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088

Case 088AMC and distribution economicsCore

A distributor has Rs 18,000 crore of AUM earning 0.65% trail, 900 relationship managers costing Rs 9 lakh each a year and Rs 20 crore of other costs. What AUM does each manager need to break even, and what happens if trail is cut by 10 basis points?

1The situation

Nidhivan Distributors is an invented national mutual fund distributor. Its clients hold Rs 18,000 crore of mutual fund assets through it, on which fund houses pay it an average trail commission of 0.65% a year out of the schemes' expense ratios. It employs 900 relationship managers at a fully loaded cost of Rs 9 lakh each a year, and spends Rs 20 crore a year on technology, offices and compliance.

Fund houses are under pressure to lower expense ratios, and the distributor's management wants to know what a cut in the average trail from 0.65% to 0.55% would do. Treat costs as fixed in the short run and assets as unchanged.

2Your task

What does the business earn today, what AUM must each manager look after to break even, and what does a 10 basis point trail cut do?

Quick check

Trail falls from 0.65% to 0.55%. What happens to Nidhivan's profit?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Each manager needs about Rs 17.3 crore of assets to break even, against Rs 20 crore today, so the business earns only Rs 16 crore on Rs 117 crore of revenue. A 10 basis point trail cut removes Rs 18 crore of revenue, turns that into a loss of Rs 2 crore and lifts breakeven to about Rs 20.4 crore per manager. Restoring the old profit at the lower trail would mean about 200 fewer managers. A thin margin turns a small fee cut into a loss.

Step 1What does the business earn today?

Start with the whole. Rs 18,000 crore at 0.65% is Rs 117 crore of trail. Managers cost 900 x Rs 9 lakh = Rs 81 crore, and other costs are Rs 20 crore, so profit is Rs 16 crore, a margin of 13.7% of revenue. A neighbourhood grocer who keeps two rupees of every fourteen he takes in lives close to the line; one supplier squeezing his margin decides whether he makes money that year. Distribution looks the same: large revenue, almost all of it spent on people.

Step 2How much must each manager look after to break even?

Put each manager's cost on one line. Salary of Rs 9 lakh plus a share of other costs, Rs 20 crore over 900, about Rs 2.2 lakh, gives Rs 11.2 lakh a year. At 0.65% trail, a manager pays for himself only with about Rs 17.3 crore of client assets. Today the average is Rs 20 crore, so the cushion is under Rs 3 crore per head. Managers with smaller books are being carried by those with larger ones.

The relationship
A∗=cRM+Cother/Nt=0.09+20/9000.0065≈17.3A^{*} = \frac{c_{RM} + C_{other}/N}{t} = \frac{0.09 + 20/900}{0.0065} \approx 17.3
A*breakeven assets per manager, Rs crore
c_RMcost of one manager, Rs 0.09 crore
C_other / Nother costs shared across N = 900 managers
ttrail rate, 0.65%
What it says in wordsBreakeven assets per manager are his full cost divided by the trail rate.
Step 3What does a 10 basis point cut do?

Trail falls from 0.65% to 0.55%, a cut of 15% in revenue, to Rs 99 crore. Costs do not move. A profit of Rs 16 crore becomes a loss of Rs 2 crore, and the breakeven book rises to Rs 20.4 crore per manager, above today's Rs 20 crore. The cut is larger in rupees, Rs 18 crore, than the entire profit. That is operating leverage in its plainest form.

Profit against AUM per relationship manager, before and after the trail cut-60-40-20+20+40+6001015202530AUM per relationship manager, Rs crore (900 managers)Profit, Rs crore a yeartrail 0.65%trail 0.55%breakeven 17.3breakeven 20.4today: Rs 20 crore each+16-2
At a 0.65% trail Nidhivan breaks even at about Rs 17.3 crore per manager and earns Rs 16 crore at today's Rs 20 crore, but at 0.55% breakeven rises to Rs 20.4 crore and the same book produces a loss of Rs 2 crore.
Rs crore a yearTrail 0.65%Trail 0.55%
Revenue117.099.0
Managers, 900 x Rs 9 lakh81.081.0
Other costs20.020.0
Profit16.0-2.0
Breakeven AUM per manager17.320.4
A 10 basis point trail cut removes Rs 18 crore of revenue from a business earning Rs 16 crore, turning profit into a loss of Rs 2 crore.
Step 4What could management do about it?

Three levers, each with a cost. Fewer managers with larger books: at 0.55% the business breaks even with about 878 managers and needs about 700 to earn the old Rs 16 crore, so restoring profit means losing about 200 people and reassigning their clients, some of whom will leave. A better asset mix: equity schemes pay higher trail than debt, so shifting the book towards equity raises the average rate but also raises revenue's sensitivity to markets. A different model: charging clients a fee for advice instead of relying on commissions changes the regulatory category and the client conversation. The view: the business is too thin to absorb a fee cut without restructuring, and the first job is to rank managers by book size and cost, because the average hides the ones losing money. The limit: costs are not fully fixed, since incentives fall with revenue, so the real loss would be smaller.

Where candidates lose it

Candidates compute the 15% revenue fall and stop, assuming profit falls 15% too. With costs fixed and a margin near 14%, the same cut wipes out all the profit; the answer has to carry the arithmetic through to the bottom line.

The second slip is forgetting the Rs 20 crore of other costs in the breakeven. Salary alone gives Rs 13.8 crore per manager; the true figure is about Rs 17.3 crore.

What the interviewer asks next

  • What if half the managers' cost is variable pay that falls in proportion to revenue?
  • The distributor could raise AUM 10% a year through market gains. How long until the trail cut is absorbed without layoffs?
  • Why might a distributor prefer to lose some smaller clients after a trail cut?
← Case 087A US equity feeder fund lagged its index by 2.3% in a year: expense ratio 0.6%, the overseas fund's own cost 0.2%, 5% held in cash while the index rose 20%, and currency moves timed differently from the NAV cut-off. Decompose the gap, and explain what happens when the industry's overseas investment limit is reached.Case 089 →A fund lent Rs 150 crore through NCDs secured by promoter shares at 2.0x cover. The share price falls 45%, cutting cover to 1.1x, and the stock trades only Rs 12 crore a day. Invoke the pledge and sell, demand a top-up, or wait?

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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