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035

Case 035Portfolio management and follow-onsCore

Which of our investments is your least favourite? Korvanta Ventures Fund I holds five companies with very different problems. Rank them on the numbers, pick one, and phrase it for a partner who may have sourced it.

Battery VenturesBoston · 2019

1The situation

Korvanta Ventures Fund I holds five companies. Lekhvik Cloud, SaaS: ARR Rs 60 crore growing 90%, net revenue retention 118%, 20 months of runway. Rinvik Finance, a lender: loan book Rs 800 crore growing 35%, gross bad loans (NPAs) up from 3% to 7% in a year, pre-provision profit 4% of the book. Rangvik Skin, a D2C brand: revenue Rs 120 crore growing 40%, gross margin 62%, marketing 45% of revenue, fulfilment 10%, other fixed costs 12%, 14 months of runway.

Khetvik Mandi, an agritech marketplace: GMV Rs 400 crore growing 60%, contribution margin 1% of GMV, fixed costs Rs 36 crore a year, 12 months of runway. Codevik, a developer tools company: ARR Rs 18 crore growing 70%, retention 125%, three months of runway, but a signed term sheet for Rs 50 crore closing in six weeks. Assume the lender loses half of every bad loan.

2Your task

Rank the five on growth, economics and runway, choose your least favourite with the number that decides it, and say how you would put it to a partner.

Quick check

Which company's problem is hardest to fix with the levers it has?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Khetvik Mandi is the least favourite: at 1% contribution it makes Rs 4 crore against Rs 36 crore of fixed costs and needs 9 times its GMV to break even. Every other problem has a lever. Codevik's runway is a closing risk with a signed term sheet; Rinvik's bad loans cost 3.5% of the book against 4% earnings; Rangvik breaks even by trimming marketing to 40% of sales. Put it to the partner as a question about the number, not the founder.

Step 1What is this question really testing?

Two things at once: whether you can judge companies on numbers, and whether you can say something uncomfortable to a senior person without either flattering or offending them. The safe dodge, refusing to pick, fails the first test; picking the company with the scariest headline fails the judgement. Think of a doctor in a ward: the patient who looks worst is not always the one in the most danger. The one in danger is the one whose problem has no treatment.

Step 2How do the five compare on the numbers?

Give each problem its decisive number. Rinvik: half of 7% of an Rs 800 crore book is Rs 28 crore of losses against Rs 32 crore of pre-provision profit, still Rs 4 crore positive, and it breaks even only if bad loans reach 8%. Tighter lending fixes it. Rangvik: 62% gross margin less 45% marketing and 10% fulfilment leaves 7%, minus 12% fixed costs, so EBITDA is minus 5%. Cutting marketing to 40% of sales takes it to break-even, a lever it controls tomorrow. Codevik's three months of runway would be alarming without a signed term sheet; with one it is a closing risk to watch weekly, not a model problem.

Five companies, three tests, one number each: the weakest is the one with no pathGrowthEconomicsRunwayThe number that decides itLekhvik CloudSaaS90%NRR 118%20 moStrongest in the fund on every lineRinvik Financelender35%NPA 7%profitableLosses 3.5% vs earnings 4% of bookRangvik SkinD2C brand40%7% after ads14 moAds 45% to 40% of sales = break-evenKhetvik Mandiagri marketplace60%1% of GMV12 moNeeds 9x GMV to cover fixed costCodevikdevtools70%NRR 125%3 moTerm sheet signed: closing risk onlystrongwatchproblemOutlined: the least favourite
Lekhvik Cloud and Codevik score strongly on growth and economics, Rinvik and Rangvik each have one problem with a clear fix, and Khetvik Mandi combines 1% contribution with 12 months of runway and needs 9 times its GMV to cover its fixed costs.

Khetvik is different in kind. Rs 400 crore of GMV at 1% is Rs 4 crore of contribution against Rs 36 crore of fixed costs. To break even it needs Rs 3,600 crore of GMV, 9 times today, about 4.7 years at 60% growth, or a contribution margin of 9% at today's size. Agricultural produce is traded on thin spreads, so neither path is in its own hands, and it has 12 months of cash. That is a structural problem, not a cyclical one.

Step 3How do you say it to a partner who may have sourced it?

Lead with what is true and good, then the number, then what would change your mind. Something like: Khetvik has the second-fastest GMV growth in the fund, and the farmer network is hard to copy. My concern is that at 1% contribution it needs nine times today's GMV just to cover current fixed costs, and I could not see from the numbers which crops or regions earn more. If contribution on its best crop is several times the average, I would change my view. That framing respects the partner's judgement, because it asks for the data the partner may already have.

The limitation is honest humility. An outsider sees reported numbers, not the board pack. Say so, briefly, and do not retreat from the pick. The candidate in the original report noted the VP still looked annoyed; that is fine. What loses offers is a choice with no number behind it, or a choice softened until it says nothing.

Where candidates lose it

The common loss is picking Codevik because three months of runway sounds fatal. A signed term sheet changes the question from survival to closing risk, and choosing it tells the interviewer you read headlines rather than situations.

The second is criticising the founder or the sector in general terms. A partner will defend a company against an opinion, but will engage with a number, especially one framed as a question they can answer.

What the interviewer asks next

  • What would you want Khetvik to do with its last 12 months of cash?
  • Rinvik's NPAs rise to 9%. Does your ranking change?
  • Which of the five would you put the fund's reserves behind, and why?

Asked at Battery Ventures, Venture Capital, Boston, 2019 (Wall Street Oasis): one of the VPs asked which of their investments was my least favorite

← Case 034Explain SaaS to your grandmother, with numbers: Silaivik Software sells software to tailoring shops either as a one-time licence or as a monthly subscription. Why does the subscription business look worse in year one and better later?Case 036 →Kalpvik Games sells for Rs 350 crore. Seed, Series A and Series B each hold preferred shares with different preferences, participation and seniority. Run the waterfall: who gets what?

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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