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079

Case 079Financing, capital structure and treasuryCore

A consumer company with surplus cash earning 7% pre-tax can pay a special dividend or buy back shares at 25x earnings. What happens to EPS under each, and how does tax shape the choice?

1The situation

Bhagirath Consumer, an invented packaged foods company, holds Rs 1,000 crore of cash it does not need. The cash sits in deposits earning 7% before tax. Net income is Rs 800 crore, which includes the interest on that cash. There are 40 crore shares at Rs 500 each, a P/E of 25. The tax rate is 25%.

The board is choosing between a special dividend of the full Rs 1,000 crore and a buyback of Rs 1,000 crore of shares at Rs 500. One director argues that a buyback always lifts EPS and is therefore the better choice.

2Your task

What happens to EPS under each option, is the director right, and how does the tax treatment of the two routes bear on the decision?

Quick check

Does the buyback at Rs 500 raise or lower Bhagirath's EPS?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

The buyback cuts EPS from Rs 20.00 to about Rs 19.67, and the special dividend to Rs 18.69 with Rs 25 a share paid out. The director is wrong at this price: the shares yield 4.0% against 5.25% after tax on the cash, so the buyback only adds to EPS below about 19x. Before tax, neither route changes shareholder value. The choice turns on how each route is taxed in shareholders' hands, which must be checked against current rules.

Step 1When does a buyback raise EPS?

Imagine you hold a fixed deposit paying 5.25% after tax and use it to buy out a partner's share of a shop that earns 4% on the price you pay. Your income per share of the business can fall even though there are fewer partners. A buyback lifts EPS only when the earnings yieldEarnings per share divided by the share price, the inverse of the P/E ratio. of the shares bought exceeds the after-tax return the cash was earning. Bhagirath's shares yield 1 over 25, 4.0%. The cash yields 7% less 25% tax, 5.25%. The breakeven P/E is 1 over 5.25%, about 19.0x; above it, buybacks dilute.

The buyback trims EPS because the shares yield less than the cash didRs 20.00TodayRs 19.67BuybackRs 18.69Specialdividend+Rs 25 casha shareEPS, RsWhat the buyback swapsCash earned, after tax5.25%Earnings yield of shares4.00%Breakeven P/E = 1 / 5.25% = 19.0xBhagirath trades at 25x, above it
Bhagirath's buyback at Rs 500 cuts EPS from Rs 20.00 to Rs 19.67 because the shares bought earn 4.0% against 5.25% after tax on the cash, and a special dividend cuts EPS to Rs 18.69 while handing Rs 25 a share to shareholders.
Step 2What are the numbers under each option?

Both options spend the same cash, so both lose its after-tax interest: Rs 1,000 crore times 5.25% is Rs 52.5 crore, taking net income to Rs 747.5 crore. The buyback retires 2 crore shares, leaving 38 crore, so EPS is 747.5 over 38, Rs 19.67, down 1.6%. The dividend leaves 40 crore shares, so EPS is Rs 18.69, down 6.6%, but each shareholder holds Rs 25 of cash per share that the buyback holder does not.

Rs crore unless statedTodayBuybackSpecial dividend
Net income800747.5747.5
Shares, crore403840
EPS, Rs20.0019.6718.69
Equity value after payout20,00019,00019,000
Value per share, Rs500500475 + 25 cash
Both routes remove Rs 1,000 crore and Rs 52.5 crore of after-tax interest; the buyback leaves Rs 19.67 of EPS on 38 crore shares worth Rs 500 each, and the dividend leaves Rs 18.69 on 40 crore shares worth Rs 475 plus Rs 25 of cash, the same value before tax.
Step 3If EPS moves, does value move?

Before tax, no. The company was worth Rs 20,000 crore including the cash; after paying Rs 1,000 crore out, the remaining business is worth Rs 19,000 crore. Spread over 38 crore shares that is Rs 500 each, exactly the buyback price, so a buyback at fair value moves EPS without creating any value. Had Bhagirath traded at 15x, Rs 300 a share, the same buyback would have lifted EPS to about Rs 20.39, still without making anyone richer if Rs 300 were the fair price. Value moves only if the shares are bought below or above what they are worth.

Step 4How does tax enter the choice?

Taxes are where the two routes truly differ, and the rules change often, so treat this as a framework and confirm the current position with the latest Finance Act and a tax adviser before using it. The question to ask is who pays tax on the payout, at what rate, and whether the shareholder can offset the cost of the shares given up. In India, dividends have for some years been taxed in the shareholder's hands at the shareholder's own rate. Buybacks have moved between a tax paid by the company and, more recently, treatment of the proceeds as income in the shareholder's hands, with the cost of the tendered shares available as a capital loss. Under any regime, a buyback lets shareholders choose whether to take cash, while a dividend forces cash on everyone, including those in high tax brackets who would rather not receive it.

The right answer to the board therefore has three parts: at 25x the buyback slightly dilutes EPS, neither option changes value before tax, and the tax treatment for Bhagirath's actual shareholder base, promoters and institutions alike, should decide the route.

Where candidates lose it

The trap is the director's own claim, that fewer shares always means higher EPS. Candidates forget that the cash being spent was earning something, and that at a high multiple each share bought carries less earnings than the interest given up.

The second loss is treating an EPS change as a value change. A buyback at fair value moves EPS up or down but leaves each shareholder exactly as rich; only the price paid relative to value, and tax, can change that.

What the interviewer asks next

  • At what share price would the buyback be exactly EPS neutral?
  • The cash was earning only 4% pre-tax. Does the buyback now add to EPS?
  • Why might a promoter-controlled company prefer a buyback even if the tax cost is similar?
  • How would funding the buyback with debt at 9% change the EPS answer?
← Case 078Two floating-rate, interest-only property loans of similar size: an office tower and a shopping mall. Compute LTV, debt yield and DSCR, stress for a 150 basis point rate rise, and say which you would rather hold.Case 080 →You are shown a deck to buy a labels business for Rs 1,050 crore against a standalone value of Rs 800 crore, with the gap closed by cost and revenue synergies. What share of the revenue synergies must arrive for the deal to break even?

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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