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090

Case 090Client mandates and IPSCore

A hospital group holds a Rs 400 crore surplus in bank deposits. It needs Rs 150 crore in 18 months and the rest is long-term. What would you recommend, and what are the risks and benefits?

1The situation

Bhoomika Hospitals Group, a listed hospital operator, holds a Rs 400 crore cash surplus in bank fixed deposits earning 6.8%. The board has approved a new hospital that will need Rs 150 crore in 18 months. The other Rs 250 crore has no planned use for at least five years.

The CFO asks for a recommendation. Assume short-dated high-quality instruments maturing within 18 months yield about 7.1%, high-quality bonds with a duration of about 4 years yield 7.4%, and equity index funds are expected to return 12% a year with the risk of a 30% fall in a bad year.

2Your task

Recommend how to invest the Rs 400 crore, and set out the risks and benefits of that recommendation.

Quick check

What is the first decision to make with the Rs 400 crore?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Split the surplus by job: Rs 150 crore in a ladder of high-quality instruments maturing by month 18, and Rs 250 crore in a long-term sleeve of Rs 175 crore bonds and Rs 75 crore equity. Expected income rises from Rs 27.2 crore to about Rs 32.6 crore a year, Rs 5.4 crore more. The hospital money stays safe. The cost is volatility: in a bad year with a 30% equity fall and rates up 1 point, the portfolio would lose about Rs 7.0 crore.

Step 1Why split the money before choosing anything?

A family saving for a wedding next year and for retirement in twenty keeps the two in different places, even if they sit in the same bank. Money with a date must be there on the date; money without one can accept swings in exchange for a higher return. Bhoomika's surplus is two pots. The Rs 150 crore for the hospital is a liability-matchedInvested so that the money matures when it is needed, removing the risk of having to sell at a bad price. sleeve; the Rs 250 crore is long-term money. Keeping both in 6.8% deposits is safe but pays the same low rate for two very different jobs.

Split the money by when it is needed, then invest each part for its jobm0m6m12m18m24m30m36Months from todaySleeve ARs 150 croreRs 50 cr maturesRs 50 cr maturesRs 50 cr maturesPay Rs 150 crorenew hospitalSleeve BRs 250 croreRs 175 crore high-quality bonds, duration about 4Rs 75 crore equity index fundsno fixed date: long-term
Bhoomika's Rs 150 crore for the new hospital sits in a ladder of Rs 50 crore holdings maturing at months 6, 12 and 18, so the money is in hand on the date, while the Rs 250 crore with no date goes into Rs 175 crore of bonds and Rs 75 crore of equity.
Step 2What goes in each sleeve?

Sleeve A: Rs 150 crore in treasury bills, certificates of deposit and top-rated short paper maturing at months 6, 12 and 18, yielding about 7.1%. Held to maturity, it cannot miss the payment; even a 1 point rise in rates dents its value by only about Rs 1.1 crore on the way. Sleeve B: Rs 175 crore of high-quality bonds at 7.4% and Rs 75 crore in equity index funds, a 30% equity share of the long-term money that a board can defend and that can sit through a bad year.

Rs crore a yearAll in depositsRecommended, expectedRecommended, bad year
Sleeve A, Rs 150 crore10.210.659.52
Bonds, Rs 175 crore11.912.955.95
Equity, Rs 75 crore5.19.00-22.50
Total27.232.60-7.03
The split raises Bhoomika's expected return on the surplus from Rs 27.2 crore to Rs 32.6 crore a year, but a bad year with a 30% equity fall and a 1 point rise in rates would show a Rs 7.0 crore loss where deposits would have earned Rs 27.2 crore.
Step 3What are the benefits, and what are the risks?

The benefit is about Rs 5.4 crore a year of expected extra return, with the hospital money as safe as it was in deposits. The risks sit almost entirely in sleeve B. Equity can fall 30% in a year, Rs 22.5 crore, and bonds lose about Rs 7 crore if rates rise 1 point. Because Bhoomika is listed, those swings may pass through its reported profit, and a hospital company reporting a treasury loss invites questions that deposit interest never does.

Name the conditions that make the recommendation safe to adopt. The board should approve a written treasury policy with limits on credit quality, issuer concentration and equity share; confirm the accounting and tax treatment of each instrument with the auditors, since both differ between deposits, bonds and funds; and agree that sleeve B is judged over five years, not quarter by quarter. If the board cannot accept a loss year in reported profit, the equity share should be lower or zero, and the recommendation still stands on the split.

Where candidates lose it

The common loss is treating the Rs 400 crore as one pot and picking one allocation for it. Either the hospital money ends up at risk, or the long-term money earns deposit rates for years.

The second is presenting only the upside. The case asks for risks and benefits; a recommendation that does not show the bad-year loss, and how it lands in a listed company's results, will not survive the CFO's first question.

What the interviewer asks next

  • The hospital's timing slips to 30 months. What do you change?
  • Why might a listed company avoid equity in its treasury altogether?
  • How would you choose between a short-term debt fund and a ladder of direct instruments for sleeve A?
← Case 089Pitch a listed jeweller as a quality-at-a-reasonable-price long. Tie it to your investment philosophy and explain how the gold price risk is handled.Case 091 →A multi-manager programme blends three large cap managers equally, each with 5% tracking error and a 1.5% fee. What is the combined tracking error if their active returns correlate 0.8, and if they correlate minus 0.2? Is it worth its fees against a 0.2% index fund?

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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