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022

Case 022Asset-backed, project and real-asset lendingWarm up

Panchalika Traders wants a Rs 5 crore loan against property valued at Rs 9 crore. Business cash flow is Rs 1.1 crore a year and the loan is for 10 years at 10.5%. Check loan to value and debt service cover and give a decision.

1The situation

Panchalika Traders, a family-run wholesaler of building materials, wants Rs 5 crore to expand its warehouse. It offers its commercial property, valued at Rs 9 crore, as security. The business generates about Rs 1.1 crore a year of cash available to repay debt, after the owners' drawings and tax.

The loan would run for 10 years at 10.5%, repaid in equal monthly instalments. The bank's policy for this product: loan to value no higher than 65%, and debt service cover of at least 1.25x.

2Your task

Work out both tests, stress them, and give a lending decision with any conditions.

Quick check

Which test is closer to failing?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Approve Rs 5 crore with conditions. Loan to value is 55.6% against a 65% limit and debt service cover is 1.36x against a 1.25x floor, so both tests pass, but cover is the tighter one. The monthly instalment is about Rs 6.75 lakh, Rs 81 lakh a year. A 15% fall in cash flow takes cover to 1.15x, still paying but below policy, so verify the cash flow before disbursing.

Step 1What do the two tests measure?

They answer different questions. A friend who lends you money against your gold chain wants to know two things: can you pay him back from your salary, and if not, is the chain worth enough. Loan to valueThe loan amount divided by the value of the property securing it; the lower it is, the more the property can fall before the lender is exposed. measures the fallback; debt service cover measures whether the loan gets repaid at all without touching the fallback. A lender who relies on the property has already had a bad outcome: selling it takes time, costs money and rarely fetches the valuation.

Step 2Do both tests pass?

Loan to value is Rs 5 crore over Rs 9 crore, 55.6%, comfortably inside 65%. The instalment on Rs 5 crore over 120 months at 10.5% is about Rs 6.75 lakh a month, Rs 81 lakh a year. Cash flow of Rs 110 lakh against Rs 81 lakh of repayments gives cover of 1.36x, a pass, but with a thinner cushion than the property provides.

Collateral is the fallback; cash flow is what repays the loanLoan to valueDebt service coverToday55.6%Property -20%69.4%policy limit 65%Today1.36xCash flow -15%1.15xpolicy floor 1.25x
Loan to value is 55.6% against a 65% limit and stays at 69.4% after a 20% property fall, while debt service cover of 1.36x falls to 1.15x, below the 1.25x floor, if cash flow drops 15%, so cash flow is the tighter test.
Step 3What happens under stress?

Stress each test once. If the property falls 20%, to Rs 7.2 crore, loan to value rises to 69.4%, above policy but still with a large equity cushion. If cash flow falls 15%, to about Rs 94 lakh, cover drops to 1.15x: the loan is still paid, but with little room, and a building materials business can easily have a 15% weaker year. The largest loan that holds 1.25x on today's cash flow is about Rs 5.4 crore; the largest the property allows at 65% is Rs 5.9 crore. Cash flow sets the limit.

TestPolicyBaseStressedLargest loan the test allows
Loan to value65% maximum55.6%69.4% (property -20%)Rs 5.9 crore
Debt service cover1.25x minimum1.36x1.15x (cash flow -15%)Rs 5.4 crore
Both tests pass at Rs 5 crore, but debt service cover allows a loan of only about Rs 5.4 crore against Rs 5.9 crore on the property, so cash flow is the binding limit.
Step 4So what is the decision?

Approve, because both tests pass and the property gives a real second line of defence. Make the approval conditional on proving the Rs 1.1 crore: twelve months of bank statements, the business tax returns, and a stock and receivables statement, because an overstated cash flow is the most common way a loan like this goes wrong. Add insurance on the property, a personal guarantee from the owners, and an annual review of cover. If the verified cash flow comes in below about Rs 1.0 crore, cut the loan to what 1.25x supports rather than leaning on the property.

Where candidates lose it

The usual miss is approving on the strength of the property alone: Rs 9 crore of security for a Rs 5 crore loan feels safe. Security is what a lender falls back on after the business has already failed to pay.

The second is using the annual interest rate on the whole loan as the yearly payment. The instalment includes principal, which is why the yearly payment is about Rs 81 lakh, not Rs 52.5 lakh.

What the interviewer asks next

  • The valuer says Rs 9 crore, but similar properties have sold for Rs 7 crore. What do you do?
  • Would a 15-year tenor fix the cover problem, and at what cost?
  • How would you check the cash flow of a business that deals partly in cash?
← Case 021Nirmitra Roads wants to issue Rs 1,500 crore of five-year bonds. The central bank meets in 8 days, markets price a 60% chance of a 25 basis point cut, and a results blackout starts in 12 days. Go now or wait?Case 023 →Timed written test: from Kanvika Cement's income statement and balance sheet, compute interest cover, debt service cover, fixed charge cover, net leverage and the current ratio, and say which one breaches the lender's policy.

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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