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Recapitalisation: Resetting the Balance Sheet

A recapitalisation changes the funding and leaves the business alone. Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited, invented, could borrow Rs 3,60,00,00,000 and buy back 4,00,00,000 shares at Rs 90.00, moving its debt share from 25.0 to 40.0 per cent. Interest cover falls from 5.00 to 2.78 times and earnings per share falls from Rs 6.9000 to Rs 6.8250. Not one rupee of operating profit moves.

Start with a household and a house. The awkward part of the idea lands faster on something a reader can stand in front of. A household buys a house for eighty lakh rupees. In the first version it pays fifty lakh from savings and borrows thirty lakh. Five years later, with the house worth what it is worth and the salary what it is, the household goes back to the bank and borrows another twenty lakh against the same house, then hands that twenty lakh straight back to itself, into its own savings account. Nothing about the house changed. Nobody repainted a wall. The tap that drips still drips.

The claim on the house changed. The bank now goes first for a larger monthly amount, written into a document, in good months and bad. The household goes second, and takes whatever is left after the bank has been paid. The household has more cash sitting in its own account and a bigger fixed obligation every month, and those two things arrived at exactly the same moment because they are the same transaction seen from two sides. A recapitalisation is that and nothing more: the funding is rearranged and the thing being funded is not touched at all.

What is a recapitalisation, and what changes when one happens?

A recapitalisationA change in the mix of debt and equity funding a business, with the business itself unchanged. is a deliberate change in how a company is funded, made without changing the business itself. Think of the balance sheet as two columns that happen to add to the same figure. The left-hand column is the business: the foundries, the machine tools, the inventory sitting on the shop floor, the receivables owed by customers, the order book. The right-hand column is who paid for all of it, and in what order they get paid back. A recapitalisation is an operation performed on the right-hand column only.

Leaving the business alone is what makes a recapitalisation the cleanest test in the whole of this subject. If moving the mix genuinely changes anything, a recapitalisation is where the change becomes visible. Nothing else moved to confuse the reading. There is no new product, no acquisition, no cost programme, no change in the market. Any difference in the numbers afterwards has exactly one possible cause.

A recapitalisation runs in two directions, and the two are exact mirrors of each other. A leveraged recapitalisationBorrowing and using the proceeds to buy shares back, which raises the debt share. borrows money and uses it to buy shares back. The debt share rises. A deleveraging recapitalisationIssuing shares and using the proceeds to repay borrowing, which lowers the debt share. issues shares and uses the proceeds to repay borrowing. The debt share falls. The arithmetic is identical in both directions with one sign reversed, and both directions are worked below.

Here is the company this guide uses throughout. Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited, invented, makes industrial valves, precision castings and the aftermarket parts and service that go with them. The company is listed, so its equity has an observed price. At the end of the last completed year it had 20,00,00,000 shares at Rs 90.00, giving a market capitalisation of Rs 18,00,00,00,000, and gross debt of Rs 6,00,00,00,000 blended across its three borrowings at exactly 8.00 per cent, giving an interest charge of Rs 48,00,00,000 for the year. Add those two and total capitalDebt plus equity, measured here at market values rather than at what the accounts say. at market is Rs 24,00,00,00,000, of which debt is exactly 25.0 per cent. Operating profit was Rs 2,40,00,00,000 and earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) Rs 2,88,00,00,000, so interest cover was exactly 5.00 times. All of that is settled earlier in this subject and is restated here rather than rebuilt.

ONE SIDE MOVES AND THE OTHER DOES NOTSankalp Industrial Systems Limited, invented. The same year, before and after a leveraged recapitalisation. Rupees.BEFORE, A 25.0 PER CENT DEBT SHARETHE BUSINESS, UNTOUCHEDRevenueRs 12,00,00,00,000EBITDARs 2,88,00,00,000EBITRs 2,40,00,00,000Capital expenditureRs 1,34,80,00,000Working capital movementRs 18,00,00,000Free cash flow, Year 1Rs 98,00,00,000Not one of the six moves.A recapitalisation cannot reach them.WHO PAID FOR ITEQUITY AT MARKETRs 18,00,00,00,00075.0 per centGROSS DEBTRs 6,00,00,00,00025.0 per centTOTAL CAPITAL AT MARKETRs 24,00,00,00,000the same height in both panels(today)AFTER, A 40.0 PER CENT DEBT SHARETHE BUSINESS, UNTOUCHEDRevenueRs 12,00,00,00,000EBITDARs 2,88,00,00,000EBITRs 2,40,00,00,000Capital expenditureRs 1,34,80,00,000Working capital movementRs 18,00,00,000Free cash flow, Year 1Rs 98,00,00,000Not one of the six moves.A recapitalisation cannot reach them.WHO PAID FOR ITEQUITY AT MARKETRs 14,40,00,00,00060.0 per centGROSS DEBTRs 9,60,00,00,00040.0 per centTOTAL CAPITAL AT MARKETRs 24,00,00,00,000the same height in both panels(the move worked)The two panels are drawn to one scale, so the whole of the change is the line between the two blocks moving up.
Every operating figure is identical in both panels while the funding column is cut in a different place, which is the whole of what a recapitalisation does.
Try it out

A company completes a leveraged recapitalisation. Which side of the balance sheet changed?

How does a company actually move its mix, step by step?

In five steps, and they run in one order. Choose the target mix. Work out the amount. Raise it. Return it. Then restate every ratio. All of them moved at the same moment. The middle three are an afternoon of arithmetic that any careful person can do. The first is genuinely hard and the last is the one that gets dropped.

Step 1, choosing the target mixThe debt share a company decides to move towards., is the hard part rather than the execution. Deciding to move to a particular debt share means forming a view about what the borrowing will cost at that level, what the shareholders will then require, and how much room the company wants against a bad year. Choosing the target is covered separately: that work builds the relationship between the debt share, the blended cost of funding and the value of the business, and arrives at a figure. The figure is taken here as given: a 40.0 per cent debt share, belonging to this one invented company and to the invented schedule of borrowing rates the company was given.

Two things travel with that figure everywhere it goes. The first is that the relationship it comes from is flat near its own bottom, so the precision of the point is far lower than the precision with which it can be printed. Quoting a debt share to one decimal place claims an accuracy the arithmetic does not have. The second is that the whole shape of that relationship rests on an invented schedule of borrowing rates belonging to one invented company. Change the schedule and the point moves. Anybody who reads that 40.0 per cent as a general answer for any company has misread a worked example.

THE FIVE STEPS, IN ORDERA leveraged recapitalisation. The order matters and the last step is the one that gets dropped.STEP 1Choose the target mixPick the debt share tomove to. This is thehard part, not the doing.STEP 2Work out the amountTarget share times totalcapital, less the debtalready carried.STEP 3Raise itBorrow. The lenderprices the whole balance,not only the new money.STEP 4Return itBuy shares back at themarket price. The countfalls in proportion.STEP 5Restate every ratioCover, leverage, profitand earnings per sharehave all just moved.THE STEP THAT GETS DROPPEDSteps 2 to 4 are a single afternoon of arithmetic. Step 5 is where the company finds out what it has done: interest cover, grossleverage, net leverage, profit attributable to owners and earnings per share all moved at once, and they did not all move thesame way. A move reported on one of those five has been reported on a fifth of itself.
The five steps run in one order, and the fifth, restating every ratio, is the one companies most often leave off once the money has moved.

How much would this company have to borrow to reach a 40.0 per cent debt share?

Step 2 turns a percentage into rupees, and it is the step where the commonest error in the whole build gets made. The target share is a share of total capital, not of equity. Total capital at market is Rs 24,00,00,00,000. Forty per cent of that is Rs 9,60,00,00,000 of debt. The company already carries Rs 6,00,00,00,000. So it borrows Rs 3,60,00,00,000, and not a rupee more.

The other side has to agree. If debt is to be Rs 9,60,00,00,000 out of Rs 24,00,00,00,000, equity at market must be Rs 14,40,00,00,000, down from Rs 18,00,00,00,000. Equity falls by Rs 3,60,00,00,000, the same figure. The two sides cross by the same amount and the total does not move at all. The matching pair is the arithmetic signature of a recapitalisation. If the two figures do not match, an error has been made somewhere, not something discovered.

The error worth naming is taking the target share of equity instead. Forty per cent of Rs 18,00,00,00,000 is Rs 7,20,00,00,000. Borrowing that much would take gross debt to Rs 13,20,00,00,000 and land the company at a 55.0 per cent debt share rather than a 40.0 per cent one. The slip is easy to make: the equity figure is the one sitting in front of the analyst at the start. The denominator of a debt share is always debt plus equity.

THE SAME NUMBER LEAVES ONE SIDE AND ARRIVES ON THE OTHERTotal capital at market is held at Rs 24,00,00,00,000. Only the line inside it moves.BEFORE25.0 per cent debtDEBTRs 6,00,00,00,000EQUITY AT MARKETRs 18,00,00,00,000AFTER40.0 per cent debtDEBTRs 9,60,00,00,000EQUITY AT MARKETRs 14,40,00,00,000Rs 3,60,00,00,000borrowed, and thesame amount usedto buy shares backthe right edge does not move: total capital is Rs 24,00,00,00,000 in both barsTHE ARITHMETIC SIGNATURE OF A RECAPITALISATION: the two sides cross by the same amount and the total is untouched.
Rs 3,60,00,00,000 of new borrowing takes debt from Rs 6,00,00,00,000 to Rs 9,60,00,00,000 and equity from Rs 18,00,00,00,000 to Rs 14,40,00,00,000, and total capital stays at Rs 24,00,00,00,000 throughout.
Try it out

Total capital at market is Rs 24,00,00,00,000 and current gross debt is Rs 6,00,00,00,000. How much must be borrowed to reach a 40.0 per cent debt share?

Private Equity Analyst Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

What does the lender do when the borrower gears up?

The lender reprices, and here is the part most first attempts get wrong: it reprices the whole balance and not only the new money. A lender is not selling three hundred and sixty crore of rupees at a price. A lender is taking a position in a company. The position it holds afterwards is riskier than the position it held before: the same operating profit now has to service half again as much borrowing. A lender prices the position it ends up with, not the increment it just added. Pricing the whole position is why a company that gears up often finds its existing facilities being renegotiated at the same moment as its new one, and why covenants are rewritten rather than merely extended.

On this invented company's invented schedule the pre-tax rate at a 40 per cent debt share is 9.00 per cent, against 8.00 per cent at a 25 per cent debt share. The 9.00 per cent runs on the whole Rs 9,60,00,00,000 and not on the new borrowing alone. Interest becomes Rs 86,40,00,000 for the year, against Rs 48,00,00,000 before.

A lot of hurried work uses the other convention without noticing what it leaves out. If the old Rs 6,00,00,00,000 stayed at 8.00 per cent and only the new Rs 3,60,00,00,000 were priced at 9.00 per cent, interest would be Rs 48,00,00,000 plus Rs 32,40,00,000, being Rs 80,40,00,000. The difference of Rs 6,00,00,000 a year is exactly the old balance repriced by one percentage point. RepricingA lender changing the rate on the whole outstanding balance rather than only on new money. the old balance is not a rounding. The repricing is a real annual cost that a step 2 calculation on its own never sees.

THE LENDER PRICES THE POSITION, NOT THE INCREMENTSankalp Industrial Systems Limited, invented. Yearly interest under two conventions. Rupees.TodayRs 6,00,00,00,000 at 8.00 per centRs 48,00,00,000If only the new money repricedRs 6,00,00,00,000 at 8.00 plus Rs 3,60,00,00,000 at 9.00Rs 80,40,00,000What this illustration appliesthe whole Rs 9,60,00,00,000 at 9.00 per centRs 86,40,00,000REPRICING THE OLD BALANCE COSTS Rs 6,00,00,000 A YEARThat is Rs 6,00,00,00,000 of existing borrowing repriced by one percentage point. It is the part of the bill a step 2 calculation misses.Rs 6,00,00,000 a year
Pricing the whole balance at 9.00 per cent rather than only the new borrowing costs Rs 6,00,00,000 a year, which a step 2 calculation on its own never sees.

What happens to the share count, and at what price?

Step 4 returns the money to the holders of shares by buying shares back. A buybackA company purchasing its own shares, which reduces the number in issue. here is simply the mechanism by which the equity side is made smaller. Why a company might prefer a buyback to a dividend, and how a buyback works as a matter of policy, are covered separately in this subject.

The arithmetic is a division. Rs 3,60,00,00,000 returned, at the market price of Rs 90.00 a share, buys 4,00,00,000 shares. The count falls from 20,00,00,000 to 16,00,00,000, a reduction of exactly 20.0 per cent. Then the mix is checked. A step that does not check itself cannot be trusted: 16,00,00,000 shares at Rs 90.00 is Rs 14,40,00,00,000 of equity, plus Rs 9,60,00,00,000 of debt is Rs 24,00,00,00,000 again, and Rs 9,60,00,00,000 over Rs 24,00,00,00,000 is exactly 40.0 per cent. The mix arrived where step 1 said it would.

Two assumptions in that paragraph are doing a great deal of work and both are worth naming. The first is that the price stays at Rs 90.00 while four crore shares are bought. In reality a company buying a fifth of its own shares would move the price it was paying, and every figure downstream would move with it. The second is that total capital stays at Rs 24,00,00,00,000 throughout. Holding both still is what makes the illustration readable, and it is not what would happen.

THE MONEY RETURNED, DIVIDED BY THE PRICE, IS THE SHARES THAT GOSankalp Industrial Systems Limited, invented. Each block is 1,00,00,000 shares.SHARES IN ISSUE20,00,00,00016,00,00,000 shares stay4,00,00,000 goTHE DIVISIONRs 3,60,00,00,000 returned, divided by the market price of Rs 90.00 a share, is 4,00,00,000 shares. The count falls 20.0 per cent.THE CHECK16,00,00,000 shares at Rs 90.00 is Rs 14,40,00,00,000 of equity, and with Rs 9,60,00,00,000 of debt that is Rs 24,00,00,00,000 again,of which the debt is exactly 40.0 per cent. The mix arrived where step 1 said it would.
Rs 3,60,00,00,000 at Rs 90.00 a share buys 4,00,00,000 shares, taking the count from 20,00,00,000 to 16,00,00,000, a reduction of exactly 20.0 per cent.

Which ratios move, and do they all move the same way?

Step 5 is where the company finds out what it has done, and it is the step that gets dropped because by then the transaction feels finished. The transaction is not finished. Every ratio the company is measured on has just moved, at the same instant, and they did not all move in the same direction.

Interest coverOperating profit divided by the interest charge. The ratio says how many times over a year's operating profit would pay a year's interest. was Rs 2,40,00,00,000 over Rs 48,00,00,000, exactly 5.00 times. Interest cover becomes Rs 2,40,00,00,000 over Rs 86,40,00,000, being 2.78 times. Gross debt to EBITDA was Rs 6,00,00,00,000 over Rs 2,88,00,00,000, being 2.08 times, and becomes 3.33 times. Cash is untouched at Rs 1,20,00,00,000, so net debt goes from Rs 4,80,00,00,000 to Rs 8,40,00,00,000, and net debt to EBITDA from 1.67 to 2.92 times. Three measures of borrowing rose sharply, one measure of room for a bad year fell by nearly half, and the reported earnings figure barely moved at all. Reporting a recapitalisation on any single ratio therefore reports a fifth of it.

A ratio is easy to nod at, so interest cover deserves a second sentence. Restated as a distance it reads differently. At 5.00 times, operating profit could fall 80.0 per cent before the interest bill consumed all of it. At 2.78 times it could fall 64.0 per cent. The transaction took a large amount of room for a bad year and exchanged it for something else. Whether the something else is worth having is a separate question.

EVERY MEASURE MOVED AT ONCE AND THEY DID NOT MOVE THE SAME WAYSankalp Industrial Systems Limited, invented. Each measure indexed to its own before reading at 100.Interest cover5.00 to 2.78 timesbefore, 100 on the indexafter, 55.6, down 44.4 pointsGross debt to EBITDA2.08 to 3.33 timesbefore, 100 on the indexafter, 160.0, up 60.0 pointsNet debt to EBITDA1.67 to 2.92 timesbefore, 100 on the indexafter, 175.0, up 75.0 pointsResidual after interest80.00 to 64.00 per centbefore, 100 on the indexafter, 80.0, down 20.0 pointsEarnings per share6.9000 to 6.8250 rupeesbefore, 100 on the indexafter, 98.9, down 1.1 pointsthe before readingRead the bars for direction and size, and the printed pair under each name for the actual readings. Earnings per share moves least of the five.
Interest cover falls from 5.00 to 2.78 times, gross leverage rises from 2.08 to 3.33 times EBITDA, and earnings per share moves least of the five, so no single ratio summarises the transaction.
Try it out

After the move to a 40.0 per cent debt share, what is interest cover, and what was it before?

What does the whole move do to earnings per share?

As one column, from operating profit to the figure a shareholder reads: operating profit is Rs 2,40,00,00,000 in both cases. A recapitalisation cannot reach it. Interest goes from Rs 48,00,00,000 to Rs 86,40,00,000. Profit before tax therefore goes from Rs 1,92,00,00,000 to Rs 1,53,60,00,000. Tax at the company's own assumed effective rate of 25.0 per cent goes from Rs 48,00,00,000 to Rs 38,40,00,000. Profit after tax goes from Rs 1,44,00,00,000 to Rs 1,15,20,00,000. Out of that comes Rs 6,00,00,000 belonging to the minority in Sankalp Coatings Private Limited, an invented subsidiary the group consolidates in full but holds only three quarters of. The figure is held flat throughout: the subsidiary is untouched by the transaction.

So profit attributable to owners falls from Rs 1,38,00,00,000 to Rs 1,09,20,00,000, a fall of Rs 28,80,00,000. Divide each by its own share count and earnings per share goes from Rs 1,38,00,00,000 over 20,00,00,000 shares, being exactly Rs 6.9000, to Rs 1,09,20,00,000 over 16,00,00,000 shares, being Rs 6.8250. The fall is 1.09 per cent.

The whole move, line by lineBefore, a 25.0 per cent debt shareAfter, a 40.0 per cent debt share
Gross debtRs 6,00,00,00,000Rs 9,60,00,00,000
Blended rate on the whole balance8.00 per cent9.00 per cent
Shares in issue20,00,00,00016,00,00,000
Operating profitRs 2,40,00,00,000Rs 2,40,00,00,000
InterestRs 48,00,00,000Rs 86,40,00,000
Profit before taxRs 1,92,00,00,000Rs 1,53,60,00,000
Tax at the assumed 25.0 per centRs 48,00,00,000Rs 38,40,00,000
Profit after taxRs 1,44,00,00,000Rs 1,15,20,00,000
Less attributable to the minorityRs 6,00,00,000Rs 6,00,00,000
Profit attributable to ownersRs 1,38,00,00,000Rs 1,09,20,00,000
Earnings per shareRs 6.9000Rs 6.8250

One check inside that column is worth doing once, and it confirms that the whole build hangs together. Interest rose by Rs 38,40,00,000. A quarter of that is deducted against tax at the assumed rate, so the after-tax cost of the extra interest is three quarters of it, being Rs 28,80,00,000. Rs 28,80,00,000 is exactly the fall in profit attributable to owners, to the rupee, and it has to be: the only thing that changed between the two columns is the interest line and the tax on it. If the two figures do not agree, something else has crept into the model that should not be there.

The deduction against the extra interest is real and worth stating plainly. Interest of Rs 86,40,00,000 at the assumed 25.0 per cent saves Rs 21,60,00,000 of tax, against Rs 12,00,00,000 before: a gain of Rs 9,60,00,000 a year. The saving is arithmetic on an assumed rate belonging to an invented company. Whether interest is deductible at all, whether there is a limit on how much of it is, and at what rate profit is taxed are matters of law.

Try it out

Interest rises by Rs 38,40,00,000 and nothing else in the column changes. Without recomputing the whole build, what must the fall in profit attributable to owners be, at the assumed 25.0 per cent rate?

Investment Banking Analyst Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

Why must the market weights and the value case never be netted?

Two different totals are in play here, and they measure different things on different bases. Keeping them apart is the whole of what follows.

The first total is the one the transaction is sized on. Total capital at market is Rs 24,00,00,00,000, being the observed market capitalisation of Rs 18,00,00,00,000 plus gross debt of Rs 6,00,00,00,000. Both figures are market weightsWeights computed on the observed market value of equity and on debt, rather than on the values carried in the accounts.. The company is listed and its equity has a quoted price. A figure somebody actually paid is better evidence about today's equity value than any estimate, so the quoted price is the one used. Forty per cent of that observed total is what step 2 borrows against.

The second total is a modelled figure, and the move is judged against it. The modelled figure comes from taking the same unchanged stream of operating cash flows and discounting it at a blended rate that moves as the mix moves. No price enters it anywhere. The modelled figure is what a model says the operating business is worth on a stated set of assumptions, and moving the assumptions moves it. The discounting arithmetic is covered separately.

Neither figure is solved back into the other, and a reader who subtracts one from the other has stopped doing arithmetic. The market weights size the transaction. A modelled value tests the case for making it. The two answer different questions and they are allowed to disagree; the gap between a modelled value and a market price is itself covered separately. Mixing them is how a recapitalisation analysis quietly stops being arithmetic and starts being a story.

TWO DIFFERENT OBJECTS, AND NEITHER IS SOLVED BACK INTO THE OTHERThe hardest distinction in this guide. One is observed, the other is modelled.WHAT THE TRANSACTION IS SIZED ONMarket capitalisationRs 18,00,00,00,000Gross debtRs 6,00,00,00,000Total capital at marketRs 24,00,00,00,000OBSERVED. Every input has a price thatsomebody paid today. The company islisted, so its equity has a quoted price,and 40.0 per cent of this figure is whatstep 2 borrows against.Printed here.WHAT THE MOVE IS JUDGED AGAINSTA modelled firm value: the sameunchanged operating cash flows,discounted at a blended rate thatmoves as the mix moves.COMPUTED AND PRINTED SEPARATELYno figure from it appears hereMODELLED. Nothing here has a price.It is what a model says the operatingbusiness is worth on a stated set ofassumptions, and moving theassumptions moves it.Not printed here.nevernettedsizingand judgingA reader who subtracts one of these from the other has stopped doing arithmetic. They measure different things on different bases.
The transaction is sized on observed market weights of Rs 24,00,00,00,000 while the case for making it is a modelled value computed elsewhere, and neither is ever solved back into the other.
Try it out

The move is sized against total capital of Rs 24,00,00,00,000, observed in the market today. The case for making it is a modelled firm value computed elsewhere. Why must those two never be netted against each other?

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What does leverage take from what is left for owners?

The whole case about leverage can be made without a valuation model at all, and that is the cleanest way to make it. The funding side cannot reach operating profit, so it is held at Rs 2,40,00,00,000, unchanged at every debt share. The share left after the lender has been paid is what changes.

At the current 25.0 per cent debt share, debt is Rs 6,00,00,00,000 at 8.00 per cent, interest is Rs 48,00,00,000, and 80.00 per cent of operating profit is left for owners. Interest cover is exactly 5.00 times. At a 40.0 per cent debt share the whole balance reprices to 9.00 per cent, debt is Rs 9,60,00,00,000, interest is Rs 86,40,00,000, and 64.00 per cent is left. Cover is 2.78 times. At a 60.0 per cent debt share the schedule charges 13.00 per cent, debt is Rs 14,40,00,00,000, interest is Rs 1,87,20,00,000, and 22.00 per cent is left. Cover is 1.28 times.

The share left for owners falls 80.00 to 64.00 to 22.00 per cent and interest cover falls 5.00 to 2.78 to 1.28 times, on an operating profit that never moved by a single rupee. The entire cost of leverage is stated there without one cell of any valuation table. The same two forces are why the relationship the target comes from eventually turns downwards. The deduction against interest pulls the blended cost of funding down. The rising cost of the borrowing and the rising return the shareholders require push it back up, and somewhere between those two forces the blended figure stops falling. Where exactly is worked out separately, the relationship is flat near its bottom so the point is far less precise than it can be printed, and the whole shape depends on the invented rate schedule above.

OPERATING PROFIT NEVER MOVES. THE SHARE LEFT FOR OWNERS DOESSankalp Industrial Systems Limited, invented. Rs 2,40,00,00,000 of operating profit at three debt shares.A 25 PER CENT DEBT SHAREdebt Rs 6,00,00,00,000 at 8.00 per centinterest cover 5.00 timesLEFT FOR OWNERS80.00 per centRs 1,92,00,00,000INTERESTRs 48,00,00,000A 40 PER CENT DEBT SHAREdebt Rs 9,60,00,00,000 at 9.00 per centinterest cover 2.78 timesLEFT FOR OWNERS64.00 per centRs 1,53,60,00,000INTERESTRs 86,40,00,000A 60 PER CENT DEBT SHAREdebt Rs 14,40,00,00,000 at 13.00 per centinterest cover 1.28 timesLEFT FOR OWNERS22.00 per centRs 52,80,00,000INTERESTRs 1,87,20,00,000OPERATING PROFIT, Rs 2,40,00,00,000, THE SAME IN ALL THREETHE WHOLE COST OF LEVERAGE, STATED WITHOUT A VALUATION TABLEThe share left for owners falls 80.00 to 64.00 to 22.00 per cent and interest cover falls 5.00 to 2.78 to 1.28 times, on an operating profit that never moved.
Operating profit is the same Rs 2,40,00,00,000 in all three bars, yet the share left after interest falls from 80.00 to 64.00 to 22.00 per cent and cover falls from 5.00 to 2.78 to 1.28 times.
Try it out

Before the control below is moved: the company borrows Rs 3,60,00,00,000 and buys back a fifth of its shares. What happens to earnings per share?

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Do value and earnings per share peak in the same place?

Value and earnings per share do not peak in the same place, and that is the finding that makes the whole exercise worth doing. Run the same five-step arithmetic at every point on the invented rate schedule, holding operating profit at Rs 2,40,00,00,000, holding total capital at Rs 24,00,00,00,000, moving equity in and out at Rs 90.00 a share, charging the schedule rate on the whole balance, taxing at the assumed 25.0 per cent and deducting the Rs 6,00,00,000 attributable to the minority. The construction returns exactly Rs 6.9000 at the company's actual 25 per cent debt share. Rs 6.9000 is the reported figure to the paisa, and that agreement is the check that the construction is the right one rather than an assertion.

Read across the ladder and it climbs, tops out and then collapses. With no borrowing at all it is Rs 6.5250. At a 10 per cent debt share Rs 6.6688, at 20 per cent Rs 6.8231, at 25 per cent Rs 6.9000, at 30 per cent Rs 6.9348, at 35 per cent Rs 6.9127, at 40 per cent Rs 6.8250, at 45 per cent Rs 6.4790, at 50 per cent Rs 5.7938 and at 60 per cent Rs 3.1500.

Earnings per share peaks at a 30 per cent debt share, lower than the debt share the value arithmetic points at, so the move with the better modelled case lowers the reported number. At 40 per cent, the target of this entire worked move, earnings per share is Rs 6.8250, below the Rs 6.9000 the company reports today. A board watching earnings per share and a board watching value would recapitalise to two different places, and neither of them would be making an arithmetic error. Both statements are arithmetic. Neither is a verdict.

Two honest qualifications travel with that finding. The first is that the peak is barely a peak. Rs 6.9348 at a 30 per cent debt share beats the Rs 6.9000 at 25 per cent by three and a half paise and the Rs 6.9127 at 35 per cent by about two. On a share priced at Rs 90.00 that is a rounding nobody would act on. The figure below therefore shades the top of the ladder rather than marking a point on it. The second is that the value side is flat near its own bottom too, so the gap between the two peaks is far less precise than two figures quoted to four decimal places suggest, and the whole shape of both rests on one invented rate schedule belonging to one invented company.

EARNINGS PER SHARE ACROSS THE WHOLE LEVERAGE RANGESankalp Industrial Systems Limited, invented. Arithmetic on the locked inputs, not a cell of any valuation table. Rupees a share.6.406.506.606.706.806.907.0001020253035404550Rs 5.7938below the floor60Rs 3.1500below the floorthe flat top, a 25 to 35 per cent debt sharethis axis starts at Rs 6.40, not at zerorupees a sharedebt as a share of total capital at market, per centWHY THE TOP IS SHADED AND NOT MARKED WITH A POINTThe highest reading on this ladder sits at a 30 per cent debt share, at Rs 6.9348. It beats the 25 per cent reading by three and a halfpaise and the 35 per cent reading by two. Drawing a sharp apex there would claim an accuracy the arithmetic does not have, so theband is shaded instead. The whole shape also rests on one invented cost of debt schedule belonging to one invented company.MAGNIFIED: A 20 TO 40 PER CENT DEBT SHARE, Rs 6.79 TO Rs 6.976.806.856.906.952025303540Rs 6.9348at 25, Rs 6.9000; at 30, Rs 6.9348; at 35, Rs 6.9127magnified four times over, the top is still nearly levelTHE SAME TEN READINGS ON AN AXIS STARTING AT ZERO0.003.507.0002560at 0, Rs 6.5250; at 25, Rs 6.9000; at 60, Rs 3.1500almost level to a 45 per cent debt share, then it drops awayThe ladder holds operating profit at Rs 2,40,00,00,000 and total capital at Rs 24,00,00,00,000, moves equity at Rs 90.00 a share, charges theschedule rate on the whole balance, taxes at the assumed 25.0 per cent and deducts the Rs 6,00,00,000 attributable to the minority.
Earnings per share is Rs 6.9348 at a 30 per cent debt share and Rs 6.8250 at the 40 per cent share the value arithmetic points at, and the top of the ladder is a plateau three and a half paise wide rather than a point.
Play with it

Move the debt share and watch the ladder, the magnifier and both bars redraw together

One control with ten stops, one for each rate the invented schedule carries. The top panel is the whole ladder on a full scale, where the collapse on the right is visible. The middle panel is the same ladder magnified between Rs 6.40 and Rs 7.00, where the near-level top of it shows; a reading below Rs 6.40 is parked in the shaded strip under that axis rather than plotted, being off the scale. The lower panel holds the two totals that never move, and the line inside each of them that does.

The whole reading in static text, so it survives without the picture. Debt share, then the pre-tax rate on the whole balance, gross debt, shares bought back or issued at Rs 90.00, the resulting count, the interest charge, interest cover, profit attributable to owners and earnings per share. 0 per cent: 8.00, Rs 0, 6,66,66,667 issued, 26,66,66,667 shares, Rs 0 of interest, no cover to state, Rs 1,74,00,00,000, Rs 6.5250. 10 per cent: 7.75, Rs 2,40,00,00,000, 4,00,00,000 issued, 24,00,00,000, Rs 18,60,00,000, 12.90 times, Rs 1,60,05,00,000, Rs 6.6688. 20 per cent: 7.90, Rs 4,80,00,00,000, 1,33,33,333 issued, 21,33,33,333, Rs 37,92,00,000, 6.33 times, Rs 1,45,56,00,000, Rs 6.8231. 25 per cent, where the company is: 8.00, Rs 6,00,00,00,000, no change, 20,00,00,000, Rs 48,00,00,000, 5.00 times, Rs 1,38,00,00,000, Rs 6.9000. 30 per cent, the highest reading on this ladder: 8.25, Rs 7,20,00,00,000, 1,33,33,333 bought, 18,66,66,667, Rs 59,40,00,000, 4.04 times, Rs 1,29,45,00,000, Rs 6.9348. 35 per cent: 8.60, Rs 8,40,00,00,000, 2,66,66,667 bought, 17,33,33,333, Rs 72,24,00,000, 3.32 times, Rs 1,19,82,00,000, Rs 6.9127. 40 per cent, the move worked in full here: 9.00, Rs 9,60,00,00,000, 4,00,00,000 bought, 16,00,00,000, Rs 86,40,00,000, 2.78 times, Rs 1,09,20,00,000, Rs 6.8250. 45 per cent: 9.75, Rs 10,80,00,00,000, 5,33,33,333 bought, 14,66,66,667, Rs 1,05,30,00,000, 2.28 times, Rs 95,02,50,000, Rs 6.4790. 50 per cent: 10.75, Rs 12,00,00,00,000, 6,66,66,667 bought, 13,33,33,333, Rs 1,29,00,00,000, 1.86 times, Rs 77,25,00,000, Rs 5.7938. 60 per cent: 13.00, Rs 14,40,00,00,000, 9,33,33,333 bought, 10,66,66,667, Rs 1,87,20,00,000, 1.28 times, Rs 33,60,00,000, Rs 3.1500. The move worked in full borrows Rs 3,60,00,00,000 and buys 4,00,00,000 shares, interest cover falls from 5.00 to 2.78 times, and the share of operating profit left for owners falls from 80.00 to 64.00 per cent. At Rs 90.00 a share the count does not come out whole at every stop, and each is shown rounded to the nearest share.
0 per centa 25 per cent debt share60 per cent
1 EARNINGS PER SHARE AT THE DEBT SHARE CHOSEN, ON A FULL SCALE3.004.005.006.007.000102025303540455060rupees a sharea 25 per cent debt share, earnings per share Rs 6.9000debt as a share of total capital at market, per cent2 THE SAME LADDER MAGNIFIED, Rs 6.40 TO Rs 7.00, WHERE THE TOP IS NEARLY FLAT6.406.606.807.00the same horizontal axis as the panel abovebelow Rs 6.40Rs 6.9000 on this magnified scale3 THE TWO TOTALS THAT DO NOT MOVE, AND THE LINE INSIDE EACH THAT DOESTOTAL CAPITAL AT MARKET, Rs 24,00,00,00,000Debt Rs 6,00,00,00,000, 25.0 per centEquity at market Rs 18,00,00,00,000OPERATING PROFIT, Rs 2,40,00,00,000, WHICH THE FUNDING SIDE CANNOT REACHInterest Rs 48,00,00,000, cover 5.00 timesLeft for owners Rs 1,92,00,00,000, 80.00 per cent
Debt share
25 per cent
Rate on the whole balance
8.00 per cent
Gross debt
Rs 6,00,00,00,000
Borrowed or repaid
nothing moves here
Shares bought or issued
none
Shares in issue
20,00,00,000
Interest for the year
Rs 48,00,00,000
Interest cover
5.00 times
Left for owners
80.00 per cent
Profit attributable to owners
Rs 1,38,00,00,000
Earnings per share
Rs 6.9000
Against today's Rs 6.9000
this is where it is now

At a 25 per cent debt share, which is where Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited sits today, gross debt is Rs 6,00,00,00,000 at 8.00 per cent, interest is Rs 48,00,00,000, interest cover is 5.00 times, 80.00 per cent of operating profit is left for owners, and earnings per share is Rs 6.9000.

Educational illustration. Not a transaction tool, not a valuation tool and not a decision aid. No mix is named right, safe or suitable for anybody at any position of the control. Total capital is held at Rs 24,00,00,00,000 and the share price at Rs 90.00 at every stop, both of which are assumptions of the illustration: a real price would respond to the transaction. The schedule of borrowing rates belongs to this one company alone, and is applied to the whole balance rather than only to new money. The tax rate of 25.0 per cent is the company's own assumed effective rate. The Rs 6,00,00,000 attributable to the minority is held flat, and nothing about the business changes at any position. No transaction cost, no tax on the transaction and no timing is modelled. Money is held in whole rupees throughout, and the control has ten stops because the schedule carries ten rates, with nothing between them interpolated. No firm value, no cost of capital and no rupee gain appears anywhere here; those are computed and printed separately.
Try it out

This move targets a 40 per cent debt share on the value arithmetic. Where does earnings per share reach its highest reading on the same schedule?

Ratio Analysis That Says Something teaches you to choose ratios that answer a question rather than fill a template.

What happens if the same five steps run backwards?

Everything reverses and nothing about the method changes. The mechanism rather than the direction is what does the work. Take a company moving the other way: one that wants more room for a bad year, or one whose lenders have asked for it, or one that has just been through a difficult year and would rather owe less.

Run the five steps to a 10 per cent debt share. Step 1, the target is 10 per cent. Step 2, ten per cent of Rs 24,00,00,00,000 is Rs 2,40,00,00,000 of debt, so Rs 3,60,00,00,000 of borrowing is repaid. Step 3 becomes raising equity rather than debt: issuing Rs 3,60,00,00,000 of new shares at Rs 90.00 means 4,00,00,000 new shares, taking the count to 24,00,00,000. Step 4 returns the money to the lender instead of the shareholder. Step 5 restates everything: on the schedule the rate at a 10 per cent debt share is 7.75 per cent, interest falls to Rs 18,60,00,000, interest cover rises to 12.90 times, profit attributable to owners rises to Rs 1,60,05,00,000, and earnings per share falls to Rs 6.6688.

Notice that profit rose and earnings per share fell. The mirror of the move in the other direction is the clearest possible demonstration that earnings per share is a division rather than a measure of how well the business did. More profit spread over more shares can be less per share. The move is therefore dilutiveLowering earnings per share. even though it made the company safer against a bad year by every leverage measure there is. Lower risk of a bad year, lower reported number. Higher reported number, less room. Both directions cost something.

THE SAME FIVE STEPS, RUN BACKWARDSA deleveraging recapitalisation to a 10.0 per cent debt share. Issue shares, repay borrowing.TODAYa 25.0 per cent debt shareEQUITY AT MARKET Rs 18,00,00,00,000Debt Rs 6,00,00,00,000Total capital at market Rs 24,00,00,00,000AFTERa 10.0 per cent debt shareEQUITY AT MARKET Rs 21,60,00,00,000Debt Rs 2,40,00,00,000Total capital at market Rs 24,00,00,00,000Rs 3,60,00,00,000 of borrowing repaidfunded by issuing 4,00,00,000 shares at Rs 90.00, taking the count to 24,00,00,000Shares in issuegeared up to 4016,00,00,000today, at 2520,00,00,000geared down to 1024,00,00,000Yearly interestgeared up to 40Rs 86,40,00,000today, at 25Rs 48,00,00,000geared down to 10Rs 18,60,00,000Interest covergeared up to 402.78 timestoday, at 255.00 timesgeared down to 1012.90 timesEarnings per sharegeared up to 40Rs 6.8250today, at 25Rs 6.9000geared down to 10Rs 6.6688Lower risk of a bad year and a lower reported number, or the reverse. The arithmetic gives both readings and neither of them is a verdict.
Run backwards to a 10 per cent debt share the same five steps issue 4,00,00,000 shares, repay Rs 3,60,00,00,000, lift interest cover to 12.90 times and take earnings per share down to Rs 6.6688.
Try it out

Run the same five steps in reverse to a 10 per cent debt share. What happens to interest cover and to earnings per share?

How this actually gets used in a working week

A corporate finance analyst inside a listed manufacturer is usually asked a narrower question than this guide answers: what would it take to get to a particular debt share, and what would it do to the company. The output is the five-step sheet, and the discipline is that step 5 is never left off. The sheet that gets taken into a room prints the modelled case, the earnings per share effect and the collapse in interest cover on the same sheet. A version showing one of the three is not a shorter version of the analysis, it is a different and misleading analysis. The first question back is almost always about covenants: a cover ratio of 2.78 times against a covenant set at 2.50 times is a different transaction from the same ratio against a covenant at 3.00 times, and that comparison is done before anything else.

A credit officer at a lender reads the same arithmetic from the other side and reads step 3 hardest. The question is not what the new money costs, it is what the whole position is worth holding at. Pricing the whole position is why a request to borrow more is so often the moment existing facilities get repriced and covenants rewritten. The Rs 6,00,00,000 a year that repricing the old balance costs in this illustration is not a technicality on that side of the table; it is the price of the risk that was just added to the loans already outstanding.

An equity research analyst uses it as a sensitivity rather than as a view. If a company has said it is moving its mix, the analyst reruns the earnings model at the new interest charge and the new share count, keeps the operating forecast identical and reports what the reported number does. Holding the forecast still is the only honest way to isolate the effect. The line that has to appear in the note is that any change in earnings per share here came from the funding and not from the business. A buyback funded with borrowing raises earnings per share whenever the after-tax cost of the borrowing sits below the earnings yield on the shares being bought; that identity and the arithmetic behind it are covered separately in this subject.

And a household reads the same shape without any of the vocabulary. Somebody who takes a top-up on a housing loan to clear a costlier personal loan has run step 2 and step 3 in their head. Step 5 is the one they usually have not run: the monthly outgo is now larger and fixed, and the amount of a bad month the household can absorb has fallen. The arithmetic is the same at every scale, and so is the step people skip.

The failure: judging a recapitalisation by earnings per share

The mistake is made in both directions, by people who know better, and it survives because earnings per share is the number everybody already looks at and because it is genuinely computed correctly in both of the traps below. Nobody divides wrongly. The failure is treating the result as evidence.

Version one, the accretiveRaising earnings per share. trap. A company borrows, buys shares back, earnings per share goes up, and the move gets reported as though value had been created. Move this company to a 30 per cent debt share and earnings per share rises from Rs 6.9000 to Rs 6.9348, a rise of 0.50 per cent, and the move is accretive on the face of it. Now look at what actually happened underneath. Profit attributable to owners fell from Rs 1,38,00,00,000 to Rs 1,29,45,00,000, a fall of 6.20 per cent. The share count fell from 20,00,00,000 to 18,66,66,667, a fall of 6.67 per cent. The count fell 0.47 of a percentage point further than the profit did, and that difference is the entire source of the rise. The business earned less and each share got a slightly larger slice of the smaller amount.

Version two, the dilutive trap, and it is the sharper one. The move to a 40.0 per cent debt share, which is the one the value arithmetic points at, takes earnings per share down from Rs 6.9000 to Rs 6.8250, a fall of 1.09 per cent. An analyst screening on earnings per share alone would reject the move the model says has the best case. An analyst screening on the modelled value alone would accept a move that makes the reported number look worse for years, and would be surprised at the reaction. The expensive part is that both analysts believe they have finished.

The only honest output is both readings side by side with the assumptions written under each: an earnings per share fall of 1.09 per cent, interest cover falling from 5.00 to 2.78 times and the residual falling from 80.00 to 64.00 per cent of operating profit, set against a modelled case that rests on an invented rate schedule and is computed separately. Earnings per share is not value. A change in the mix can lift it while destroying value, and it can lower it while adding value, and both have now been shown on the same invented company. Which of the two readings a company weights more heavily is a judgement, and the arithmetic settles neither.

WHERE A RISE IN EARNINGS PER SHARE ACTUALLY COMES FROMA move to a 30 per cent debt share. Two things fall, and the rise is only the difference between them.Profit attributable to ownersRs 1,38,00,00,000 to Rs 1,29,45,00,000down 6.20 per centShares in issue20,00,00,000 to 18,66,66,667down 6.67 per centTHE WHOLE OF THE RISE IS THE GAP BETWEEN THOSE TWO BARSThe count fell 0.47 of a percentage point further than the profit did, and dividing the smaller profit by the smaller countlifts earnings per share from Rs 6.9000 to Rs 6.9348, a rise of 0.50 per cent.AND NOTHING ABOUT THE BUSINESS CHANGEDRevenue, EBITDA, EBIT and every year of free cash flow to the firm are the figures they were before the borrowing was drawn.A rise produced this way is a division result. It is not evidence about the company.
Profit attributable to owners falls 6.20 per cent and the share count falls 6.67 per cent, so the 0.47 point difference between two falls is the entire source of the rise in earnings per share.
Financial Analyst Program Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

What does a recapitalisation not change, and why does that matter most?

The shortest list, and the most important one. Revenue of Rs 12,00,00,00,000. EBITDA of Rs 2,88,00,00,000. Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of Rs 2,40,00,00,000. Capital expenditure of Rs 1,34,80,00,000 in Year 1 and the Rs 18,00,00,000 movement in working capital that goes with it. Free cash flow to the firm of Rs 98,00,00,000 in Year 1 and Rs 1,16,00,00,000, Rs 1,34,00,00,000, Rs 1,52,00,00,000 and Rs 1,70,00,00,000 in the four years after it. The three divisions, the customers, the order book and the aftermarket service business.

Not one of those figures moves. Not one of them knows how the assets were paid for. A valve does not cost more to machine because the machine was bought with borrowed money. A customer does not order differently because the share count fell. The cash the business generates before anybody with a claim gets paid is a property of the business, and a recapitalisation happens entirely on the other side of the balance sheet.

Holding that list in mind is what stops the commonest misreading of all: crediting a recapitalisation with an operating improvement it could not possibly have produced. When a company announces a change in its mix and the reported earnings figure moves, the list above is the first thing to check, and it will show that the movement came from the funding every time.

Try it out

Which of these is identical before and after the recapitalisation worked here?

So what travels out of this worked example, and what does not?

The method travels: five steps in that order, a target share taken of total capital and never of equity, a rate applied to the whole balance rather than only to new money, a share count that falls or rises in exact proportion to the money moved at whatever price it actually moves at, and a restatement of every ratio at the end rather than one of them. The method works at any scale, on any company, in either direction, and on a household with a housing loan.

Not one figure from this worked example travels with it. The 40.0 per cent, the Rs 3,60,00,00,000, the 4,00,00,000 shares, the 2.78 times, the Rs 6.8250, the peak at a 30 per cent debt share: all of them are arithmetic on one invented company's locked inputs and one invented schedule of borrowing rates. A different schedule gives a different ladder, a different peak and a different answer to every question asked here. Carrying any of those numbers away as though it were a fact about companies would be the most expensive possible mistake, precisely because the arithmetic behind it is sound and therefore looks transferable.

India

Where the rules around any of this actually sit

The arithmetic above is not specific to any country: a share count is a share count and a ratio is a ratio. Everything around the arithmetic sits inside a legal system. Whether interest is deductible against taxable profit, whether there is any limit on how much of it is, whether a thin capitalisation rule applies and at what rate profit is taxed are all matters of law and of the tax authority. Disclosure of borrowings by a listed company, and the conditions attached to a buyback, sit with the Securities and Exchange Board of India at sebi.gov.in. Charges registered against a company's assets, and its filings generally, sit with the Ministry of Corporate Affairs at mca.gov.in. Anything involving a regulated lender or a cross-border flow sits with the Reserve Bank of India at rbi.org.in. All of these change, and a reader who needs a threshold, a limit, a rate, a period or an effective date must read the current text at the source. The 25.0 per cent used throughout is the invented company's own assumed effective rate and nothing else.

The mix is moved here; where to move it to is settled elsewhere. The full relationship between the debt share, the blended cost of funding and the value of the business, the point at which it turns down and every rupee figure across it are covered separately, further into this subject; the target debt share is taken as given above and the transaction worked from it. How to build a cost of capital, and how a beta is relevered when the mix changes, are covered separately, and the figures are restated above rather than derived. The arithmetic of what a fixed interest claim does to what shareholders receive is covered separately, earlier in this subject. Why a company returns cash to shareholders at all, and how a dividend differs from a buyback as a matter of policy, are covered separately in this subject area. Buying a whole company largely with borrowed money is covered separately again. The conditions that govern a buyback are set by a named authority and they change. The balance sheet itself, and the financial statements it belongs to, are covered separately. Whether a given mix is right for a company is a judgement about how much room it wants against a bad year, and no arithmetic settles that.

Sources

SourceDocumentSite
Modigliani and MillerThe Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment, American Economic Review, 1958, together with the later correction admitting the deductibility of interest. Named here because the idea that the funding side can be changed independently of the business is theirsAmerican Economic Review
Aswath DamodaranValuation material on estimating a cost of capital and on relevering a beta when the mix moves, restated above where it is used rather than derivedpages.stern.nyu.edu
Koller, Goedhart and WesselsValuation, for the frame in which an unchanged stream of operating cash flow is separated from the funding that pays for the assets producing itWiley
Securities and Exchange Board of IndiaNamed only, as the authority whose framework governs what a listed company in India discloses about its borrowings and the conditions attached to a buybacksebi.gov.in
Ministry of Corporate AffairsNamed only, as the authority with which company filings and charges registered against assets are recorded in India. Used to say where such records are found and for nothing elsemca.gov.in
Reserve Bank of IndiaNamed only, as the authority involved wherever a regulated lender or a cross-border flow appearsrbi.org.in
Social Science Research NetworkNamed as a repository where working paper versions of academic work on capital structure are held, for a reader who would rather read an original than a summaryssrn.com

Sankalp Industrial Systems Limited and Sankalp Coatings Private Limited are invented.
Educational material. Not advice on any investment, tax, budget or market position.

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