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087

Case 087Capital markets and financingWarm up

A steel company with 100 crore shares at Rs 120 announces a 1-for-4 rights issue at Rs 80. What is the theoretical ex-rights price, what is each right worth, and what happens to a holder who does nothing?

1The situation

Shikhrav Steel, an invented listed steelmaker, has 100 crore shares trading at Rs 120. To fund a new rolling mill it announces a rights issue: every holder may buy one new share for every four held, at Rs 80, a third below the market price.

The rights can be traded during the offer period, so a holder who does not want to invest can sell them. Some small holders will ignore the letter entirely.

2Your task

Compute the theoretical ex-rights price and the value of a right, then show what happens to a holder of 100 shares who takes up, sells, or does nothing.

Quick check

What is the theoretical share price once the rights issue is done?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

The theoretical ex-rights price is Rs 112, and each right is worth Rs 32. Rs 12,000 crore of old value plus Rs 2,000 crore of new money, over 125 crore shares, is Rs 112. A holder who takes up or sells the rights stays whole. One who does nothing keeps 100 shares now worth Rs 112 each and loses Rs 8 a share, 6.7% of the holding.

Step 1How do you get the ex-rights price?

Add the money, then share it out. After the issue the company is worth its old market value plus the cash raised, and that total is divided across the old and new shares. Rs 12,000 crore plus Rs 2,000 crore over 125 crore shares gives Rs 112. The theoretical ex-rights priceThe share price you would expect once a rights issue is done, assuming the market values the new cash at exactly what was paid for it. is theoretical because it assumes the market values the new cash at face value; if investors like the rolling mill, the price can settle higher, and if they do not, lower.

Old value plus new money, shared across more shares12,000Value before100 crore x Rs 120+2,000New money25 crore x Rs 8014,000Value afterover 125 crore sharesEx-rights priceRs 112Right worth 112 - 80= Rs 32 per new shareRs 8 per old share
Rs 12,000 crore of value before the issue plus Rs 2,000 crore of new money is Rs 14,000 crore over 125 crore shares, a theoretical ex-rights price of Rs 112 and a right worth Rs 32 per new share.
Step 2Why is a deep discount not a gift to shareholders?

Because shareholders are paying themselves. The Rs 40 discount below the market price is offset exactly by the fall in price from Rs 120 to Rs 112, so a holder who participates neither gains nor loses. It is like a family selling a house to its own members at a discount: the buyers gain what the sellers give up, and when the buyers and sellers are the same people, nothing changes. The right is worth the gap between what a new share is worth and what it costs: 112 less 80, Rs 32, or Rs 8 for each old share since four old shares carry one right.

Step 3What happens to each kind of holder?

Take a holder of 100 shares, worth Rs 12,000 before the issue. If she takes up her 25 rights, she pays Rs 2,000 and ends with 125 shares worth Rs 14,000: net Rs 12,000, unchanged. If she sells the rights at Rs 32 each, she gets Rs 800 and keeps 100 shares worth Rs 11,200: again Rs 12,000. If she does nothing, her shares are worth Rs 11,200 and she has lost Rs 800, the value of rights she let lapse.

A holder of 100 shares: two ways to stay whole, one way to loseTakes up the rights12,000 (14,000 of shares - 2,000 paid)Sells the rights12,000 (11,200 of shares + 800 cash)Does nothing11,200 (loses Rs 800, 6.7%)Rs 12,000 before the issue
A holder of 100 shares ends with Rs 12,000 by taking up the rights or by selling them, but only Rs 11,200 by doing nothing, a loss of Rs 800.

State the framework and its limit. Whether lapsed rights are worth anything depends on the issue's rules: in some markets unsubscribed shares are sold and the premium is paid back to the holders who lapsed, in others it is simply lost. In India, rights entitlements have been made tradable on the exchange in recent years; confirm the current rules for any specific issue before telling a client what doing nothing costs. Bankers set the discount deep to make the issue near certain to fill, which is why the rights mechanics, not the discount, decide who pays.

Where candidates lose it

The common slip is averaging Rs 120 and Rs 80 to get Rs 100. The prices must be weighted by the number of shares at each price: four old shares for every new one.

The second is calling the discount a free gift. The discount moves value between shareholders who participate and those who do not; for the company's owners as a group, the issue at Rs 80 is neither cheap nor dear.

What the interviewer asks next

  • The issue is underwritten at a fee of 2%. Who bears that cost?
  • Why might a company choose a rights issue over a placement to institutions at a 5% discount?
  • After the issue the shares trade at Rs 108. What does the market think of the new rolling mill?
← Case 086A tower company owns 20,000 telecom towers with 1.6 tenants each, paying Rs 5 lakh a year per tenant, and each tower costs Rs 3 lakh a year to run. What is EBITDA today, and what is it if tenancy rises to 1.9 with no new towers?Case 088 →Stock pitch: an auto parts maker trades at 14x earnings against peers at 20x, and management guides electric vehicle parts from 10% to 25% of revenue by FY28 at higher margins. Build a variant view, the catalysts and the risks, and say what the market is missing, if anything.

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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