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031

Case 031Down rounds, distress and runwayCore

Poshvik Nutrition takes an insider bridge as a convertible note with a 25% discount and a cap at 70% of the last post-money. The next round prices lower. Which term binds, how much does the bridge own, and what would a flat round have given it?

1The situation

Poshvik Nutrition, a packaged health-food brand, last raised at a Rs 300 crore post-money valuation. Growth slowed, and its existing investors now lend it Rs 15 crore as a convertible noteA loan that turns into shares at the next priced round instead of being repaid, usually at a discount to that round price or at a capped valuation, whichever gives more shares.: it converts at a 25% discount to the next round's price, with a cap at 70% of the last post-money, Rs 210 crore.

The next round prices at Rs 240 crore pre-money and raises Rs 60 crore of new money. Before the round there are 100 lakh shares. Ignore interest on the note, and assume the round price is set on the 100 lakh shares, with the note's shares added on top.

2Your task

Which term binds, what does the bridge own after the round, and what would it have owned in a flat round at Rs 300 crore pre-money?

Quick check

At a Rs 240 crore pre-money, which term sets the bridge's conversion price?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

The discount binds: 75% of Rs 240 crore is Rs 180 crore, below the Rs 210 crore cap, so the bridge converts at Rs 180 crore and owns 6.25% after the round. In a flat round at Rs 300 crore the discount would give Rs 225 crore, so the cap would bind instead and the bridge would own 5.62%. Below a Rs 280 crore pre-money the discount decides; above it the cap does.

Step 1How does a note with both a cap and a discount decide its price?

Imagine a shop coupon that says 25% off, but never more than Rs 210 for this item. If the item's price falls, the 25% off is the better deal; if the price rises a lot, the Rs 210 ceiling is. You always pay the lower of the two. A convertible note with a cap and a discount converts at whichever of the two valuations is lower, because the lower valuation buys more shares for the same Rs 15 crore. The cap protects the bridge when the next round is priced high; the discount rewards it for lending before anyone knew the price.

Here the discount gives 75% of Rs 240 crore, Rs 180 crore. The cap is 70% of the last Rs 300 crore post-money, Rs 210 crore. Rs 180 crore is lower, so the discount binds. Per share: the round price is Rs 240 crore over 100 lakh shares, Rs 240, and the note converts at Rs 180. Rs 15 crore buys 8.33 lakh shares, the new investors' Rs 60 crore buys 25 lakh, and the bridge ends with 6.25% of 133.33 lakh shares.

The bridge converts at the lower of the two prices, Rs crore valuationDown round: Rs 240 cr preRound price24025% discount180binds: lowest price winsCap: 70% of 300210Bridge owns 6.25% after the round (8.33 lakh of 133.33 lakh shares)Flat round: Rs 300 cr preRound price30025% discount225Cap: 70% of 300210binds: lowest price winsBridge owns 5.62% after the round (7.14 lakh of 127.14 lakh shares)Below Rs 280 crore pre-money the discount decides; above it the cap does.
In the down round the discount values the company at Rs 180 crore, below the Rs 210 crore cap, so it binds and the bridge owns 6.25%; in a flat round the discount gives Rs 225 crore, so the cap binds and the bridge owns 5.62%.
Step 2What would a flat round have given the bridge?

At Rs 300 crore pre-money, the round price is Rs 300 a share and the discount price would be Rs 225 crore of valuation, Rs 225 a share. The cap of Rs 210 crore, Rs 210 a share, is lower, so now the cap binds. Rs 15 crore buys 7.14 lakh shares, the new money buys 20 lakh at the higher price, and the bridge owns 5.62%. The two terms hand over to each other at a Rs 280 crore pre-money, where 75% of the round price equals the Rs 210 crore cap.

Next round pre-money, Rs crDiscount valuationConversion valuationBindsBridge ownsExisting holders own
180135135discount7.69%69.23%
240180180discount6.25%75.00%
280210210cap5.56%77.78%
300225210cap5.62%78.65%
400300210cap5.85%81.87%
Rs crore, with Rs 60 crore of new money in every case. The bridge's stake is largest in the deepest down round because the discount keeps tracking the falling price; above Rs 280 crore the cap fixes its price and its stake moves only with the new money's dilution.
Step 3Why would insiders write a bridge on these terms, and who pays?

Insiders bridge to buy time for a round they expect to be lower. A cap set at 70% of the last post-money tells everyone the insiders themselves expect a down round, and the discount makes sure they are paid for the risk whatever the price turns out to be. The cost falls on the existing holders, founders and any investors not in the bridge: in the down round they keep 75.00% of the company, against 78.65% in a flat round.

Say the limitations. Interest on the note, often 8% to 12% a year in practice, usually converts too and adds shares; check the note itself. And the round's own definition of pre-money matters: if the new investors insist the note's shares sit inside the Rs 240 crore, the founders absorb all of the bridge's dilution. Finally, a bridge signals to outside investors that the insiders would not lead a priced round, which is why the next lead will ask why.

Where candidates lose it

The common loss is picking the cap because it sounds like the protective term, and converting at Rs 210 crore. A note converts at the lower valuation; in a down round that is usually the discount, and the cap is irrelevant.

The second is computing the bridge's stake as Rs 15 crore over the conversion valuation and stopping, 8.33%. That is its share before the new money arrives; after Rs 60 crore of new shares it owns 6.25%.

What the interviewer asks next

  • The note carries 10% simple interest for one year, which converts too. What does the bridge own now?
  • At what pre-money does the bridge own exactly 6%?
  • Why might the new lead insist the note converts inside its pre-money?
← Case 030Sudhvik Partners Fund III exits its first deal early for a big gain and later loses heavily on its second. Compare the carry paid under a deal-by-deal waterfall and a whole-fund waterfall, and work out the clawback at the end.Case 032 →Hypervik AI raised at Rs 2,000 crore post-money on Rs 40 crore of ARR, 50 times. If mature peers trade at 10x ARR and this round needs 3x in five years after 25% dilution, what ARR must Hypervik reach, and what growth does that imply?

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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