Case 063Capital markets and financingHard
Hemvik Pharma can borrow Rs 1,000 crore at 9% or issue a 2% convertible at a 30% premium. Compare EPS under each, find the share price at which conversion makes sense, and say what Hemvik is really selling.
1The situation
Hemvik Pharma needs Rs 1,000 crore for five years. It can issue straight bonds at 9%, or a five-year convertible bond paying a 2% coupon that holders can swap for shares at a 30% premium to today's share price of Rs 400.
Before the new financing, Hemvik's net income is Rs 800 crore on 100 crore shares, EPS of Rs 8.00. Tax is 25%.
2Your task
Compute EPS under straight debt and under the convertible, basic and diluted on an if-converted basis. At what share price does conversion make sense, and what is Hemvik really selling?
Quick check
On diluted EPS, which financing looks better for Hemvik?
Worked solution
Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.
30-second answerThe answer to give first
The convertible gives EPS of about Rs 7.85 even fully diluted, against Rs 7.33 with straight debt, but Hemvik pays for that with a call option on its shares. Holders convert above Rs 520, into 1.923 crore shares. Valued as a 9% bond, the convertible is worth Rs 728 crore, so about Rs 272 crore of the Rs 1,000 crore raised is the price of the option. It is cheap money only if the shares do not rise much.
Step 1What do the EPS numbers look like under each financing?
Straight debt: Rs 1,000 crore at 9% is Rs 90 crore of interest, Rs 67.5 crore after tax, so net income falls to Rs 732.5 crore and EPS to Rs 7.325. Convertible, basic: Rs 20 crore of coupon, Rs 15 crore after tax, EPS Rs 7.850. Diluted, use the if-converted methodFor diluted EPS, assume the bond has been converted: add back its after-tax interest to earnings and add the conversion shares to the share count.: add the Rs 15 crore back and add 1.923 crore shares, Rs 1,000 crore divided by the Rs 520 conversion price. Diluted EPS is Rs 7.849, still about 7% above straight debt.
One accounting caveat a strong candidate adds: under Ind AS and IFRS a convertible is usually split into a debt part and an equity part, and the debt part carries interest close to the 9% market rate. Reported interest is then about Rs 65 crore, not Rs 20 crore, and the EPS advantage shrinks to about Rs 7.51. Confirm the treatment against the current standard and the instrument's terms.
Step 2At what share price does conversion make sense?
Holders get either Rs 1,000 crore back or 1.923 crore shares. At maturity they convert whenever the share price is above Rs 520, the conversion price, Rs 400 plus the 30% premium. Below that they take the cash. So Hemvik's shares must rise 30% in five years, about 5.4% a year, before conversion is worth anything at maturity, and every rupee above Rs 520 is a rupee per share that goes to the bondholders rather than Hemvik's existing owners.
Step 3What is Hemvik really selling?
A bond plus a call option on its own shares. Think of a landlord who charges a low rent but gives the tenant the right to buy the flat at today's price plus 30%. Value the convertible as a plain 9% bond and it is worth Rs 728 crore, the bond floorWhat a convertible would be worth with no conversion right: its coupons and principal discounted at the issuer’s straight borrowing rate.; investors pay Rs 1,000 crore, so they are paying about Rs 272 crore for the option. The low coupon is not a gift; it is the option premium, received as interest saved over five years.
| Share price at maturity | Holders take | Value given above Rs 1,000 crore | Versus Rs 262.5 crore saved |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rs 400 | cash | 0 | convertible cheaper |
| Rs 520 | cash | 0 | convertible cheaper |
| Rs 600 | 1.923 crore sh | 154 | convertible cheaper |
| Rs 700 | 1.923 crore sh | 346 | convertible dearer |
| Rs 800 | 1.923 crore sh | 538 | convertible dearer |
So close with the judgement. A convertible suits an issuer whose management thinks the shares will rise modestly, or which values today's lower interest bill and is willing to share upside it cannot be sure of. If management expects the shares to rise sharply, straight debt is cheaper in the end, because it keeps the upside for existing shareholders. Investors buying the convertible are taking the opposite view, which is why pricing, the premium and the coupon, is a negotiation over the value of that option.
Where candidates lose it
The usual miss is comparing coupons, 2% against 9%, and calling the convertible cheap debt. The coupon saving is the price investors pay for an option on Hemvik's upside, worth about Rs 272 crore today.
The second slip is the if-converted test. Diluted EPS adds back the after-tax coupon as well as adding the shares; leave the add-back out and you get Rs 7.70, which understates diluted EPS.
What the interviewer asks next
- Hemvik's shares fall to Rs 300. What is the convertible worth, and how does it behave now?
- Why do hedge funds buy convertibles and short the issuer's shares at the same time, and what does that do to the share price at launch?
- How would a call option for Hemvik, allowing it to redeem early, change the instrument's value?
- When does the if-converted method make a convertible anti-dilutive, and what do you report then?
Company names and figures are illustrative.
