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064

Case 064SaaS metrics and diagnosticsWarm up

Kaaryvik Enterprise reports a 62% gross margin, but a quarter of its revenue is low-margin implementation services. What is the subscription gross margin, and what does that change about the multiple you would pay?

1The situation

Kaaryvik Enterprise sells workflow software to large companies. It reports revenue of Rs 80 crore at a 62% gross margin. Of that revenue, Rs 20 crore is implementation services, the setup and integration work done when a customer signs, which earns a 10% gross margin. The rest is subscription.

For this question, assume the market pays 8 times revenue for subscription software of this quality and about 1 times revenue for services; these are illustrative multiples, not quotes.

2Your task

What is the subscription gross margin, and what is the company worth on a split view against a blended one?

Quick check

What gross margin does the subscription business earn?

Worked solution

Try it on paper, then open one step at a time.

30-second answerThe answer to give first

The subscription business earns a 79% gross margin; the 62% is dragged down by services. Only the Rs 60 crore of subscription revenue deserves a software multiple. At an illustrative 8 times subscription and 1 times services, Kaaryvik is worth about Rs 500 crore, not the Rs 640 crore you get by applying 8 times to all Rs 80 crore. That is a blended 6.25 times revenue.

Step 1Why is the 62% misleading?

A restaurant that also runs a catering arm might report a 40% margin overall, while the dining room earns 65% and catering earns 10%. You would not value the dining room on the blend. Kaaryvik's 62% is the average of a subscription business and a services business, and the average describes neither. Gross profit is Rs 80 crore times 62%, Rs 49.6 crore. Services contribute Rs 20 crore times 10%, Rs 2 crore. So subscription contributes Rs 47.6 crore on Rs 60 crore of revenue: a 79.3% margin.

Split the 62% blend: two businesses with very different margins, Rs croreRevenueSubscription 60Services 2080Gross profitSubscription 47.649.6Services 2.0Subscription margin79.3%Services margin10.0%Reported blend62.0%
Kaaryvik's Rs 80 crore of revenue splits into Rs 60 crore of subscription earning a 79.3% gross margin and Rs 20 crore of services earning 10%, so services are a quarter of revenue but only 4% of the Rs 49.6 crore of gross profit.
The relationship
Subscription margin=80×0.62−20×0.1080−20=47.660≈79.3%\text{Subscription margin} = \frac{80 \times 0.62 - 20 \times 0.10}{80 - 20} = \frac{47.6}{60} \approx 79.3\%
80 x 0.62total gross profit, Rs crore
20 x 0.10gross profit from services
80 - 20subscription revenue
What it says in wordsTake the services profit out of the total, then divide what is left by the subscription revenue alone.
Step 2What does the split change about the price?

Investors pay a high multiple for subscription revenue because it recurs and carries a high margin; services revenue is closer to a consulting business. Applying 8 times to all Rs 80 crore gives Rs 640 crore, while valuing the parts separately, Rs 60 crore at 8 times plus Rs 20 crore at 1 times, gives Rs 500 crore. The difference, Rs 140 crore, is what a buyer overpays by treating services as software. Expressed on total revenue, the fair multiple is 6.25 times, which is the number to quote if someone asks for one multiple.

Rs croreRevenueGross marginMultipleValue
Subscription6079.3%8.0x480
Services2010.0%1.0x20
Sum of the parts8062.0%6.25x500
8x on all revenue (wrong)8062.0%8.0x640
Valued in parts at illustrative multiples, Kaaryvik is worth Rs 500 crore, 6.25 times total revenue, against Rs 640 crore if the software multiple is wrongly applied to services too.
Step 3Is the services business bad, then?

Not necessarily, and this is the follow-up interviewers like. Enterprise software often needs implementation to get customers live, so services can be a cost of selling subscription rather than a business of its own. The questions to ask are whether services revenue grows only with new customers, which is healthy, or keeps growing with existing ones, which suggests the product needs constant custom work. Watch the ratio too: services at a quarter of revenue is high for software; if it is falling as the product matures, the subscription margin will show through in the reported figure. The limitation of the split: some companies book part of the implementation cost in subscription, so ask how the cost lines are allocated before trusting either margin.

Where candidates lose it

The common slip is reading 62% and calling Kaaryvik a weak software business. The subscription margin is close to 80%; the reported figure blends in a consulting arm.

The opposite slip is valuing all Rs 80 crore at a software multiple because the company calls itself software. Services revenue does not recur the same way and should not be priced as if it did.

What the interviewer asks next

  • Services grow 40% a year and subscription 20%. What happens to the reported gross margin, and should you worry?
  • The company proposes to give implementation away free to win customers. How would that change the numbers?
  • Which costs would you check are not hidden in the subscription cost line?
← Case 063Nakshvik Ventures Fund I reports a TVPI of 2.4x and a DPI of 0.3x in year eight, and most of its NAV sits in three companies last priced in 2021. What is a realistic TVPI, and what will the LPs ask?Case 065 →Why is it hard to value a first-year company? Show it with Arambhik Robotics: value it three ways, the VC method, a scorecard and comparable seed rounds, and reconcile them to a price.

Company names and figures are illustrative.

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