Fin Maverick
Foundations VocabularyAccounting & ReportingEconomics & MacroQuant Methods & ProgrammingBusiness & Company AnalysisCorporate Finance & ValuationBehavioural Finance
Banking & Market InfrastructureFixed Income & RatesDerivatives & Structured ProductsPublic EquitiesTransactions & DealsPortfolio ConstructionFunds & AMCs
Private Markets & AlternativesRisk, Treasury & ControlAI & Digital FinanceStochastic Calculus & PricingWealth & Personal FinanceIndian Markets & RegulationProfessional Practice
CalculatorComparison
Frameworks
Explore Bootcamps
Equity ResearchPortfolio ManagementMutual Fund MasteryFinancial LiteracyInvestment Banking Analyst
Private Equity AnalystHedge Funds AnalystBreaking Into VCBreaking Into QuantsAI For Finance
Financial Analyst ProgramRisk Management ProgramPrivate Wealth ManagementDebt Capital MarketsDerivatives Foundation
Explore Internships
Equity Research InternMutual Fund Intern
Portfolio Management InternFinancial Literacy Intern
Explore Micro Courses

Equity Research6

Writing an Investment ThesisBuilding a Discounted Cash FlowReading an Annual Report FastReading a Sector Before a CompanySpotting Quality of Earnings Red FlagsBuilding a Revenue Forecast From Drivers

Portfolio Management3

Rebalancing: When, Why and What It CostsStrategic and Tactical Asset AllocationMeasuring Risk in a Portfolio

Mutual Fund Mastery3

Comparing Funds Without Being FooledHow a NAV Is Struck and Which Day You GetReading a Fund Factsheet Properly

Derivatives Unlocked4

Hedging a Real ExposureThe Greeks, PracticallyFutures, the Basis and What Moves ItReading an Option Payoff

AI For Finance2

Retrieval and Grounding for FinanceDocument Extraction in Finance

Breaking Into Quants4

Backtesting a StrategyHypothesis TestingCleaning Financial DataRegression for Finance

Breaking Into VC3

Sizing a MarketReading a Term Sheet as a FounderHow a Venture Round Actually Works

Financial Analyst Program4

Common Size and Trend AnalysisReading a Cash Flow StatementRatio Analysis That Says SomethingBuilding a Working Capital Schedule

Risk Management Program2

Credit Exposure and How It Is ReducedValue at Risk and What It Hides

Investment Banking Analyst3

Precedent Transactions and Why They DifferReading a Term Sheet StructurallyBuilding a Comparable Companies Table

Private Wealth Management3

Tax Aware Portfolio DecisionsBuilding a Client Risk ProfileGoal Based Planning Arithmetic

Debt Capital Markets3

Analysing an Issuer's CreditDuration and What It Does Not Tell YouBond Pricing and Yield Mechanics

Private Equity Analyst2

Fund Waterfalls and CarryThe LBO in Structure

Hedge Funds Analyst2

Short Selling MechanicsLong Short Mechanics
Courses
Explore Career Roadmaps
Investment Banking AnalystEquity Research AnalystVC AnalystPrivate Equity AnalystHedge Funds Analyst
Quant AnalystAI For FinanceFinancial Analyst ProgramPrivate Wealth ManagementDebt Capital Markets
Risk Management ProgramDerivatives FoundationPortfolio ManagementMutual Fund Mastery
PartnershipsShowdown
Log inSign up
Wealth, Advice & Personal Finance
1Money Basics and Banking
Household Financial DocumentsHousehold ExpensesHousehold IncomeBank AccountsDigital Payments in IndiaFinancial GoalsThe Household Financial ReviewThe Household Balance SheetHow to Build a…Your Banking CredentialsOverdraftGoal HorizonGoal PlanningHousehold Cash FlowMonthly BudgetBudget vs Cash Flow
2Credit and Debt
DebtLoansLoan and EMIHow to Read a…InterestCompound InterestCredit CardsCredit Card vs Personal LoanBuy Now Pay LaterYour Credit RecordDebt ConsolidationCredit ScoreHow to Read a…The Debt TrapDebt PayoffDebt-to-Income RatioHow to Build a…
3Household Resilience
Financial ResilienceFinancial ShocksEmergency FundHousehold Net WorthHow to Prepare for…
4Insurance and Protection
Term InsuranceTerm Cover NeedInsurance Fact vs Insurance AdviceEmergency Fund vs InsuranceReading an Insurance Policy DocumentTerm Insurance vs Endowment PolicyThe Proposal FormInsurance ClaimsHealth InsuranceHow to Prepare an…Protection PlanningHow to build a…Policyholder and NomineeDeductible and Co-PaymentULIPTerm Insurance vs ULIP
5Investing Literacy
Equity for a First-Time InvestorGold in an Indian HouseholdSpeculationThe Return PromiseSIP Future ValueSavings vs InvestingRisk vs VolatilityHow Risk and Return…How Diversification Reduces Single-Exposure…
6Retirement
RetirementRetirement ProjectionHow to build a…EPFHow to Read an…PensionPension vs AnnuityGratuityInflation Risk on a Long GoalNPSHow to Read an…PPFEPF vs PPF vs NPSHow to Read a…Longevity Risk and the Withdrawal Rate
7Advice Process
Education and AdviceHow to create an…The Investor CharterFinancial AdviserFinancial IntermediariesFinancial PlanningHow to Check Whether…The Registered Investment AdviserAdviser vs Distributor vs…
8Rights and Recovery
Unfair PracticeSCORESThe OmbudsmanConsumer RedressalEscalating a Financial ComplaintHow to use SCORES…How to Escalate a…Mis-SellingMis-Selling vs Market Loss
9Fraud Awareness
Financial FraudHow to Respond to…How to Prepare a…Ponzi SchemesPonzi Scheme vs Regulated InvestmentHow to Recognise a…Financial InfluencersSocial EngineeringReturn and Performance ClaimsFinancial Red Flags

Pension: The Forms It Takes in India, and How Each Pays

A pension is an income paid after work stops. In India it takes several forms: an employer's own arrangement, a government scheme for its own employees, a contributory scheme where the money accumulates in an account, and an income bought from an insurer. The four differ in who funds them, who carries the risk, and whether the amount is promised or produced.

Underneath those forms sits one distinction that decides everything else. In some arrangements somebody has undertaken to pay a stated amount; in others an amount will simply be produced by whatever the money grew into. Every other property of a pension follows from which of those two it is: who funds it, who is exposed when things go badly, and whether the figure rises as prices rise. One word covers both. A household can hold two completely different things and describe them with the same sentence. Rates, rules and tax treatments all change, so the authority for each is named instead.

What is a pension, underneath the word?

Strip the word back and it describes one thing only: money arriving after the work that used to bring money in has stopped. A pensionAn income paid after work stops, whatever the arrangement behind it happens to be called. is defined by its purpose and not by its machinery. A definition made of purpose stretches easily, so the word ends up across arrangements that behave nothing alike.

Think about the day the earning stops. Until then a household has a repeating inflow: a salary on a date, a counter that takes money six days a week, or work that pays when it pays. Spending does not stop on that day. Spending changes shape and continues, every month, for as long as the household lasts. So the day the inflow ends leaves a gap between what leaves and what arrives, and something has to stand in it.

Only four things can stand there, and everything that follows is a variation of it. Somebody has promised to pay. Or money was set aside over the years and is now being drawn down. Or a sum was handed to an institution in exchange for an income. Or nothing was arranged, and the household lives on what it holds and what it can still earn. A promise, an accumulation, a purchase and nothing at all are not four flavours of one thing but four structures, and they put risk in different places.

The word pension names the gap it fills and not the machinery that fills it, and that single fact is the source of almost every misunderstanding in this subject. Two neighbours can each say they have a pension and mean arrangements with nothing structural in common: one a promise from an employer that arrives whatever happens, the other a balance that still has to be turned into an income by means not yet decided. Both sentences are true. Only one describes a promise.

The word pension names a gap. Four different structures can stand in it. NO AMOUNT, RATE OR ELIGIBILITY RULE APPEARS ON THIS DIAGRAM. IT DESCRIBES STRUCTURE ONLY. WHILE THE WORK CONTINUES Money arrives because work is being done. THE DAY THE EARNING STOPS AFTER IT STOPS Spending continues. The reason for the money does not. THE ONLY FOUR THINGS THAT CAN STAND IN THAT GAP 1. A PROMISE Somebody has undertaken to pay a stated amount for as long as the person lives. AMOUNT: PROMISED 2. AN ACCUMULATION Money went in over years and is now drawn down until it runs out. AMOUNT: PRODUCED 3. A PURCHASE A sum is handed to an institution in exchange for an income. AMOUNT: STATED 4. NOTHING ARRANGED The household lives on what it holds and what it can still earn. AMOUNT: WHAT IS HELD All four get called a pension by somebody. Only two of them contain a promise.
The day earning stops leaves a gap between spending that continues and income that has ended, and only four structures can stand in that gap: a promise from somebody, an accumulation being drawn down, a sum handed over in exchange for an income, or nothing arranged at all.

Why does one word cover arrangements that behave nothing alike?

Because the word describes the purpose, and the purpose is genuinely shared. Every one of the four structures exists to put money in a household's hands after the earning stops. Language settles on the shared purpose because that is what people care about while they are talking, and the machinery only starts to matter when something goes wrong or when a decision has to be made.

Here is an everyday version. Two people say they have a place to stay in Nashik. One has a house registered in her name. The other has a cousin who has said she can come whenever she likes. Both sentences are true, and one of them depends on somebody else still meaning it in fifteen years. Nobody is lying. The word covered the purpose and hid the structure.

Sorting arrangements by their name tells a household almost nothing, and sorting them by who carries the risk tells it almost everything. Once the question stops being what an arrangement is called and becomes who has to find the money when things go badly, four confusing forms become two clear ones with a purchase sitting in between.

Try it out

Why does one word cover so many different arrangements?

Financial Literacy Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

What forms does a pension take in India, and how does each one pay?

Four shapes cover almost everything a reader in this country will meet, and it helps to meet them as shapes before names. Names change when rules change. The shapes do not.

The first shape is an arrangement where an employer, or a government acting as an employer, has undertaken to pay a stated income after service ends. The amount is worked out by a formula the arrangement sets, usually from length of service and what the person was paid towards the end. Nobody has an individual pot. There is a promise, and behind it either a fund maintained for the purpose or the promiser's future revenue.

The second shape is a contributory account. Money goes in every month, from the person and from an employer alongside where there is one, and it accumulates. At the end there is a balance, and the balance is whatever the contributions and the credits made it. Nobody has undertaken that it will reach any figure. A provident fund account on a payslip is of this second shape.

The third shape is a purchase. A lump sum, usually the balance from the second shape, is handed to an insurer, and the insurer undertakes to pay an income. The income is stated at the moment of purchase and does not change afterwards unless it was bought in a form that changes. Such a bought income is an annuityAn income bought from an insurer with a lump sum., compared with the other forms separately.

The fourth shape is no arrangement at all. Having no arrangement is neither an oversight nor rare. A person running a tailoring counter, a shop or a cart has no employer, and therefore no second contributor, no formula, no promise and nothing for a scheme to attach to. The fourth shape is the position of a very large part of the working population of this country, and it is a structure like the other three rather than a hole where a structure should be. In its place stands whatever the household has set aside and whatever it can still earn.

Four forms, four questions. The second column explains the other three. NO RATE, ELIGIBILITY RULE, FORMULA OR TAX TREATMENT APPEARS HERE. STRUCTURE ONLY. THE FORM WHO FUNDS IT THE AMOUNT WHO CARRIES RISK AS PRICES RISE 1. A PROMISED ARRANGEMENT An employer or the state The promiser, from a fund it maintains or from revenue PROMISED by a formula THE PROMISER all three risks Rises only where the arrangement is written to rise 2. A CONTRIBUTORY ACCOUNT Money accumulates in it The person, and an employer alongside where there is one PRODUCED by the balance THE HOUSEHOLD all three risks Nothing about it rises by itself 3. A PURCHASED INCOME Bought from an insurer The household, out of the balance it accumulated itself STATED at purchase SPLIT length of life moves to the insurer Flat unless bought in a rising form 4. NO ARRANGEMENT OF ANY KIND The ordinary position Nobody. The funding sits with the household too PRODUCED by what is held THE HOUSEHOLD and the funding as well Rises only if what is held rises
Read the grid down the third column first: two of the four arrangements state an amount and two produce one, and that single column predicts who funds it, who is exposed, and whether anything rises as prices rise.
India

Which arrangements will a reader in India actually meet, and who governs each?

The four shapes are structure and hold anywhere. The names below are the ones a reader in this country actually meets. Rates, contribution levels, wage ceilings, eligibility rules, service conditions, lock-ins, exit rules and tax treatments are set by scheme rules or by statute, and every one of them changes. Every one of them therefore has to be read at the authority that sets it, on the day it matters.

Provident fund arrangements for employees, including the accumulating account most salaried readers recognise from a payslip deduction, are administered by the Employees' Provident Fund Organisation at epfindia.gov.in. Within those arrangements there is also a pension component sitting alongside the account, and whether it applies to any particular member, on what conditions and with what result, is entirely a matter of the scheme rules. The current position is at epfindia.gov.in, and nothing said in a canteen is a substitute for it.

The National Pension System is a contributory arrangement in structure, where money accumulates in an individual account, and it is regulated by the Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority at pfrda.org.in. How an account is opened, funded, invested, exited and taxed is set out under the National Pension System itself. The Public Provident Fund and the other small savings arrangements sit with the Ministry of Finance, with the Reserve Bank of India at rbi.org.in publishing material relevant to them; they are savings arrangements rather than pensions in structure.

An income bought from an insurer is issued by insurers regulated by the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India at irdai.gov.in. Gratuity comes up in the same conversation and is a one-time amount rather than an income, so it is not a pension in structure at all. Where an arrangement touches tax, and most do, the position sits with the Central Board of Direct Taxes at incometaxindia.gov.in.

Arrangements of the older promised kind have historically existed for government employees, and which one applies to whom, from what date and on what terms is set by rules that have changed more than once. The current position is read at the authority named for that arrangement, on the day it is needed, and the date of that reading is worth writing down.

Portfolio Management Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

Who actually funds each arrangement?

Follow the money backwards. Every rupee reaching a household after work stops came from one of three places: an employer, the state, or the household itself. Naming the funderWhoever actually puts the money in, as distinct from whoever pays it out at the end. is the fastest way to see what kind of arrangement a household is standing in.

In a promised arrangement the promiser funds it, either by setting money aside year by year into a fund kept for the purpose, or by paying out of whatever revenue it has in the year the payment falls due. The second kind is described as unfundedA promise paid out of current revenue rather than out of a pot of money accumulated in advance for the purpose., and the word matters. An unfunded promise depends on the promiser still having revenue decades from now. Either way the household did not fund it, and not funding it is the defining feature of the first form.

In a contributory account the household funds it, and where there is an employer, that employer funds part of it alongside. Nothing arrives that somebody did not put in, and there is no promise being funded from elsewhere. A produced arrangement is funded entirely by the people contributing to it, so nobody outside it has any reason to carry risk on its behalf.

In a purchased income the household funds it completely and then hands the money over. The purchase confuses people. At the end an insurer is paying, and it feels as though the insurer is funding it. The insurer is not funding it. The insurer sold the conversion of that money into an income, not the money itself.

Where nothing is arranged, the household funds everything and there is nobody else in the picture. Ashok Bhosale, who runs a tailoring counter in this invented household, has no employer, so there is no second contributor and nothing for a scheme to attach to. The absence is not an omission on his part. It is what self-employment structurally is, for a very large share of the people working in this country.

Try it out

Who funds a produced arrangement?

What does promised against produced actually mean?

The distinction everything else turns on is worth stating plainly. In a promised arrangementOne where somebody has undertaken to pay a stated amount, so a figure exists before the money does. somebody has undertaken to pay an amount, and that amount can be written down before anybody knows what the money will do. In a produced arrangementOne where the amount is simply whatever the accumulation turns out to be, so no figure exists until the end. nobody has undertaken anything, and the amount is whatever the accumulation turns out to be when the day arrives.

Notice what that does to the order of events. Under a promise the figure comes first and the funding is arranged to meet it. Under a produced arrangement the funding comes first and the figure arrives last. A promise fixes the outcome and leaves the funding to be solved, and an accumulation fixes the funding and leaves the outcome to be discovered.

Here is the everyday version. A contractor quotes Rs 4,00,000/- to build two rooms. The quote is a promise: the price is fixed and every problem on site is his to solve. The alternative is buying the cement, the steel and the labour directly, week by week, as money comes in. Buying materials week by week is production: the spending is fixed by what the household can afford, and the number of rooms is whatever the material bought. Nobody confuses those two on a building site, and people confuse them constantly when the subject is money after sixty.

One more thing follows immediately. A promise can be stated as a number today for a date thirty years away. An accumulation cannot, and any figure attached to one is somebody's arithmetic on somebody's assumption rather than a commitment. None of that criticises accumulations, the ordinary arrangement for most people. Such a number is worth exactly as much as the assumption underneath it and no more.

Try it out

Which difference decides all the others?

Investment Banking Analyst Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

Who carries the risk when an amount has been promised?

Three things can go wrong between now and the last payment of somebody's life, and only three. Markets can do badly, so the money set aside grows less than hoped. The person can live a long time, so payments run on far longer than anybody planned for. And prices can rise, so each payment buys less than when the amount was set.

In a promised arrangement all three belong to the promiser, completely. If markets disappoint, the promise does not shrink and the promiser finds the difference. If the person lives to ninety four, the promise does not stop at eighty. Outliving the money is longevity riskThe risk of living longer than the money set aside was expected to last., and it is the one people notice last and feel most.

The third one, prices rising, depends on the wording. Where the arrangement is written to rise, either by a stated formula or by a linked allowance, indexationAn amount written to rise over time, which some arrangements carry and others simply do not. is part of the promise and the price risk sits with the promiser as well. Where the arrangement states a flat amount for life, the promise was only ever a promise of that figure, and what happens to what the figure buys is the household's problem entirely. An arrangement that rises and an arrangement that does not are two different promises, however similar the paperwork looks on the day it is signed.

So the promised form, at its strongest, takes all three risks away from the household. Arrangements of this kind are increasingly rare for exactly that reason: somebody has to carry all three for decades, and carrying them is not free.

Value at Risk and What It Hides — free micro-course from Fin Maverick

And who carries the risk when the amount is only produced?

All three sit with the household. Not most of them, and not the important ones. All three.

If markets do badly across the accumulating years, the balance is smaller and nobody makes it up. If the person lives a long time, the balance runs out and nobody has undertaken to keep paying. If prices rise, nothing in the arrangement rises to meet it. There is no promiser in a produced arrangement, so there is nobody for any of these to be handed to.

Carrying all three is not a fault in produced arrangements but a description of them. A contributory account is a very good machine for accumulating money steadily out of a payslip, and it does that job without pretending to do the other one. The arrangement is honest about itself, so the failure is never in the arrangement. The failure is in reading it as though somebody were standing behind it.

The same three risks, placed twice. A promise moves all of them. An accumulation moves none. STRUCTURE ONLY. NO AMOUNT, RATE OR SCHEME RULE APPEARS ON THIS DIAGRAM. THE RISK A PROMISED ARRANGEMENT A PRODUCED ARRANGEMENT 1. MARKETS DO BADLY The money grows less than hoped SITS WITH THE PROMISER The promise does not shrink SITS WITH THE HOUSEHOLD The balance is simply smaller 2. LIVING A LONG TIME Payments run on for longer SITS WITH THE PROMISER It keeps paying regardless SITS WITH THE HOUSEHOLD The balance simply runs out 3. PRICES RISING Each payment buys less SITS WITH THE PROMISER only where it is written to rise SITS WITH THE HOUSEHOLD Nothing in it rises by itself WITH THE HOUSEHOLD NONE OF THE THREE ALL THREE OF THEM
Markets doing badly, living a long time and prices rising are the only three things that can go wrong, and a promise moves all three away from the household while an accumulation leaves every one of them exactly where it started.
Try it out

A household has a provident fund and calls it its pension. Which three risks is it actually carrying?

Value at Risk and What It Hides teaches you to compute value at risk three ways, interpret the figure, and say precisely what it refuses to describe.

What do all four forms look like with the risks placed in them at once?

The table places all four forms and the three risks at once. The control under it moves the three markers from one side to the other.

The formWho puts the money inMarkets do badlyLiving a long timePrices rising
1. A promised arrangementThe promiser, from a fund it maintains or from its own revenueThe promiserThe promiserThe promiser, where the promise is written to rise
2. A contributory account, the produced formThe person, and an employer alongside where there is oneThe householdThe householdThe household
3. A purchased incomeThe household, out of the balance it accumulated itselfThe insurer, once the income has been boughtThe insurerThe household, unless bought in a form that rises
4. No arrangement of any kindNobody. The funding sits with the household as wellThe householdThe householdThe household
Play with it

Where do the three risks sit, form by form?

One thing changes: which of the four forms is selected. Three markers move between the household and the other party, and the funder is named live. The control places the three risks and nothing more.

Form 2 of 4: a contributory account
Who puts the money in
The person, and an employer alongside where there is one
The amount is
Produced
Risks with the household
All three of them
A contributory account is funded by the person and by an employer alongside where there is one, and nobody has undertaken to pay any amount, so all three risks sit with the household: markets doing badly, living a long time, and prices rising.
Educational illustration. The control sorts arrangements by structure, and structure is the only thing it sorts by.

What do rising prices do to each of these arrangements?

Nothing happens on any particular day. Rising prices are therefore the quietest of the three risks and do the most damage over a long stretch. A promised amount written flat pays exactly what it promised, every month, for thirty years, and keeps its word while becoming something entirely different.

Take this invented household's own estimate to see the size of it. The Bhosale household reckons it would need about Rs 30,000/- a month in today's money once the earning stops. The school terms will have ended and the two-wheeler loan will be gone, so that is less than the Rs 42,770/- leaving in an ordinary month now, and health spending rises, so it is more in places. The Rs 30,000/- is the household's own estimate rather than a rule.

Now suppose an arrangement paid exactly Rs 30,000/- a month, flat, for twenty years. On an assumed 4 per cent a year of price rises, the last of those payments buys what Rs 13,692/- buys today. On an assumed 6 per cent, Rs 9,354/-. On an assumed 8 per cent, Rs 6,436/-. All three rates are assumptions chosen to show a range rather than readings of any published series, and none of them is typical or expected. The official price series is published by the Reserve Bank of India at rbi.org.in.

A flat Rs 30,000/- a month, and what it buys, on three assumed rates of price rises. ALL THREE RATES ARE ASSUMPTIONS CHOSEN TO SHOW A RANGE. NONE IS TYPICAL, EXPECTED OR OFFICIAL. 30,000 15,000 0 year 0 year 10 year 20 WHAT THE ARRANGEMENT PAYS: Rs 30,000/- A MONTH, UNCHANGED THE THREE ASSUMED RATES 4 per cent assumed 6 per cent assumed 8 per cent assumed Rs 13,692/- Rs 9,354/- Rs 6,436/- Rs 30,000/- The arrangement kept its word exactly, and became a different arrangement anyway.
A payment of Rs 30,000/- a month held flat for twenty years buys what Rs 13,692/-, Rs 9,354/- or Rs 6,436/- buys today, depending only on which assumed rate of price rises is applied, and the arrangement itself never changed at all.

Look at the spread between the three end points before anything else. The arrangement is identical in all three cases and so is the promise. The only thing that differs is an assumption about prices, and it more than doubles the answer. Over twenty years the assumption about prices does more to the outcome than most of the decisions a household will agonise over.

Why is an amount that never rises a different arrangement after twenty years?

Because the household is not spending rupees. A household spends groceries, electricity, bus fares, doctor visits and rent. A rupee figure is a stand-in, and the stand-in slips. So an arrangement described once as covering a household's needs becomes, with no event at all, one covering half of them.

Notice what did not happen in that sentence. Nobody defaulted. No institution failed. No rule changed and nobody was misled at signing. The paperwork was honoured to the rupee for twenty years, and the thing the household needed, a month of living covered, was quietly not delivered by year fifteen.

An arrangement that rises with prices and one that does not are two different things wearing the same word, and the difference takes decades to show and cannot be repaired once it has. So the most useful thing to check about any arrangement is not what it pays, but whether what it pays is written to move.

The check itself is small. Ask whether the amount is a fixed figure or whether the arrangement says it rises, and if it rises, ask what it rises with and who decides that. Both are answerable from a document, before anything is signed. Both are also the least likely to come up in the conversation. The figure in front of a household is always the figure for the first year.

Try it out

An arrangement pays a fixed monthly amount that never rises. What happens over twenty years?

What happens to a promised arrangement if the promiser cannot pay?

A promise is only ever as good as the party standing behind it, which is where the promised form gives something back with one hand. Three risks moved away from the household, and a fourth appeared in their place that the produced arrangement does not have at all: the ability of the promiser to pay, decades from now.

The risk of a promiser failing has a shape worth knowing. Where the promiser has been setting money aside year by year into a pot kept for the purpose, the promise is backed by assets that exist and can be counted. Where the promise is unfunded, it depends on the promiser still earning and still being obliged in the year each payment falls due. Governments and very large employers can carry unfunded promises for a long time because their revenue is long lived. Smaller promisers cannot.

A produced arrangement has no promiser, so it cannot be let down by one; a promised arrangement has three fewer risks and one the other does not carry at all. The swap is a trade rather than a free gain, and seeing it as a trade stops the word promise settling everything.

There is a second, less dramatic version of the same thing, and it happens far more often than a failure. Promises get changed. Rules deciding who is covered, on what service and with what formula have been rewritten in many countries including this one, and a person can be inside an arrangement for twenty years and find that the one applying to them is not the one they joined. Rewriting is a property of promises written by parties who can rewrite them.

A promise moves three risks away and puts a fourth one in their place. HAS SOMEBODY UNDERTAKEN TO PAY A STATED AMOUNT? YES NO THREE RISKS MOVED AWAY FROM THE HOUSEHOLD Markets, living a long time and prices rising all sit with whoever made the promise. THERE IS NO PROMISER TO BE LET DOWN BY The amount is whatever the accumulation produces, and the three risks never left the household. A FOURTH RISK APPEARS: CAN THE PROMISER PAY? BACKED BY A POT Money set aside year by year, and countable. UNFUNDED Paid from revenue in the year it falls due. WHAT THIS SIDE DOES NOT CARRY No promiser means no risk of a promiser failing, and no risk of a promise being rewritten later. The trade is real in both directions, which is why neither side of this diagram is the better one.
A promise hands three risks to whoever made it and creates a fourth that an accumulation never has, which is why the two forms are a trade rather than one being simply better than the other.
Try it out

A promised arrangement depends on the promiser. What does that add?

Where does the Bhosale household actually stand among these forms?

A map nobody stands on teaches very little, so put the Bhosale household against this one. Meghna Bhosale is 36 at 31 March of year two and would reach 60 in 24 years. She works at Sahyadri Freight Services Private Limited, an invented freight company, and her payslip shows a provident fund deduction of Rs 3,120/- a month. Her statement shows an employer amount of Rs 3,120/- alongside it, so Rs 6,240/- a month is going in, or Rs 74,880/- a year. The balance at 31 March of year two is Rs 4,12,000/-, built over eleven years of service.

Place her. Form two: money goes in, it accumulates, nobody has undertaken that it will reach any figure, and the amount at the end is whatever the balance produces. So all three risks sit with the Bhosale household, and there is no promise anywhere in it.

Ashok Bhosale runs a tailoring counter. There is no employer, so there is no second contributor, no formula, no service record and no promise. Ashok stands in form four. Every risk sits with the household, and so does all of the funding.

The two absences are as informative as what is there. The Bhosale household has no National Pension System account and has bought no income from an insurer. So between two working adults there is exactly one arrangement, it is a produced one, and there is no promise from anybody. On the papers this invented household actually holds there is one produced arrangement and not a single promised amount, and that is the ordinary position outside government employment.

One more thing matters more than it looks. The Rs 4,12,000/- did not appear on the household's balance sheet, and its absence was not an oversight. The sheet recorded what the household could reach, and a provident fund balance is not reachable the way a bank balance is. The balance sits on a different sheet because it answers a different question, and both sheets are correct.

Two working adults, placed on the map. Both of them sit along the bottom edge. EVERY FIGURE AND ENTITY HERE IS INVENTED AND ILLUSTRATIVE. PROMISED PRODUCED NOTHING THIS HOUSEHOLD HOLDS SITS ABOVE THIS LINE The household funds all of it Somebody else funds it A purchased income, which this household has not bought. A promised arrangement, which nobody here has. ASHOK BHOSALE No arrangement of any kind. A counter has no employer. MEGHNA BHOSALE A contributory account. Rs 6,240/- a month goes in. One produced arrangement, no promise from anybody, and the whole top half empty.
Meghna Bhosale holds a contributory account with Rs 6,240/- a month going into it and Ashok Bhosale holds no arrangement at all, so both of them sit on the produced edge of the map and the promised half of it is empty.
Try it out

How many promised arrangements does this household have between two working adults?

Goal Based Planning Arithmetic — free micro-course from Fin Maverick

What does a household with no pension of any kind actually have?

The honest answer sounds like nothing and the polite answer sounds like consolation, so the subject usually refuses to answer this question at all. The true answer is neither. A household with no arrangement of any kind has two real things: whatever it has set aside, and its own arithmetic. Both can be counted and written down, and neither depends on anybody keeping a promise.

Start with the counting. Counting is quick, and it is the part people skip. For this invented household the two balances set aside for the long run are Rs 4,12,000/- in the provident fund and Rs 84,000/- in the public provident fund, or Rs 4,96,000/- between them. Rs 6,240/- a month is still going in. Meghna Bhosale reaches 60 in 24 years. The household's own estimate of what it would need is Rs 30,000/- a month in today's money, or Rs 3,60,000/- a year.

The balance set beside the estimate gives a reading rather than a verdict: Rs 4,96,000/- is 16.5 months of Rs 30,000/-. The 16.5 is a plain division of today's balance by today's monthly estimate. The division is not a projection, it ignores the 24 years of contributions still to come, and it says nothing about what anything will be worth later. A reading is a description of a position on a date, and its whole value is that it is checkable, repeatable and owed to nobody.

The arithmetic then gives a household what a scheme does not. The arithmetic is portable: it works the same whether somebody has an employer, a counter, or three kinds of work in a year. The arithmetic updates: run it again in March and it gives a new reading. And it costs nothing and needs nobody's permission.

None of this is a substitute for an arrangement. A counted position exists whether or not an arrangement is ever added, and a household beginning from a counted position begins from a better place than one beginning from a feeling. Not holding a pension is a position rather than an absence, and the first useful act is to write the position down.

What a household without a promise actually holds: a balance and its own arithmetic. EVERY FIGURE IS INVENTED AND ILLUSTRATIVE. THIS IS A READING, NOT A PROJECTION. SET ASIDE FOR THE LONG RUN, AT 31 MARCH OF YEAR TWO AMOUNT In the provident fund account Rs 4,12,000/- In the public provident fund Rs 84,000/- Counted together Rs 4,96,000/- Still going in each month Rs 6,240/- Years until Meghna reaches 60 24 The estimate, in today's money Rs 30,000/- a month Rs 4,96,000/- divided by Rs 30,000/- is 16.5 months of the estimate. A reading of a position on a date. Not a projection, and not a verdict on anybody.
Counting what is set aside gives this invented household Rs 4,96,000/-, which is 16.5 months of its own Rs 30,000/- a month estimate, and that division is a reading of a position on a date rather than a projection of anything.
Try it out

What does a household with no pension of any kind actually have?

Goal Based Planning Arithmetic teaches you to turn a goal and a horizon into a required contribution, and to state the assumptions the number rests on.

How does anybody actually use this sorting in practice?

Three people use it, and none the way a textbook would suggest.

The household uses it on its own statement, once a year, and the exercise takes fifteen minutes. The paper or the screen for each arrangement anybody in the household has is found, and for each one three questions are asked: does anybody state an amount, or is there only a balance; who is putting money in besides the household; and does anything in it say it rises. The answers go into a notebook with the date. The three questions are the whole method. The method needs no adviser and no product, and it produces a written description of what a household holds rather than a word for it.

Somebody assessing a household across a desk uses the same sorting for a different purpose. A person weighing a long dated commitment against a household's future income is not indifferent between an amount somebody has undertaken to pay and a balance that still has to be turned into an income. The two are treated differently because they are different, not because one household is better than another. How any such assessment is made is set by each institution, and none of it is stated here.

The third use belongs to somebody selling an arrangement, who uses the vocabulary either carefully or loosely. When anybody describes an arrangement to a household, the useful question is never how much, and always: is that an amount somebody has undertaken to pay, and does it rise. Two questions, both answerable from a document. A person describing a produced arrangement in the language of a promised one is usually not lying; they are using the word everybody uses. The document still says which it is.

Richard Thaler and the behavioural economists who followed him documented that people discount distant outcomes far more steeply than near ones. Steep discounting explains almost everything about why a goal twenty four years away is the last one any household costs, and why a check that takes an afternoon never gets done. A method that takes an afternoon competes with an afternoon, and loses.

The error that gets made, and what it costs

The error is small and almost invisible: hearing the word pension and taking it to mean somebody has promised something. For a shrinking number of people that is exactly what it means. For most it is not, and what they hold produces whatever it produces.

A household that says it has a pension and means it has a provident fund has not misused a word. English gave it that word for both things. But it has, without noticing, described somebody else as carrying three risks that are in fact sitting with it: markets doing badly, living a long time, and prices rising, all three assigned to a party who never agreed and is not there.

The cost is not paid on the day of the error. The cost is paid twenty years later. The word had already answered the question, so the arithmetic that should have been done at 36 was never done. A vocabulary failure turns into an arithmetic failure, and the arithmetic failure only becomes visible when it is far too late to redo it.

The word is genuinely ambiguous, nobody is taught the distinction anywhere they would ordinarily meet it, and a household hearing it from a colleague has no reason to doubt it. Being shown the distinction once is the whole cure, and it takes about a minute.

The artefact: one word on a household sheet, and what it silently assigned. THE HOUSEHOLD SHEET, AS WRITTEN Emergency money being built Term cover in place Pension yes Retirement covered Nothing on this sheet is wrong. WHAT THAT ONE WORD ACTUALLY ASSIGNED Markets doing badly STILL HERE Living a long time STILL HERE Prices rising STILL HERE Assumed to sit with somebody else: ALL THREE Actually sitting with the household: ALL THREE The word was not misused. Three risks were misplaced.
A household sheet reading pension, yes is not wrong about anything, and it has still quietly assigned markets, length of life and prices rising to a party who never agreed to carry any of them.
The National Pension System is treated separately, as is an income bought from an insurer. Eligibility rules, contribution rates, wage ceilings, service conditions, formulas, lock-ins, exit rules and tax treatments all change, and the authority for each is named above. Which arrangement suits a particular household is not a structural question and does not follow from the sorting above. The cost of retirement, and the cost of delay, are covered separately.
Private Wealth Management Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

References

SourceDocumentWhere
Employees' Provident Fund OrganisationMaterial on provident fund arrangements for employees, including the accumulating account and the pension component alongside it, and the rates, ceilings, service conditions, eligibility rules and withdrawal conditions that apply to themepfindia.gov.in
Pension Fund Regulatory and Development AuthorityMaterial on the National Pension System, the contributory arrangement it regulates, including how an account is opened, funded, invested, exited and taxedpfrda.org.in
Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of IndiaThe authority regulating insurers who issue an income bought with a lump sumirdai.gov.in
Reserve Bank of IndiaThe official price series, against which the assumed rates of price rises used above can be checked. Also relevant to the small savings arrangementsrbi.org.in
Central Board of Direct TaxesThe tax position of each arrangement, differing between arrangements and changing over timeincometaxindia.gov.in

The Bhosale household, Meghna Bhosale, Ashok Bhosale, Ira Bhosale and Sahyadri Freight Services Private Limited are invented.
Educational material. Not advice on any investment, tax, budget or market position.

← PreviousNext →
Fin Maverick Micro CoursesExplore Micro Courses
Fin Maverick BootcampsExplore Bootcamps
Fin Maverick

Finance education that ends in a job, not a certificate that gathers dust. Built for young India.

LEARN
CalculatorsFrameworksComparisonsCareersShowdown
RESOURCES
All CoursesMicro CoursesBootcampsInternships
COMPANY
AboutJob openingPartnership
LEGAL
Privacy PolicyTerms & ConditionsContent LicenseReturn & Refund Policy
© 2026 FIN MAVERICK / BUILT FOR INDIA.DO FINANCE, DO NOT JUST READ ABOUT IT.