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Debt Capital Markets · CoreTrack
1Fixed Income, Credit & Rates
iBond Fundamentals
The BondBond Price and YieldPrincipalRedemptionFace Value, Par and PrincipalThe CouponThe IndentureThe IssuerMaturityFixed Income and Debt Securities
iiBond Pricing and Yield
What a Bond Yield…The Policy Rate and a Bond YieldCurrent Yield and Yield to MaturityYield to Maturity and Yield to CallThe Coupon and the YieldReinvestment RiskCarrySpread Return and Price Return
iiiInterest Rate Risk
Duration and ConvexityDuration and Convexity Calculator,…Key-Rate Duration vs Modified DurationThe Basis PointAccrued InterestRecovery RateSpot Rate and Forward RatePrepayment Risk and Extension RiskA Rate View and a Credit ViewInterest-Rate Risk and Reinvestment RiskHow to Analyse a…How to Review Prepayment…How to Analyse a…
ivRates Markets
The Term Structure of Interest RatesThe Yield CurveThe Forward RateThe Term PremiumParallel Shift vs Steepening…
vCurve and Carry Strategies
Curve StrategySteepener, Flattener and ButterflyHow to Read a…How to analyse a Yield-Curve ScenarioThe Butterfly TradeCarry and Roll-Down
viSovereign Bonds
Sovereign BondsPar Bond and Premium BondGovernment SecuritiesHow to Compare Government…Inflation-Linked BondsBond Total ReturnBond LadderHow to Read a Bond Term SheetHow to Map the…How to Analyse a…Treasury BillsTreasury Bill vs Sovereign BondThe Benchmark YieldThe Policy Rate and the Bond Market
viiCredit Risk
Credit RiskCredit Risk and Interest Rate RiskG-Spread, Z-Spread and Option-Adjusted…Credit SpreadTerm Premium and Credit SpreadHow to Build an…Rating ActionsDefault Rate, Loss Given…Expected Credit LossWhat a Credit Rating…A Rating Watchlist EntryThe Fallen AngelThe Credit CurveInvestment Grade and High YieldCollateral vs Guarantee
viiiCredit Analysis
Credit AnalysisCollateral, Guarantee and Credit…How to analyse a…Seniority and SubordinationCovenantsLeverage RatiosGross Leverage and Net Leverage
ixCredit Events and Recovery
Credit EventsCredit Event vs Liquidity EventHow to update Credit…The Distressed ExchangeThe Default NoticeCovenant Breach vs Restructuring EventHow to analyse Default…
xSecuritisation
SecuritisationOriginator, Servicer and Trustee…How to map a…Mortgage-Backed SecuritiesThe TrancheAsset-Backed SecuritiesAsset-Backed Security vs Mortgage-Backed SecurityCredit EnhancementPrepaymentThe Cash Flow WaterfallExtension RiskWeighted Average Life
xiFixed Income Portfolios
Ladder, Barbell and BulletFixed Income Portfolio MeasuresBarbell vs BulletHow to Map the…Tracking Error in Fixed Income
xiiFixed Income Research
Fixed Income ResearchFixed-Charge CoverageHow to assess Fixed-Income…How to Write a…The Four Assumptions That…A Liquidity Assumption and…The Spread ThesisStating Limitations in Fixed…

Asset-Backed Security vs Mortgage-Backed Security: The Pool

Take one structure and change what sits in the pool. The contents of the pool are the entire distinction. Home loans make a mortgage-backed security; receivables of any other kind make an asset-backed one. Everything around the pool holds still: the vehicle, the jobs, the pieces, the order a loss travels. A home loan borrower may return principal early, so what moves is when the money comes back.

Two names that sound like two machines turn out to be one machine holding two different kinds of contents. One machine holding two kinds of contents changes what the question even is, and the change is worth sitting with for a moment. A comparison usually means listing features on the left and features on the right and counting the differences. Here almost every line on the left is the same line as the one facing it, and the counting stops being interesting. One narrow question is left: change the contents, and what downstream actually notices?

The answer to that question is one number, and it is a length of time rather than an amount of money. Everything below builds up to it. Most people arrive from a search on one of the two names rather than on both, so the build starts by defining each instrument on its own, without leaning on the other.

One machine. One slot. Two things that fit the slot. EQUIPMENT LOAN RECEIVABLES HOME LOANS A STRUCTURE BUILT FOR THIS POOL ALONE THE POOL the one thing that changes funds SENIOR PIECE, paid first MEZZANINE PIECE, paid next EQUITY PIECE, paid last cash loss up Losses climb from the bottom of the three. Cash is paid from the top down. Drawn as an order, not to size. The sizes come next.
Either kind of contents drops into the same slot, is held by a structure built for that pool alone, and funds three pieces that are paid in a fixed order. Only the contents card on the left changes between the two instruments.

What is an asset-backed security, without mentioning the other one?

An asset-backed security is a claim on pooled receivables that are not home loans, held inside a structure that exists for that pool and nothing else, and funded by pieces that get paid in a fixed order. Three things are doing work in that sentence, so take them one at a time. A pool, meaning many small amounts owed rather than one large one. A structure that holds nothing else, so whatever happens to the lender that made those loans, the receivables sitting in the structure are not part of the argument. And pieces that are an order rather than shares. The order is the part that catches most readers out on first meeting.

Made concrete: Sarvani Receivables Trust, an invented structure, is read here as equipment loan receivables, instalments owed by small businesses that bought machines. Its pool comes to Rs 1,200 crore. Funding it are three pieces. The senior piece is the large one, at Rs 960 crore. Beneath it the mezzanine piece takes Rs 180 crore. The equity piece, at Rs 60 crore, is the smallest thing in the structure and the one that matters most to how this works. The three pieces add back to Rs 1,200 crore exactly. Checking that addition is the first thing to do on any structure. A funding side that does not close on the pool means one of the numbers has been misread. Turned into shares of the pool, the same three give 80.0 per cent, 15.0 per cent and 5.0 per cent, closing on 100.0. Worth computing once and then setting aside: shares describe size, and size is not what decides where a shortfall goes.

Now the part that is not addition. The three pieces do not each hold a slice of every rupee owed. The pieces stand in a queue. If borrowers in the pool fail to pay, the shortfall lands on the equity piece until its Rs 60 crore is gone, then on the mezzanine piece until its Rs 180 crore is gone, and only after both of those on the senior piece. So the senior piece has Rs 240 crore of other people's money standing under it before it feels anything, and Rs 240 crore set against a Rs 1,200 crore pool is 20.0 per cent of the whole thing.

The definition just given is complete. The definition names what is inside, what holds it, how it is funded and what happens when something goes wrong, and none of that needed the words home loan. A reader who came only for what an asset-backed security is has the answer at the end of this block.

Sarvani Receivables Trust, read as equipment loan receivables Invented for teaching. Bands drawn to scale, amounts in crore. THE POOL Rs 1,200 crore of instalments owed by small businesses funded by SENIOR PIECE Rs 960 crore MEZZANINE PIECE Rs 180 crore EQUITY PIECE Rs 60 crore Every amount here was invented so the addition closes by hand.
Three pieces fund the Rs 1,200 crore pool: Rs 960 crore at the top, Rs 180 crore below that, Rs 60 crore at the bottom, and the addition closes exactly. Nothing in this drawing names a home loan, because the definition does not need one.
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What is a mortgage-backed security, without mentioning the other one?

A mortgage-backed security is a claim on pooled home loans, held inside a structure that exists for that pool and nothing else, and funded by pieces that get paid in a fixed order. Set that against the definition above: past the opening words, one phrase has been swapped and every other word is the same. The repetition is the finding.

Read Sarvani Receivables Trust the second way and its pool becomes home loans: instalments owed by households against houses they live in. Nothing on the funding side notices. Rs 1,200 crore is what the pool comes to, exactly as before. Each of the three pieces keeps the size it had. Underneath the topmost piece, Rs 240 crore of other money is still in the way of any shortfall.

A home loan brings a set of features about the loan itself that an equipment instalment does not, and those features are worth naming carefully because two of the three are red herrings for this comparison. First, a home loan runs a long time, often decades, against one household's income. Second, it is secured on the house. Third, and this is the one that matters here, the borrower ordinarily holds a right to hand back principal before its due date, in part or in whole. The right to hand principal back belongs to the person paying, not the person receiving. The holder of a mortgage-backed security has therefore agreed to a schedule the other side can shorten.

Notice what that third feature is a statement about. The feature is not a statement about losing money. Nobody defaulted, nothing was written off, and every rupee promised is still going to turn up. The feature is a statement about the obligorThe person or business on the paying end of a receivable. A pool is made of their instalments, and the pool has as many obligors as it has loans. holding a lever over the calendar. The consequences of pulling that lever, and what they cost the holder, make a subject on its own and are covered separately.

What a pool of home loans adds to the definition A right sitting with the borrower, pointed at the calendar rather than at the money. Rs 300 crore year 1 Rs 300 crore year 2 Rs 300 crore year 3 Rs 300 crore year 4 principal may be handed back here instead The right sits with the household paying, so the dark blocks are a plan rather than a promise. Declared for teaching. No date, no speed and no likelihood is stated.
Four declared annual instalments of Rs 300 crore each, and one broken line marking the borrower's right to return principal before its date. Nothing was lost in this drawing; only the timing of an arrival is in question.
Try it out

Each of the two instruments has to be defined, under one condition: neither definition may use the other instrument in the answer. Which definition pair holds up?

Try it out

Before reading on, make a prediction. Of these five things, how many differ between the two instruments: the structure holding the pool, the three jobs around it, the order a loss travels, the money standing beneath the senior piece, and the pool itself?

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What is identical between the two, and how much of the whole does that cover?

Line the two instruments up against seven things worth comparing and six of the seven come back with the same entry written twice. Not similar entries. The same entry. Set out what a reader would actually want to know about either one and the list runs like this: what holds the pool, who does what around it, what the funding pieces are, how big they are, how much money stands beneath the topmost piece, where a shortfall lands, and what the pool contains. Only the last of those seven produces two different answers.

Work through them. The pool sits inside a vehicle that exists for that pool and holds nothing else, under both readings. Somebody moved the receivables in. Somebody collects the instalments as they fall due. A third party keeps the structure for the people who bought the pieces. All three of those are jobs rather than businesses, and all three read the same under either reading. The pieces are a queue rather than a set of shares, under both readings. The senior piece measures Rs 960 crore in both, the mezzanine piece Rs 180 crore in both, the equity piece Rs 60 crore in both. A shortfall climbs from the bottom of that queue, under both readings.

Here the identity stops being a list and becomes arithmetic that can be checked. Suppose the pool loses 12.0 per cent of what it is owed. On Rs 1,200 crore that is Rs 144 crore. The equity piece takes the first Rs 60 crore and is used up in full. The remaining Rs 84 crore lands on the mezzanine piece. The mezzanine piece had Rs 180 crore to give, so 46.6667 per cent of it is consumed and the rest survives. The senior piece receives none of it. The subtraction never asked what the receivables were, so the identical run on the home loan reading gives Rs 60 crore, Rs 84 crore and nothing.

Put the same split another way and it becomes easier to hold: five twelfths of that loss stops at the equity piece and the other seven twelfths goes to the mezzanine piece. Both fractions are properties of the three sizes and the queue. Nothing about a house, a machine, a household or a workshop enters the calculation at any point.

Seven things worth comparing, and what each one returns Six rows agree. One row differs. That is the whole comparison. WHAT IS BEING COMPARED READ AS EQUIPMENT LOANS READ AS HOME LOANS The structure holding the pool built for this pool alone built for this pool alone The three jobs around it lender, collector, holder lender, collector, holder What the funding pieces are a queue, not shares a queue, not shares How big those three pieces are Rs 960 / 180 / 60 crore Rs 960 / 180 / 60 crore Money beneath the senior piece Rs 240 crore, 20.0 per cent Rs 240 crore, 20.0 per cent Where a Rs 144 crore loss lands Rs 60 / 84 / 0 crore Rs 60 / 84 / 0 crore What the pool is made of equipment loan receivables home loans
Six of the seven rows return the same entry in both columns, and the row that differs is the one naming what sits in the pool. Reading down the column of repeats is what makes the single red row easy to find.
A pool loss of Rs 144 crore, worked once Drawn once, because the arithmetic does not move when the pool changes. Rs 60 crore Rs 84 crore stops at the equity piece then climbs to the mezzanine piece PER CENT OF THAT PIECE USED EQUITY PIECE, Rs 60 crore 100.0000 MEZZANINE PIECE, Rs 180 crore 46.6667 SENIOR PIECE, Rs 960 crore 0.0000 Nothing reached the senior piece, so its track is drawn empty rather than left out.
Rs 144 crore of pool loss uses the equity piece in full, consumes 46.6667 per cent of the mezzanine piece and leaves the senior piece untouched. Swapping equipment loans for home loans changes not one figure in this drawing.
Try it out

Sarvani Receivables Trust loses Rs 144 crore on its pool. What does the mezzanine piece absorb, and does that answer depend on which kind of receivable the pool holds?

So what is actually different, and where does the difference show up?

The pool differs, and the consequence of that difference lands in exactly one place, the calendar rather than the loss. The claim compresses the whole comparison, so it earns some unpacking.

Start with the pool itself. A home loan runs a long stretch of years against a single household's income and is secured on the house. Other receivables run to their own terms, and those terms are written into each pool's paperwork rather than being a property of the category: equipment instalments, a shop's card settlements and a set of loans against gold all sit under the same broad heading and behave nothing like each other. So the honest statement of the difference is narrow. One pool is home loans. The other pool is whatever the transaction documentsThe bundle a structure is written in: what was transferred, who collects, who gets paid in what order, and what is to happen if something is missed. say it is, and the documents are where that is found.

Now the consequence. The borrower on a home loan ordinarily holds a right to hand principal back early, and money returning at a date the holder did not pick is the characteristic difficulty of a mortgage-backed security. The shape of that difficulty is worth noting. The difficulty is not that less arrives. The difficulty is that the arrival date is not fixed by the schedule set out at the start. PrepaymentA borrower handing principal back before the date it fell due, either in part or in one go. What follows from it, and what it costs a holder, is covered separately. is the name for the event, and the event on its own costs nobody a rupee of principal.

The number a reader uses to hold all of that in one hand is the weighted average lifeThe average of the dates on which principal arrives, with each date weighed by how much money turns up on it. Computing one for any schedule is covered separately.. Take Rs 1,200 crore of principal and declare that it returns on four annual dates, Rs 300 crore arriving each time. The weighted sum is 3,000 crore-years, and dividing by Rs 1,200 crore gives 2.50 years. Now declare a faster shape: three instalments of Rs 400 crore. The weighted sum is 2,400 crore-years and the answer is 2.00 years. The gap is 0.50 years.

A repayment speed is a property of a particular pool, and no pool has been observed, so both of those schedules are declared rather than measured off anything. The pair demonstrates something worth stating flatly: every rupee came back in both shapes, nobody lost anything in either, the three pieces did not move, and one summary number still shifted by half a year. Half a year is the entire mechanical difference between the two instruments, and it is a time rather than an amount.

The same Rs 1,200 crore under two declared schedules Same Rs 1,200 crore in both rows. Only the average date moved. year 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 FOUR DECLARED INSTALMENTS OF Rs 300 CRORE 2.50 years THREE DECLARED INSTALMENTS OF Rs 400 CRORE 2.00 years 0.50 years
Four instalments of Rs 300 crore put the average date at 2.50 years and three of Rs 400 crore put it at 2.00 years, a gap of 0.50 years. No amount anywhere in the structure changed between the two rows.
Try it out

The difference between the two instruments becomes visible in a single number. Which number is it?

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Does a loss land differently on one of them?

The order a loss travels is the part readers most expect to differ between the two instruments, and it is the part that differs least. Nothing about a house changes where a shortfall goes. Nothing about a workshop's machine changes it either. In both readings the shortfall starts at the bottom of the queue and climbs, and in both readings Rs 240 crore has to disappear first, with the topmost piece feeling nothing at all until it has.

Sameness of the queue matters for learning the subject, not just for the instruments. The queue is portable across pools and the pool is not portable across queues. A queue learned properly once carries into a structure built on toll receipts, on card settlements, on gold loans or on home loans, and the funding side reads straight away. One instrument learned thoroughly instead has to be started again the next time the contents change.

Readers reach for a likelihood at exactly this point, so one caution belongs right here. The queue settles who absorbs before whom. The queue settles nothing whatever about how often anybody absorbs anything. An order of absorption and a frequency of absorption are two different quantities, and only the first is fixed by the sizes and the order. Frequency needs a distribution of losses, a view on whether the borrowers in a pool fail together or separately, and a schedule of periods.

The same stack, drawn under both readings Not one amount differs between the two panels. READ AS EQUIPMENT LOAN RECEIVABLES Rs 960 crore Rs 180 crore Rs 60 crore Rs 240 crore beneath READ AS HOME LOANS Rs 960 crore Rs 180 crore Rs 60 crore Rs 240 crore beneath Same sizes, same queue, same money standing beneath. Only the label on top changed.
Both panels carry the same three sizes, Rs 960 crore over Rs 180 crore over Rs 60 crore, with Rs 240 crore of support underneath the topmost piece. The heading is the only thing that changed.
Try it out

Which of these reads the same way on the next structure, whatever that structure turns out to hold?

What does all of this look like at the scale of two stalls?

Two people run stalls on the same street. Each keeps takings in a tin box, and each has written on the inside of the lid, in the same handwriting, the order in which the box gets emptied: the supplier first, the helper second, whatever is left belongs to the owner. The boxes are the same size. The orders are word for word the same. Over a month the two boxes take in the same amount.

The first stall sells tea, and every customer settles at the counter before walking away. The second sells on a monthly account, and any customer may clear the whole account whenever they feel like it. Same box, same written order, same total. But only the second owner spends the month wondering when the money will actually turn up, and only the second owner has to decide what to do with a large settlement that arrives three weeks early.

The written order inside the lid never had to be rewritten for the second stall, and that is exactly the finding this comparison keeps arriving at from different directions. The arrival pattern changed, and an arrival pattern is a fact about the customers rather than about the box or the order. A pool of home loans is the second stall.

Two stalls, one takings box each, one written order each Same box, same written order, same total. Only the arrivals differ. STALL ONE, TEA OVER THE COUNTER THE TAKINGS BOX same size in both 1 the supplier is paid 2 the helper is paid 3 what is left belongs to the owner money arrives when it says it will STALL TWO, SOLD ON A MONTHLY ACCOUNT THE TAKINGS BOX same size in both 1 the supplier is paid 2 the helper is paid 3 what is left belongs to the owner money may arrive at any of these, or all at once
The boxes match, the written orders match word for word and the monthly totals match. What separates the two stalls is a broken row of arrivals rather than anything about the money itself.

Which facts are actually read about each pool?

Four facts have to be read out of the paperwork whichever pool is in front of the reader, and the home loan pool carries one more line that the other side does not. The four are the total the pool is owed, how many separate receivables make it up, how large the biggest single one is, and the schedule the money is contractually due on. None of those four is difficult to find and all four are easy to skip.

The second and third mean something only as a pair. A pool of Rs 1,200 crore made of forty thousand small instalments and a pool of Rs 1,200 crore made of eighty large ones are not the same object, and no single number on the funding side distinguishes the two. A difference of that kind is what concentrationHow much of a pool sits with one borrower, one region or one line of business. Two pools with identical totals can be built very differently, and the count and the largest single receivable are where that shows. means in practice, and it is a pool question rather than a piece question.

The extra line on the home loan side is what the papers say about handing principal back early: whether the borrower may do it, on what terms, and how that gets told to the people holding the pieces. The extra line is about timing and reporting rather than about anything being lost. The reporting half of it is set by an authority and revised, so the current wording sits with that authority.

A fifth thing is often wanted and not always given: the stretch of time the lender held each loan on its own books before it travelled into the structure. The name for that stretch is seasoningThe stretch of time a lender keeps a loan before it is allowed to move into a structure. How long that must be is set by an authority and is revised, so it is named here and left unwritten., and the required period is set rather than chosen, so seasoning belongs among the items settled elsewhere rather than among the figures above.

What is read out of the papers, side by side Four lines on both sides, and one more line on the home loan side. WHAT IS READ OUT OF THE PAPERS EQUIPMENT LOAN POOL HOME LOAN POOL The total the pool is owed read it read it How many separate receivables there are read it read it How large the biggest single one is read it read it The schedule the money is due on read it read it What the papers say about repaying early, and how that reaches the holders no line on this side read it, and the reporting line too The extra line is about a date, not about a rupee that went missing.
Both pools need the total, the count, the largest single receivable and the schedule read out of the papers, and the home loan pool needs one further line covering early repayment and how it is reported.
Try it out

Four facts get read out of the papers for either pool. Which further line does the home loan pool carry that the other one does not?

India

Seven items named here and settled elsewhere

Every row below has an empty middle column, and each one is empty for the same reason: the wording is set by an authority and it gets revised. The current text stands at the address in the last column.

The itemThe wording itselfWho keeps the wording currentWhere
Which receivables may be moved into a structure, and which may notReserve Bank of Indiarbi.org.in
What buyers are told about a pool before the pieces are sold, and to whomSecurities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI)sebi.gov.in
What gets reported about a pool once the pieces are outstanding, and how oftenSEBIsebi.gov.in
The carrying price at which a holding in a structure is written into a set of booksReserve Bank of Indiarbi.org.in
The scale a note may be assessed against, and what each step of that scale meansSEBIsebi.gov.in
How early repayment on the loans underneath is reported to the holdersSEBIsebi.gov.in
How a note is listed, quoted and dealt in, and by whomSEBIsebi.gov.in

Seven blank cells, and not one of them is an oversight.

How does a credit desk actually use this on a Tuesday?

An offer document of two hundred printed sides lands on a desk on Tuesday morning and somebody has to say something useful about it by Thursday. Nobody has time to read all of it, and this comparison is what decides the reading order. The funding side, meaning the pieces, their sizes and the queue, can be summarised in four lines and checked with a pen: do the pieces close on the pool, how much stands beneath the topmost one, what share of the pool is that, and where does a stated loss land. Checking the funding side is an hour of work, and the same hour whatever the pool holds.

Everything the desk cannot shortcut lives in the pool. The reading list runs: what are the receivables, how many, how large is the biggest, what is the schedule, and on a home loan pool, what does the paperwork say about early repayment and about telling holders when it happens. Two structures with identical funding sides can be very different objects, and every bit of that difference is in the pool section rather than the funding section.

The line a careful desk refuses to write is the ranking line, and refusing it is a professional act rather than a hedge. Saying that one pool is safer than another needs two figures: what comes back from borrowers who stop paying, and how often they stop. Where a pack carries neither, the honest note says the structures were compared on construction and were not placed in an order. A desk that writes a ranking anyway has manufactured a conclusion, and everything downstream of that note inherits it as though it had been measured.

Households do a smaller version of the same thing. Nobody publishes how a lender behaves when a payment is missed, so somebody choosing between two lenders can compare what is written down and nothing beyond it. Comparing what is documented and saying plainly that the rest is not documented is the same discipline at a different scale.

One note a credit desk can actually write Constructed comparably. Ranked on nothing, because nothing here ranks them. POOL NOTE, INTERNAL 1 What the pool holds: equipment loan receivables 2 Pieces: Rs 960 crore, Rs 180 crore, Rs 60 crore 3 Beneath the senior piece: Rs 240 crore 4 A shortfall climbs: equity, mezzanine, senior 5 Repaying early: read the clause and the reporting line 6 Safer than the home loan pool next door Lines 1 to 4 come straight off the papers. Anybody can check them. Line 5 is the one line that would not appear on the other pool's note. Line 6 was struck out. A ranking needs two figures nobody supplied. What survives is a construction note, which is what the desk was asked for.
Five of the six lines on this internal note can be checked against the papers by anybody. The sixth line ranks one pool against another, and it is struck out because the evidence a ranking runs on was never in the pack.
Try it out

A pool of home loans is secured on houses and a pool of equipment instalments is not. Make a prediction before reading the next block: does that settle which of the two instruments is the safer?

The error that gets made, and what it costs

A reader finishes the comparison, notices that a house stands behind every loan in one of the two pools, and concludes that the mortgage-backed security is the safer of the two. The reasoning is not silly. Security on a loan really does affect what comes back when a borrower stops paying, and less coming back is a large part of what a loss is made of. The step is a sensible one, and it stops two steps short of the conclusion.

Ranking the two needs two quantities, and security only speaks to one of them. The first is recoveryWhat is actually collected once a borrower has stopped paying and whatever stood behind the loan has been used up. It is a measurement rather than a promise, and this material carries none., and the second is how often borrowers in each pool stop paying at all. A pool where very little comes back but almost nobody defaults can be gentler than a pool where a great deal comes back and defaults are constant. One quantity on its own settles nothing.

Who makes it: somebody who has correctly understood that security matters, and has not noticed that the comparison needs a second figure. What it costs: a ranking that feels evidence-based, rests on a word inside an instrument's name, gets written into a note, and is then inherited by everything built on that note. The repair is one line long. Before two things are ranked, the figures the ranking would need should be written down and both confirmed to be in hand.

The two figures a ranking would need Both boxes are drawn empty on purpose. WHAT COMES BACK FROM A BORROWER WHO STOPS PAYING no figure here, for either pool HOW OFTEN BORROWERS IN THE POOL STOP PAYING AT ALL no figure here, for either pool Security speaks to the left box alone, and speaks to it partly. A ranking needs both boxes filled. Neither of them is. So the comparison stays on construction, and stops at construction.
Ranking the two instruments would need what comes back from a defaulting borrower in each pool and how often borrowers in each pool stop paying, and this material holds neither figure for either pool.
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Can either one be called the safer of the two?

Neither instrument is placed ahead of the other here, and the reason is a shortage of evidence rather than a shortage of nerve. Placing one ahead would mean knowing, for both pools, how much gets lost and how often that happens. Neither figure is in hand for either kind of pool, and inventing a plausible one would produce a ranking that reads as though it had been measured.

Construction can be compared, and construction has been compared in full and in both directions. The sizes are fixed. The queue is fixed. The arithmetic of a stated loss is fixed and runs identically on both readings. Not one of those is a statement about how likely anything is, and the difference between the two kinds of statement is the difference between an account that can be trusted and one that merely sounds authoritative.

A reader expects a likelihood to arrive at exactly this point, so say it plainly. A likelihood would need a distribution of losses, a view on whether the borrowers in a pool fail together or independently, and a schedule of periods, and the comparison above rests on none of the three. The queue says who absorbs before whom, and stops.

Try it out

A pool description arrives with the label torn off, so which of the two instruments it belongs to is not stated. Which facts in it would settle the question?

Try it out

Consider a structure not described above. Its pool holds instalments owed by households that bought two-wheelers, and those households may settle the whole outstanding balance early whenever they choose. Which of the two is it?

Where the one moving part on this subject lives

Exactly one relationship on this subject rewards being dragged: the one between a repayment schedule and the average date money arrives. The control for it sits with the treatment of repayment timing.

A table that reads across in one look and a pair of boxes with nothing inside them carry the rest of the comparison, and neither of those improves by being made to move. The last of the nine questions asks for an instrument never described above to be sorted. Sorting an unseen instrument is the only real test of whether the sorting rule landed.

Each of the two instruments is covered in full in its own right, and this guide carries only what a comparison needs. Early repayment on its own, what happens when repayment slows down instead, how a pool is made safer than the sum of its parts, and the order in which cash is paid out are all covered separately. Working out an average life for any schedule is covered separately as a calculation. And what may be securitised, what must be disclosed, the price at which a holding is carried, how early repayment is reported, the scale a note is assessed on and how a note is listed and dealt in are set by the Reserve Bank of India and by SEBI, they get revised, and the current wording sits with them.

Where these figures came from

Every rupee amount here began as an invention and stayed one. Four amounts were chosen so the addition closes and the subtraction can be done in the head, and everything else was worked out from those four rather than looked up. No transaction was read. No pool was examined. Past losses on pools of either kind were never observed, so no series was consulted and none was estimated to stand in for a missing one. Both repayment schedules are stated here as declarations and were measured off nothing: they exist so that one number can be made to move while everything else is held still. The same discipline runs through the blanks. Where a requirement would normally be quoted, the item is named and the current wording is left with the authority that sets it. A quoted requirement that has since been revised is wrong rather than merely old.

Value at Risk and What It Hides teaches you to compute value at risk three ways, interpret the figure, and say precisely what it refuses to describe.

References

Nine documents sit behind the blanks above. Not one of them supplied a figure: every figure here was invented for teaching and can be checked with a pen. Each document holds wording, and wording is what gets rewritten.

The document to openKept current bySite
The direction covering which receivables may travel into a structure, how long a lender keeps one first, the share of the structure that lender keeps afterwards, and the capital arithmetic applied to whoever holds a pieceReserve Bank of Indiarbi.org.in
The valuation direction fixing the price at which a holding in a structure is carried in a set of booksReserve Bank of Indiarbi.org.in
The issue and listing regulations covering what buyers are told before the pieces are sold, what reaches them afterwards and how often, how early repayment is reported to them, and the manner in which a note is listed, quoted and dealt inSEBIsebi.gov.in
The regulations fixing the scale a structured note may be assessed against, the meaning of each step on it, and what counts as a default for reportingSEBIsebi.gov.in
The accounting standard holding the test for whether a transfer really takes the receivables off the lender's booksInstitute of Chartered Accountants of Indiaicai.org
The register recording the charge over the receivablesCentral registry of security interestscersai.org.in
The framework deciding where a pool's receivables stand should the lender that made them collapseInsolvency authorityibbi.gov.in
The provisions covering a pass-through certificate and whoever holds oneIncome tax authorityincometaxindia.gov.in
The working paper, should a named idea about pools ever be written into this materialRepositories, checked before a name is writtenideas.repec.org, ssrn.com, nber.org

Sarvani Receivables Trust is invented.
Educational material. Not advice on any investment, tax, budget or market position.

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