agencies and investors start asking whether it will be met, and the price of the answer rises.

Step 3What does the full plan look like?

Now: issue about Rs 1,300 crore of five-year bonds and launch a tender offer for the year 2 debt, buying back as much as holders will sell at a small premium. Year 1: repay Rs 800 crore from Rs 550 crore of cash and free cash flow plus Rs 250 crore from the revolver. Year 2: repay any untendered year 2 debt from the bond proceeds held back, and use free cash flow to clear the revolver. Year 3: repay Rs 400 crore from free cash flow, topping up with the revolver if needed. Leverage of about 2.2x EBITDA makes the new issue credible.

Rs croreYear 1Year 2Year 3
Maturity8001,500400
Internal cash available550250250
Shortfall2501,250150
Funded byrevolvernew bond, nowfree cash flow and revolver
Aurvika's internal cash leaves shortfalls of Rs 250, 1,250 and 150 crore; the year 1 and year 3 gaps fit inside the Rs 300 crore revolver, while the year 2 gap needs a new bond issued now.
Step 4What does refinancing early cost?

It is not free, and the interviewer will ask. Issuing now means paying interest on the new bonds while the old ones are still outstanding, unless holders tender, and a tender usually needs a premium over the market price. Both are small next to the cost of arriving at a Rs 1,500 crore maturity in a closed market. Close with the rule: refinance the maturity that cash cannot cover, and do it early.

Where candidates lose it

The usual miss is dealing with maturities in date order. Year 1 is closest but already covered by cash and the revolver; the danger sits in year 2.

The second is refinancing everything at once for neatness. Year 3's gap is small enough for free cash flow and the revolver, and funding it now adds cost for no gain.

What the interviewer asks next

  • The bond market closes for six months starting next week. What is your plan now?
  • Only 60% of year 2 holders tender. What happens to the rest?
  • Would you rather extend the year 2 debt with an exchange offer than issue new bonds?
← Case 018Kiravan Healthcare needs Rs 1,200 crore. A syndicated loan prices at 350 basis points with a 1% discount, up to 50 basis points of flex and six weeks to close; a private credit unitranche prices at 575 with a 2% fee and certain terms. What is the cost gap, and what is the certainty worth?Case 020 →The syndicate desk is left with Rs 200 crore of unsold Pavanjit Steel seven-year bonds overnight and hedges with government bond futures. Overnight, government yields fall 10 basis points and Pavanjit's spread widens 15. What is the hedged P&L?

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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