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034

Case 034Portfolio construction and sizingWarm up

Kithara Long-Short Fund runs Rs 105 crore of longs with an average beta of 1.1 and Rs 95 crore of shorts with an average beta of 1.3, on Rs 100 crore of capital. What are its gross, net and beta-adjusted net exposures, and what happens if the market falls 10%?

1The situation

Kithara Long-Short Fund has Rs 100 crore of investor capital. It holds Rs 105 crore of long positions, mostly large, steady businesses with an average beta of 1.1, and Rs 95 crore of short positions, mostly smaller and more cyclical companies with an average beta of 1.3.

The fund's marketing describes it as modestly net long. The risk manager asks you to check that description before the month's investor letter goes out.

2Your task

Calculate gross exposure, net exposure and beta-adjusted net exposure. What happens to the fund if the market falls 10%, and what would you change to make the book neutral to the market?

Quick check

If the market falls 10%, what happens to Kithara, before any stock-specific moves?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Gross exposure is 200%, net exposure is plus 10%, but beta-adjusted net exposure is about minus 8%, so a 10% market fall makes the fund roughly 0.8%. The shorts are smaller than the longs in rupees but move more with the market. Calling the fund modestly net long is right in rupees and wrong in risk. To make it market neutral, cut about Rs 6.2 crore of shorts or add about Rs 7.3 crore of longs.

Step 1What do gross and net tell you, and what do they miss?

Gross exposure adds both sides: 105 plus 95 is Rs 200 crore, 200% of capital, a measure of how much is at work and how much can go wrong stock by stock. Net exposure subtracts them: 105 minus 95 is plus Rs 10 crore, 10% of capital. Net exposure in rupees treats every rupee as equally sensitive to the market, which is only true if longs and shorts share the same beta. On a seesaw a lighter child sitting further from the pivot can outweigh a heavier one sitting close in. Rupees are the weight; betaHow much a stock tends to move for each 1% move in the market. A beta of 1.3 means about 1.3% for every 1%. is the distance from the pivot.

Step 2What is the beta-adjusted book?

Multiply each side by its beta. The longs carry 105 x 1.1 = Rs 115.5 crore of market exposure; the shorts carry 95 x 1.3 = Rs 123.5 crore. Beta-adjusted, Kithara is Rs 8 crore net short, about minus 8% of capital, even though it is 10% net long in rupees. When the market falls 10%, the longs lose about Rs 11.55 crore and the shorts gain about Rs 12.35 crore, so the fund makes Rs 0.80 crore before any stock picking. When the market rises 10%, it loses the same amount.

Net long in rupees, net short in beta: the same book, two readings105.0longs-95.0shorts+10.0netIn rupees115.5longs-123.5shorts-8.0netBeta-adjustedMarket falls 10%Longs-11.55Shorts+12.35Book+0.80Rs crore on Rs 100 croreof capital: a 10% netlong book gains whenthe market fallsRs crore
Kithara holds Rs 105 crore of longs and Rs 95 crore of shorts, 10% net long in rupees, but weighted by beta the longs are Rs 115.5 crore and the shorts Rs 123.5 crore, 8% net short, so a 10% market fall makes the book Rs 0.80 crore.
MeasureCalculationRs crore% of capital
Gross exposure105 + 95200200%
Net exposure105 - 95+10+10%
Beta-adjusted longs105 x 1.1115.5115.5%
Beta-adjusted shorts95 x 1.3123.5123.5%
Beta-adjusted net115.5 - 123.5-8.0-8.0%
Market -10%-11.55 + 12.35+0.80+0.80%
Kithara is 200% gross and 10% net long in rupees, but its beta-adjusted net exposure is -8%, so a 10% market fall produces a gain of about 0.8% of capital.
Step 3How would you make the book neutral to the market?

Close the Rs 8 crore beta gap from either side. Cutting shorts by 8 / 1.3, about Rs 6.15 crore, leaves Rs 88.85 crore of shorts carrying Rs 115.5 crore of beta, matching the longs. Adding Rs 7.27 crore of longs at a beta of 1.1 does the same from the other side. A beta-neutral Kithara would then look about 16% net long in rupees, which is why a fund's rupee net number, read alone, can mislead an investor in either direction. Which side to adjust depends on where the better ideas are, not on the arithmetic.

Say the limits. Betas are estimated from past prices and drift; the small cyclical names on the short side often behave very differently in a sharp sell-off, when correlations rise and betas bunch together. Beta-adjusted net is a better single number than rupee net, but it is still one number, and a book can be beta-neutral while carrying large bets on size, sector or momentum. A risk manager would check those factor exposures next.

Where candidates lose it

The common loss is answering 10% net long, loses 1% in a 10% fall, and stopping. The question gives you two different betas precisely so that you will adjust for them; ignoring them gets the direction of the answer wrong, not just the size.

The second is computing the beta-adjusted numbers and then describing the fund as neutral because longs and shorts nearly match in rupees. Say plainly that the book is net short the market on a beta basis, and that it gains in a sell-off.

What the interviewer asks next

  • The shorts' beta turns out to be 1.0, not 1.3. What is beta-adjusted net now?
  • Why do short books so often have higher betas than long books?
  • How would you hedge the beta gap with index futures instead of changing positions?
← Case 033Two private banks, Sarvodh and Nimbal, usually trade 1.2x apart on price to book, with a standard deviation of 0.2x. Today the gap is 1.6x and the spread's half-life is about 60 days. Analyse the trade: entry, sizing, stop and what you expect to make.Case 035 →A PM on the Hallorin Platform manages Rs 500 crore. At minus 5% for the year, capital is cut in half; at minus 7.5% the PM is stopped out. After the cut, what return must the PM earn on the smaller book to get back to flat, and how much more can be lost before the stop?

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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