The Business Model: How a Company Turns Activity Into Profit
Two things sit underneath everything below. The first is that a firm has a boundary: some work happens inside it and some happens outside, and the participants on the far side of that boundary have already been drawn. The second is the set of statements a company files. A business model shows its consequences in those statements. How to read a statement is covered separately. Finding revenue and finding a margin is enough.
What Is a Business Model, and What Is It Not?
Four questions give the model. What does this firm sell? Who pays for it? On what terms does the money change hands? And what must be spent to keep the selling going? Answered in plain sentences, the four together predict, before a single ratio is opened, roughly what the accounts will look like. A business model is not a strategy and not a mission: it is a description of how cash moves, and it can be written for a firm that has no strategy at all.
The difference between a model and a strategy is worth sitting with. The two words get used as though they were the same thing. A strategy is a choice about where to compete and what to do differently. A mission is a statement about why the place exists. Neither is required for cash to move. A tea stall outside a bus depot has no strategy anybody has written down, and its model is completely legible: it sells hot tea, to commuters, for coins handed over at the moment of service, and it must spend on milk, sugar, leaves, gas and a boy who arrives at five in the morning. Four sentences, and what its accounts do is settled.
Anjani Stationers Private Limited, an invented manufacturer, answers the four questions like this. The firm sells notebooks and stationery it manufactures. It sells them to schools and to a few dozen other business buyers. Business buyers pay on credit termsThe agreed number of days a buyer may wait after receiving goods before paying for them. Thirty, sixty and ninety days are common in trade between businesses. rather than at the counter, so it bills them and waits. And it must spend on paper and board, on the people who run the works, and on machinery that wears out. Setu Bazaar, an invented marketplace, answers the same four questions and gets four different answers. The platform sells access to a marketplace where sellers meet buyers. Both sides pay it, but it charges by keeping a slice of every transaction rather than by sending a bill. The money reaches it at the instant a transaction settles. And it must spend on the technology, the support desk and the marketing that keep both sides showing up, almost all of which costs the same whether one transaction happens that day or a hundred thousand do.
Which set of four questions actually defines a business model?
A workshop has never written down a strategy of any kind. Can it still have a business model?
How a Business Creates Value: Who Gets the Difference?
Value is created whenever something is worth more to the buyer than it cost to provide. The definition stops there, and everything else is about who ends up holding the difference. If a notebook costs Rs 33/- of paper and board to make, and a school would rather part with Rs 70/- than have no notebooks at all, then Rs 37/- of value has been created by the act of making it and handing it over. The price decides how that Rs 37/- gets divided. Charge Rs 60/- and the maker keeps Rs 27/- while the school keeps Rs 10/-. Charge Rs 40/- and the maker keeps Rs 7/- while the school keeps Rs 30/-. The value created did not change. Only the split did.
Creating value and capturing it are two separate events, and a firm can create an enormous amount of value and keep almost none of it. This is not a rare pathology; it is the ordinary condition of a great many useful businesses. A road that halves everybody's travel time creates value for every person on it, and if the toll is a rupee it keeps almost none. Usefulness does not decide the kept share. Where the kept share actually sits, and how it is measured across a whole field, is worked through in The Profit Pool: Where the Money in an Industry Actually Sits.
Anjani Stationers Private Limited supplies one published delivery to look at: 4,000 notebooks invoiced at Rs 2,40,000, or Rs 60/- a notebook. Its cost of materials consumed for the year was Rs 1,48,50,000 against revenue of Rs 2,70,00,000, or 55.00 per cent. Applying the year's average materials ratio to that one delivery puts about Rs 33/- of paper and board inside each notebook. The firm therefore captures Rs 27/- a notebook before anything else is paid for. The top of the picture is the part no statement anywhere records: how much the school would have paid rather than go without. The number exists, every buyer carries one, and no accounting system has ever collected it.
A firm creates a large amount of value for its customers. What follows about how much of it the firm keeps?
How Business Models Shape Revenue, Costs and Cash Flow: Where Does Each One Land?
Now take the four answers and push them through the statements. Revenue first. Anjani Stationers Private Limited reported revenue of Rs 2,70,00,000 for year two, and that revenue arrives in lumps: a school orders for a session, a delivery goes out, an invoice is raised. Setu Bazaar reported revenue of Rs 20,00,00,000, and it arrives as fifty thousand buyers each generating about Rs 4,000 across a year of small takes. Setu Bazaar keeps that Rs 20,00,00,000 out of a far larger quantity of goods moving across it, Rs 5,00,00,00,000 of gross merchandise valueThe total worth of everything sold across a marketplace in a period. The total passes through the platform rather than belonging to it, so it is not the platform's revenue., and the difference between those two numbers is worked through on Take Rate: What a Platform Keeps of What Passes Through. Same word on the statement, completely different texture underneath it.
Costs next. Anjani Stationers' largest line by a distance is cost of materials consumed at Rs 1,48,50,000, and it is a variable costA cost that rises and falls roughly in step with how much is produced or sold. Buy fewer notebooks' worth of paper, spend less on paper.: fewer notebooks made means less paper bought. Everything else it spends is a fixed costA cost that stays put over the period whether output rises or falls. Rent, salaries and the wearing out of machinery are the usual examples. for the year, and it comes to Rs 80,00,000, being employee cost of Rs 42,00,000, other operating expenses of Rs 26,00,000 and depreciation and amortisationThe portion of an asset bought in an earlier year that this year is treated as having used up. No money leaves the bank for it in the current period. of Rs 12,00,000. Setu Bazaar is built the other way round. Rs 10,00,00,000 of what it spends moves with transaction volume, and Rs 12,50,00,000 does not move at all. The model has to be described before any figure taken from it is compared with anything. The same profit can sit on completely different cash timing, and the same revenue can sit on completely different cost shapes.
| The model, line by line | Anjani Stationers | Setu Bazaar |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue for the year | Rs 2,70,00,000 | Rs 20,00,00,000 |
| The line that moves with volume | Rs 1,48,50,000 | Rs 10,00,00,000 |
| What is left after it | Rs 1,21,50,000 | Rs 10,00,00,000 |
| That share of revenue | 45.00 per cent | 50.00 per cent |
| The load that does not move | Rs 80,00,000 | Rs 12,50,00,000 |
| That share of revenue | 29.63 per cent | 62.50 per cent |
| Operating result | Rs 41,50,000 | a loss of Rs 2,50,00,000 |
| Operating margin | 15.37 per cent | minus 12.50 per cent |
| Still owed at the year end | Rs 95,00,000 | nil |
| Days from sale to cash | 128.4 days | same day |
The two share-of-revenue rows carry the whole story. Look at them together. Setu Bazaar keeps a larger fraction of each rupee of revenue after the moving cost, its contribution marginThe share of a rupee of revenue that survives the costs which move with volume, and is therefore left over to pay for everything that does not move., 50.00 per cent against 45.00 per cent. The platform still loses money: the load that does not move eats 62.50 per cent of its revenue against 29.63 per cent for the manufacturer. Subtracting the second row from the first gives each firm's operating margin exactly: 45.00 less 29.63 is 15.37, and 50.00 less 62.50 is minus 12.50. The subtraction is the one the statement already performs, rearranged, so it cannot disagree and is not a check on anything. The rearrangement shows which of the two terms moves when volume moves, and the answer is only ever the second one.
Then cash. Anjani Stationers billed Rs 2,70,00,000 and was still owed Rs 95,00,000 on the last day of the year. The balance is 35.19 per cent of the year's revenue and 128.4 days of sales. Every rupee of its profit is a rupee it has earned and, on average, will collect roughly four months later. Setu Bazaar's take is deducted from money already passing through the marketplace, so the revenue and the cash are the same event: nothing is owed and nothing is waiting. Two firms, one of them profitable and one of them not, and the cash question splits them along a completely different line from the profit question.
Where the lines on the statement come from
In India, the lines a company must show for revenue and for each class of cost are set by Schedule III to the Companies Act 2013, and when a sale counts as revenue at all is governed by Ind AS 115. The current wording of both is published at mca.gov.in and icai.org.
Two firms report the same revenue for the year. Which of these can still differ completely between them?
Why Does the Same Fall in Volume Change the Two Models Differently?
Here is the test that separates the two models more sharply than anything else. Hold prices where they are, hold the fixed load where it is, and take 20.00 per cent of the volume away from both firms. Anjani Stationers Private Limited then bills Rs 2,16,00,000 and buys Rs 1,18,80,000 of paper, so Rs 97,20,000 is left against a fixed load that has not moved at all at Rs 80,00,000. Operating profit lands at Rs 17,20,000 and the margin at 7.96 per cent, down from 15.37 per cent. Setu Bazaar takes Rs 16,00,00,000 and spends Rs 8,00,00,000 that moves, leaving Rs 8,00,00,000 against Rs 12,50,00,000 that does not. Its loss widens from Rs 2,50,00,000 to Rs 4,50,00,000 and its margin goes from minus 12.50 per cent to minus 28.13 per cent.
The cost shape decides what a change in volume does to the margin. No other feature of a model matters as much, and the two firms above lost 7.41 and 15.63 margin points from the identical shock. The reason is arithmetic rather than character. A cost that moves with volume shrinks when volume shrinks, so it defends the margin by getting out of the way. A cost that stays put has to be carried by fewer rupees of revenue, so it rises as a share of revenue exactly as fast as revenue falls. Anjani Stationers' fixed load went from 29.63 per cent of revenue to 37.04 per cent. Setu Bazaar's went from 62.50 per cent to 78.13 per cent. Neither firm did anything wrong; they simply have different amounts of weight that will not move. Put the same thing in terms of the volume each firm needs in order to break evenThe level of activity at which what a business earns exactly covers what it spends, so the operating result is neither a profit nor a loss.: Anjani Stationers Private Limited can lose 34.16 per cent of its volume before its operating profit reaches zero. Setu Bazaar has to gain 25.00 per cent to get there.
Two households on the same street meet the same event, a salary cut by a fifth. The first spends most of its money on food and travel and can genuinely spend less on both. The second has the same income but Rs 30,000 of it goes on rent and a school fee that will not change this year. Same shock, and one household absorbs it while the other cannot. Neither household is better managed. The difference is entirely in the shape of what they spend. The unit-level version of this, worked out one customer at a time, is covered under Unit Economics: Profitability at the Level of One Customer.
Volume falls 20.00 per cent at both firms and prices hold. Which model gives up fewer margin points, and why?
How to Research a Company's Business Model: In What Order Are the Questions Asked?
Five steps, in this order, and none of them requires a spreadsheet. The last step usually changes a reader's mind, and it is placed last rather than made optional for exactly that reason.
| Step | What is done | What it leaves behind |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Find what is sold. Read the revenue note and the description of operations, not the headline. | One sentence naming the thing that is actually charged for. |
| 2 | Find who pays. Count them if the disclosure allows it, and note whether the payers are firms or people. | A number, or an order of magnitude, and a type. |
| 3 | Find the terms. Is it billed and collected later, taken at the moment of the transaction, or paid before delivery? | The point in time at which money changes hands. |
| 4 | Find the largest cost line and decide whether it moves with volume. | The split between the moving line and the load that stays. |
| 5 | Check whether the cash timing matches the revenue timing. Set the receivable balance against revenue and turn it into days. | A number of days, and often a surprise. |
The five steps run on Anjani Stationers Private Limited take about ten minutes for the first four. The firm sells notebooks; it sells them to schools and business buyers; it bills them; and its largest cost line, at Rs 1,48,50,000 of Rs 2,28,50,000 spent, moves with volume. All comfortable. Step five is where the picture changes: Rs 95,00,000 owed against Rs 2,70,00,000 billed is 128.4 days. The firm is financing about four months of its own sales, and that is not a fault in the model, nor is it a scandal. The delay is a fact about the model that the first four steps could not have given, and it changes what the next question has to be about working capitalThe money tied up in running the business day to day: stock sitting in the store, bills customers have not yet paid, less the bills the business has not yet paid itself..
What is the last step of the five-step procedure, and why is it placed there?
What does an analyst actually do with this before opening a single ratio?
Writes the model down in four sentences. Not a paragraph, not an essay: four sentences, one for each of the four questions, and a fifth line carrying the number of days from sale to cash. Writing the model down takes about fifteen minutes, and it is done before a single ratio is computed. A ratio computed on a misunderstood model is a precise answer to the wrong question, and precision makes it more convincing rather than less. If it has gone unnoticed that a firm is paid four months after it sells, then every working capital figure computed from it will look like a puzzle instead of a consequence. If it has gone unnoticed that almost none of a firm's costs move with volume, then a fall in revenue will look like a margin collapse that somebody caused. Lenders do the same thing for a different reason. Before a facility is renewed, the question is not what the margin was; it is when the money arrives. A loan is repaid out of cash and not out of profit. And a household buying from a business does a rough version of it too, when it asks whether the deposit is refundable and when the balance falls due.
Move the volume, then move the cost shape, and watch which one does nothing
The slider moves volume for both firms at once, holding prices and holding the load that does not move. The first selector shifts rupees between the moving line and the fixed load without changing what either firm spends in total. Both published models open at unchanged volume: Anjani Stationers at Rs 2,70,00,000 of revenue and Rs 41,50,000 of operating profit, a margin of 15.37 per cent, and Setu Bazaar at Rs 20,00,00,000 of revenue and a loss of Rs 2,50,00,000, a margin of minus 12.50 per cent.
A reader is handed two one-line summaries, both reading revenue for the year, and concludes the two firms are similar businesses. What went wrong?
The failure: reading revenue as though it described a business
Here is how it goes wrong, and it is the commonest mistake made with these two words. Somebody sets two firms beside each other because their revenue lines look comparable, calls them peers, and starts comparing margins, growth and cost ratios as though the comparison meant one thing. Revenue is the single number two completely different businesses are most likely to share, and it is the line that separates them least. Underneath it, the share of revenue that moves with volume was 45.00 per cent at one firm and 50.00 per cent at the other; the load that does not move was 29.63 per cent against 62.50 per cent; the operating margin was 15.37 per cent against minus 12.50 per cent; and the days from sale to cash were 128.4 against nil. Four rows, four different answers, and the first one anybody looked at gave no warning that the other three existed.
The fix is an order of operations rather than a warning. Both the cost shape and the cash timing are cheap to find, and both change what a later comparison means, so both come before any comparison at all. A margin difference between two firms with different cost shapes is partly a statement about the shapes, and without the shapes there is no saying how much of it is which. The cost is real: a reader who skipped this once treated a fall in margin as a management failure when the volume had moved and the fixed load had simply been spread over fewer rupees.
What Does a Business Model Not Say?
Three things, and each of them gets asked of a model constantly. A model does not say whether the business is a good one. The description does not say whether the field it operates in permits anybody to make money. And it puts no price on the firm. A description is not a judgement.
Each in turn. Whether a business is good is a question that needs a standard to be good against, and no such standard appears anywhere above. Setu Bazaar loses Rs 2,50,00,000 a year and Anjani Stationers Private Limited makes Rs 41,50,000. The two firms are at different points in their lives and are built to do different things, so the comparison establishes almost nothing. Whether the field permits profit at all is a question about industry structure, covered under Industry Structure and Sector Behaviour, and it is a genuinely different question: a beautifully described model in a field where nobody makes money is still a model where nobody makes money. And valuing the firm is a different question again, needing a price, a horizon and a discount rate, all three of them covered separately.
Once a firm's business model has been described completely, what does that establish about whether the business is a good one?
References
| Source | Document | Where |
|---|---|---|
| Ministry of Corporate Affairs | Schedule III to the Companies Act 2013, the presentation format that fixes the revenue and cost lines a reader sees | mca.gov.in |
| Institute of Chartered Accountants of India | Ind AS 115, Revenue from Contracts with Customers, on the terms of sale and when revenue is recognised | icai.org |
| Institute of Chartered Accountants of India | Ind AS 7, Statement of Cash Flows, on the gap between a period's profit and the cash the period produced | icai.org |
Anjani Stationers Private Limited and Setu Bazaar are invented.
Educational material. Not advice on any investment, tax, budget or market position.
