Case 005Company analysis and valuationWarm up
Rapid fire on a cement company: from its share price, share count, net debt, EBITDA, capacity and the cost of a new plant, give its enterprise value, EV to EBITDA, EV per tonne, and say whether it is cheaper to buy or to build.
1The situation
Kumbhalgarh Cement trades at Rs 400 a share with 25 crore shares in issue. It has net debt of Rs 2,000 crore and EBITDA of Rs 1,500 crore. Its plants have 20 million tonnes a year of capacity. Building a new integrated cement plant costs about Rs 7,500 a tonne of capacity and takes around three years, on the case's assumptions.
The interviewer fires questions one after another and wants each answer in a sentence.
2Your task
Enterprise value? EV to EBITDA? EV per tonne? Is it cheaper to buy Kumbhalgarh or build the same capacity?
Quick check
What is Kumbhalgarh's enterprise value per tonne of capacity?
Worked solution
Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.
30-second answerThe answer to give first
Enterprise value Rs 12,000 crore, 8 times EBITDA, Rs 6,000 a tonne, and buying is cheaper. Market value is Rs 400 times 25 crore shares, Rs 10,000 crore, plus Rs 2,000 crore of net debt. Per tonne, that is 20% below the Rs 7,500 a new plant costs, and it comes with capacity today rather than in three years, provided the plants are as good as new ones.
Step 1How do you answer rapid fire without tripping?
Say the formula in five words, then the number. Rapid fire rewards the order of operations more than speed: each answer is the input to the next one. Enterprise value feeds the multiple, and the multiple and the per-tonne figure feed the buy or build answer, so one slip early spoils four answers. It is like reading directions to a driver: one wrong turn called early sends every later instruction somewhere else.
Step 2What are the first three answers?
Market value is Rs 400 times 25 crore shares, Rs 10,000 crore. Enterprise value adds the Rs 2,000 crore of net debt, because anyone buying the whole company takes on its debt as well as its shares: Rs 12,000 crore. EV to EBITDA is 12,000 over 1,500, 8.0 times. EV per tonne is Rs 12,000 crore, which is Rs 1,20,00,00,00,000, over 20 million tonnes: Rs 6,000 a tonne.
Step 3Why does EV per tonne against replacement cost answer buy or build?
Because both numbers price the same thing: one tonne of working capacity. Replacement costWhat it would cost today to build the same productive assets from scratch, including land, plant and approvals. is what a rival would spend to add a tonne; EV per tonne is what the market charges to own one that already runs. At Rs 6,000 against Rs 7,500, the market values Kumbhalgarh's plants at 80% of what it would cost to build them. Building the same 20 million tonnes would cost Rs 15,000 crore and three years of waiting; buying costs Rs 12,000 crore and delivers the capacity on day one.
| Rapid fire question | Working | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| Market value | Rs 400 x 25 crore shares | Rs 10,000 crore |
| Enterprise value | 10,000 + 2,000 net debt | Rs 12,000 crore |
| EV to EBITDA | 12,000 / 1,500 | 8.0x |
| EV per tonne | Rs 12,000 crore / 20 million tonnes | Rs 6,000 |
| EBITDA per tonne | Rs 1,500 crore / 20 million tonnes | Rs 750 |
| Share price at replacement cost | (15,000 - 2,000) / 25 | Rs 520 |
Step 4What would make the cheap price a trap?
Test whether a tonne here equals a tonne new. A discount to replacement cost is a bargain only if the plants are comparable: similar efficiency, limestone reserves for decades, and a location near the markets that buy the cement. An old kiln burning more fuel, or a plant far from demand paying heavy freight, earns less per tonne and deserves a lower price. Here EBITDA is Rs 750 a tonne; a builder paying Rs 7,500 would need about that just to earn a 10% pre-tax EBITDA yield, so ask what a new plant would earn before you call Kumbhalgarh cheap.
Where candidates lose it
The first loss is using market value instead of enterprise value, which gives Rs 5,000 a tonne and a multiple of 6.7 times. The buyer inherits the debt, so the debt is part of the price.
The second is a units slip between crore and million tonnes. Rs 12,000 crore is Rs 1,20,00,00,00,000; 20 million tonnes is 2,00,00,000 tonnes. Write both out once and the per-tonne figure cannot go wrong.
What the interviewer asks next
- Kumbhalgarh runs at 70% utilisation. Does that change your per-tonne comparison?
- A rival builds 10 million tonnes of new capacity nearby. What happens to the buy or build answer?
- Why might a cement company trade above replacement cost for years?
- What would you ask the company about its limestone reserves, and why?
Asked at Fidelity Investments, Equity Research Intern Interview, Toronto, 2024 (Wall Street Oasis): First round was a few behaviorals and a 20 min investing case with 15 rapid fire questions with the interviewer
Company names and figures are illustrative.
