Case 073Stock pitchCore
How would you analyse a stock? Walk the data sheet of Drishvan Cables, from the business to the numbers to the valuation, and end with a view.
1The situation
The interviewer hands you a one-page data sheet. Drishvan Cables has revenue of Rs 5,200 crore. Copper is about 60% of revenue and is passed through to customers in price with a short lag. Consumer house wires, sold through electrical dealers, are 25% of sales at a 15% EBITDA margin; industrial and power cables are 75% at 8%. Management targets consumer wires at 35% of sales in three years, with total revenue growing about 12% a year.
Other lines: depreciation Rs 57 crore, rising to about Rs 75 crore; other income Rs 30 crore; no debt; tax 25%; 15 crore shares; capital employed Rs 1,875 crore, a pre-tax ROCE of 24%. The shares trade at Rs 840, 35x trailing EPS of Rs 24. Your cost of equity is 12%.
2Your task
Use the sheet to show how you analyse any stock: say what the business is, run the numbers that matter, test what the price assumes, and finish with a view and the one thing that would change it.
Quick check
Copper rises 20% and Drishvan passes it through in full. What happens?
Worked solution
Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.
30-second answerThe answer to give first
Drishvan is a good business priced for its plan: the 35x multiple already assumes consumer wires grow about 25% a year, and the stock earns a 12% return only if the market still pays about 33x in three years. The mix shift lifts EPS from Rs 24 to about Rs 35.9. The view turns positive only if wires growth runs ahead of that; consumer wires growth is the number to watch.
Step 1What is the order of a stock analysis, and why that order?
A doctor does not start with the prescription. She asks what is wrong, runs the tests that matter, compares the results with what is normal, and only then decides. Analysing a stock follows the same order: understand the business, translate its drivers into numbers, ask what the price already assumes, then state a view and what would change it. Interviewers who ask this want to see that order, and above all the last step. A walk that ends with a list of facts is a summary; it has to end with a judgement.
Step 2What is the business, and what drives its profit?
Drishvan has two businesses inside one company. Industrial and power cables are sold to contractors and utilities on tender, where price competition keeps margins near 8%. Consumer house wires are sold through dealers to electricians, where the brand and the dealer network earn 15%. Copper is passed through, so copper prices move revenue and the margin percentage but not rupee profit; the real driver is the shift toward consumer wires.
Step 3What do the numbers say the mix shift is worth?
Revenue at 12% a year reaches Rs 7,306 crore in three years. For wires to be 35% of that, they must grow from Rs 1,300 crore to Rs 2,557 crore, about 25% a year, while cables grow about 7%. The blended margin rises from 9.75% to 10.45%, and EBITDA from Rs 507 crore to Rs 763 crore. After depreciation, other income and tax, EPS goes from Rs 24 to Rs 35.92, about 14% a year, of which the mix shift supplies the margin gain and the rest is plain growth. A 24% ROCE with no debt says the growth does not need much capital.
Step 4What is the price already assuming?
At Rs 840 the stock is 35x today's EPS and 23.4x the year-3 EPS of Rs 35.92. To earn your 12% cost of equity over three years the share must reach Rs 1,180, which on year-3 EPS is 32.9x. So the plan delivered in full earns a 12% return only if the market still pays about 33x in year three; at 25x the return falls to about 2% a year. And if wires grow 15% a year instead of 25%, EPS reaches only Rs 31.6, and even holding 33x the return is about 7% a year.
| Year 3 case | EPS, Rs | P/E then | Return a year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plan delivered, multiple holds near 33x | 35.9 | 32.9x | 12.0% |
| Plan delivered, multiple falls to 25x | 35.9 | 25.0x | 2.3% |
| Wires grow 15%, multiple holds near 33x | 31.6 | 32.9x | 7.3% |
Step 5So what is the view?
State it in two sentences and stop. Drishvan is a well-run business whose price already assumes the consumer wires plan arrives on time, so it is fairly valued rather than cheap. The number that would change the view is consumer wires growth: two or three quarters running well above 25% would make the plan look conservative, and growth near 15% would make the multiple look too high. Say the limit too: the dealer margin of 15% assumes no price war from a large new entrant in house wires.
Where candidates lose it
Candidates walk the business and the numbers well, then stop at a summary: good company, strong ROCE, expensive multiple. That is three facts, not a view. The interviewer asked how you analyse a stock, and analysis ends in a judgement and the number that would overturn it.
The second loss is reading copper-driven swings in margin percentage as changes in profitability. In a pass-through business, judge rupee EBITDA and the mix.
What the interviewer asks next
- How would you check from outside the company whether consumer wires are really growing near 25%?
- A large paints company announces it will enter house wires. What happens to your view?
- Why might a pass-through business still lose money when copper falls sharply?
Asked at Jefferies, Equity Research, New York, 2026 (Wall Street Oasis): How would you analyze a stock? (stock pitch)
Company names and figures are illustrative.
