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059

Case 059Unit economicsCore

Chalvik Fleet Leasing buys electric scooters and rents them to delivery riders. Work out the payback and the four-year return per scooter, and the utilisation at which the scooter fails to earn back its cost.

1The situation

Chalvik Fleet Leasing buys electric scooters at Rs 1.1 lakh each and rents them to food delivery riders at Rs 250 a day. Scooters are rented 80% of days, and a month has 30 days. Maintenance and insurance cost Rs 1,500 a month per scooter.

The battery must be replaced in month 30, at Rs 40,000. After four years the scooter is sold for Rs 15,000. Ignore tax and financing costs for now.

2Your task

What are the payback period and the four-year return per scooter, and what utilisation leaves the scooter short of its cost?

Quick check

What happens to cumulative cash per scooter in month 30?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Each scooter nets Rs 4,500 a month, pays back in about 24 months, and returns 1.74x its cost over four years, an IRR of about 35%. The month-30 battery pushes cumulative cash back below zero until month 33, and the Rs 15,000 resale ends the scooter Rs 81,000 ahead. Below about 57.5% utilisation the scooter does not earn back its cost in four years, so utilisation is the number to diligence.

Step 1What does one scooter earn in a month?

Think of an auto rickshaw owner who rents his vehicle to a driver by the day. What matters is how many days it is actually on the road, not the daily rate on the board. At Rs 250 a day and 80% utilisation, a scooter brings in Rs 6,000 a month, and after Rs 1,500 of maintenance and insurance it nets Rs 4,500. That monthly net is the engine of the whole case. Payback is Rs 1,10,000 over Rs 4,500, which is 24.4 months, a little over two years.

Step 2How does the battery change the picture?

Track cumulative cash month by month rather than stopping at payback. By month 30 the scooter is only Rs 25,000 ahead, so the Rs 40,000 battery takes it back to minus Rs 15,000, and it does not pay back for good until month 33.3. A payback figure that ignores the second big cost tells an investor the asset is safe a year before it really is. After that, eighteen more months of Rs 4,500 and the Rs 15,000 resale leave the scooter Rs 81,000 ahead at month 48.

Cumulative cash per scooter, Rs: payback, the battery dip, the resale-100k-50k+50k+100k0012243648Payback 24.4 monthsagain at 33.3Ends at +81,000Buy: -1,10,000Months since purchaseBattery, Rs 40,000 in month 30: cumulative cash back to -15,000Dashed: at 57.5% utilisation the scooter ends four years at exactly zero
Cumulative cash per scooter starts at minus Rs 1,10,000, crosses zero at 24.4 months, drops back to minus Rs 15,000 when the battery is replaced in month 30, crosses zero again at month 33.3 and ends Rs 81,000 ahead after the resale.
Per scooter, RsMonthsAmount
Purchase0(1,10,000)
Rent at 80% utilisation1 to 482,88,000
Maintenance and insurance1 to 48(72,000)
Battery replacement30(40,000)
Resale4815,000
Net cash over four years81,000
Over four years one scooter brings in Rs 2,88,000 of rent against Rs 1,10,000 of purchase, Rs 72,000 of upkeep and a Rs 40,000 battery, and ends Rs 81,000 ahead after a Rs 15,000 resale, 1.74 times its cost in total inflows.
Step 3What is the return, and what utilisation breaks it?

Total inflows of Rs 1,91,000 on Rs 1,10,000 is 1.74x. Because the money comes back steadily, the IRR on the monthly cash flows is about 35% a year, before tax and before the cost of borrowing to buy the scooters. The scooter just earns back its cost when 48 months of net rent cover the purchase, the battery and nothing more: Rs 1,10,000 plus Rs 40,000 less Rs 15,000, spread over 48 months, plus Rs 1,500 of upkeep, needs Rs 4,312 of rent a month, which is 57.5% utilisation. At 60%, the scooter ends only Rs 9,000 ahead and earns about 3.8% a year, well below what the debt funding a fleet usually costs.

Step 4What would you diligence before funding a fleet?

Utilisation first, by month of the scooter's life and by city, because a new scooter rents easily and an old one sits idle more. The gap between 80% and the 57.5% breakeven is the whole margin of safety, so you want to see it measured across a full year, including monsoon months when riders stop. Then the battery: if it lasts 24 months instead of 30, the dip comes earlier and the return falls. Then the resale value, which depends on a second-hand market for electric scooters that is still thin. This is why fleets like Chalvik are usually funded with venture debt or asset finance secured on the scooters, with equity paying for the platform: the scooter return is a lending return, not a venture return, and a fund should not pay a software multiple for it.

Where candidates lose it

The usual error is stopping at the first payback, 24 months, and calling the asset safe from there. The battery in month 30 pulls cumulative cash back below zero; a candidate who tracks the whole life of the asset sees it.

The second is using the daily rate times 30 and forgetting utilisation. Rs 7,500 a month overstates rent by a quarter and hides the one number the business lives or dies on.

What the interviewer asks next

  • Chalvik borrows 80% of each scooter's cost at 14%. What does that do to the equity return per scooter?
  • Riders churn after three months on average. How does that affect utilisation, and what would you measure?
  • Would you rather own the scooters or let a lessor own them and take a fee per ride?
← Case 058Sanjeevik Health runs a dual track: a cash sale now or an IPO in nine months. Value both for the fund's 18% stake, counting delay, the pulled case and a lock-up, and say which track the fund should push for.Case 060 →Gintivik Systems is offered Rs 150 crore pre-money on a fully diluted basis. What is the price per share, and what changes if the unissued option pool is left out?

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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