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Equity Research Analyst · CoreTrack
1Financial Accounting, Reporting & Analysis
iAccounting System and Standards
Financial AccountingDebits and CreditsAccrual and Cash AccountingAccounting Policies, Estimates and…The Matching PrincipleDouble-Entry AccountingGoing ConcernInd AS and IFRSWhy Two Honest Companies…
iiFinancial Statement Architecture
The Three Financial StatementsConsolidated Financial StatementsStandalone and Consolidated Statements…How to Read a…How to Perform Trend…Which Accounting Rules Apply…
iiiIncome Statement, Profitability and Tax
The Income StatementRevenue vs Income vs ProfitHow to Read an Income StatementThe Profit LadderEBITDA and EBIT Compared,…EBIT vs EBT vs PATOperating ExpenditureTax-Loss CarryforwardWhy a Company's Effective…Deferred TaxDiluted EPSEffective Tax Rate
ivBalance Sheet and Capital Employed
The Balance SheetAsset TypesCapital EmployedReturn on Capital EmployedLiabilitiesBook ValueRetained EarningsOff-Balance-Sheet FinancingHow to Read a Balance SheetTangible Net Worth
vCash Flow and Liquidity
The Cash Flow StatementOperating, Investing and Financing…Operating Cash FlowProfit vs Cash FlowCash Flow From Operations vs EBITDARevenue Growth vs Operating Cash FlowHow to Read a Cash Flow StatementHow to Reconcile Cash…
viRevenue, Receivables and Working Capital
The Working Capital CycleThe Working Capital CycleReturn on Invested CapitalHow Working Capital Affects Cash FlowAccrued and Deferred RevenueRevenueHow to Analyse Revenue QualityAccounts PayableAccounts ReceivableExpected Credit Loss
viiInventory, Cost Accounting and Margins
Cost AbsorptionInventoryCost of Goods SoldFIFO vs Weighted Average CostAmortised Cost vs Fair ValueInventory Write-DownsMargin AnalysisContribution MarginOperating LeverageGross Profit vs Gross MarginHow to Analyse Profit MarginsHow to Interpret Operating…
viiiFixed Assets, Leases and Intangibles
DepreciationDepreciation MethodsAmortisation vs DepreciationAsset ImpairmentCapital ExpenditureAsset Efficiency and Capital IntensityProperty, Plant and EquipmentIntangible AssetsOperating Lease vs Finance…How to Analyse Capex…Why Capitalising Costs Increases…
ixDebt, Equity and Financial Instruments
Equity on the Balance SheetDebt TypesNet Debt and LeverageDebt vs Equity Accounting ClassificationHow to Analyse Debt…Convertible BondsInterest in the AccountsShare CapitalShare DilutionHybrid Instruments
xConsolidation and Business Combinations
ControlSubsidiaryGoodwillAssociate CompanyJoint Venture vs Associate…Intercompany EliminationsThe Equity MethodHow to Analyse Group…
xiCash, Investments and Financial Assets
Cash and Cash EquivalentsHow to Analyse Cash…The Fair Value HierarchyHow to Interpret a…Financial Asset ClassificationMarketable Securities and Short-Term Investments
xiiFinancial Ratios and Performance Diagnostics
Return on CapitalDuPont AnalysisHow to Perform Common-Size AnalysisDebt to EquityLiquidity RatiosLeverage and Coverage RatiosReturn on Equity and the DuPont DecompositionWhich Financial Ratios Matter…
xiiiEarnings Quality, Red Flags and Forensics
Earnings QualityHow to Prepare for…Channel StuffingEarnings ManagementHow to Analyse Related-Party…How to Spot Accounting…Why Frequent Exceptional Items…What an Auditor Change…
xivAnnual Reports, Notes and Disclosure Reading
Notes to the AccountsManagement Discussion and AnalysisSegment ReportingShareholding PatternPro Forma FinancialsAnnual Report vs Investor…How to Read an Annual Report
xvAudit, Assurance and Reporting Reliability
The Statutory Audit and the AuditorAudit MaterialityEmphasis of MatterFinancial RestatementInternal AuditLimited ReviewKey Audit MattersInternal Controls Over Financial ReportingThe Audit OpinionAuditor Independence
2Business, Industry & Company Analysis
iBusiness Fundamentals and Models
The Business EcosystemThe Business ModelStakeholdersThe Business Life CyclePlatform BusinessesHow to Build a…The Value NetworkMonetisationUnit EconomicsThe Profit PoolTake RateB2B vs B2C
iiRevenue and Pricing
The Revenue ModelRevenue Growth vs Monetisation…Pricing PowerRecurring RevenueAverage Revenue Per UserARPU vs Average Order ValuePrice DiscriminationGross Margin vs Contribution MarginFixed Costs vs Variable Costs
iiiOperating Model and Supply Chain
The Operating ModelThe Value ChainThroughputThe Supply ChainVertical IntegrationVertical vs Horizontal IntegrationProcurementCapacity UtilisationJust-in-Time vs Just-in-Case InventoryMake vs Buy
ivCustomers and Brands
Brand EquityCustomer LoyaltyCustomer Segments and the JourneyCustomer EconomicsHow to Analyse Customer…Distribution ChannelsCustomer Acquisition Cost
vCompetitive Advantage and Moats
The Sources of Competitive…Competitive RivalryEconomies of Scale and…Network EffectsSwitching CostsCost Leadership vs DifferentiationHow to Test Whether a Moat Is Eroding
viIndustry Structure and Sector Behaviour
Industry TypesConsolidation and FragmentationSubstitutesBuyer PowerSupplier PowerThe Industry Life CycleHerfindahl-Hirschman IndexSector vs IndustryCompany Analysis vs Industry AnalysisCyclical vs Defensive SectorHow to Apply Porter's…How to Analyse Competitive…
viiMarket Size and Addressable Market
Market SizeMarket Concentration vs Market ShareTop-Down vs Bottom-Up Market SizingDemand DriversThe Adoption CurveGrowth DriversMarket FragmentationMarket ShareHow to Interpret Market Share Changes
viiiInnovation and Technology Shift
InnovationResearch and DevelopmentTechnology Adoption and DiffusionThe Product Life CycleProduct Innovation vs Process InnovationDigital TransformationCannibalisationDisruptive InnovationThe Technology S-Curve
ixCorporate and Business Strategy
Corporate and Business Strategy ComparedHow to Build Business…How Execution Risk Can…Organic and Inorganic Growth ComparedGrowth Investment vs Capital ReturnOrganisation Design and TransformationHorizontal vs Conglomerate DiversificationCentralised vs Decentralised OrganisationCompany Research vs Investment ResearchHow to Separate Facts,…
xManagement and Governance Quality
Management QualityFounder-Led vs Professional ManagementThe PromoterThe BoardInstitutional OwnershipPromoter Ownership vs Institutional…The Agency ProblemIndependent DirectorsInsider OwnershipHow to Analyse Ownership…How Capital Allocation Shapes…
xiStrategic and Business Risk
Business RiskPlatform vs Pipeline BusinessAsset-Light vs Asset-Heavy vs…Commodity vs Branded BusinessHow to Write a…The Business Risk RegisterStrategy in PracticeStrategic Risk vs Financial RiskHow to Evaluate a…How to Build a…
xiiBusiness Research Method
Business AnalysisCompany Filings as a Research SourceCompetitor MappingThe Variant ViewPrimary ResearchPrimary vs Secondary Research
3Corporate Finance & Valuation
iCorporate Finance Fundamentals
Corporate FinanceCorporate Finance vs AccountingAgency CostsThe Financial ObjectiveThe Financing DecisionThe Investment DecisionProfit Maximisation vs Value…How Capital Allocation Affects…
iiTime Value of Money
Time Value of MoneyTime Value of MoneyCompoundingNominal and Effective Annual RatesThe Discount RateNominal vs Real Discount RateAnnuity vs Perpetuity
iiiCash Flow and Value Drivers
ReinvestmentReinvestment RateRevenue GrowthRevenue Growth vs ReinvestmentReturns in Corporate FinanceValue DriversOperating MarginEconomic ProfitFCFF vs FCFEHow to Normalise Earnings…
ivCost of Capital
The Cost of CapitalCost of CapitalSunk Cost vs Opportunity CostHow to Estimate a…Levered and Unlevered BetaCountry Risk PremiumEquity Risk PremiumThe Risk-Free Rate
vCapital Structure
Capital StructureHow to Analyse a…Financial LeverageOperating Leverage vs Financial…RecapitalisationDebt FinancingDebt CapacityGross Debt vs Net DebtEquity FinancingHow Leverage Can Increase…Refinancing RiskFinancial Distress
viCapital Budgeting
Capital BudgetingSunk CostsDiscounted PaybackPayback vs Discounted PaybackNet Present ValueInternal Rate of ReturnProject AppraisalIndependent vs Mutually Exclusive…How to Resolve NPV and IRR Conflicts
viiWorking Capital Finance
Capital RationingWorking Capital FinancingExcess CashCash ManagementShort-Term Financing
viiiPayout Policy
Payout PolicyPayout and Return of CapitalDividendsDividend Yield vs Payout RatioSignallingShare BuybacksDividend vs Buyback
ixValuation Fundamentals
ValuationValuation RangeFCFF vs FCFE ValuationSOTP vs Consolidated ValuationHow to Build a DCF ValuationHow to Build a…How to Build a…Firm Value and Equity ValueReplacement CostShareholder ValueEnterprise-to-Equity Value BridgeSum-of-the-PartsEnterprise Value vs Equity ValueValue vs PriceAsset Value vs Earnings ValueBook Value vs Adjusted Book ValueLiquidation Value vs Going-Concern…
xDiscounted Cash Flow
Discounted Cash FlowTerminal ValueNormalisationThe Forecast HorizonIncremental Cash FlowFree Cash Flow to FirmDiscounted Cash FlowBase Case vs Bull Case vs Bear CaseTwo-Stage vs Three-Stage DCFForward vs Historical FinancialsOperating vs Non-Operating AssetHow to Forecast Free Cash FlowHow to Audit a DCF Model
xiRelative Valuation
Relative ValuationDCF vs Relative ValuationConglomerate DiscountComparable Company AnalysisHow to Select Comparable CompaniesTrading MultiplesTrading Multiples
xiiTransaction Valuation
Transaction ValueDeal Value vs Enterprise ValueSources and UsesAccretion and DilutionHow to Analyse Accretion…Leveraged BuyoutManagement RolloverMinority Interest in ValuationControl Premium vs Minority DiscountPrecedent TransactionsLBO ReturnsTrading Comps vs Precedent TransactionsStrategic Buyer vs Financial BuyerHow to Build an…
xiiiValuation Discipline
Decision Rules in ValuationHow Valuation Ranges Improve…Implied AssumptionsImplied GrowthBase, Bull and BearScenario vs Sensitivity AnalysisMargin of SafetyHow to Check Discount…
4Public Equities & Securities Analysis
iEquity Research Fundamentals
Equity ResearchHow to write an…How to build an…SecuritiesCommon StockSecurity AnalysisEquity vs Debt SecurityEquity Research vs Security AnalysisThe ShareholderPreferred StockHow Market Price, Value…
iiEquity Markets and Listings
The Public CompanyPublic vs Private CompanyHow Listing Changes a…BuybackBuyback vs Rights IssueFollow-On OfferingIPO vs Follow-on OfferingThe Primary MarketThe Secondary MarketBonus Issue vs Stock SplitHow to read an…How Corporate Actions Affect…
iiiMarket Data and Liquidity
Market PriceFair Value vs Market PriceHow to Read Equity…How Liquidity Affects Equity…Volume, Delivery Volume and TurnoverMarket Capitalisation, Free Float…Market Capitalisation and Free FloatShare PricePrice Return and Total ReturnVolume Growth vs Price GrowthPrice Return vs Total ReturnHow to Analyse Share…Market DepthVolatility in Equity MarketsLiquidity vs VolatilityThe IndexTrading ActivityLarge, Mid and Small…
ivSector Research
Sector ResearchSecular GrowthSecular vs Cyclical GrowthCompetitive PositionSector DriversThe ThemeThematic ResearchTop-Down vs Bottom-Up ResearchSector vs Thematic ResearchHow to Research a Listed Company, in OrderHow to Update Research…
vEarnings Analysis
GuidanceHow to Read Management…The Revenue BuildConsensusDriver-Based ForecastingThe Forecast ModelGuidance, Forecast, Estimate and ResultThe Margin BuildHow to Read an…How to Find and…How Business Drivers Travel…
viQuality of Earnings
Quality of EarningsRevenue Growth vs Earnings GrowthRecurring vs Non-Recurring EarningsReading an Earnings Release,…How to Read an…One-Off ItemsAdjusted EBITDAReported vs Adjusted EarningsEBITDA vs Free Cash FlowDisclosure QualityEarnings Quality Checks You…Accounting Red Flags
viiValuation Application
The Target a Share…Implied ExpectationsUpsideDownsideThe MultipleThesis DisciplineDiscounted Cash Flow and MultiplesThesis Risk and Valuation RiskHow Valuation Ranges Inform…
viiiResearch Thesis and Models
The Investment ThesisModel AssumptionsHow to build an…Thesis DriversFact vs ThesisCatalysts and the Expectation GapDisconfirming EvidenceTime HorizonVariant PerceptionRe-RatingScenario vs SensitivityConfidence vs CertaintyHow Estimate Revisions Can…
ixCorporate Events
Corporate Events and ActionsCorporate Event vs Research CatalystMergers From a Research PerspectiveEvent RiskAcquisitions From a Research PerspectiveOrganic vs Acquisition-Led GrowthManagement ChangeCapital RaisesCorporate Action Adjustment
xGovernance and Disclosure
Material DisclosureDisclosure vs DisclaimerInsider TransactionsPromoter HoldingGovernance SignalsBoard Independence vs Management…
xiResearch Discipline and Cases
Research CoverageResearch OutputResearch Note vs Research ReportHow to Run an…How Research Post-Mortems Improve…The Peer GroupPeer Group vs Coverage UniverseThe Recommendation in Sell-Side ResearchFact Checking ResearchFact vs Opinion in ResearchThe Quarterly ResultResearch Independence

How to Write a Business and Industry Case Study

A case study wants a story with an ending, and published evidence supplies exposures rather than events. So the honest output is a record instead of a narrative: every line carries where it came from, a statement, a walk outside, or a labelled construction, and a line with no route is struck out. The record closes with what is known and what is not established, both written the same size.

A year of this business is written up and every figure adds up. So where is the ending supposed to come from?

The difficulty only shows itself once there is something concrete in front of the reader, so a record comes before a procedure. Anjani Stationers Private Limited, an invented manufacturer, turns paper into hard-bound school registers and sells them to schools across one district. Two of its years are published, and the movement between them is small enough to hold in mind through the rest of this guide.

ContributionWhat is left out of revenue once every cost that grows and shrinks with output has been paid for. went from Rs 1,02,60,000/- to Rs 1,15,50,000/-, a rise of Rs 12,90,000/-. The standing baseSpending that arrives in the same size whichever way volume goes: the shed, the people on salary, the wear on machines the business already has. went from Rs 49,60,000/- to Rs 74,00,000/-, a rise of Rs 24,40,000/-. Operating profitWhat the year's trading left behind before interest and tax were taken out of it. went from Rs 53,00,000/- to Rs 41,50,000/-, a fall of Rs 11,50,000/-.

Set those three movements one under another and do the subtraction yourself. The subtraction runs to one line and it settles something. Rs 12,90,000/- of extra contribution against Rs 24,40,000/- of extra standing cost leaves Rs 11,50,000/- unaccounted for, and Rs 11,50,000/- is exactly what the profit line lost. The movement closes with no residueThe part of a movement that the named causes fail to account for. It is nought when the arithmetic closes., so there is no room inside it for a fifth cause that nobody named. Each year also stands up on its own. Take the standing base of Rs 49,60,000/- off contribution of Rs 1,02,60,000/- and Rs 53,00,000/- is what remains. Do the same in the later year, Rs 74,00,000/- off Rs 1,15,50,000/-, and Rs 41,50,000/- is what remains.

The sources named at the foot also record what the larger standing base went on. The extra spending went on people, on space, and on a binding operation the business bought into. Where each of those sits in the accounts is set out in those sources. The split behind the standing base is described there as an estimate rather than a disclosure, and that qualification returns later and never travels separately from the figures it belongs to.

One published movement, and the third amount is the gap between the other two Each column on the left is contribution, split into what stands still and what is left over. LEFT OVER STANDS STILL YEAR ONE Rs 1,02,60,000/- in all LEFT OVER STANDS STILL YEAR TWO Rs 1,15,50,000/- in all CONTRIBUTION ROSE Rs 12,90,000/- THE STANDING BASE ROSE Rs 24,40,000/- THE OVERHANG IS THE FALL Rs 11,50,000/- The red block is not measured on its own. It is the distance by which the lower bar runs past the upper one. Anjani Stationers, invented. Illustrative figures throughout.
Contribution rose Rs 12,90,000/- and the standing base rose Rs 24,40,000/-, so operating profit fell Rs 11,50,000/- and the movement closes with nothing left over.

Consider where a writer actually stops. A year of a business has been read, every figure reconciles in both directions, and perhaps three paragraphs remain before the end of the write-up. The question forms on its own, and it is the reader's question as much as the writer's. What happened next?

Answer it flatly. This evidence holds exposures and never events, so nothing published anywhere answers that question. The shape of the silence becomes clear once the absences are named one at a time. Nothing published records that the largest account left. Nothing records that a counterparty stopped supplying. Nothing records that a machine stood still, that an account was lost, or that a school changed maker. Every one of those would make a fine last paragraph, and not one of them exists.

The word that matters there is exposureSomething a business is open to, recorded with no statement at all about whether it will occur.. A business with thirty per cent of its revenue in one account is open to something. Whether anything ever arrives is a different sentence, and the second sentence is the one nobody wrote down. The missing second sentence is a property of the evidence rather than a gap in the writing, and a procedure that pretends otherwise produces one invented sentence per study.

There is an everyday version of this and it is worth keeping hold of. A household can produce every bill it settled last year, to the rupee, filed by month. Asked what the rent will be after the current agreement runs out, the same file has nothing whatever to say, not because anybody is holding it back but because that was never a transaction of theirs to record. Every rupee that passed through is written down completely. Every rupee that did not pass through is not written down at all, and no amount of rereading turns the second into the first.

Try it out

1. A year of this business is written up. Contribution rose Rs 12,90,000/-, the standing base rose Rs 24,40,000/- and operating profit fell Rs 11,50,000/-. What does the write-up put in its closing paragraph?

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Why does the shape of a document decide what ends up being invented in it?

Four things sit underneath everything that follows. Each one explains a step that would otherwise invite argument, so all four are worth setting out before any procedure starts.

The first. A fact borrows its standing from the route it came down and from nothing else, and every other rule in this guide follows out of that one sentence. Two lines can sit one under the other in the same document, in the same weight, in the same face, saying things of roughly the same size, and one of them can be tested by anybody with a telephone while the other cannot be tested by anybody at all. Nothing about how a line reads will show which of the two is in hand. Where it came from is the only thing that does, and a document that records that for no line is a document in which every line quietly borrows the standing of the strongest line it contains.

The second. A narrative cannot be corrected and a record can, and that is an engineering property rather than a matter of taste. In a story the claim is spread across the telling, so a reader who doubts it has nowhere to point; the doubt attaches to the whole thing or to nothing. In a record each line answers for itself, so the next person can fill one in, move one or take one out without disturbing anything around it. The test of a case study is not whether it reads well. The test is whether one line in it can be corrected by somebody who was not in the room when it was written.

The third follows from the second and it is the uncomfortable one. The shape of the document decides what gets invented, and it decides it before any research begins. A shape with a resolution slot in it will get a resolution, because the slot is drawn into the document and an empty slot looks like unfinished work. The slot is why what follows is a procedure whose output is a record rather than advice about writing carefully. Careful writing inside the wrong shape still fills the slot, and the slot is where nearly every invented sentence in this subject comes from.

The fourth is about position, and it is the reason the damage lands where it does. The last line is the one that survives. Nobody quotes the reconciliation in paragraph four. Everybody quotes the closing sentence. The closing sentence is what the document was for. A study in which forty lines carry their route and the final line carries none has put its only unsourced claim in the one position from which it will be repeated by people who never saw the working. The weakest line in a case study is usually the most travelled one.

What is a case study actually for, if it is not a story?

Most readers arrive expecting a story with a lesson at the end, and there is nothing foolish about that expectation. A story with a lesson is what the words case study have meant in classrooms everywhere. The trouble is not that a story is a lesser instrument. The trouble is that a story is a different instrument, built to do a job this evidence cannot support.

Make the difference physical rather than abstract. Hand somebody a story about a business that ran into difficulty and ask them which sentence to go and check. Nobody can answer, and the failure is not slowness: the claim lives in the arrangement rather than in any one sentence, so there is nothing to point at. Hand the same person a record and every line answers the question for itself. One line came out of a set of accounts. Another came out of a telephone call. A third was built to show a property and says so where it stands.

A case study is a document somebody will pick up a year later, and the only question that matters then is whether they can tell which lines are still true. That is a plain test and it is unforgiving. A year on, the reader has forgotten the argument, forgotten who wrote it, and forgotten what was in the news the week it was written. The lines are all a reader still has, and the lines that survive contact with a year are the ones carrying enough about themselves for a stranger to re-test.

Then say what the record buys that the story cannot. Somebody who has run a works for twenty years can take it apart a line at a time, and that is the only sort of disagreement that improves a document instead of merely ending it. A record also leaves the next reader holding a short list of errands, so finished work becomes the opening half of somebody else's.

The everyday version sits on any ordinary street. A neighbour's account of why the shop on the corner closed is memorable, complete and satisfying, and not a word of it can be checked. The shop's own order book is dull, partial and full of gaps, and every line in it can be tested against somebody else's copy of the same transaction. One of the two is worth repeating and the other is worth relying on, and the whole of this guide is about not confusing them.

Try it out

2. A line in a draft reads that nine paper mills within reach turn out the same weight and finish and quote inside a day. Where did that line come from, and what makes it acceptable?

What are the three routes a line can come down?

The three routes are worth taking one at a time, each with a test that can be applied in the moment rather than a definition that has to be remembered.

A statement is a document a business publishes about itself, recording transactions it actually made. A statement arrives complete and costs a download. A statement can also be exhausted. Exhaustion is the property people find hardest to believe until they have felt it: a reader can genuinely reach the end of a set of accounts, read every line, and know that nothing further is coming from that direction, however long anybody sits with it.

A walk is a fact obtained by asking somebody who does not work at that business. Somebody at a mill reading a rate down the telephone. A price list pushed across a counter by whoever was standing behind it. A head teacher answering a question about which maker she has heard of. A walk costs a telephone call rather than a download, and it arrives one answer at a time and on somebody else's schedule. There is always one more person who could be asked, so a walk cannot be exhausted.

A construction is arithmetic built to demonstrate a property rather than to describe a business, and it is the only one of the three that the writer makes rather than collects. The permission to build one is narrow and the way it goes wrong is specific, so a construction has rules of its own, set out further down.

Three routes, three different journeys, one desk What each route can deliver is written where it lands, on the right. STATEMENT A document the business publishes about itself, recording what it did. ONE UNBROKEN PIECE, ONE DOWNLOAD ARRIVES WHOLE Can be exhausted: it comes to an end. WALK A person who does not work there, asked a question and answering. one answer, then a gap, then the next answer ONE AT A TIME Cannot be exhausted: one more to ask. CONSTRUCTION Nobody is asked and nothing travels here. no journey at all, because it is built at the far end MADE ON THE DESK the desk Anjani Stationers and the businesses around it, invented for teaching.
A statement arrives complete and can be exhausted, a walk arrives one answer at a time and cannot, and a construction is the only one of the three the writer makes rather than collects.

Neither of the first two is more respectable than the other, and the third is not a lesser version of either. They answer different questions and they cost different things, and a line's standing comes from its route rather than from how impressive the route sounds. A shopkeeper asked what he paid for a sack of rice answers down to the paisa. The purchase was his own and the slip is in the drawer. Asked what the same sack fetches in the lane behind him, he has to put his slippers on and go and read the board. One answer is worth exactly as much as the other. The two answers are simply got in different ways, and pretending the second came out of the drawer is the whole of the fault.

Which brings the rule the rest of the procedure hangs on, and it is short enough to keep.

Every line carries where it came from, and a line with no route is struck out.

Struck out, not softened, and this is the instruction writers resist hardest, so it is worth spending a paragraph on. Softening a line changes its wording and leaves its status alone. The softened line stays in the document, it stays in the file, and next year somebody quotes it without the hedge. The hedge was the part that read like padding. A struck line is gone, and nobody can quote a line that is not there. The difference between the two is not tone; it is whether the sentence still exists to travel.

Why a document about one business cannot answer a question about another business's transactions is worked out in full and is covered separately under Company Analysis vs Industry Analysis: Where the Evidence Comes From. The procedure below takes that finding as settled and works from it.

The record, with its narrow column down the left edge WHERE FROM THE LINE STATEMENT The standing base rose to Rs 74,00,000/- while what was left over fell. STATEMENT One buyer accounts for 30.00 per cent of the money earned in the year. WALK Nine further mills lie within reach and each prices a load inside a day. Got by ringing them. WALK Head teachers recognise one maker by name and do not recognise the other. STATEMENT That buyer took 171.23 days to pay on average, everybody else 110.08. This is the line the shape of the document asked for, and nothing supplies it. The route cell on the last row is empty, so the row is taken out rather than reworded. A softened row would still be sitting here, in this position, ready to be quoted next year by somebody who never saw what it rested on. Anjani Stationers, invented. Illustrative figures throughout.
Every line carries where it came from, and a line with no route is struck out rather than softened, because a softened line is quoted next year without its hedge.
Try it out

3. A draft carries a line with no route beside it. The writer is short of time. What does this procedure tell them to do with it?

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What does the stamp look like once it is worked on a real business?

Descriptions of a discipline are easy to agree with and hard to apply, so what follows builds the record rather than describing it, marking every line as it lands. Everything below is published in one of the sources named at the foot of this guide. Nothing in it was worked out for the occasion.

Four lines came out of documents the business publishes about itself. The standing base rose from Rs 49,60,000/- to Rs 74,00,000/- while contribution rose from Rs 1,02,60,000/- to Rs 1,15,50,000/-, so operating profit fell from Rs 53,00,000/- to Rs 41,50,000/-. The book of buyers runs to thirty six accounts, every one invoiced directly. The largest is the Sunrise Public School group at Rs 81,00,000/- against revenue of Rs 2,70,00,000/-, or 30.00 per cent. The same group is Rs 38,00,000/- of a gross bookThe whole of what buyers still owe, counted before anything at all is set against it. of Rs 95,00,000/- still owed, or 40.00 per cent, a gap of 10.00 points against its share of the money earned. And the collection periodHow long the money due took to arrive, averaged and counted in days, worked back out of the accounts after the year closed. came to 171.23 days on that group and 110.08 days on everybody else, against invoices asking for sixty to ninety.

Three lines came from asking people outside the business. Somebody rang round the paper trade and found nine further mills sitting within delivering distance, every one of them making paper of the identical weight and finish, and every one able to put a price in front of a buyer inside a day. The same round of calls settled the second line. A mill never bought from before wants roughly a fortnight before its first load reaches the yard. The third came from walking into schools: across the district, head teachers recognise one of the two makers by name and do not recognise the other.

Where the line came fromThe lineWho outside could confirm it
StatementThe standing base rose from Rs 49,60,000/- to Rs 74,00,000/-, contribution from Rs 1,02,60,000/- to Rs 1,15,50,000/-, and operating profit fell from Rs 53,00,000/- to Rs 41,50,000/-Anybody holding the same set of accounts
StatementThirty six accounts, all invoiced directly; the largest is the Sunrise Public School group at Rs 81,00,000/- of Rs 2,70,00,000/-, being 30.00 per centAnybody holding the same set of accounts
StatementThe same group is Rs 38,00,000/- of a gross book of Rs 95,00,000/- still owed, being 40.00 per cent, ten points above its share of the money earnedAnybody holding the same set of accounts
StatementMoney from that group took 171.23 days on average to arrive and money from everybody else took 110.08, on invoices asking for sixty to ninetyAnybody holding the same set of accounts
WalkNine further mills lie within delivering distance, all making paper of the identical weight and finish, and each will price a load inside a dayThe mills, by telephone, one at a time
WalkA mill never bought from before wants roughly a fortnight before its first load reaches the yardThe mill that would send it
WalkAcross the district, head teachers recognise one of the two makers by name and do not recognise the otherThe head teachers themselves

No set of accounts anywhere carries any of those three lines, and all three of them are facts. Both halves of that sentence have to stay together, because letting go of either one is where the trouble starts. Letting go of the first means an afternoon spent hunting for the mills inside a document that could never have held them. Letting go of the second quietly decides that whatever sits outside the accounts is soft, and throws away most of what the reader opened the write-up for.

Same weight, same size, same face. Only the band at the foot differs. Thirty per cent of the money earned in the year came from one buyer. STATEMENT read off the accounts Nine further mills lie within reach and every one of them will price a load inside a day. WALK got by ringing round the trade Nothing about how either line reads shows which one anybody else can go and test. Without the two bands, the cards become indistinguishable, which is the ordinary condition of an unstamped document. Anjani Stationers and the mills around it, invented for teaching.
Two lines can sit one under the other in the same weight saying things of the same size, and only the route stamp shows which one anybody else can check.

One more line belongs in the record, and it goes in on purpose to show where a walk runs out. There is a second maker in the same line of work, building to the same specification: Bhavani Register Works, run by the people who set it up, turning out 1,50,000 registers a year. Nobody looked that up in anything. The count is the sort of thing anyone selling into a district picks up about whoever else sells into it. A walk like the rest, it carries its route like the rest. And in the same breath: that figure gives the size of one business and no size whatever for the field around it. Nothing anywhere states how many makers the city holds, so there is nothing for one maker's output to be a share of.

What goes on the line when the fact exists nowhere?

Put the three hardest questions to this business's own surroundings and count the answers honestly rather than hopefully.

How many makers does the city hold? Nothing published anywhere puts a number on that. One named second maker establishes that there are at least two, and at least two is a floor and not a count. And what does Bhavani Register Works charge for a register, and what does the paper cost it? Not one of those figures appears anywhere: not its price, not what it pays for paper, not what its works costs to run. And what would a school buy if it stopped buying hard-bound registers altogether? Nothing outside the trade is named anywhere at all.

Three questions asked and three refusals returned. And it is at precisely this moment that the temptation shows up, wearing the clothes of research. The phrase is the trade averageA number people in a trade repeat as normal for it. It counts as a source only when the person or the body that put it in print can be named., and one test decides it. Can the person who put that number in print be named? Where the answer is yes, it is a source like any other and the line stands. Where the answer is no, the phrase is doing a source's work without being one, and a line finished that way is indistinguishable in the document from a line finished properly.

The instruction that comes out of all this runs to three lines and does not need decorating. The question goes into the write-up. Beside it goes the one thing that would answer it. Then comes a plain statement that nobody has that thing.

A line reading not established can be completed on the day somebody finally gets hold of the fact. A line completed with an average nobody published can never be corrected at all, and a year from now nobody will remember that it was made up. That lopsidedness is the whole argument and it repays being said twice in different words. The honest line has a future in it: it is an errand for the next person, and the list of them gets shorter every year as people work through it. The invented line has no future at all. Such a line is finished the day it is written, it is never tested by anybody, and repetition alone hardens it into something everyone assumes was always known.

Three rows of finished work, and every third cell is drawn full size THE QUESTION WHAT WOULD SETTLE IT WHO OUTSIDE HOLDS IT How many makers does the city hold? A roll of the register works in the city, taken by somebody who counted. NOBODY HOLDS THIS One named maker is a floor of two. What does the second maker charge, and what does its paper cost it? Its own rates and its own bought-in costs, from the second maker. NOBODY HOLDS THIS Nothing published states any of the three. What would a school buy instead of a hard-bound register altogether? A head teacher naming what she buys when she buys none of these. NOBODY HOLDS THIS Nothing outside the trade is named. A blank drawn small reads as an afterthought. A blank drawn at full size reads as a finding, which is what it is. Anjani Stationers and the trade around it, invented for teaching.
A line reading not established gets completed the day somebody obtains the fact, while a line completed with an average nobody published can never be corrected by anyone.

Now land this same fault where it is sharper. Here the average genuinely exists and is genuinely published. The other thirty five accounts came to Rs 1,89,00,000/- between them, or 70.00 per cent of the year, averaging Rs 5,40,000/- each, and that is 2.00 per cent each on average. The word average is not decoration there. The split inside the average is published nowhere at all, so there is no second-largest account in this record, no grouping of the top five, and no ranking of the book. Reading the average as any one account's share manufactures thirty five figures in a single stroke, and every one of them would look as solid as the Rs 81,00,000/- above it.

Say the plain thing about that too. The temper of the work depends on it. Nobody concealed the split. The split was never published. Nearly every book of buyers anywhere stands the same way, and that is the ordinary condition of the evidence rather than a black mark against anybody. A record that reads every gap as somebody's fault will be wrong most of the time and disagreeable all of it.

One book of buyers, 660 pixels to the whole year The band on the right has no lines in it, and the missing lines are the point of the drawing. 30.00 PER CENT 70.00 PER CENT, AND NOT ONE DIVIDING LINE THE SUNRISE PUBLIC SCHOOL GROUP Rs 81,00,000/- of the Rs 2,70,00,000/- earned THE OTHER 35 ACCOUNTS TOGETHER Rs 1,89,00,000/- between them, which averages Rs 5,40,000/- each, being 2.00 per cent each on average. The divisions inside this band exist. They are published nowhere, so drawing any of them would put thirty five invented lines on one picture. Nobody concealed the split. Almost nobody anywhere publishes one, which is why an empty band is the honest drawing. Anjani Stationers and the Sunrise Public School group, invented. Illustrative figures throughout.
The other 35 accounts average Rs 5,40,000/- each, and the split inside that average is published nowhere, so treating the average as one account's share manufactures thirty five figures at once.

One last point about how these lines are drawn, and it is a formatting decision that turns out to be an argument. The not-established lines are drawn at the same size as the filled ones. A blank set in smaller type at the end of a write-up reads as an afterthought, something the writer ran out of time for. The same blank set at full size, in the body, with its two companion lines beside it, reads as a finding. A finding is exactly what it is.

Try it out

4. These notes publish that the other 35 accounts came to Rs 1,89,00,000/- between them, averaging Rs 5,40,000/- each. A draft wants to name the second-largest account. What does the procedure say?

Private Equity Analyst Bootcamp — Fin Maverick Ratio Analysis That Says Something — free micro-course from Fin Maverick

When may the procedure build its own arithmetic, and what must it say in the same breath?

Sometimes the honest answer to the step before is that a demonstration is needed and no published figure supplies one. A reader who has just been told to strike every unsourced line will want to know whether that leaves any room to work anything out, and it does, but the room is narrow and its shape is worth learning exactly.

Here is the permission with its conditions, and take it in one breath rather than as a list to be skimmed. The arithmetic is labelled as a demonstration of a property inside the very sentence it appears in, and it names no country, no year, no line of work and no enterprise, and it is fastened to none of the businesses the write-up is about, and the published figures standing beside it keep their own labels so a reader can tell in one glance which is which.

Now the addition this subject needs, and it is the important half of the step. A construction may not supply a likelihood. The bar sits on the quantity itself rather than on where the figure came from, which is why labelling does not rescue it. A demonstration that says how probable something is has supplied the one input that decided its own answer. The label makes that worse rather than better. A labelled invention reads as an invention somebody has already dealt with.

A construction may supply a setting instead. A movement in revenue of a stated size. An account of a stated size no longer buying. A stoppage of a stated number of weeks. Say what would follow at that setting, work it through so a reader can check the working, and then say nothing whatever about whether the setting arrives. The setting is permitted and the chance of the setting is not. The sources this guide draws on already work exactly that way and say so in their own words: a distance is measured, and no claim is attached about whether anybody will travel it.

The everyday version settles it in one sentence. Measuring whether a table will fit through a doorway is a fact about the doorway and the table, and a tape settles it in a minute. The tape says nothing at all about whether anybody intends to carry a table through it this year, and a builder who wrote the second thing on the same sheet as the first would have mixed a measurement with a guess and given them the same ink.

A bench with three stations, and the fourth one is not on it The slab ends where it ends. The dashed box on the right is standing on nothing, which is the whole drawing. FED IN A setting of a stated size: a movement in revenue, an account no longer buying. WORKED IN THE MIDDLE Arithmetic anybody who disagrees with the setting can still rebuild and argue with, line by line. COMES OUT What would follow at that setting, labelled a demonstration in the same sentence. THE BENCH ENDS HERE HOW LIKELY THE SETTING IS no station, no support The bar sits on the quantity rather than on where the figure came from, so no wording mounts that box on this bench. A label makes it worse rather than better, because a labelled invention reads as one somebody has already dealt with. Drawn as a general instrument. No business, trade, country or year is attached to it.
A construction may supply a setting and may never supply a chance, because the bar sits on the quantity itself rather than on where the figure came from.
Try it out

5. A write-up needs arithmetic that no published figure supplies. Which of these may a labelled construction carry?

Try it out

6. The panel below steps through seven lines of a draft record. The seventh line asserts how likely the six lines above it are. Where will that line land?

Play with it

Step through one draft record, one line at a time, and watch where each line lands

Seven lines of a draft sit on the left, in the same order at every setting. The control examines them rather than changing them: no figure on any line moves, no line is added and none is taken away. The control moves which line is under examination, and which of the three columns on the right that line lands in. Every line here is published in one of the sources named at the foot of this guide, or is an absence confirmed by reading those sources.

Line 1 of 7, and the record itself never changes WHERE FROM THE DRAFT RECORD, ALL SEVEN LINES KEPT AND STAMPED NOT ESTABLISHED STRUCK OUT 0 0 0 Counted from the lines looked at so far, so the tally moves both ways. Where a line came from is written as a word at every setting, never as a colour, because a colour standing for something is a rating. Anjani Stationers and the trade around it, invented for teaching.
1234567

Line 1 of 7

At this line: the standing base rose from Rs 49,60,000/- to Rs 74,00,000/-.

Held at every setting: the same seven lines, in the same order, with no figure on any of them changed by the control.

Educational illustration. Where a line came from records how it was got and says nothing about whether it matters. The two not-established lines are empty because nobody published the facts, rather than because this panel left them out. No source anywhere states how likely anything is, so the seventh line is struck rather than filled, and no setting of the control supplies that quantity.

Ratio Analysis That Says Something teaches you to choose ratios that answer a question rather than fill a template.

What is the one shape of story this evidence genuinely supports?

Having refused the ending, it would be mean to leave the reader with nothing, and there is no need to. One real before and after is available, it is fully published, and it is a better ending than the one the shape was asking for. Give it in full. A refusal that arrives with an alternative reads as discipline, and a refusal that arrives alone reads as poverty.

The movement from the earlier year into the later one is a genuine narrative by any test that could be applied to a story. Something changed. The change is named. The consequence is measured. And the arithmetic closes with nothing left over, a thing a story almost never manages.

The movement runs in the direction a write-up would actually set it down. The business committed Rs 24,40,000/- more before anything at all was sold. Contribution rose Rs 12,90,000/-, and that rise is real. A write-up that skipped it would be describing only half of what happened. Operating profit still fell Rs 11,50,000/-, and the two movements account for that fall exactly, with no third cause needed and no room for one.

Now bring in the reading that everybody wants and carry its qualification in the same breath, every single time, without one exception. The degree of operating leverage moved from 1.94 to 2.78. Underneath both readings sits a split of the costs into the part that moves and the part that stands still, and wherever those two figures appear that split is called an estimate rather than a disclosure. The same place adds that the Rs 74,00,000/- underneath the later reading will not stay at that level once a one-time cost of buying into the binding operation falls away. Neither remark is a garnish. Detach either one and the write-up printing the figure has quietly promoted an estimate into a disclosure.

Then the part that turns an observation into an ending. Hold the standing base at the earlier year's Rs 49,60,000/-, let revenue grow on its own, and the reading goes down from 1.94 to 1.75. Revenue growth by itself was pushing the reading the other way. So the Rs 24,40,000/- of extra standing cost carried the whole distance from 1.75 up to 2.78, and it carried the part that revenue growth had already given back as well. The result is a finding with a direction and a cause and a size. Every figure in it rests on the same estimate, and that estimate travels with all three readings or with none of them.

Three readings on one axis, and the short arrow points the other way 560 pixels from 1.50 to 3.00, so every distance below is drawn to the same scale. THE Rs 24,40,000/- OF EXTRA STANDING COST CARRIES THE WHOLE DISTANCE PUSHED DOWN BY REVENUE GROWTH ALONE 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 1.75 STANDING BASE HELD, REVENUE GROWS ALONE 1.94 THE EARLIER YEAR, AS PUBLISHED 2.78 THE LATER YEAR, AS PUBLISHED All three readings rest on a split into moving and standing cost described as an estimate rather than a disclosure, and the later base is described as one that will not hold once a one-time cost drops out. Anjani Stationers, invented. Illustrative figures throughout.
Holding the standing base at the earlier year's level and letting revenue grow alone takes the reading down to 1.75, so the Rs 24,40,000/- carried the whole distance from 1.75 to 2.78, on a split described as an estimate rather than a disclosure.

The only ending this evidence supplies is arithmetic that closes. Every line of it can be checked by somebody who disagrees with it, and the ending the shape wanted has no such line anywhere in it. Hand that record to a person who has run a works for twenty years and they can argue with the split, argue with what the base will do next, argue with whether the extra spending was worth doing at all. Nobody can argue with an invented last paragraph. There is nothing in it to take hold of.

Try it out

7. A draft prints that this business's degree of operating leverage moved from 1.94 to 2.78. What must travel in the same sentence?

Once every line carries a route, what order do the lines go in?

The procedure has run as far as it goes, and it has left a question standing in plain view. Every line now carries where it came from. The blanks are written full size. And the writer still has to decide what goes first.

Say why that is not a formatting decision. The line at the top is the one that gets read, the line at the bottom is the one that gets skipped, and the writer chooses which is which before anybody else in the world sees the document. Nothing in the procedure above chose it. Nothing in the evidence chooses it either. The evidence is a set of lines, and a set has no order until somebody gives it one.

One warning belongs here and the rest belongs elsewhere. The smallest number in a record is often the largest dependency, so an order chosen by size buries exactly the line that mattered, right at the foot, where the reader who opens the file at ten to six will never reach it. Burying the line that mattered is not a rare accident. Sorting by size does it every time, by construction.

A record's refusals matter in the same breath, and the next study is built on them. A record orders and never rates. Nothing in it carries a score, a grade, a colour or a word standing in for how serious a line is. A grade is the product of two quantities and this evidence publishes one of them, so a graded record has multiplied a measurement by an invention and printed the result in a column where it looks like the other measurements.

One record, two published columns to sort it on, two different documents SORTED ON ONE PUBLISHED COLUMN SORTED ON ANOTHER PUBLISHED COLUMN THE SAME LINE, LAST HERE AND SECOND FROM THE TOP HERE The bars are drawn as bars and nothing more. Neither drawing carries a score, a grade or a colour standing for how serious a line is, and the one line picked out in green is traced rather than ranked: it is the same line in both, sitting in two places. Which column, and what happens to every other position when the column changes, is a separate piece of work and is named below. Drawn as a general shape. No business, trade or year is attached to it.
The smallest number in a record is often the largest dependency, so an order chosen by size buries exactly the line that mattered, and the record still orders rather than rates.

The work stops there, and where the reader can see it stopping. Which order, on which published column, and what happens to every other position once the column changes, is set out under The Business Risk Register: Recording What Could Go Wrong. Producing the lines and putting them in order are separate jobs, and settling the ordering in passing would decide a question that deserves a study to itself.

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Where does a careful study go wrong, if every figure in it is right?

The study that took its ending from the only place an ending was available

An analyst is asked for a write-up of one business and the field it sells into, for a file somebody else will act on. The company section comes out well, as company sections almost always do. Both years are laid out, the movements reconcile, the fall in profit is accounted for to the rupee and nothing at all is left over. The field section comes out well too, and that is a good deal rarer. The paper trade was rung round. The head teachers were visited. The second maker appears with its route written beside it. Forty lines and forty stamps.

Then the last sheet of the write-up arrives. The shape of the document asks a question the evidence cannot answer, namely what all of this means for what comes next. So the closing paragraph names something nothing published anywhere records, sets it in a period that has not happened, and attaches a word standing in for how probable it is.

Set down what actually went wrong here. The diagnosis that suggests itself is not the right one. Nobody miscalculated, nobody overstated a figure and nobody was careless with a source. The shape asked for a resolution, the evidence holds exposures, and a resolution slot drawn into a document will get filled. The analyst was following the form they were handed rather than being dishonest, so the fix is a different form rather than more integrity.

Now land the cost somewhere specific. The closing paragraph carries no route, so it cannot be tested. An untestable line cannot be struck out by anybody reviewing the file. And because it sits last, it is the part that leaves the document and travels. A year on the file is reopened, the reconciliation in paragraph four is quoted by nobody at all, and the closing sentence is quoted by three people who never saw the working and who now believe it came out of the accounts.

Now the part that repays a minute of thought. The forty sound lines are precisely what made the forty-first dangerous. A document full of unsourced claims is distrusted whole, and distrust is a kind of safety. A document in which forty lines are stamped and one is not has spent forty lines earning a standing that the forty-first then borrows without paying for it.

The repair runs to one instruction and has nothing whatever to do with writing more carefully. Finish the document on the not-established list, set at the same size as the filled lines. A reader then carries away a short set of errands rather than a sentence to repeat.

The final page of the write-up, and the two blocks are drawn at exactly the same size FORTY LINES ABOVE, EVERY ONE WITH ITS ROUTE WRITTEN BESIDE IT the closing paragraph ROUTE CELL EMPTY, SO THE BLOCK GOES WHAT BELONGS IN THAT PLACE, AT THAT SIZE How many makers the city holds. Settled by a count. NOBODY HOLDS THIS. What the second maker charges. Settled by its own rates. NOBODY HOLDS THIS. What a school buys instead. Settled by a head teacher. NOBODY HOLDS THIS. Same page of the write-up, same position, same size. One block travels and cannot be tested; the other tells the next reader what to go and ask for. Anjani Stationers and the trade around it, invented. The struck block's words are drawn as bars because no instance of that fault is printed.
Nobody miscalculated and nobody was careless with a source: the shape asked for a resolution, the evidence holds exposures, and a resolution slot drawn into a document will get filled.
Spotting Quality of Earnings Red Flags teaches you to test whether a reported profit is a sound base to forecast from.

Which six lines travel with every case study, whoever is reading it?

The six questions, in this order, worked rather than listed

One. What question is this study for? It is written as a question somebody could answer with a fact, never as a subject. A study for the subject of paper costs will wander for forty printed sides. A study asking how much of this year's revenue sits with one buyer stops when it is answered.

Two. What does the route stamp read on this line? A statement, a walk or a construction, and it is written beside the line rather than in a note at the foot. A note at the foot is read by nobody and survives no copy and paste.

Three. Who outside the business could confirm it? Name the person or the office, and where there is nobody to name, the line goes. The third check catches the most and costs the least of any of the six.

Four. If it is a construction, is it labelled in the same breath? Not in the appendix, not in the method note, but inside the sentence itself, and carrying no enterprise, no line of work, no country and no year against it.

Five. Does any line supply a quantity nobody published? Check this one against the whole document rather than line by line. The quantity that gets supplied is nearly always the same one, and it nearly always arrives in the last paragraph.

Six. What is on the not-established list, and is it drawn the same size as the filled lines? If it is set smaller, or later, or in a different face, it will read as an apology instead of a finding.

Drawing every line of a study out of the business itself swaps the only source capable of contradicting the account for one that can do nothing but agree with it, and the third check alone would have caught that, without anybody reading a single figure.

Six checks in a fixed order, and one paragraph run down them THE SIX, IN THE ORDER THEY ARE ASKED ONE CLOSING PARAGRAPH, RUN DOWN THEM 1 What question is this study for, written as a question? The paragraph has one. It passes. PASSES, AND MOVES DOWN 2 What does the route stamp read on this line? Nothing is written there yet, so it moves on. PASSES, AND MOVES DOWN 3 Who outside the business could confirm it? There is nobody to write, so the line is struck out here. STOPS HERE No figure had to be read to get this far. 4 If it is a construction, is it labelled in the same breath? 5 Does any line supply a quantity nobody published? 6 Is the not-established list drawn at the same size? The last three are drawn pale because the paragraph never reaches them. The order is the whole of the design. Ask the third question earlier and it catches nothing, because there is no line yet to ask it of; ask it later and forty pages of work have already been built on top of a line that was going out anyway.
Where every line of a study comes out of the business itself, the only source able to contradict the account has been swapped for one that can never disagree.
Try it out

8. A finished write-up carries forty lines, every one of them sourced, and one closing paragraph that is not. Which line is most at risk of being repeated as fact by somebody who never saw the working?

Where this sits

What comes from India here, and what does not

The Indian setting shows up in five places in this guide and nowhere else: the rupee, the lakh and crore grouping the amounts are written in, the words Private Limited after a name, the school session that decides when a year's ordering happens, and the payment terms printed on the invoices. Everything else here reads the same in every language. A reviewer asking for a national statistic to make the work feel concrete is asking for precisely the sort of line this procedure teaches an analyst to stamp and, where nobody published it, to strike.

Where the procedure stops. The procedure sets out how a business and industry write-up gets made: which routes a line can come down, what to write when a fact exists nowhere, when arithmetic may be built instead of collected, and how the document ends. The procedure produces the lines and puts none of them in order, states how probable nothing is, grades nothing, narrates no event, names no period that has not happened and returns no verdict on the business it writes up. Ten questions a reader will fairly bring to a finished write-up are answered elsewhere, and the table below names where.

The question a reader arrives withRead instead
What order the finished lines go in, and what moves when they are sorted on a different published columnThe Business Risk Register: Recording What Could Go Wrong
Where a fact comes from, set out at length rather than quoted as settledCompany Analysis vs Industry Analysis: Where the Evidence Comes From
The anatomy of a strategy statement, and how what a business chose to be differs from what it set out to achieveStrategy in Practice: From Position to Objective to Initiative
What would have to be true before money is committed to somethingHow to Evaluate a Strategic Initiative Before It Is Taken
Building a grid out of what a record holds, without supplying a number nobody wrote downHow to Build a Strategic Risk Matrix Without Inventing a Number
Telling a fact from an inference inside a finished research noteHow to Separate Facts, Inference and Scenarios in Company Research
How probable any recorded exposure is, and how to say so without false precisionLikelihood: Estimating Probability Without False Precision
What anybody should do about an exposure once it has been written downThe Four Risk Treatments
Who is accountable for a named exposure inside a businessThe Risk Owner: The Named Person Accountable for a Risk
Why one movement from outside lands harder on one business than on anotherBusiness Risk: The Risks That Sit Inside the Operation
Risk Management Program Bootcamp — Fin Maverick

Which figures here can a reader go and check for themselves?

No outside body is named anywhere above. Every amount above was read off one of the sources below, so the way to test any figure is to open the source that carries it.

What was takenWhere it is set out
The two published years, the reading of 1.94 and then 2.78, the reading of 1.75 where revenue alone moves, and the words describing the split behind all three as an estimate rather than a disclosureOperating Leverage: How Fixed Costs Amplify a Revenue Movement, and How to Interpret Operating Leverage
The same two years set out line by line, and the three things the larger standing base went onCompetitive Rivalry: How Intensity Shapes Industry Returns
The count of thirty six accounts, the largest at Rs 81,00,000/-, the money still owed against the gross book, and the two collection readingsHow to Analyse Customer Concentration and Dependence
The payment terms the invoices state, and the distance between those terms and the days the money actually tookDistribution Channels: How the Product Reaches the Buyer
The four facts about the surroundings with the route each one came down, and the three questions nothing anywhere settlesCompany Analysis vs Industry Analysis: Where the Evidence Comes From

Anjani Stationers Private Limited, Bhavani Register Works and the Sunrise Public School group are invented.
Educational material. Not advice on any investment, tax, budget or market position.

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