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Leveraged Buyout: The Structure and the Return Arithmetic

A leveraged buyout is a purchase where most of the price is funded with borrowing placed on the company that was bought. Sthira Capital Partners, invented, buys Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited, invented, at 8.50 times earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA), being Rs 24,48,00,00,000, funded with Rs 13,00,00,00,000 of new borrowing and Rs 12,00,00,00,000 of its own equity out of Rs 27,20,00,00,000 of total sources.

Start with something plain enough to picture on a street. Four cousins want to buy a bus and run it on a fixed route. Between them they can raise Rs 6,00,000. The bus costs Rs 20,00,000. So they set up a small private company, the company borrows Rs 14,00,000 against the bus itself, and the company buys the bus. Every month the fares come in, the driver and the diesel are paid, and whatever is left goes to the lender until the loan is gone. If the route fails, the lender takes the bus. The lender does not take the cousins' houses. The cousins did not borrow anything. The company did.

The bus is the whole shape of a leveraged buyout, and a corporate buyout is the same arrangement with more zeros and better paperwork. Four decisions were actually made. The cousins decided what the bus was worth. The cousins decided how much of the price they were willing to fund with their own money. The cousins decided that the borrowing would sit on the bus rather than on themselves. And they accepted that from the first day, the fares belong to the lender before they belong to anybody else. Change any one of those four decisions and the transaction is a different one; keep all four and it is this one, whatever the size.

What makes a leveraged buyout different from any other purchase?

One structural feature, and it is not the amount of borrowing. Plenty of ordinary companies carry more borrowing than Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited will carry after this transaction. What makes a leveraged buyoutA purchase where most of the price is funded with borrowing placed on the company being bought. its own thing is where the borrowing is placed. The buyer does not borrow money and then hand it over. The company being bought borrows the money, on its own account, secured on its own assets, and the price is paid out of that.

The buyer in this worked example is Sthira Capital PartnersThe financial buyer in this invented example: the party that puts up the equity and controls the structure., invented, a financial buyer. Sthira Capital Partners is not a manufacturer looking for a factory. The firm has no other valve business to fold this one into and no cost savings to take out. Everything the firm can earn has to come from the company it is buying, from the borrowing it puts on that company, and from the price a later buyer pays for it. The constraint of having only the company itself to earn from is what makes a buyout so useful to learn on: there is nowhere for a vague benefit to hide.

Three things have to hold together for the arrangement to work at all, and it is worth naming them before any number appears. First, the borrowing sits on the target, so the target's own cash flows service it and the buyer's other holdings are not reached. Second, interest is deductible against profit, so a rupee of interest costs less than a rupee out of the shareholder's pocket. Third, the cash that used to fund the old shareholders' dividends now funds repayment instead. A structure like this is only available to a business whose cash flows are steady enough to carry a fixed obligation month after month, and every judgement about a buyout eventually reduces to whether that is true of the particular company being bought.

The 9.50 and 13.00 per cent below are rates these two lenders contracted for this structure, negotiated against this balance sheet, rather than a going rate for borrowing anywhere.

Where does the price come from, and what does 8.50 times produce?

The price starts with a multiple and a profit figure, and nothing more elaborate than that. The entry multipleThe multiple of earnings at which the business is bought, applied here to EBITDA. agreed here is 8.50 times, applied to Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited's Year 0 EBITDA of Rs 2,88,00,00,000. Multiply the two and the enterprise value is Rs 24,48,00,00,000. The single line of Rs 24,48,00,00,000 is the entry price of the whole business, before anybody has worked out who gets what.

Two things are worth noticing about that arithmetic. The first is that it is applied to the last completed year, not to a forecast. Year 0 is the year that has already happened and been reported, so both sides can argue about what it means but not about what it was. The second is that the multiple is the price this invented buyer and these invented sellers arrived at, rather than a figure derived or claimed to be right. How a price is negotiated, and how anybody forms a view about whether it is a sensible one, is covered separately.

For orientation, the same company traded at 7.78 times its Year 0 EBITDA before any of this began, giving a traded enterprise value of Rs 22,40,00,00,000. So 8.50 times is a higher multiple than the market was applying. The difference between those two figures is where the premium lives, and it is measured properly in a moment. An entry multiple is a price, not a valuation: it says what was paid, and it says nothing at all about the value of the business.

How does an enterprise value become a price per share?

By walking the bridge between the two, in reverse. An enterprise value is what the operating business is worth to everybody who has a claim on it, lenders included. A price per share is what one particular claimant, the ordinary shareholder, gets. The route between them is a fixed set of additions and deductions, and every line has a reason.

Start at the entry enterprise value of Rs 24,48,00,00,000. Take off the existing gross borrowing of Rs 6,00,00,00,000. The lenders have a prior claim and the buyer is going to have to settle it. Take off the minority interest of Rs 60,00,00,000. The Rs 60,00,00,000 is the quarter of Sankalp Coatings Private Limited, invented, that the group does not hold, and that quarter of the coatings unit's cash flow was inside the forecast but belongs to somebody else. Add back the cash of Rs 1,20,00,00,000. Cash sits on the balance sheet and is not inside EBITDA. Add the non-operating assets of Rs 1,00,00,00,000, being a surplus land parcel at Rs 45,00,00,000 and the 26.0 per cent holding in Aruna Tooling Private Limited, invented, at Rs 55,00,00,000. Neither produces a rupee of the EBITDA that was just multiplied.

The figure that comes out the other end is Rs 20,08,00,00,000, and that is the price for all the equity. Divide by the 20,00,00,000 shares in issue and the price per share is Rs 100.40. Notice that the price per share is not the multiple times anything: it is what survives after four separate claims have been settled against the value of the whole business. There is no shortcut from 8.50 times straight to a share price. Anybody who tries one gets a different answer every time.

THE BRIDGE, RUN BACKWARDS, FROM THE WHOLE BUSINESS TO ONE SHARE START: ENTRY ENTERPRISE VALUE, 8.50 TIMES YEAR 0 EBITDA Rs 24,48,00,00,000 less the borrowing, repaid in full Rs 6,00,00,00,000 less the minority interest, bought out Rs 60,00,00,000 add the cash on the balance sheet Rs 1,20,00,00,000 add the non-operating assets Rs 1,00,00,00,000 FINISH: THE PRICE FOR ALL THE EQUITY on 20,00,00,000 shares, that is Rs 100.40 a share Rs 20,08,00,00,000 Every bar is drawn to one scale, so the Rs 60,00,00,000 line is genuinely one tenth of the Rs 6,00,00,00,000 line beside it.
Four separate claims stand between the value of the whole business and the price of one share, and each of them moves the answer by a different amount.
Investment Banking Analyst Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

What is the premium, and why must two of them always be printed?

Because the same money produces two different percentages depending on the base it is divided by, and quoting only one of them misleads. Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited's unaffected share price, meaning the price before anything about a transaction reached the market, was Rs 90.00. The buyout price is Rs 100.40. A gap of Rs 10.40 a share is a premium of 11.56 per cent on the share price.

Now measure the same transaction on the other base. The traded enterprise value was Rs 22,40,00,00,000 and the entry enterprise value is Rs 24,48,00,00,000. The gap between those two is a premium of 9.29 per cent. Both are correct. Both describe the identical transaction. And in rupees they are identical too: Rs 2,08,00,00,000 either way. Rs 10.40 more per share across 20,00,00,000 shares is Rs 2,08,00,00,000, and Rs 24,48,00,00,000 less Rs 22,40,00,00,000 is also Rs 2,08,00,00,000.

So why do the percentages differ? Because the extra money is being spread over a bigger base the second time. The borrowing and the minority interest transfer at their carrying amounts and take no premium at all: a lender owed Rs 6,00,00,00,000 gets Rs 6,00,00,00,000 and not a rupee more for the inconvenience of a change of control. The premium is paid entirely to the shareholders, but it is measured against a base that includes people who were not paid a premium. The enterprise value premium is therefore always the smaller of the two.

There is a tidy consequence hiding in that, and it is worth carrying away. For this company the relationship between the two premiums is fixed. Whatever price is offered, the enterprise value premium comes out at exactly 80.36 per cent of the share price premium. The ratio collapses to market capitalisation over traded enterprise value, being Rs 18,00,00,00,000 over Rs 22,40,00,00,000. Check it here: 9.2857 divided by 11.5556 is 0.803571. The ratio would hold at Rs 115.00 a share and at Rs 150.00 a share as well. But it is a property of this balance sheet, not a rule of thumb. A company with more borrowing would have a lower ratio and a company with none at all would have a ratio of one, so a reader comparing two premiums quoted on different bases needs each company's own ratio.

THE SAME Rs 2,08,00,00,000, MEASURED AGAINST TWO DIFFERENT BASES SHARE PRICE BASIS market value Rs 18,00,00,00,000 11.56 per cent Rs 20,08,00,00,000 ENTERPRISE VALUE BASIS traded Rs 22,40,00,00,000 9.29 per cent Rs 24,48,00,00,000 Both pale blocks are exactly Rs 2,08,00,00,000 wide, drawn to one scale. Only the bar they sit on has changed. The premium is the same money. The percentage is not, because the borrowing and the minority interest transfer at their carrying amounts and take no premium at all. For this company the ratio is fixed: the enterprise value premium is always 80.36 per cent of the share price premium.
The premium blocks are identical in size on both bars, so the two percentages differ only because the base underneath them differs.
Try it out

The buyout is at Rs 100.40 a share against an unaffected Rs 90.00. State the premium on both bases.

Where does Rs 27,20,00,00,000 come from, and where does it go?

Every rupee that has to be found is a use. Every rupee that is found is a source. A transaction that is a rupee short does not complete, so the two lists have to come to the same figure, not approximately but exactly. The mechanics of building such a statement are settled separately; what matters here is what is on each list and what each item is doing.

The five uses, numbered, are these. One, the purchase of the equity at Rs 20,08,00,00,000, the figure the bridge produced. Two, the repayment of the existing gross borrowing at Rs 6,00,00,00,000. The old lenders' agreements will not survive a change of control, and they are settled at their carrying amounts. Three, the purchase of the minority interest at Rs 60,00,00,000. The buyer wants the whole of Sankalp Coatings Private Limited and not three quarters of it. Four, financing feesAmounts paid to the lenders arranging the borrowing, usually a percentage of what they arrange. of Rs 32,00,00,000, paid to the lenders arranging the new borrowing. Five, advisory and other transaction fees of Rs 20,00,00,000. The five uses come to Rs 27,20,00,00,000.

The five sources, numbered, are these. One, a senior term loanBorrowing that ranks first, is secured, and is repaid before anything junior to it. of Rs 9,00,00,00,000 at 9.50 per cent a year. Two, subordinated notesBorrowing that ranks behind the senior lender and accepts a higher rate for standing there. of Rs 4,00,00,00,000 at 13.00 per cent a year. Three, the cash already sitting on the company's balance sheet, Rs 1,20,00,00,000. Four, the non-operating assets sold at their carrying value, Rs 1,00,00,00,000. Five, sponsor equity of Rs 12,00,00,00,000. The five sources also come to Rs 27,20,00,00,000.

Readers skate past sources three and four, and both repay a lot of attention. Rs 2,20,00,00,000 of the price is funded by the company that is being bought, out of its own cash and its own surplus assets. The buyer added those two lines to the bridge on the way in, valuing them, and is now taking them straight back out to help pay for the purchase. None of that is a trick and none of it is double counting: the cash and the land were worth what they were worth, the buyer paid for them, and the buyer is entitled to use them. But it does mean the sponsor's cheque is smaller than a reader who only looked at the price would expect.

A small identity falls out of the two lists, and it allows a figure to be checked without rebuilding anything. The uses add Rs 2,72,00,00,000 to the enterprise value, being the cash, the non-operating assets and the fees. The four sources other than the sponsor supply Rs 15,20,00,00,000. So sponsor equity always equals the entry enterprise value less a flat Rs 12,48,00,00,000. At this price: Rs 24,48,00,00,000 less Rs 12,48,00,00,000 is Rs 12,00,00,00,000, exactly the locked figure. None of the other four sources moves with the price, so the same wedge holds at a different entry multiple.

TWO COLUMNS THAT MUST COME TO EXACTLY THE SAME FIGURE USES what the money is spent on SOURCES where the money comes from THE SAME BOTH TIMES 1 the equity bought, Rs 20,08,00,00,000 2 the borrowing repaid, Rs 6,00,00,00,000 3 the minority bought out, Rs 60,00,00,000 4 financing fees, Rs 32,00,00,000 5 advisory and other fees, Rs 20,00,00,000 1 senior term loan, Rs 9,00,00,00,000 2 subordinated notes, Rs 4,00,00,00,000 3 cash in hand, Rs 1,20,00,00,000 4 assets sold, Rs 1,00,00,00,000 5 sponsor equity, Rs 12,00,00,00,000 Rs 27,20,00,00,000 Rs 27,20,00,00,000 THE LAST THREE USES, DRAWN AGAIN AT TEN TIMES THE SCALE ABOVE 3 minority interest Rs 60,00,00,000, 4 financing fees Rs 32,00,00,000, 5 advisory and other fees Rs 20,00,00,000. Together 4.12 per cent of the column. The three smallest uses are drawn again at ten times the scale because at the column scale they are thinner than this line of text.
Both columns are exactly the same height because a transaction that is a rupee short does not complete, and the fees are a sliver.
Equity Research Bootcamp — Fin Maverick Analysing an Issuer's Credit — free micro-course from Fin Maverick

What does each of the two lenders demand in return?

Two lenders put in Rs 13,00,00,00,000 between them, against the same business and the same cash flows. The two lenders are lending into the same risk. The difference between them is where each stands if things go wrong, and how long each is prepared to wait. Both differences carry a price, and it is worth being precise about how much.

Tranche 1 is the senior term loan. Rs 9,00,00,00,000 at 9.50 per cent a year. The senior loan ranks first, it is secured on the business, and it amortises by a 100 per cent cash sweepA term requiring spare cash to be applied to repaying borrowing rather than kept in the business.: every rupee of cash the business generates after interest, tax, capital expenditure and working capital goes straight to repaying it, and nothing is retained. The company does not get to decide what to do with its own spare cash for as long as this loan is outstanding.

Tranche 2 is the subordinated notes. Rs 4,00,00,00,000 at 13.00 per cent a year, bulletRepayable in a single instalment at maturity, with no repayment along the way., with no amortisation and no sweep at all. The subordinated lender receives its coupon and nothing else until the very end, and stands behind tranche 1 in any loss. If the business is sold for less than Rs 9,00,00,00,000, tranche 2 receives nothing.

Both lenders face the same business, so the 350 basis points between 9.50 and 13.00 per cent is not buying anything about the business: it is buying position in a queue and it is buying patience. The 350 basis points are worth sitting with, and they are the cleanest illustration in corporate finance of what risk actually costs. Nothing about Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited's valves, customers or margins is different for the two lenders. Only the order in which they are paid.

Blend the two and the borrowing costs 10.58 per cent before tax. Check it: Rs 9,00,00,00,000 at 9.50 per cent is Rs 85,50,00,000, Rs 4,00,00,00,000 at 13.00 per cent is Rs 52,00,00,000, so the interest is Rs 1,37,50,00,000, and Rs 1,37,50,00,000 over Rs 13,00,00,00,000 is 10.58 per cent. The company was previously borrowing at a blended 8.00 per cent. Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited is now paying more per rupee, and borrowing more than twice as many rupees.

THE SAME MONEY ON TWO COMPLETELY DIFFERENT SETS OF TERMS TRANCHE 1, THE SENIOR TERM LOAN Rs 9,00,00,00,000 RATE 9.50 per cent RANK first, and secured on the business WHAT IT TAKES BACK every spare rupee, until it is repaid in full TRANCHE 2, THE SUBORDINATED NOTES Rs 4,00,00,00,000 RATE 13.00 per cent RANK behind tranche 1 in any loss WHAT IT TAKES BACK nothing at all until the final instalment The 350 basis points between the two is the price of standing second and of waiting. Blended, the Rs 13,00,00,00,000 costs 10.58 per cent.
Two lenders facing identical business risk price themselves 350 basis points apart purely on rank and on how long each waits.
Try it out

Tranche 1 lends at 9.50 per cent and tranche 2 at 13.00 per cent. What is the 350 basis points buying?

Analysing an Issuer's Credit teaches you to assess a specific claim rather than a company, and to say where in the structure that claim sits.

How much borrowing is that, against what the business earns?

Entry leverageBorrowing at completion divided by that year's earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation. is the standard way of stating the size of it: Rs 13,00,00,00,000 of borrowing over Rs 2,88,00,00,000 of Year 0 EBITDA, being 4.51 times. Before the transaction the same company carried net borrowing of Rs 4,80,00,00,000, being 1.67 times. So the size of the obligation, measured this way, has been multiplied by roughly two and seven tenths.

The same funding, set out as rows.

The funding, as a share of the wholeAmountShare of sources
1 Senior term loan, 9.50 per cent, sweepsRs 9,00,00,00,00033.09 per cent
2 Subordinated notes, 13.00 per cent, bulletRs 4,00,00,00,00014.71 per cent
3 Cash already on the balance sheetRs 1,20,00,00,0004.41 per cent
4 Non-operating assets sold at carrying valueRs 1,00,00,00,0003.68 per cent
5 Sponsor equityRs 12,00,00,00,00044.12 per cent
Total sources, equal to total usesRs 27,20,00,00,000100.01 per cent

The share column adds to 100.01 per cent rather than 100.00. Each share is rounded to two decimals for display and five roundings do not have to cancel. The rupee column is the check and it totals Rs 27,20,00,00,000 on both sides exactly. No figure has been adjusted to make the printed percentages add up.

Now the part that matters more than the leverage figure, and that the leverage figure hides. A multiple of EBITDA states how big the obligation is; it states nothing whatever about whether the business can carry it. EBITDA sits above interest, above tax and above every rupee of capital expenditure, so a company can be at four times EBITDA and comfortable, or at four times EBITDA and in serious trouble, depending entirely on what sits underneath.

So look underneath. Before the transaction, Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited earned earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of Rs 2,40,00,00,000 in Year 0 and paid interest of Rs 48,00,00,000. Cover was exactly 5.00 times. Put the new structure on the same unchanged Year 0 profit and the interest becomes Rs 1,37,50,00,000, so cover falls to 1.75 times. Nothing about the trading changed. The valves are the same valves and the customers are the same customers. The change is in how much of the profit is already committed before anybody in the business gets to make a decision with it.

WHAT THE BORROWING DOES TO THE MARGIN BETWEEN PROFIT AND INTEREST BEFORE, AS THE COMPANY STOOD AT YEAR 0 EBIT Rs 2,40,00,00,000 cover 5.00 times interest Rs 48,00,00,000 AFTER, ON THE SAME UNCHANGED YEAR 0 PROFIT EBIT Rs 2,40,00,00,000 cover 1.75 times interest Rs 1,37,50,00,000 Entry leverage is Rs 13,00,00,00,000 over Rs 2,88,00,00,000 of EBITDA, being 4.51 times, against 1.67 times before. Both pairs are drawn to one scale. Nothing about the profit changed; only what has to be paid out of it.
Operating profit is identical in both rows, yet interest cover falls from five times to under two, which no leverage multiple shows.
Try it out

Rs 13,00,00,00,000 of borrowing against Rs 2,88,00,00,000 of EBITDA. What is entry leverage, and what does that figure not establish?

Why does the borrowing sit at the target rather than at the buyer?

Come back to the four cousins and the bus. The answer is exactly the same at both scales. If the cousins had borrowed Rs 14,00,000 personally and then bought the bus with cash, the lender's claim would be against them. Bad route, empty bus, the lender comes for the house. Because the company borrowed instead, and the security is the bus, the lender's claim stops at the bus.

Sthira Capital Partners borrows nothing. Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited borrows Rs 13,00,00,00,000, secured on its own assets, and services it out of its own cash flows. In Year 1 the business is forecast to produce EBITDA of Rs 3,16,80,00,000 and must find Rs 1,37,50,00,000 of interest out of it before a rupee reaches anybody else. If it cannot, the lenders enforce against the business. The lenders do not reach past it.

Two consequences follow and they point in opposite directions. The placement is a genuine decision rather than a free lunch. The buyer's money at riskWhat the buyer can lose, which here is the equity cheque and not the price of the business. is the Rs 12,00,00,00,000 it put in, and not a rupee more, however badly the transaction goes. The first consequence is the attractive one. The second is that a business which was previously carrying Rs 48,00,00,000 of interest a year is now carrying Rs 1,37,50,00,000, and it did not ask for that and did not get anything for it. Every rupee of that extra obligation is a rupee of margin for error that the business no longer has.

Who carries what is worth being blunt about. The sponsor carries the risk of losing its cheque. The lenders carry the risk of the business failing to pay. The employees, suppliers and customers of the business carry the consequences of a company that now has less room to absorb a bad year, and they were not asked. None of that makes the structure wrong. The structure has distributional consequences, and that is a different and more useful thing to understand than a structure that is simply good or bad.

WHERE THE BORROWING SITS, AND WHAT THAT PLACEMENT DECIDES THE BUYER Sthira Capital Partners, invented EQUITY PUT IN Rs 12,00,00,00,000 It borrowed nothing itself. Its other holdings sit behind the line to the right and are not reached. THE MOST IT CAN LOSE Rs 12,00,00,00,000 THE LENDERS' CLAIMS STOP AT THIS LINE THE TARGET, AFTER COMPLETION Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited, invented IT BORROWS THE WHOLE Rs 13,00,00,00,000 1 senior term loan, Rs 9,00,00,00,000 2 subordinated notes, Rs 4,00,00,00,000 Secured on the business. Serviced out of the business's own cash flow. Year 1 EBITDA of Rs 3,16,80,00,000 must carry interest of Rs 1,37,50,00,000 before a rupee reaches anybody else. THE OBLIGATION SITS HERE, NOT ON THE LEFT Rs 13,00,00,00,000 was borrowed by the company that was bought. The buyer put in Rs 12,00,00,00,000 and borrowed nothing itself.
One placement decision fixes who can lose what, and it is the single feature that makes this a buyout rather than a purchase.
Try it out

Who borrows the Rs 13,00,00,00,000, and what does the answer decide?

What did the Rs 52,00,00,000 of fees actually buy?

Nothing that appears in any valuation of the business, and that is not a criticism of the people who were paid. The fee line is a statement about where the money went. Use four is a financing fee of Rs 32,00,00,000, paid to the lenders for arranging Rs 13,00,00,00,000 of borrowing. Use five is Rs 20,00,00,000 of advisory and other transaction fees. Together Rs 52,00,00,000, funded out of sources like everything else.

Both amounts simply leave. The money is spent on arranging and on advising. Both are real work that had to be done, and neither leaves behind an asset that anybody would pay for. The valves are the same valves the day after as the day before. The customers are the same. The factory is the same. A valuation of the business the morning after completion would not show the fees anywhere. There is nothing there to value.

The fees are the only part of the Rs 27,20,00,00,000 of uses that buys nothing, and that makes them the sharpest line on the whole statement. Every other use bought something: use one bought the equity, use two settled a real claim, use three bought out a real minority holding. Uses four and five bought the transaction itself.

The same thing shows up in an ordinary household. Somebody buys a flat for Rs 60,00,000 and pays Rs 2,00,000 in stamp duty, registration and brokerage. Their outlay is Rs 62,00,000. Their flat is worth Rs 60,00,000. The buyers are not poorer in any moral sense and nobody cheated them, but a sale the next morning at the same price would leave them Rs 2,00,000 down. The buyout version of that fact follows below.

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What is the sponsor's stake worth on the morning after completion?

Work it from the two figures already on the table and it takes one line. The business is worth Rs 24,48,00,00,000 on the entry assumptions. The company carries Rs 13,00,00,00,000 of borrowing. So the equity sitting underneath that borrowing is worth Rs 11,48,00,00,000. Rs 11,48,00,00,000 is what the sponsor's stake is worth on the day it completes.

The sponsor put in Rs 12,00,00,00,000.

The Rs 52,00,00,000 difference is exactly the fees: money that left and bought nothing, and it is the first thing the return has to earn back. Not approximately the fees. Exactly them, to the rupee, and the reason is arithmetic rather than coincidence. The sponsor's cheque funded the uses along with everybody else's money. Two of those uses converted into nothing. So the sponsor is behind by the amount that converted into nothing, and it is behind by that amount on day one, before a single valve has been sold under the new arrangement.

As a proportion, the structure starts 4.33 per cent behind. Rs 52,00,00,000 over Rs 12,00,00,00,000 is 4.3333 per cent. Everything the business goes on to do, every rupee of earnings growth and every rupee of borrowing repaid, first has to make up that 4.33 per cent before the sponsor is level with where it started. 4.33 per cent is a small number against the size of the transaction and a large number against a five year hold, and both of those things are true at once.

WHAT THE STAKE IS WORTH ON THE MORNING AFTER COMPLETION WHAT THE BUSINESS IS WORTH Rs 24,48,00,00,000 borrowing Rs 13,00,00,00,000 equity Rs 11,48,00,00,000 WHAT THE SPONSOR PUT IN Rs 12,00,00,00,000 cheque Rs 12,00,00,00,000 THAT OVERSHOOT, Rs 52,00,00,000, DRAWN AGAIN AT TEN TIMES THE SCALE ABOVE financing fees, Rs 32,00,00,000, paid to the lenders arranging the borrowing advisory and other transaction fees, Rs 20,00,00,000, paid to the advisers The business is worth Rs 24,48,00,00,000 and owes Rs 13,00,00,00,000, so the equity under it is worth Rs 11,48,00,00,000. The sponsor paid Rs 12,00,00,00,000 for it. The Rs 52,00,00,000 difference is exactly the fees, and it bought no asset.
The cheque overshoots what the stake is worth by precisely the fees, so the structure begins 4.33 per cent behind.
Try it out

The business is worth Rs 24,48,00,00,000 and owes Rs 13,00,00,00,000. The sponsor paid Rs 12,00,00,00,000. Account for the difference.

Who holds what on the day after completion?

Four parties, four different things, and only one of those things has a value that can move. Setting them out side by side is the fastest way to see what the structure has actually done.

The lenders hold Rs 13,00,00,00,000 of claims on the business, in two ranked layers: Rs 9,00,00,00,000 senior and Rs 4,00,00,00,000 subordinated. The lenders' claim is fixed. If the business does brilliantly they still get Rs 13,00,00,00,000 plus their coupons; if it does badly they get less. There is no version of the future in which they get more.

The sponsor holds equity of Rs 12,00,00,00,000 in a new holding company that sits above the business. Sponsor equity is the only claim in this structure whose value moves with how the business performs, in either direction. Rs 1,00,40,00,000 of that Rs 12,00,00,00,000, being 8.37 per cent, is held by the target's senior management, who put back half of what they received for their own shares rather than taking all of it in cash. The arithmetic of that arrangement, and what it is actually for, is covered separately.

The company's former shareholders hold Rs 20,08,00,00,000 in cash and no further claim on anything. Whatever happens next, good or bad, has nothing to do with them. And the former lenders hold nothing at all: their Rs 6,00,00,00,000 was repaid in full at its carrying amount as use two, and they received no premium. A change of control pays a premium to shareholders and never to lenders. The absence of a premium for lenders is also the reason the enterprise value premium came out smaller than the share price premium.

WHO HOLDS WHAT ON THE DAY AFTER COMPLETION Rs 13,00,00,00,000 Rs 12,00,00,00,000 Rs 20,08,00,00,000 nothing THE LENDERS two ranked claims THE SPONSOR equity, and only this can move THE FORMER SHAREHOLDERS cash, and no further claim THE FORMER LENDERS repaid in full, at carrying amount The band at the top of the sponsor's column is the Rs 1,00,40,00,000 senior management rolled rather than took in cash, being 8.37 per cent of the equity. That arithmetic is covered separately. All four columns are drawn to one scale.
Three of the four parties hold something fixed after completion, and only the sponsor's column can rise or fall from here.
Try it out

What do the company's former lenders hold after completion?

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How does the buyer's own operating case differ from the company's forecast?

Try it out

In how many ways does the sponsor's operating case differ from the company's own five year forecast?

Exactly two, and the discipline of that is worth more than the changes themselves. Revenue and EBITDA are unchanged in every one of the five years, so nothing about this structure rests on an operating improvement the buyer has not been shown to make. Revenue still adds Rs 1,20,00,00,000 a year, EBITDA still sits at 24.0 per cent of revenue, and the margin still does not move.

The first change is capital expenditure, held flat at Rs 90,00,00,000 a year for the whole hold periodThe number of years the buyer expects to hold the business before selling it., against the company's own case of Rs 1,34,80,00,000 in Year 1 rising to Rs 1,54,00,00,000 in Year 5. The reason is specific and nameable: the sponsor defers the third valve line for the whole period. Over five years the company's own case spends Rs 7,22,00,00,000 and the sponsor's case spends Rs 4,50,00,00,000, a difference of Rs 2,72,00,00,000.

The second change is the movement in net working capital, held at Rs 12,00,00,000 a year against Rs 18,00,00,000. The sponsor targets a tighter cash conversion cycle. Over five years that is Rs 60,00,00,000 against Rs 90,00,00,000, a difference of Rs 30,00,00,000.

Add the two and the sponsor's case frees up Rs 3,02,00,00,000 more cash across the hold than the company's own case would have. Neither item touches the profit and loss account, so neither changes the tax charge; both are cash items below the EBITDA line, and that is exactly why a sponsor reaches for them. Deferring the third valve line carries an implication of its own: a business that spends Rs 2,72,00,00,000 less on capacity over five years is a slightly different business at the end of it, and whoever buys it next will form their own view about that.

The reason this matters for everything that follows is traceability. Because revenue and EBITDA are untouched, every rupee the structure eventually produces can be pointed at. The sponsor underwrote its own case, it named the two lines it was changing, and it changed nothing else.

THE ONLY TWO LINES THE SPONSOR CHANGED 1 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE, EACH YEAR 0 50,00,00,000 1,00,00,00,000 1,50,00,00,000 the company's own case the sponsor's case, flat at Rs 90,00,00,000 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 2 MOVEMENT IN WORKING CAPITAL, EACH YEAR 0 10,00,00,000 20,00,00,000 Rs 18,00,00,000 a year Rs 12,00,00,000 a year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Revenue and EBITDA are identical in both cases. Only these two lines move, and both sit below the EBITDA line. Across the five years that is Rs 2,72,00,00,000 less capital expenditure and Rs 30,00,00,000 less working capital, being Rs 3,02,00,00,000 more cash to hand to the lenders.
Two lines move and both sit below EBITDA, so nothing in this structure depends on selling more valves or selling them better.
Building a Revenue Forecast From Drivers teaches you to forecast revenue from volume and price rather than from a growth rate.

What did this structure return, and what does that figure not establish?

Try it out

The entry and exit multiples are both 8.50 times. What does that establish about where the return can possibly come from?

Over a five year hold, exiting at the same 8.50 times, this invented structure produced a money multipleMoney returned divided by money put in, ignoring how long it took to get it back. of 2.40 times and an internal rate of return of 19.14 per cent. Both are outputs of the structure rather than inputs to it. Where the return came from, how it splits between earnings growth, repayment of borrowing, any change in the multiple and the fees, and how much the whole answer moves if the entry price moves, are all worked out separately.

Both figures come with a boundary attached, and a number that arrives without one does more harm than good.

A money multiple does not show that the transaction was well judged. Two figures computed over an invented five years on an invented company, using an entry price and an exit multiple both chosen by whoever built the example, cannot establish that. A structure returned 19.14 per cent over five years on an invented company, and a return of 19.14 per cent says nothing about whether the transaction was a sensible thing to do or whether the price paid was a sensible price.

The two figures do not give the range around the answer. Both the entry multiple and the exit multiple were assumptions. Change the exit multiple and the whole figure moves; change the entry multiple and it moves in the other direction. A single return figure with no range attached is the least honest way to present the arithmetic of a transaction, and the decomposition and the range are covered together, separately.

And they say nothing about the borrowing along the way. The senior loan sweeps every spare rupee, so the amount outstanding falls year by year and the interest bill falls with it. The smaller interest bill feeds back into how much cash is available to sweep next year. The circularity, and the year by year schedule that resolves it, are covered separately.

One thing about the arrangement does travel, though, and it is worth carrying: entry and exit are at the same 8.50 times on purpose. With the multiple pinned, no part of the return can come from the market simply deciding to pay more for the same business, so every rupee of it has to come from somewhere a reader can point at. Pinning the multiple is a modelling discipline rather than a prediction, and it is the reason this particular example is worth learning on.

How this is actually read in a working week

A credit officer at a lender reads the sources and uses statement before anything else, and reads it upside down compared with how it was built. The credit officer asks about the lender's own money rather than about the price: what proportion of it will never come back if things go wrong. Here, sponsor equity is 44.12 per cent of sources. Rs 12,00,00,00,000 of somebody else's money absorbs losses before the senior loan is touched at all. The 44.12 per cent is the first thing the officer writes down, and the second is the interest cover of 1.75 times on Year 0 profit.

An associate at a financial buyer works the same statement in the opposite direction. Given a required return and a view on what the business will be worth at exit, the associate solves backwards for the highest price that still clears the hurdle, and then compares it with what the sellers want. The wedge identity earns its keep here. Sponsor equity is always the entry enterprise value less a flat Rs 12,48,00,00,000, so moving between an enterprise value and a cheque takes one subtraction rather than a rebuilt statement.

An equity research analyst covering the sector reads the same transaction as a data point about price rather than about structure. The transaction happened at 8.50 times against a traded 7.78 times, and that comparison, and what may or may not be inferred from it, belongs to the study of what buyers have actually paid, covered separately.

A household buying a flat runs the same three quantities on a smaller scale, and one idea transfers whole: what a thing cost, what it owes, and what the buyer put in are three different quantities, and confusing any two of them misleads about a flat, a shop or a company equally.

The failure: reading the cheque as the value of what was bought

Reading the cheque as the value of what was bought is the first thing almost every reader gets wrong, and it is worth naming precisely because it is so reasonable. The sponsor writes a cheque for Rs 12,00,00,00,000. The natural assumption is that the sponsor therefore holds Rs 12,00,00,00,000 of something. It does not. The business is worth Rs 24,48,00,00,000 on the entry assumptions and it carries Rs 13,00,00,00,000 of borrowing, so the equity underneath is worth Rs 11,48,00,00,000.

The Rs 52,00,00,000 gap is the fees, and it is not recoverable from anywhere. Rs 32,00,00,000 went to the lenders arranging the borrowing and Rs 20,00,00,000 went to advisers, and neither purchased an asset that appears in any valuation of the business. The consequence is arithmetic rather than moral: the structure starts 4.33 per cent behind, and the first Rs 52,00,00,000 of value it creates is spent getting back to level.

The second half of the same error runs the other way, and it is just as common. The mistake there treats the sponsor's exposure as Rs 24,48,00,00,000, on the grounds that Rs 24,48,00,00,000 is what the business cost. It is not. Rs 13,00,00,00,000 of it was borrowed by the target and secured on the target, and a further Rs 2,20,00,00,000 came from the target's own cash and its own surplus assets. The sponsor's exposure is the Rs 12,00,00,00,000 it put in.

Getting either half wrong turns every return figure built afterwards into a different number, and it turns them wrong in opposite directions, so somebody making both mistakes at once will produce an answer that looks plausible and is not. The fix is mechanical and it works every time: write down three quantities on day one and never let them touch. The value of the business. The borrowing it owes. The cheque the buyer wrote.

THREE QUANTITIES ON DAY ONE THAT ARE CONSTANTLY MISTAKEN FOR EACH OTHER 1 WHAT THE BUSINESS IS WORTH Rs 24,48,00,00,000 8.50 times Year 0 EBITDA. It is not what anybody put in. 2 WHAT IT OWES Rs 13,00,00,00,000 Borrowed by the company, not by the buyer. 3 WHAT THE BUYER PAID Rs 12,00,00,00,000 The whole of what it can lose, and the whole of its exposure. THE FIRST HALF OF THE MISTAKE Reading 3 as the value of what was bought. Quantity 1 less quantity 2 is Rs 11,48,00,00,000, and the Rs 52,00,00,000 gap is the fees. THE SECOND HALF OF THE SAME MISTAKE Reading 1 as what the buyer has at risk. Quantity 2 was borrowed by the company and secured on it, so the exposure is quantity 3.
No two of these three quantities are the same number or measure the same thing, and keeping them apart fixes both halves of the mistake.
Try it out

A colleague says the sponsor has Rs 24,48,00,00,000 at risk. What is the correction?

India

Where the conditions attaching to a change of control are set

A sources and uses statement adds the same way in every country. The conditions attaching to a change of control do not. In India, the conditions attaching to an offer for the shares of a listed company, and to what has to be disclosed and when, are set by the Securities and Exchange Board of India at sebi.gov.in. Anything about a company's filings, the charges registered against its assets and its shareholding sits with the Ministry of Corporate Affairs at mca.gov.in. Anything involving a regulated lender or a flow across a border sits with the Reserve Bank of India at rbi.org.in. All of these change, so the only reliable version of any threshold, trigger, percentage, tax rate, tenure, timetable or effective date is the current text at the named site, read on the day it is needed. How an offer is arrived at, negotiated and documented is covered separately.

Where the 2.40 times and the 19.14 per cent come from, how the return splits between growth in earnings, repayment of borrowing, any change in the multiple and the fees, and how far the answer moves with the entry price, are all worked out separately. How the borrowing is repaid year by year, how the cash sweep interacts with the interest that determines it, and how a model of the whole thing is built are covered separately too. The arithmetic of management putting part of its holding back into the new structure is covered separately. The sources and uses statement as an object is settled separately, as is how funding is arranged, committed and documented. How a sale is run, what an opinion on the fairness of a price is, how a buyer's diligence is organised and what a timetable looks like all belong to the conduct of a sale, a different subject covered separately. What a balance sheet, a profit and loss account and a cash flow statement are, what a discount rate is, and how a peer set is built are settled elsewhere and assumed here. Whether the price was fair, whether the premium was justified and whether borrowing of this size is prudent for a maker of valves are separate questions from the arithmetic, and each one is argued rather than computed.
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Sources

SourceDocumentSite
Aswath DamodaranValuation material on the estimation of a cost of capital and on the treatment of enterprise value against equity value, the frame the bridge above usespages.stern.nyu.edu
Koller, Goedhart and WesselsValuation, for the cash flow frame in which operating value, the claims against it and the residual equity are kept separatewiley.com
Securities and Exchange Board of IndiaThe authority that sets the conditions attaching to an offer for the shares of a listed company in India and to what must be disclosedsebi.gov.in
Ministry of Corporate AffairsThe authority with which company filings in India are made, and with which charges over a company's assets are registeredmca.gov.in
Reserve Bank of IndiaThe authority whose framework applies where a regulated lender or a flow across a border is involved in a transactionrbi.org.in
Social Science Research NetworkA repository holding working paper versions of academic work on transaction structures and on capital structure, for a reader who wants an original rather than a summaryssrn.com

Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited, Sankalp Coatings Private Limited, Aruna Tooling Private Limited and Sthira Capital Partners are invented.
Educational material. Not advice on any investment, tax, budget or market position.

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