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018

Case 018Client portfolios and goal planningWarm up

An advisory firm has two clients with Rs 40 lakh each: a 29-year-old saving for retirement and a 52-year-old who needs Rs 25 lakh for a daughter's wedding in three years. Using one menu of five funds, build both portfolios and explain why they differ.

VanguardMalvern · 2024

1The situation

Ratnaprabha Advisors, an invented advisory firm, offers clients a menu of five funds: a liquid fund, a short duration debt fund, a large cap index fund, a flexi cap fund, and a target maturity debt fund that matures in three years with an assumed yield of 7%.

Two new clients each bring Rs 40 lakh. Priya, 29, earns well, has no loans and wants the money to work towards retirement at 60. Mohan, 52, must pay about Rs 25 lakh for his daughter's wedding in three years and has a pension and his own flat. Both spend about Rs 50,000 a month and have no other savings.

2Your task

Build each portfolio from the five funds, show the numbers, and explain to the client why the two differ.

Quick check

If Mohan's wedding money sat in equity funds and the market fell 30% a few months before the wedding, what would he have?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

Priya goes about 79% into equity; Mohan goes about 25%, because Rs 21 lakh of his money has a date. Both start with Rs 3 lakh in the liquid fund as an emergency reserve. Priya puts Rs 20 lakh in the index fund, Rs 11.5 lakh in the flexi cap fund and Rs 5.5 lakh in short duration debt. Mohan puts Rs 21 lakh in the three-year target maturity fund, which grows to about Rs 25.7 lakh at the assumed yield, and only Rs 10 lakh in equity.

Step 1What decides the split before you look at a single fund?

Two families packing for a trip take different bags for a weekend and for a year abroad, though they shop at the same store. The horizon of each rupee decides the risk it can carry, so the first job is to write down when each client will need money, and only then pick funds from the menu. Priya needs nothing for thirty years except an emergency reserve. Mohan needs Rs 25 lakh on a known date in three years, plus a reserve, and the rest can wait for his retirement at 60. Same amount, same menu, two different sets of dates.

Same Rs 40 lakh, same five funds, different horizon: two allocations, Rs lakhClient 1: age 29, retirement in 30 yearsLiquid fund3.0Short duration debt fund5.5Large cap index fund20.0Flexi cap fund11.53-year target maturity fund0Equity 79%: time to recover from any fallClient 2: age 52, Rs 25 lakh wedding in 3 yearsLiquid fund3.0Short duration debt fund6.0Large cap index fund6.0Flexi cap fund4.03-year target maturity fund21.0Equity 25%: the wedding money is matched, not betbar length = share of the Rs 40 lakh
From the same five funds, Priya's Rs 40 lakh ends up 79% in equity with nothing in the target maturity fund, while Mohan's puts Rs 21 lakh into the three-year target maturity fund for the wedding and only 25% into equity.
Step 2How do you size the wedding money?

Work backwards from the bill. A target maturity fundA debt fund that holds bonds maturing around a fixed date and winds up then, so an investor who stays to maturity gets close to the yield at purchase, whatever rates do in between. maturing in three years at an assumed 7% turns Rs 20.4 lakh into Rs 25 lakh. Round up to Rs 21 lakh, which grows to about Rs 25.7 lakh, because weddings cost more than the first estimate and the yield is an assumption, not a promise. Say the limit: the fund's bonds carry some credit risk, and the yield is only locked in if he stays to maturity. That is still far closer to certain than equity three years out.

FundPriya, 29Mohan, 52Why it differs
Liquid fund3.03.0Six months of spending for both
Short duration debt fund5.56.0Rebalancing money; a little more for Mohan
Large cap index fund20.06.0Priya's core; a small long-term sleeve for Mohan
Flexi cap fund11.54.0Active sleeve, sized to the horizon
3-year target maturity fund021.0Matched to the wedding date
Total, Rs lakh40.040.0Equity 79% against 25%
Both portfolios start with the same Rs 3 lakh emergency reserve; the difference is Rs 21 lakh matched to Mohan's wedding date, which leaves him 25% in equity against Priya's 79%.
Step 3Why is Priya's equity share so high, and is it reckless?

Test it with a fall. A 30% drop costs Priya about Rs 9.4 lakh on paper. With thirty years to retirement and a salary that keeps adding, a fall in year two is a discount on everything she buys after it, not a loss she has to realise. The same 30% fall costs Mohan about Rs 3.0 lakh on his equity sleeve, which is retirement money he will not touch for eight years, while the wedding money is untouched. For scale, Rs 40 lakh compounding at an assumed 10% for thirty years is about Rs 7.0 crore; that is the prize Priya's horizon buys her, and it is why the reserve exists, so a job loss never forces her to sell equity in a fall.

Step 4How do you explain the difference to each client?

In one sentence each, in their own terms. To Priya: your money has no date, so it can ride out falls, and the only money kept safe is the six months that stops a bad year forcing a sale. To Mohan: Rs 25 lakh has a date, so it goes where the date is matched; everything else is retirement money and gets a smaller version of Priya's plan. If a client asks why the other one got more equity, the answer is never age by itself; it is that nothing in the younger portfolio has to be paid for on a known day. Tax on debt and equity funds differs and changes; confirm the current rules before fixing the mix.

Where candidates lose it

The common loss is reciting a rule of thumb, equity share equals 100 minus age, and producing 71% and 48%. The rule ignores the wedding, which is the whole point of the second client.

The second is putting the wedding money in the short duration fund because it is safe, without matching the date. A target maturity fund locks the yield to the day it is needed; a short duration fund does not.

What the interviewer asks next

  • Mohan's wedding moves to one year away. What changes?
  • Priya wants to put Rs 10 lakh into a small cap fund she read about. How do you respond?
  • How would you rebalance Priya's portfolio after a year in which equity rose 30%?

Asked at Vanguard, Investment Research, Malvern, 2024 (Wall Street Oasis): How would you make a portfolio for a variety of different clients with various needs

← Case 017Defend a long on a private bank under questioning: NIM 4.1%, ROA 1.6%, gross NPA 2.1%, P/B 3.2x, but unsecured personal loans grew 48% last year to 22% of the book. What three questions will the interviewer grill you on, and what are your answers?Case 019 →A credit fund is offered a three-year NCD of an AA minus NBFC at 10.4%, 290 basis points over AAA. Gross NPA is 4.8% and rising, 42% of borrowings are commercial paper due within a year, and the one-year asset-liability gap is negative. Identify the risks and decide.

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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